Memorial Coliseum (IN) · at Purdue FW · Conference game
Closing line
PFW -3.5✓ PFW covered by 14.5
PFW -3.5✓ PFW covered by 14.5Closing total148.5Over by 33.5
 MILW | This season | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| 7-11 | Record | 8-8 |
| 6-12 | ATS | 7-9 |
| 8-10 | O/U | 8-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MILW 75–77 PFW · ✓ PFW (57%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MILW | 40 | 42 | 82 |
| PFW | 48 | 52 | 100 |
1st half: MILW 40, PFW 48 (PFW by 8). The model had PFW by 1.1 and a total of 71.2 (actual 88).
Team stats
| MILW | PFW | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-60 48% | Field goals | 36-64 56% |
| 7-17 41% | 3-pointers | 13-23 57% |
| 17-21 81% | Free throws | 15-19 79% |
| 34 10 off | Rebounds | 31 7 off |
| 9 | Assists | 20 |
| 3 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| MILW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Franklin G | 33 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Amar Augillard G | 29 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 11-20 | 5-8 |
| Sekou Konneh F | 26 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-1 |
| Josh Dixon G | 23 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 6-11 | 1-2 |
| Isaiah Dorceus G | 16 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Stevie Elam G | 32 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| Esyah Pippa-White G | 22 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Chandler Jackson F | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tate Mackenzie F | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Simeon Murchison F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Austin Villarreal, Ned Renfree, Seth Hubbard, John Lovelace Jr., Faizon Fields, Danilo Jovanovich
| PFW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikale Stevenson G | 32 | 34 | 2 | 6 | 12-19 | 6-10 |
| DeAndre Craig Jr. G | 32 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 5-15 | 3-6 |
| Corey Hadnot II G | 28 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 8-12 | 2-2 |
| Maximus Nelson F | 28 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Deangelo Elisee F | 19 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Darius Duffy F | 21 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 6-6 | 0-0 |
| Chris Morgan G | 20 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| EJ Mosley G | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Yuval Levin F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ebrahim Kaba G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Mason Shrout, Ja'Corey Lipkins, Danny Kelly, Solomon Richard, Quentin Morgan
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPFW -3.5
no move
ClosePFW -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▲ 1
Close148.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MILW +140 · PFW -166
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PFW -3.5 · unchangedmodel PFW -2
model PFW -2
Opened 147.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 1 upmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | PFW -3.5 | PFW -2.0 | MILW +1.5 | L PFW covered |
| Total | 148.5 | 152.0 | Over 3.5 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MILW 75 · PFW 77 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PFW -1.1 | PFW -8.0 |
| 1H total | 71.2 | 88 |
| 1H projected score | MILW 35.1 · PFW 36.1 | MILW 40 · PFW 48 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MILW | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| PFW | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
MILW 5–4 PFWMILW leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · MILW 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025-26 | PFW 55 @ MILW 77 | MILW -3.5 | MILW W |
| Feb 2, 2024-25 | PFW 81 @ MILW 79 | MILW -4.5 | PFW W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | MILW 73 @ PFW 78 | PFW -2.5 | PFW W |
| Feb 25, 2023-24 | PFW 88 @ MILW 96 | MILW -1.5 | MILW W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | MILW 68 @ PFW 65 | PFW -3.5 | MILW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Milwaukee
18 games played
Straight up
7-11
39% wins
Against the spread
6-12
33% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-10
44% overs · avg −2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HAMP | W 90-86 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 8 | @ WOF | L 76-86 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 10 | vs LR | W 92-72 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ IU | L 70-101 | +24.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 14 | @ TTU | L 63-80 | +27.5 | W +10.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 22 | @ WICH | L 58-75 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AKR | L 81-105 | +12.5 | L −11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 6 | vs RMU | W 74-72 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 14 | vs INST | L 68-70 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 19 | vs SDST | W 88-87 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 21 | @ CLE | W 81-71 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vsPFW | W 77-55 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 30 | @ WIS | L 60-80 | +19.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 1 | @ WRST | L 70-76 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 5 | @ GB | L 76-79 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 9 | vs NKU | L 67-85 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 11 | vs IUIN | W 95-83 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 15 | vs OAK | L 60-73 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 166.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
−1.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
−13.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+16.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
−6.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
+10.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−6.5
29
@AKR
AKRL 81-105
−11.5
6
vsRMU
RMUW 74-72
−2.5
14
vsINST
INSTL 68-70
−4.5
19
vsSDST
SDSTW 88-87
+2.5
21
@CLE
CLEW 81-71
+3.5
29
vsPFW
PFWW 77-55
+18.5
30
@WIS
WISL 60-80
−0.5
1
@WRST
WRSTL 70-76
−2.5
5
@GB
GBL 76-79
−6.5
9
vsNKU
NKUL 67-85
−19.5
11
vsIUIN
IUINW 95-83
+3.5
15
vsOAK
OAKL 60-73
−10.5
covered 6didn’t cover 12avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
+29.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
+11.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+7.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
+5.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
−22.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−25.5
29
@AKR
AKRL 81-105
+19.5
6
vsRMU
RMUW 74-72
−7.5
14
vsINST
INSTL 68-70
−21.5
19
vsSDST
SDSTW 88-87
+23.5
21
@CLE
CLEW 81-71
−8.5
29
vsPFW
PFWW 77-55
−24.5
30
@WIS
WISL 60-80
−17.5
1
@WRST
WRSTL 70-76
−1.5
5
@GB
GBL 76-79
+10.5
9
vsNKU
NKUL 67-85
−5.5
11
vsIUIN
IUINW 95-83
+12.5
15
vsOAK
OAKL 60-73
−33.5
over 8under 10avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Purdue FW
16 games played
Straight up
8-8
50% wins
Against the spread
7-9
44% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-8
50% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GCU | L 71-90 | +14.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | @ OSU | L 68-94 | +24.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | @ WMU | L 71-83 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | @ UTAH | L 77-85 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | @ SLU | L 60-91 | +19.5 | L −11.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 25 | vs CHST | W 90-77 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | @OAK | L 92-101 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 6 | vsNKU | W 79-77 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vs EMU | W 80-65 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 14 | vs DETM | W 81-77 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 21 | @ ND | W 72-69 | +11.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 29 | @MILW | L 55-77 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 1 | vsGB | L 54-72 | -8.5 | L −26.5 | 145.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 4 | vsCLE | W 74-71 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 7 | @ YSU | W 71-69 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 11 | @RMU | W 79-74 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GCU
GCUL 71-90
−4.5
7
@OSU
OSUL 68-94
−1.5
12
@WMU
WMUL 71-83
−15.5
18
@UTAH
UTAHL 77-85
+5.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 60-91
−11.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 90-77
+0.5
3
@OAK
OAKL 92-101
−4.5
6
vsNKU
NKUW 79-77
+0.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 80-65
+11.5
14
vsDETM
DETMW 81-77
−5.5
21
@ND
NDW 72-69
+14.5
29
@MILW
MILWL 55-77
−18.5
1
vsGB
GBL 54-72
−26.5
4
vsCLE
CLEW 74-71
−8.5
7
@YSU
YSUW 71-69
+6.5
11
@RMU
RMUW 79-74
+9.5
covered 7didn’t cover 9avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GCU
GCUL 71-90
+5.5
7
@OSU
OSUL 68-94
+2.5
12
@WMU
WMUL 71-83
−7.5
18
@UTAH
UTAHL 77-85
+0.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 60-91
−15.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 90-77
+17.5
3
@OAK
OAKL 92-101
+30.5
6
vsNKU
NKUW 79-77
+2.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 80-65
−2.5
14
vsDETM
DETMW 81-77
+4.5
21
@ND
NDW 72-69
−8.5
29
@MILW
MILWL 55-77
−24.5
1
vsGB
GBL 54-72
−19.5
4
vsCLE
CLEW 74-71
−14.5
7
@YSU
YSUW 71-69
−5.5
11
@RMU
RMUW 79-74
+6.5
over 8under 8avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Milwaukee
7-11 overall · 4-4 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Oakland60–73
- Wvs IU Indy95–83
- Lvs N Kentucky67–85
- L@ Green Bay76–79
- L@ Wright St70–76
3 days since their last game.
Purdue FW
8-8 overall · 5-3 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Robert Morris79–74
- W@ Youngstown St71–69
- Wvs Cleveland St74–71
- Lvs Green Bay54–72
- L@ Milwaukee55–77
A week or more of rest.