Petersen Events Center · at Pitt · Conference game
Closing line
FSU -1.5✓ PITT covered by 0.5
FSU -1.5✓ PITT covered by 0.5Closing total144.5Over by 4.5
| FSU | This season | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| 15-14 | Record | 11-18 |
| 17-12 | ATS | 13-16 |
| 13-16 | O/U | 17-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FSU 74–74 PITT · ✗ PITT (51%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FSU | 46 | 29 | 75 |
| PITT | 30 | 44 | 74 |
1st half: FSU 46, PITT 30 (FSU by 16). The model had FSU by 0.0 and a total of 69.5 (actual 76).
Team stats
| FSU | PITT | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-58 48% | Field goals | 26-63 41% |
| 11-27 41% | 3-pointers | 9-27 33% |
| 8-13 62% | Free throws | 13-17 76% |
| 35 10 off | Rebounds | 37 14 off |
| 15 | Assists | 19 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| FSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert McCray V G | 35 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 4-16 | 1-5 |
| Lajae Jones G | 33 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 6-11 | 3-7 |
| Chauncey Wiggins F | 31 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 7-10 | 4-7 |
| Thomas Bassong F | 30 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Alex Steen F | 19 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Martin Somerville G | 27 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Cam Miles G | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Kobe MaGee G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| AJ Swinton F | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Alier Maluk F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jalen Crawford, Max Garcia-Plata, Shah Muhammad, Xavier Osceola, Jasen Lopez
| PITT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Dunning Jr. G | 40 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 10-18 | 5-9 |
| Omari Witherspoon G | 38 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Cameron Corhen F | 35 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6-11 | 0-0 |
| Damarco Minor G | 35 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 3-10 | 2-8 |
| Roman Siulepa F | 18 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nojus Indrusaitis G | 32 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 4-10 | 2-7 |
| Macari Moore G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dishon Jackson, Amdy Ndiaye, Jajuan Nelson, Henry Lau, Kieran Mullen, Benjamin Mayhew, Papa Amadou Kante, Brandin Cummings
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFSU -1.5
no move
CloseFSU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▼ 3
Close144.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
FSU -125 · PITT +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FSU -1.5 · unchangedmodel PITT -0
model PITT -0
Opened 147.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 3 downmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | FSU -1.5 | PITT -0.2 | PITT +1.7 | W PITT covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 148.6 | Over 4.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | FSU 74.2 · PITT 74.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | FSU -0.0 | FSU -16.0 |
| 1H total | 69.5 | 76 |
| 1H projected score | FSU 34.8 · PITT 34.7 | FSU 46 · PITT 30 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FSU | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| PITT | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
FSU 2–3 PITTPITT leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · FSU 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | PITT 70 @ FSU 82 | FSU +2.5 | FSU W |
| Mar 5, 2023-24 | FSU 73 @ PITT 88 | PITT -7.5 | PITT W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | PITT 83 @ FSU 75 | FSU +4.5 | PITT W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | FSU 71 @ PITT 64 | PITT -7.5 | FSU W |
| Feb 9, 2021-22 | PITT 56 @ FSU 51 | FSU -10 | PITT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Florida St
29 games played
Straight up
15-14
52% wins
Against the spread
17-12
59% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-16
45% overs · avg −4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs ALCN | W 108-76 | -27.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | vs ALST | W 101-64 | -24.5 | W +12.5 | 166.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ FLA | L 76-78 | +17.5 | W +15.5 | 180.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs UTM | W 87-73 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs GASO | W 98-72 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 175.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs CSUB | W 89-59 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs TA&M | L 59-95 | -1.5 | L −37.5 | 174.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 2 | vs UGA | L 73-107 | -1.5 | L −35.5 | 176.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | vs HOU | L 67-82 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs MASS | L 95-103 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 165.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 16 | @ DAY | L 69-97 | +6.5 | L −21.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 19 | vs MVSU | W 96-49 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 22 | vs JAX | W 87-63 | -23.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 30 | @ UNC | L 66-79 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | vs DUKE | L 87-91 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vs NCSU | L 69-113 | +4.5 | L −39.5 | 160.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 13 | @ SYR | L 86-94 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 17 | vs WAKE | L 68-69 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 20 | @ MIA | W 65-63 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | @ SMU | L 80-83 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 28 | vs CAL | W 63-61 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | vs STAN | W 88-80 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 7 | @ ND | W 82-79 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 10 | vs UVA | L 58-61 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 14 | @ VT | W 92-69 | +4.5 | W +27.5 | 156.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 17 | vs BC | W 80-72 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 21 | @ CLEM | W 70-65 | +8.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 24 | vsMIA | L 73-83 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 28 | @ GT | W 80-71 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsALCN
ALCNW 108-76
+4.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 101-64
+12.5
11
@FLA
FLAL 76-78
+15.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 87-73
−5.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 98-72
+7.5
25
vsCSUB
CSUBW 89-59
+3.5
28
vsTA&M
TA&ML 59-95
−37.5
2
vsUGA
UGAL 73-107
−35.5
6
vsHOU
HOUL 67-82
−2.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 95-103
−20.5
16
@DAY
DAYL 69-97
−21.5
19
vsMVSU
MVSUW 96-49
+6.5
22
vsJAX
JAXW 87-63
+0.5
30
@UNC
UNCL 66-79
−0.5
3
vsDUKE
DUKEL 87-91
+12.5
10
vsNCSU
NCSUL 69-113
−39.5
13
@SYR
SYRL 86-94
−3.5
17
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
+0.5
20
@MIA
MIAW 65-63
+12.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 80-83
+8.5
28
vsCAL
CALW 63-61
−1.5
31
vsSTAN
STANW 88-80
+4.5
7
@ND
NDW 82-79
+4.5
10
vsUVA
UVAL 58-61
+5.5
14
@VT
VTW 92-69
+27.5
17
vsBC
BCW 80-72
−3.5
21
@CLEM
CLEMW 70-65
+13.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 73-83
−7.5
28
@GT
GTW 80-71
+3.5
covered 17didn’t cover 12avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsALCN
ALCNW 108-76
+27.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 101-64
−1.5
11
@FLA
FLAL 76-78
−26.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 87-73
−5.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 98-72
−5.5
25
vsCSUB
CSUBW 89-59
−11.5
28
vsTA&M
TA&ML 59-95
−20.5
2
vsUGA
UGAL 73-107
+3.5
6
vsHOU
HOUL 67-82
+0.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 95-103
+32.5
16
@DAY
DAYL 69-97
+3.5
19
vsMVSU
MVSUW 96-49
−19.5
22
vsJAX
JAXW 87-63
−9.5
30
@UNC
UNCL 66-79
−21.5
3
vsDUKE
DUKEL 87-91
+14.5
10
vsNCSU
NCSUL 69-113
+21.5
13
@SYR
SYRL 86-94
+19.5
17
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
−31.5
20
@MIA
MIAW 65-63
−35.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 80-83
−0.5
28
vsCAL
CALW 63-61
−33.5
31
vsSTAN
STANW 88-80
+15.5
7
@ND
NDW 82-79
+6.5
10
vsUVA
UVAL 58-61
−36.5
14
@VT
VTW 92-69
+4.5
17
vsBC
BCW 80-72
+3.5
21
@CLEM
CLEMW 70-65
−10.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 73-83
+3.5
28
@GT
GTW 80-71
−7.5
over 13under 16avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pitt
29 games played
Straight up
11-18
38% wins
Against the spread
13-16
45% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-12
59% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs YSU | W 74-59 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs LONG | W 78-60 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 10 | vs EMU | W 78-66 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 13 | @ WVU | L 49-71 | +5.5 | L −16.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | vs BUCK | W 84-50 | -16.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | vs UCF | L 67-77 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 23 | vs QUIN | L 75-83 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 28 | vs OSU | W 67-66 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 2 | vsTA&M | L 73-81 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 7 | vs HOF | L 73-80 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ VILL | L 61-79 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 17 | vs BING | W 103-63 | -24.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs PSU | W 80-46 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @MIA | L 69-76 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 3 | vsCLEM | L 68-73 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 10 | vsSYR | L 72-83 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 14 | @GT | W 89-66 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 17 | vs LOU | L 59-100 | +7.5 | L −33.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 21 | @BC | L 62-65 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | vsNCSU | L 72-81 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | vsWAKE | W 80-76 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | @CLEM | L 52-63 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 3 | @UVA | L 47-67 | +12.5 | L −7.5 | 142.5 | U 114 |
| Feb 7 | vsSMU | L 67-86 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 10 | vsDUKE | L 54-70 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 14 | @UNC | L 65-79 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 21 | vsND | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 25 | @STAN | L 67-75 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 28 | @CAL | W 72-56 | +6.5 | W +22.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
+0.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
−3.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−16.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
+17.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−11.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
−20.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
+6.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
−4.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
−15.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
−7.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+15.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
+35.5
30
@MIA
MIAL 69-76
+2.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEML 68-73
−1.5
10
vsSYR
SYRL 72-83
−12.5
14
@GT
GTW 89-66
+21.5
17
vsLOU
LOUL 59-100
−33.5
21
@BC
BCL 62-65
−5.5
24
vsNCSU
NCSUL 72-81
−2.5
27
vsWAKE
WAKEW 80-76
+2.5
31
@CLEM
CLEML 52-63
−0.5
3
@UVA
UVAL 47-67
−7.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 67-86
−14.5
10
vsDUKE
DUKEL 54-70
+1.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 65-79
−2.5
21
vsND
NDW 73-68
+1.5
25
@STAN
STANL 67-75
+0.5
28
@CAL
CALW 72-56
+22.5
covered 13didn’t cover 16avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
−12.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
−7.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
+2.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−14.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
−7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−5.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
+17.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
−15.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
+1.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
+18.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
+1.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+31.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
−20.5
30
@MIA
MIAL 69-76
+0.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEML 68-73
+5.5
10
vsSYR
SYRL 72-83
+12.5
14
@GT
GTW 89-66
+9.5
17
vsLOU
LOUL 59-100
+6.5
21
@BC
BCL 62-65
−10.5
24
vsNCSU
NCSUL 72-81
+8.5
27
vsWAKE
WAKEW 80-76
+5.5
31
@CLEM
CLEML 52-63
−20.5
3
@UVA
UVAL 47-67
−28.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 67-86
+5.5
10
vsDUKE
DUKEL 54-70
−12.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 65-79
+1.5
21
vsND
NDW 73-68
+0.5
25
@STAN
STANL 67-75
+3.5
28
@CAL
CALW 72-56
−15.5
over 17under 12avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Florida St
15-14 overall · 8-8 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Georgia Tech80–71
- Lvs Miami73–83
- W@ Clemson70–65
- Wvs Boston College80–72
- W@ Virginia Tech92–69
4 days since their last game.
Pitt
11-18 overall · 4-12 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ California72–56
- L@ Stanford67–75
- Wvs Notre Dame73–68
- L@ North Carolina65–79
- Lvs Duke54–70
4 days since their last game.