Petersen Events Center · at Pitt · Conference game
Closing line
PITT -3.5✓ PITT covered by 1.5
PITT -3.5✓ PITT covered by 1.5Closing total140.5Over by 0.5
 ND | This season | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| 12-14 | Record | 9-17 |
| 14-12 | ATS | 10-16 |
| 17-9 | O/U | 15-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ND 70–72 PITT · ✓ PITT (58%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ND | 20 | 48 | 68 |
| PITT | 23 | 50 | 73 |
1st half: ND 20, PITT 23 (PITT by 3). The model had PITT by 1.2 and a total of 66.2 (actual 43).
Team stats
| ND | PITT | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-65 40% | Field goals | 22-49 45% |
| 9-38 24% | 3-pointers | 11-24 46% |
| 7-14 50% | Free throws | 18-27 67% |
| 38 16 off | Rebounds | 36 10 off |
| 14 | Assists | 16 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 0 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 1 | Fast-break points | 23 |
Players
| ND | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Certa G | 38 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 6-18 | 2-12 |
| Braeden Shrewsberry G | 38 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2-15 | 2-13 |
| Carson Towt F | 32 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Logan Imes G | 30 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 4-10 | 1-5 |
| Brady Koehler F | 20 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryder Frost F | 17 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-5 | 4-5 |
| Sir Mohammed G | 14 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-2 |
| Garrett Sundra F | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Matthew MacLellan, Luke Devine, Tommy Ahneman, Jalen Haralson, Markus Burton, Brady Stevens, Kebba Njie, Mark Zackery IV
| PITT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Corhen F | 38 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3-10 | 0-0 |
| Damarco Minor G | 36 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| Roman Siulepa F | 34 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 7-10 | 4-6 |
| Omari Witherspoon G | 33 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Barry Dunning Jr. G | 32 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3-10 | 1-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nojus Indrusaitis G | 27 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 5-8 | 4-6 |
Did not play: Amdy Ndiaye, Dishon Jackson, Kieran Mullen, Henry Lau, Macari Moore, Jajuan Nelson, Benjamin Mayhew, Papa Amadou Kante, Brandin Cummings
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPITT -1.5
2 → PITT
ClosePITT -3.5
2 pts toward PITT
Total
Open138.5
▲ 2
Close140.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
ND +130 · PITT -155
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PITT -1.5 · closed PITT -3.5 · moved 2 toward PITTmodel PITT -2
model PITT -2
Opened 138.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 2 upmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | PITT -3.5 | PITT -2.2 | ND +1.3 | L PITT covered |
| Total | 140.5 | 141.4 | Over 0.9 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | ND 69.6 · PITT 71.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PITT -1.2 | PITT -3.0 |
| 1H total | 66.2 | 43 |
| 1H projected score | ND 32.5 · PITT 33.7 | ND 20 · PITT 23 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ND | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% |
| PITT | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
ND 5–1 PITTND leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · ND has won the last 2 meetings · ND 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2024-25 | PITT 54 vs ND 55 | ND +4.5 | ND W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | PITT 72 @ ND 76 | ND +2.5 | ND W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | ND 60 @ PITT 70 | PITT -9.5 | PITT W |
| Mar 1, 2022-23 | PITT 81 @ ND 88 | ND +3.5 | ND W |
| Mar 5, 2021-22 | PITT 54 @ ND 78 | ND -12 | ND W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Notre Dame
26 games played
Straight up
12-14
46% wins
Against the spread
14-12
54% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-9
65% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LIU | W 89-67 | -15.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 7 | vs DETM | W 102-70 | -21.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 11 | vs EIU | W 78-58 | -23.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 16 | @ OSU | L 63-64 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 19 | vs BELL | W 86-79 | -24.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 24 | vs KU | L 61-71 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs RUTG | W 68-63 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs HOU | L 56-66 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 2 | vs MIZ | W 76-71 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 5 | @ TCU | W 87-85 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | vs IDHO | W 80-65 | -11.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 13 | vs EVAN | W 82-58 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 21 | vs PFW | L 69-72 | -11.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 30 | @ STAN | W 47-40 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 143.5 | U 87 |
| Jan 2 | @ CAL | L 71-72 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | vs CLEM | L 61-76 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 133.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 13 | vs MIA | L 69-81 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 17 | @ VT | L 76-89 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 21 | @ UNC | L 69-91 | +13.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 24 | vs BC | W 68-64 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 137.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 27 | vs UVA | L 97-100 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 197 |
| Jan 31 | @ SYR | L 72-86 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 4 | @ LOU | L 65-76 | +19.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 7 | vs FSU | L 79-82 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 10 | @ SMU | L 81-89 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 14 | vs GT | W 89-74 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLIU
LIUW 89-67
+6.5
7
vsDETM
DETMW 102-70
+10.5
11
vsEIU
EIUW 78-58
−3.5
16
@OSU
OSUL 63-64
+8.5
19
vsBELL
BELLW 86-79
−17.5
24
vsKU
KUL 61-71
−4.5
25
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-63
−1.5
26
vsHOU
HOUL 56-66
+1.5
2
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-71
+6.5
5
@TCU
TCUW 87-85
+8.5
10
vsIDHO
IDHOW 80-65
+3.5
13
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-58
+9.5
21
vsPFW
PFWL 69-72
−14.5
30
@STAN
STANW 47-40
+13.5
2
@CAL
CALL 71-72
+2.5
10
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-76
−11.5
13
vsMIA
MIAL 69-81
−6.5
17
@VT
VTL 76-89
−6.5
21
@UNC
UNCL 69-91
−8.5
24
vsBC
BCW 68-64
−3.5
27
vsUVA
UVAL 97-100
+6.5
31
@SYR
SYRL 72-86
−7.5
4
@LOU
LOUL 65-76
+8.5
7
vsFSU
FSUL 79-82
−4.5
10
@SMU
SMUL 81-89
+2.5
14
vsGT
GTW 89-74
+9.5
covered 14didn’t cover 12avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIU
LIUW 89-67
+20.5
7
vsDETM
DETMW 102-70
+24.5
11
vsEIU
EIUW 78-58
−7.5
16
@OSU
OSUL 63-64
−29.5
19
vsBELL
BELLW 86-79
+14.5
24
vsKU
KUL 61-71
−11.5
25
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-63
−9.5
26
vsHOU
HOUL 56-66
−10.5
2
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-71
+0.5
5
@TCU
TCUW 87-85
+30.5
10
vsIDHO
IDHOW 80-65
+0.5
13
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-58
+3.5
21
vsPFW
PFWL 69-72
−8.5
30
@STAN
STANW 47-40
−56.5
2
@CAL
CALL 71-72
+4.5
10
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-76
+3.5
13
vsMIA
MIAL 69-81
+6.5
17
@VT
VTL 76-89
+21.5
21
@UNC
UNCL 69-91
+10.5
24
vsBC
BCW 68-64
−5.5
27
vsUVA
UVAL 97-100
+51.5
31
@SYR
SYRL 72-86
+10.5
4
@LOU
LOUL 65-76
−14.5
7
vsFSU
FSUL 79-82
+6.5
10
@SMU
SMUL 81-89
+15.5
14
vsGT
GTW 89-74
+12.5
over 17under 9avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pitt
26 games played
Straight up
9-17
35% wins
Against the spread
10-16
38% covers · avg −2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-11
58% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs YSU | W 74-59 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs LONG | W 78-60 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 10 | vs EMU | W 78-66 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 13 | @ WVU | L 49-71 | +5.5 | L −16.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | vs BUCK | W 84-50 | -16.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | vs UCF | L 67-77 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 23 | vs QUIN | L 75-83 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 28 | vsOSU | W 67-66 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 2 | vs TA&M | L 73-81 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 7 | vs HOF | L 73-80 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ VILL | L 61-79 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 17 | vs BING | W 103-63 | -24.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs PSU | W 80-46 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @MIA | L 69-76 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 3 | vsCLEM | L 68-73 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 10 | vsSYR | L 72-83 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 14 | @GT | W 89-66 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 17 | vsLOU | L 59-100 | +7.5 | L −33.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 21 | @BC | L 62-65 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | vs NCSU | L 72-81 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | vs WAKE | W 80-76 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | @CLEM | L 52-63 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 3 | @UVA | L 47-67 | +12.5 | L −7.5 | 142.5 | U 114 |
| Feb 7 | vsSMU | L 67-86 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 10 | vs DUKE | L 54-70 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 14 | @UNC | L 65-79 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
+0.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
−3.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−16.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
+17.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−11.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
−20.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
+6.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
−4.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
−15.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
−7.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+15.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
+35.5
30
@MIA
MIAL 69-76
+2.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEML 68-73
−1.5
10
vsSYR
SYRL 72-83
−12.5
14
@GT
GTW 89-66
+21.5
17
vsLOU
LOUL 59-100
−33.5
21
@BC
BCL 62-65
−5.5
24
vsNCSU
NCSUL 72-81
−2.5
27
vsWAKE
WAKEW 80-76
+2.5
31
@CLEM
CLEML 52-63
−0.5
3
@UVA
UVAL 47-67
−7.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 67-86
−14.5
10
vsDUKE
DUKEL 54-70
+1.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 65-79
−2.5
covered 10didn’t cover 16avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
−12.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
−7.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
+2.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−14.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
−7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−5.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
+17.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
−15.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
+1.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
+18.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
+1.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+31.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
−20.5
30
@MIA
MIAL 69-76
+0.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEML 68-73
+5.5
10
vsSYR
SYRL 72-83
+12.5
14
@GT
GTW 89-66
+9.5
17
vsLOU
LOUL 59-100
+6.5
21
@BC
BCL 62-65
−10.5
24
vsNCSU
NCSUL 72-81
+8.5
27
vsWAKE
WAKEW 80-76
+5.5
31
@CLEM
CLEML 52-63
−20.5
3
@UVA
UVAL 47-67
−28.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 67-86
+5.5
10
vsDUKE
DUKEL 54-70
−12.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 65-79
+1.5
over 15under 11avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Notre Dame
12-14 overall · 3-10 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Georgia Tech89–74
- L@ SMU81–89
- Lvs Florida St79–82
- L@ Louisville65–76
- L@ Syracuse72–86
A week or more of rest.
Pitt
9-17 overall · 2-11 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ North Carolina65–79
- Lvs Duke54–70
- Lvs SMU67–86
- L@ Virginia47–67
- L@ Clemson52–63
A week or more of rest.