Dean E. Smith Center · at North Carolina · Conference game
Closing line
UNC -11.5✓ UNC covered by 2.5
UNC -11.5✓ UNC covered by 2.5Closing total142.5Over by 1.5
 PITT | This season | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| 9-16 | Record | 19-5 |
| 10-15 | ATS | 13-11 |
| 14-11 | O/U | 12-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PITT 67–79 UNC · ✓ UNC (86%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITT | 32 | 33 | 65 |
| UNC | 46 | 33 | 79 |
1st half: PITT 32, UNC 46 (UNC by 14). The model had UNC by 7.1 and a total of 68.1 (actual 78).
Team stats
| PITT | UNC | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-55 47% | Field goals | 28-60 47% |
| 7-19 37% | 3-pointers | 9-25 36% |
| 6-8 75% | Free throws | 14-17 82% |
| 32 6 off | Rebounds | 27 6 off |
| 16 | Assists | 18 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| PITT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Dunning Jr. G | 37 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 4-10 | 2-7 |
| Cameron Corhen F | 36 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 10-17 | 3-4 |
| Roman Siulepa F | 33 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 6-10 | 0-2 |
| Nojus Indrusaitis G | 26 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Omari Witherspoon G | 23 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Damarco Minor G | 27 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Macari Moore G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kieran Mullen C | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Henry Lau, Amdy Ndiaye, Dishon Jackson, Jajuan Nelson, Benjamin Mayhew, Papa Amadou Kante, Brandin Cummings
| UNC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarin Stevenson F | 36 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 6-7 | 3-4 |
| Seth Trimble G | 35 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 5-13 | 0-2 |
| Luka Bogavac G | 34 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 6-15 | 3-7 |
| Zayden High F | 32 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 7-11 | 0-2 |
| Derek Dixon G | 30 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jonathan Powell G | 15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Kyan Evans G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jaydon Young G | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
Did not play: James Brown, Evan Smith, Ivan Matlekovic, John Holbrook, Isaiah Denis, Elijah Davis, Henri Veesaar, Caleb Wilson
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNC -11.5
no move
CloseUNC -11.5
No change since the open
Total
Open144.5
▼ 2
Close142.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
PITT +500 · UNC -700
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNC -11.5 · unchangedmodel UNC -12
model UNC -12
Opened 144.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 2 downmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UNC -11.5 | UNC -12.1 | UNC +0.6 | W UNC covered |
| Total | 142.5 | 145.5 | Over 3.0 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | PITT 66.7 · UNC 78.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UNC -7.1 | UNC -14.0 |
| 1H total | 68.1 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | PITT 30.5 · UNC 37.6 | PITT 32 · UNC 46 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITT | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| UNC | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
PITT 4–3 UNCPITT leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · PITT 6-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | PITT 66 @ UNC 67 | UNC -5.5 | PITT W |
| Jan 28, 2024-25 | UNC 65 @ PITT 73 | PITT -2.5 | PITT W |
| Mar 15, 2023-24 | PITT 65 vs UNC 72 | UNC -7.5 | PITT W |
| Jan 2, 2023-24 | UNC 70 @ PITT 57 | PITT +4.5 | UNC W |
| Feb 1, 2022-23 | PITT 65 @ UNC 64 | UNC -8.5 | PITT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pitt
25 games played
Straight up
9-16
36% wins
Against the spread
10-15
40% covers · avg −2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-11
56% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs YSU | W 74-59 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs LONG | W 78-60 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 10 | vs EMU | W 78-66 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 13 | @ WVU | L 49-71 | +5.5 | L −16.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | vs BUCK | W 84-50 | -16.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | vs UCF | L 67-77 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 23 | vs QUIN | L 75-83 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 28 | vs OSU | W 67-66 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 2 | vs TA&M | L 73-81 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 7 | vs HOF | L 73-80 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ VILL | L 61-79 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 17 | vs BING | W 103-63 | -24.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs PSU | W 80-46 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @ MIA | L 69-76 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 3 | vs CLEM | L 68-73 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 10 | vs SYR | L 72-83 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 14 | @ GT | W 89-66 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 17 | vs LOU | L 59-100 | +7.5 | L −33.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 21 | @ BC | L 62-65 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | vs NCSU | L 72-81 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | vs WAKE | W 80-76 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | @CLEM | L 52-63 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 3 | @ UVA | L 47-67 | +12.5 | L −7.5 | 142.5 | U 114 |
| Feb 7 | vs SMU | L 67-86 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 10 | vs DUKE | L 54-70 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
+0.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
−3.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−16.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
+17.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−11.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
−20.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
+6.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
−4.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
−15.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
−7.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+15.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
+35.5
30
@MIA
MIAL 69-76
+2.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEML 68-73
−1.5
10
vsSYR
SYRL 72-83
−12.5
14
@GT
GTW 89-66
+21.5
17
vsLOU
LOUL 59-100
−33.5
21
@BC
BCL 62-65
−5.5
24
vsNCSU
NCSUL 72-81
−2.5
27
vsWAKE
WAKEW 80-76
+2.5
31
@CLEM
CLEML 52-63
−0.5
3
@UVA
UVAL 47-67
−7.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 67-86
−14.5
10
vsDUKE
DUKEL 54-70
+1.5
covered 10didn’t cover 15avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
−12.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
−7.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
+2.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−14.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
−7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−5.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
+17.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
−15.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
+1.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
+18.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
+1.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+31.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
−20.5
30
@MIA
MIAL 69-76
+0.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEML 68-73
+5.5
10
vsSYR
SYRL 72-83
+12.5
14
@GT
GTW 89-66
+9.5
17
vsLOU
LOUL 59-100
+6.5
21
@BC
BCL 62-65
−10.5
24
vsNCSU
NCSUL 72-81
+8.5
27
vsWAKE
WAKEW 80-76
+5.5
31
@CLEM
CLEML 52-63
−20.5
3
@UVA
UVAL 47-67
−28.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 67-86
+5.5
10
vsDUKE
DUKEL 54-70
−12.5
over 14under 11avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
North Carolina
24 games played
Straight up
19-5
79% wins
Against the spread
13-11
54% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-12
50% overs · avg −2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CARK | W 94-54 | -31.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | vs KU | W 87-74 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs RAD | W 89-74 | -20.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 14 | vs NCCU | W 97-53 | -34.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | vs NAVY | W 73-61 | -26.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 25 | vs SBU | W 85-70 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 27 | vs MSU | L 58-74 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 2 | @ UK | W 67-64 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 7 | vs GTWN | W 81-61 | -10.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs UPST | W 80-62 | -29.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 16 | vs ETSU | W 77-58 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | vsOSU | W 71-70 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 22 | vs ECU | W 99-51 | -25.5 | W +22.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 30 | vs FSU | W 79-66 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | @SMU | L 83-97 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 10 | vsWAKE | W 87-84 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | @ STAN | L 90-95 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 17 | @ CAL | L 78-84 | -7.5 | L −13.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 21 | vs ND | W 91-69 | -13.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 24 | @UVA | W 85-80 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 31 | @GT | W 91-75 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 2 | vsSYR | W 87-77 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | vsDUKE | W 71-68 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 10 | @MIA | L 66-75 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCARK
CARKW 94-54
+8.5
7
vsKU
KUW 87-74
+10.5
11
vsRAD
RADW 89-74
−5.5
14
vsNCCU
NCCUW 97-53
+9.5
18
vsNAVY
NAVYW 73-61
−14.5
25
vsSBU
SBUW 85-70
+4.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 58-74
−14.5
2
@UK
UKW 67-64
+10.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNW 81-61
+9.5
13
vsUPST
UPSTW 80-62
−11.5
16
vsETSU
ETSUW 77-58
+1.5
20
vsOSU
OSUW 71-70
−1.5
22
vsECU
ECUW 99-51
+22.5
30
vsFSU
FSUW 79-66
+0.5
3
@SMU
SMUL 83-97
−12.5
10
vsWAKE
WAKEW 87-84
−7.5
14
@STAN
STANL 90-95
−9.5
17
@CAL
CALL 78-84
−13.5
21
vsND
NDW 91-69
+8.5
24
@UVA
UVAW 85-80
+11.5
31
@GT
GTW 91-75
+6.5
2
vsSYR
SYRW 87-77
−1.5
7
vsDUKE
DUKEW 71-68
+9.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 66-75
−7.5
covered 13didn’t cover 11avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCARK
CARKW 94-54
−9.5
7
vsKU
KUW 87-74
+1.5
11
vsRAD
RADW 89-74
+0.5
14
vsNCCU
NCCUW 97-53
−9.5
18
vsNAVY
NAVYW 73-61
−26.5
25
vsSBU
SBUW 85-70
+2.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 58-74
−20.5
2
@UK
UKW 67-64
−32.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNW 81-61
−7.5
13
vsUPST
UPSTW 80-62
−9.5
16
vsETSU
ETSUW 77-58
−15.5
20
vsOSU
OSUW 71-70
−16.5
22
vsECU
ECUW 99-51
+5.5
30
vsFSU
FSUW 79-66
−21.5
3
@SMU
SMUL 83-97
+24.5
10
vsWAKE
WAKEW 87-84
+16.5
14
@STAN
STANL 90-95
+37.5
17
@CAL
CALL 78-84
+10.5
21
vsND
NDW 91-69
+10.5
24
@UVA
UVAW 85-80
+12.5
31
@GT
GTW 91-75
+5.5
2
vsSYR
SYRW 87-77
+5.5
7
vsDUKE
DUKEW 71-68
−13.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 66-75
−15.5
over 12under 12avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Pitt
9-16 overall · 2-10 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Duke54–70
- Lvs SMU67–86
- L@ Virginia47–67
- L@ Clemson52–63
- Wvs Wake Forest80–76
4 days since their last game.
North Carolina
19-5 overall · 7-4 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Miami66–75
- Wvs Duke71–68
- Wvs Syracuse87–77
- W@ Georgia Tech91–75
- W@ Virginia85–80
4 days since their last game.