McAlister Field House · at The Citadel · Conference game
Closing line
MER -11.5✓ MER covered by 4.5
MER -11.5✓ MER covered by 4.5Closing total147.5Under by 23.5
| MER | This season | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| 13-10 | Record | 6-17 |
| 17-6 | ATS | 11-12 |
| 11-12 | O/U | 10-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MER 80–70 CIT · ✓ MER (81%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MER | 18 | 52 | 70 |
| CIT | 25 | 29 | 54 |
1st half: MER 18, CIT 25 (CIT by 7). The model had MER by 6.2 and a total of 70.5 (actual 43).
Team stats
| MER | CIT | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-48 52% | Field goals | 18-53 34% |
| 9-17 53% | 3-pointers | 7-25 28% |
| 11-18 61% | Free throws | 11-12 92% |
| 32 7 off | Rebounds | 30 10 off |
| 13 | Assists | 8 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 16 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| MER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armani Mighty C | 37 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Baraka Okojie G | 37 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 6-11 | 4-5 |
| Zaire Williams G | 30 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Brady Shoulders G | 21 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. G | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Quinton Perkins II G | 31 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 5-9 | 3-4 |
| Connor Serven F | 27 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Tristan Gross G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaydon Cole, Pero Zubac, NJ Nganga, Braeden Carlsen, Alex Koch, Petras Padegimas, TJ Grant, Bendji Pierre
| CIT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Kingsbury G | 37 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Braxton Williams F | 35 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 5-12 | 2-7 |
| Eze Wali G | 28 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Sola Adebisi F | 22 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Simeon German F | 21 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Christian Moore F | 26 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 5-16 | 3-10 |
| Logan Applegate G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Marcos Gonzales G | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dante Kearse G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Cassius Bonjasky F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Keynan Davis G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gabe Hernandez, Chase Williams, Logan Menefee, Jameson Heck, Aidan Alexander, Jack Walter, Rowan Irelan
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMER -9.5
2 → MER
CloseMER -11.5
2 pts toward MER
Total
Open148.5
▼ 1
Close147.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
MER -800 · CIT +550
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MER -9.5 · closed MER -11.5 · moved 2 toward MERmodel MER -10
model MER -10
Opened 148.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 downmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MER -11.5 | MER -10.1 | CIT +1.4 | L MER covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 150.6 | Over 3.1 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | MER 80.4 · CIT 70.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MER -6.2 | CIT -7.0 |
| 1H total | 70.5 | 43 |
| 1H projected score | MER 38.3 · CIT 32.1 | MER 18 · CIT 25 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MER | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| CIT | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
MER 9–2 CITMER leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · MER has won the last 5 meetings · MER 9-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025-26 | CIT 63 @ MER 101 | MER -16.5 | MER W |
| Feb 19, 2024-25 | MER 62 @ CIT 52 | CIT +7.5 | MER W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | CIT 46 @ MER 80 | MER -13.5 | MER W |
| Mar 8, 2023-24 | CIT 76 vs MER 84 | MER -5.5 | MER W |
| Feb 21, 2023-24 | CIT 78 @ MER 87 | MER -7.5 | MER W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mercer
23 games played
Straight up
13-10
57% wins
Against the spread
17-6
74% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-12
48% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TENN | L 61-76 | +28.5 | W +13.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 9 | vs LIP | W 92-77 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 15 | @ WIN | L 69-105 | +2.5 | L −33.5 | 162.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 22 | @ EKU | W 95-83 | +4.5 | W +16.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 26 | vs APP | W 75-67 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | @ ELON | W 91-84 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 2 | vs GAST | W 78-67 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | @ CLEM | L 63-70 | +22.5 | W +15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCF | L 63-81 | +16.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 20 | @ WSU | L 78-84 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | @ FUR | L 72-74 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 3 | @ ETSU | L 71-77 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vsCIT | W 101-63 | -16.5 | W +21.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | vs WOF | W 109-97 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 206 |
| Jan 15 | @ VMI | W 77-67 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | @ UNCG | W 102-92 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 194 |
| Jan 21 | vs WCU | W 88-76 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 24 | @WOF | L 77-80 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 29 | vsUNCG | W 95-77 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 31 | vsVMI | W 95-81 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 5 | @ UTC | L 75-79 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 7 | @ SAM | L 49-69 | -1.5 | L −21.5 | 160.5 | U 118 |
| Feb 11 | vsFUR | W 69-64 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
+13.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
−33.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+16.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
+1.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+9.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
+0.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
+15.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−1.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+1.5
31
@FUR
FURL 72-74
+0.5
3
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-77
+1.5
7
vsCIT
CITW 101-63
+21.5
10
vsWOF
WOFW 109-97
+8.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 77-67
+1.5
17
@UNCG
UNCGW 102-92
+4.5
21
vsWCU
WCUW 88-76
+3.5
24
@WOF
WOFL 77-80
−5.5
29
vsUNCG
UNCGW 95-77
+7.5
31
vsVMI
VMIW 95-81
−4.5
5
@UTC
UTCL 75-79
−8.5
7
@SAM
SAML 49-69
−21.5
11
vsFUR
FURW 69-64
+1.5
covered 17didn’t cover 6avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
−6.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
+11.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+14.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
−0.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+15.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
−10.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
−19.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−16.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+10.5
31
@FUR
FURL 72-74
−8.5
3
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-77
−0.5
7
vsCIT
CITW 101-63
+16.5
10
vsWOF
WOFW 109-97
+49.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 77-67
−9.5
17
@UNCG
UNCGW 102-92
+38.5
21
vsWCU
WCUW 88-76
+5.5
24
@WOF
WOFL 77-80
−0.5
29
vsUNCG
UNCGW 95-77
+13.5
31
vsVMI
VMIW 95-81
+22.5
5
@UTC
UTCL 75-79
−1.5
7
@SAM
SAML 49-69
−42.5
11
vsFUR
FURW 69-64
−18.5
over 11under 12avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
The Citadel
23 games played
Straight up
6-17
26% wins
Against the spread
11-12
48% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-13
43% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ BC | L 47-76 | +15.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 10 | vs CHSO | L 86-96 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 14 | @ WGA | L 92-100 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 24 | vs BELL | L 58-70 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 26 | vs HCU | L 65-72 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 30 | vs PRES | L 41-69 | +8.5 | L −19.5 | 133.5 | U 110 |
| Dec 4 | @ DAV | L 63-79 | +18.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 13 | @ SC | L 55-71 | +22.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 17 | @ COFC | L 78-82 | +17.5 | W +13.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 20 | @ RICH | L 56-80 | +18.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 30 | vsETSU | L 49-74 | +12.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vsWOF | L 86-95 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 7 | @MER | L 63-101 | +16.5 | L −21.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | vsWCU | W 79-77 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | @UNCG | L 66-69 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 17 | @VMI | W 82-68 | +6.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 21 | vsFUR | W 77-75 | +11.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 23 | @ETSU | L 55-84 | +17.5 | L −11.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 29 | vsVMI | W 80-56 | -2.5 | W +21.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 31 | vsUNCG | W 71-66 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 5 | @SAM | L 64-78 | +13.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 7 | @UTC | W 78-71 | +9.5 | W +16.5 | 142.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 11 | @WCU | L 49-87 | +9.5 | L −28.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@BC
BCL 47-76
−13.5
10
vsCHSO
CHSOL 86-96
−7.5
14
@WGA
WGAL 92-100
−1.5
24
vsBELL
BELLL 58-70
−8.5
26
vsHCU
HCUL 65-72
−5.5
30
vsPRES
PRESL 41-69
−19.5
4
@DAV
DAVL 63-79
+2.5
13
@SC
SCL 55-71
+6.5
17
@COFC
COFCL 78-82
+13.5
20
@RICH
RICHL 56-80
−5.5
30
vsETSU
ETSUL 49-74
−12.5
3
vsWOF
WOFL 86-95
+0.5
7
@MER
MERL 63-101
−21.5
10
vsWCU
WCUW 79-77
+8.5
15
@UNCG
UNCGL 66-69
+6.5
17
@VMI
VMIW 82-68
+20.5
21
vsFUR
FURW 77-75
+13.5
23
@ETSU
ETSUL 55-84
−11.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 80-56
+21.5
31
vsUNCG
UNCGW 71-66
+7.5
5
@SAM
SAML 64-78
−0.5
7
@UTC
UTCW 78-71
+16.5
11
@WCU
WCUL 49-87
−28.5
covered 11didn’t cover 12avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@BC
BCL 47-76
−21.5
10
vsCHSO
CHSOL 86-96
+36.5
14
@WGA
WGAL 92-100
+41.5
24
vsBELL
BELLL 58-70
−28.5
26
vsHCU
HCUL 65-72
−0.5
30
vsPRES
PRESL 41-69
−23.5
4
@DAV
DAVL 63-79
+4.5
13
@SC
SCL 55-71
−15.5
17
@COFC
COFCL 78-82
+13.5
20
@RICH
RICHL 56-80
−10.5
30
vsETSU
ETSUL 49-74
−17.5
3
vsWOF
WOFL 86-95
+36.5
7
@MER
MERL 63-101
+16.5
10
vsWCU
WCUW 79-77
+7.5
15
@UNCG
UNCGL 66-69
−13.5
17
@VMI
VMIW 82-68
+6.5
21
vsFUR
FURW 77-75
+9.5
23
@ETSU
ETSUL 55-84
−2.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 80-56
−6.5
31
vsUNCG
UNCGW 71-66
−10.5
5
@SAM
SAML 64-78
−4.5
7
@UTC
UTCW 78-71
+6.5
11
@WCU
WCUL 49-87
−9.5
over 10under 13avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mercer
13-10 overall · 8-5 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Furman69–64
- L@ Samford49–69
- L@ Chattanooga75–79
- Wvs VMI95–81
- Wvs UNC Greensboro95–77
3 days since their last game.
The Citadel
6-17 overall · 6-7 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ W Carolina49–87
- W@ Chattanooga78–71
- L@ Samford64–78
- Wvs UNC Greensboro71–66
- Wvs VMI80–56
3 days since their last game.