Hawkins Arena · at Mercer · Conference game
Closing line
MER -3.5✓ MER covered by 8.5
MER -3.5✓ MER covered by 8.5Closing total156.5Over by 49.5
 WOF | This season | MER |
|---|---|---|
| 9-5 | Record | 6-7 |
| 8-6 | ATS | 11-2 |
| 9-5 | O/U | 6-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WOF 74–79 MER · ✓ MER (68%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WOF | 46 | 51 | 97 |
| MER | 58 | 51 | 109 |
1st half: WOF 46, MER 58 (MER by 12). The model had MER by 3.0 and a total of 71.8 (actual 104).
Team stats
| WOF | MER | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-68 47% | Field goals | 35-55 64% |
| 16-32 50% | 3-pointers | 12-19 63% |
| 17-22 77% | Free throws | 27-31 87% |
| 29 13 off | Rebounds | 34 7 off |
| 15 | Assists | 23 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 24 | Fouls | 20 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 31 |
Players
| WOF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Machowski G | 37 | 33 | 5 | 5 | 10-17 | 8-12 |
| Cayden Vasko G | 36 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 5-9 | 4-5 |
| Kahmare Holmes G | 33 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 8-17 | 2-6 |
| Luke Flynn G | 30 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Brian Sumpter F | 22 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chace Watley G | 30 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 5-14 | 1-4 |
| Rex Stirling F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Tyler G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Max Ortega, Davis Miller, Grayson Collins, Alessandro Perotti, Cannon Richards, Brendan Rigsbee, Callum Richard
| MER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baraka Okojie G | 37 | 29 | 3 | 12 | 7-13 | 2-3 |
| Zaire Williams G | 34 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Armani Mighty C | 30 | 17 | 11 | 1 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. G | 26 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 6-9 | 3-5 |
| Brady Shoulders G | 25 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Connor Serven F | 20 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Tristan Gross G | 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Bendji Pierre F | 7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 4-5 | 3-3 |
| Quinton Perkins II G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: NJ Nganga, Jaydon Cole, Pero Zubac, Petras Padegimas, Braeden Carlsen, Alex Koch, TJ Grant
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMER -5.5
2 → WOF
CloseMER -3.5
2 pts toward WOF
Total
Open153.5
▲ 3
Close156.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
WOF +164 · MER -198
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MER -5.5 · closed MER -3.5 · moved 2 toward WOFmodel MER -5.5
model MER -5.5
Opened 153.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 3 upmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MER -3.5 | MER -5.3 | MER +1.8 | W MER covered |
| Total | 156.5 | 153.3 | Under 3.2 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | WOF 74 · MER 79.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MER -3.0 | MER -12.0 |
| 1H total | 71.8 | 104 |
| 1H projected score | WOF 34.4 · MER 37.4 | WOF 46 · MER 58 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WOF | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| MER | 5-5 50% | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
WOF 7–1 MERWOF leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · WOF has won the last 7 meetings · WOF 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | WOF 77 @ MER 66 | MER +1.5 | WOF W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | MER 49 @ WOF 69 | WOF -7.5 | WOF W |
| Feb 14, 2023-24 | WOF 73 @ MER 60 | MER -1.5 | WOF W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | MER 73 @ WOF 74 | WOF -4.5 | MER W |
| Feb 15, 2022-23 | MER 67 @ WOF 70 | WOF -2.5 | WOF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wofford
14 games played
Straight up
9-5
64% wins
Against the spread
8-6
57% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-5
64% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GMU | L 46-70 | +14.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 8 | vs MILW | W 86-76 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | @ AUB | L 62-93 | +27.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 15 | @ BELL | W 94-86 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 19 | vs UNF | W 86-78 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | @ NKU | L 83-93 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | @ EKU | W 83-77 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 3 | vs PRES | W 63-56 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 6 | vs ELON | L 52-73 | -4.5 | L −25.5 | 161.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 15 | @ GWEB | W 83-57 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 17 | @ WICH | L 73-84 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 31 | @ WCU | W 79-74 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | @ CIT | W 95-86 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 7 | vs UNCG | W 97-85 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | O 182 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GMU
GMUL 46-70
−9.5
8
vsMILW
MILWW 86-76
+13.5
11
@AUB
AUBL 62-93
−3.5
15
@BELL
BELLW 94-86
+4.5
19
vsUNF
UNFW 86-78
−2.5
26
@NKU
NKUL 83-93
−6.5
29
@EKU
EKUW 83-77
+4.5
3
vsPRES
PRESW 63-56
+2.5
6
vsELON
ELONL 52-73
−25.5
15
@GWEB
GWEBW 83-57
+15.5
17
@WICH
WICHL 73-84
+1.5
31
@WCU
WCUW 79-74
+2.5
3
@CIT
CITW 95-86
−0.5
7
vsUNCG
UNCGW 97-85
+4.5
covered 8didn’t cover 6avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GMU
GMUL 46-70
−24.5
8
vsMILW
MILWW 86-76
+11.5
11
@AUB
AUBL 62-93
+2.5
15
@BELL
BELLW 94-86
+23.5
19
vsUNF
UNFW 86-78
+2.5
26
@NKU
NKUL 83-93
+26.5
29
@EKU
EKUW 83-77
+6.5
3
vsPRES
PRESW 63-56
−19.5
6
vsELON
ELONL 52-73
−36.5
15
@GWEB
GWEBW 83-57
−15.5
17
@WICH
WICHL 73-84
+12.5
31
@WCU
WCUW 79-74
−1.5
3
@CIT
CITW 95-86
+36.5
7
vsUNCG
UNCGW 97-85
+28.5
over 9under 5avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mercer
13 games played
Straight up
6-7
46% wins
Against the spread
11-2
85% covers · avg +4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TENN | L 61-76 | +28.5 | W +13.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 9 | vs LIP | W 92-77 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 15 | @ WIN | L 69-105 | +2.5 | L −33.5 | 162.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 22 | @EKU | W 95-83 | +4.5 | W +16.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 26 | vs APP | W 75-67 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | @ELON | W 91-84 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 2 | vs GAST | W 78-67 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | @ CLEM | L 63-70 | +22.5 | W +15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCF | L 63-81 | +16.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 20 | @ WSU | L 78-84 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | @ FUR | L 72-74 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 3 | @ ETSU | L 71-77 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vsCIT | W 101-63 | -16.5 | W +21.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
+13.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
−33.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+16.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
+1.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+9.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
+0.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
+15.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−1.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+1.5
31
@FUR
FURL 72-74
+0.5
3
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-77
+1.5
7
vsCIT
CITW 101-63
+21.5
covered 11didn’t cover 2avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
−6.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
+11.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+14.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
−0.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+15.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
−10.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
−19.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−16.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+10.5
31
@FUR
FURL 72-74
−8.5
3
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-77
−0.5
7
vsCIT
CITW 101-63
+16.5
over 6under 7avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wofford
9-5 overall · 3-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UNC Greensboro97–85
- W@ The Citadel95–86
- W@ W Carolina79–74
- L@ Wichita St73–84
- W@ Gardner-Webb83–57
3 days since their last game.
Mercer
6-7 overall · 1-2 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs The Citadel101–63
- L@ ETSU71–77
- L@ Furman72–74
- L@ Washington St78–84
- L@ UCF63–81
3 days since their last game.