Hawkins Arena · at Mercer · Conference game
Closing line
MER -8.5✓ MER covered by 3.5
MER -8.5✓ MER covered by 3.5Closing total158.5Over by 5.5
 WCU | This season | MER |
|---|---|---|
| 4-11 | Record | 9-7 |
| 4-11 | ATS | 14-2 |
| 8-7 | O/U | 8-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WCU 76–85 MER · ✓ MER (80%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WCU | 24 | 52 | 76 |
| MER | 41 | 47 | 88 |
1st half: WCU 24, MER 41 (MER by 17). The model had MER by 5.6 and a total of 75.2 (actual 65).
Team stats
| WCU | MER | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-65 42% | Field goals | 31-68 46% |
| 11-34 32% | 3-pointers | 6-26 23% |
| 11-15 73% | Free throws | 20-28 71% |
| 40 17 off | Rebounds | 44 20 off |
| 9 | Assists | 15 |
| 4 | Steals | 10 |
| 6 | Blocks | 3 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 22 | Fouls | 13 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| WCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Soumaoro G | 29 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4-12 | 3-10 |
| Marcus Kell F | 29 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Cord Stansberry G | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 2-7 |
| Abdulai Fanta Kabba C | 15 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tidjiane Dioumassi G | 15 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Justin Johnson F | 22 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 5-12 | 1-4 |
| Samuel Dada F | 20 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Tahlan Pettway G | 18 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Tayeshaun Smith F | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| CJ Hyland G | 15 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Max Williams, Chase McKey, Titian DeRosa, Fischer Brown, Vernon Collins Jr., Drew Hollifield
| MER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Shoulders G | 33 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3-12 | 0-3 |
| Baraka Okojie G | 32 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 4-9 | 1-6 |
| Zaire Williams G | 31 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 9-14 | 3-6 |
| Armani Mighty C | 30 | 20 | 15 | 2 | 9-10 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. G | 23 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-9 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Connor Serven F | 17 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Tristan Gross G | 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Quinton Perkins II G | 14 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Bendji Pierre F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaydon Cole, Pero Zubac, NJ Nganga, Braeden Carlsen, Alex Koch, TJ Grant, Petras Padegimas
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMER -9.5
1 → WCU
CloseMER -8.5
1 pt toward WCU
Total
Open160.5
▼ 2
Close158.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
WCU +360 · MER -470
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MER -9.5 · closed MER -8.5 · moved 1 toward WCUmodel MER -9.5
model MER -9.5
Opened 160.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 2 downmodel 160.5
model 160.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MER -8.5 | MER -9.6 | MER +1.1 | W MER covered |
| Total | 158.5 | 160.6 | Over 2.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | WCU 75.5 · MER 85.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MER -5.6 | MER -17.0 |
| 1H total | 75.2 | 65 |
| 1H projected score | WCU 34.8 · MER 40.4 | WCU 24 · MER 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WCU | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| MER | 5-5 50% | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
WCU 6–4 MERWCU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · MER has won the last 2 meetings · WCU 8-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024-25 | WCU 66 vs MER 67 | MER -5.5 | WCU W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | WCU 69 @ MER 81 | MER -8.5 | MER W |
| Jan 12, 2024-25 | MER 82 @ WCU 85 | WCU +4.5 | WCU W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | MER 46 @ WCU 79 | WCU -6 | WCU W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | WCU 64 @ MER 52 | MER +3.5 | WCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
W Carolina
15 games played
Straight up
4-11
27% wins
Against the spread
4-11
27% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-7
53% overs · avg +4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CIN | L 63-94 | +22.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | @ DUKE | L 54-95 | +36.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 16 | vs STET | W 76-65 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs UNCA | W 80-73 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 22 | @ LIP | L 62-83 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 29 | @ HPU | L 73-93 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 6 | @ UPST | L 67-78 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 11 | @ VT | L 74-96 | +20.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 18 | @ UGA | L 82-112 | +32.5 | W +2.5 | 167.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 31 | vs WOF | L 74-79 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | @ FUR | W 80-77 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 7 | @ SAM | L 77-82 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | @ CIT | L 77-79 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 14 | vs ETSU | W 72-68 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 17 | vs UTC | L 82-90 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CIN
CINL 63-94
−8.5
8
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-95
−4.5
16
vsSTET
STETW 76-65
−1.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 80-73
+8.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 62-83
−15.5
29
@HPU
HPUL 73-93
−3.5
6
@UPST
UPSTL 67-78
−8.5
11
@VT
VTL 74-96
−1.5
18
@UGA
UGAL 82-112
+2.5
31
vsWOF
WOFL 74-79
−2.5
3
@FUR
FURW 80-77
+11.5
7
@SAM
SAML 77-82
−0.5
10
@CIT
CITL 77-79
−8.5
14
vsETSU
ETSUW 72-68
+10.5
17
vsUTC
UTCL 82-90
−9.5
covered 4didn’t cover 11avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CIN
CINL 63-94
+13.5
8
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-95
−3.5
16
vsSTET
STETW 76-65
−14.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 80-73
+0.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 62-83
−6.5
29
@HPU
HPUL 73-93
+6.5
6
@UPST
UPSTL 67-78
−4.5
11
@VT
VTL 74-96
+17.5
18
@UGA
UGAL 82-112
+26.5
31
vsWOF
WOFL 74-79
−1.5
3
@FUR
FURW 80-77
−0.5
7
@SAM
SAML 77-82
+5.5
10
@CIT
CITL 77-79
+7.5
14
vsETSU
ETSUW 72-68
−7.5
17
vsUTC
UTCL 82-90
+21.5
over 8under 7avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mercer
16 games played
Straight up
9-7
56% wins
Against the spread
14-2
88% covers · avg +4.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-8
50% overs · avg +6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TENN | L 61-76 | +28.5 | W +13.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 9 | vsLIP | W 92-77 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 15 | @ WIN | L 69-105 | +2.5 | L −33.5 | 162.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 22 | @ EKU | W 95-83 | +4.5 | W +16.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 26 | vs APP | W 75-67 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | @ ELON | W 91-84 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 2 | vs GAST | W 78-67 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | @ CLEM | L 63-70 | +22.5 | W +15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCF | L 63-81 | +16.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 20 | @ WSU | L 78-84 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | @FUR | L 72-74 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 3 | @ETSU | L 71-77 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vsCIT | W 101-63 | -16.5 | W +21.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | vsWOF | W 109-97 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 206 |
| Jan 15 | @ VMI | W 77-67 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | @ UNCG | W 102-92 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 194 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
+13.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
−33.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+16.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
+1.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+9.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
+0.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
+15.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−1.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+1.5
31
@FUR
FURL 72-74
+0.5
3
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-77
+1.5
7
vsCIT
CITW 101-63
+21.5
10
vsWOF
WOFW 109-97
+8.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 77-67
+1.5
17
@UNCG
UNCGW 102-92
+4.5
covered 14didn’t cover 2avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
−6.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
+11.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+14.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
−0.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+15.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
−10.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
−19.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−16.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+10.5
31
@FUR
FURL 72-74
−8.5
3
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-77
−0.5
7
vsCIT
CITW 101-63
+16.5
10
vsWOF
WOFW 109-97
+49.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 77-67
−9.5
17
@UNCG
UNCGW 102-92
+38.5
over 8under 8avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
W Carolina
4-11 overall · 2-4 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Chattanooga82–90
- Wvs ETSU72–68
- L@ The Citadel77–79
- L@ Samford77–82
- W@ Furman80–77
4 days since their last game.
Mercer
9-7 overall · 4-2 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UNC Greensboro102–92
- W@ VMI77–67
- Wvs Wofford109–97
- Wvs The Citadel101–63
- L@ ETSU71–77
4 days since their last game.