Fertitta Center · at Houston · Conference game
Closing line
HOU -12.5✓ HOU covered by 0.5
HOU -12.5✓ HOU covered by 0.5Closing total143.5Under by 2.5
 BAY | This season | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| 14-14 | Record | 24-5 |
| 12-16 | ATS | 15-14 |
| 16-12 | O/U | 12-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BAY 66–80 HOU · ✓ HOU (88%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | 35 | 29 | 64 |
| HOU | 35 | 42 | 77 |
1st half: BAY 35, HOU 35 (tied). The model had HOU by 7.8 and a total of 68.2 (actual 70).
Team stats
| BAY | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-55 42% | Field goals | 28-61 46% |
| 8-25 32% | 3-pointers | 9-25 36% |
| 10-12 83% | Free throws | 12-16 75% |
| 37 13 off | Rebounds | 31 12 off |
| 17 | Assists | 10 |
| 6 | Steals | 11 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| BAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tounde Yessoufou G | 38 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 7-13 | 1-5 |
| Cameron Carr G | 36 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Obi Agbim G | 35 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 4-15 | 3-11 |
| Isaac Williams IV G | 31 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 2-8 | 1-3 |
| Caden Powell C | 28 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dan Skillings Jr. G | 20 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Michael Rataj G | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Drew Perry, Andre Iguodala II, Mayo Soyoye, Maikcol Perez, Juslin Bodo Bodo, Will Kuykendall, James Goodis, James Nnaji, JJ White
| HOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingston Flemings G | 37 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 7-14 | 1-3 |
| Milos Uzan G | 36 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 5-16 | 2-7 |
| Emanuel Sharp G | 34 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 6-12 | 5-10 |
| Kalifa Sakho F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ramon Walker Jr. G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Joseph Tugler F | 30 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Chris Cenac Jr. F | 26 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Chase McCarty F | 15 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Mercy Miller G | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Bryce Jackson, Cedric Lath, Jacob McFarland, Kordel Jefferson, Isiah Harwell
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHOU -15.5
3 → BAY
CloseHOU -12.5
3 pts toward BAY
Total
Open144.5
▼ 1
Close143.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
BAY +750 · HOU -1200
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HOU -15.5 · closed HOU -12.5 · moved 3 toward BAYmodel HOU -13.5
model HOU -13.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 downmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | HOU -12.5 | HOU -13.3 | HOU +0.8 | W HOU covered |
| Total | 143.5 | 145.7 | Over 2.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | BAY 66.2 · HOU 79.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | HOU -7.8 | PK |
| 1H total | 68.2 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | BAY 30.2 · HOU 38 | BAY 35 · HOU 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| HOU | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
BAY 0–4 HOUHOU leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · HOU has won the last 4 meetings · BAY 1-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | HOU 77 @ BAY 55 | BAY +2.5 | HOU W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | HOU 65 @ BAY 61 | BAY +4.5 | BAY W |
| Feb 10, 2024-25 | BAY 65 @ HOU 76 | HOU -9.5 | HOU W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | HOU 82 @ BAY 76 | BAY +2.5 | HOU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Baylor
28 games played
Straight up
14-14
50% wins
Against the spread
12-16
43% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-12
57% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs RGV | W 96-81 | -24.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 9 | vs WASH | W 78-69 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs TAR | W 94-81 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 24 | vs CREI | W 81-74 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 25 | vs SJU | L 81-96 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs SDSU | W 91-81 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 2 | vs SAC | W 110-88 | -29.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 6 | @ MEM | L 71-78 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs NORF | W 97-67 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 19 | vs ALCN | W 113-56 | -35.5 | W +21.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 21 | vs SOU | W 111-67 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 169.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 3 | @ TCU | L 63-69 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 7 | vs ISU | L 60-70 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vsHOU | L 55-77 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | @ OKST | W 94-79 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 16 | @ KU | L 62-80 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 20 | vs TTU | L 73-92 | +1.5 | L −17.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vsTCU | L 90-97 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 28 | @ CIN | L 57-67 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | @ WVU | W 63-53 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 4 | vs COLO | W 86-67 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 7 | @ISU | L 69-72 | +14.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 10 | vs BYU | L 94-99 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 14 | vs LOU | L 71-82 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 17 | @ KSU | L 74-90 | -3.5 | L −19.5 | 159.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 21 | vs ASU | W 73-68 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 24 | vs ARIZ | L 80-87 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 28 | @ UCF | W 87-86 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsRGV
RGVW 96-81
−9.5
9
vsWASH
WASHW 78-69
+2.5
14
vsTAR
TARW 94-81
−10.5
24
vsCREI
CREIW 81-74
+3.5
25
vsSJU
SJUL 81-96
−9.5
26
vsSDSU
SDSUW 91-81
+7.5
2
vsSAC
SACW 110-88
−7.5
6
@MEM
MEML 71-78
−10.5
10
vsNORF
NORFW 97-67
+3.5
19
vsALCN
ALCNW 113-56
+21.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 111-67
+17.5
3
@TCU
TCUL 63-69
−3.5
7
vsISU
ISUL 60-70
−6.5
10
vsHOU
HOUL 55-77
−19.5
13
@OKST
OKSTW 94-79
+13.5
16
@KU
KUL 62-80
−10.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 73-92
−17.5
24
vsTCU
TCUL 90-97
−11.5
28
@CIN
CINL 57-67
−6.5
31
@WVU
WVUW 63-53
+12.5
4
vsCOLO
COLOW 86-67
+11.5
7
@ISU
ISUL 69-72
+11.5
10
vsBYU
BYUL 94-99
−1.5
14
vsLOU
LOUL 71-82
−3.5
17
@KSU
KSUL 74-90
−19.5
21
vsASU
ASUW 73-68
−3.5
24
vsARIZ
ARIZL 80-87
+0.5
28
@UCF
UCFW 87-86
+2.5
covered 12didn’t cover 16avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsRGV
RGVW 96-81
+22.5
9
vsWASH
WASHW 78-69
−9.5
14
vsTAR
TARW 94-81
+25.5
24
vsCREI
CREIW 81-74
+0.5
25
vsSJU
SJUL 81-96
+17.5
26
vsSDSU
SDSUW 91-81
+23.5
2
vsSAC
SACW 110-88
+39.5
6
@MEM
MEML 71-78
−9.5
10
vsNORF
NORFW 97-67
+15.5
19
vsALCN
ALCNW 113-56
+8.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 111-67
+8.5
3
@TCU
TCUL 63-69
−22.5
7
vsISU
ISUL 60-70
−25.5
10
vsHOU
HOUL 55-77
−10.5
13
@OKST
OKSTW 94-79
+7.5
16
@KU
KUL 62-80
−14.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 73-92
+10.5
24
vsTCU
TCUL 90-97
+39.5
28
@CIN
CINL 57-67
−21.5
31
@WVU
WVUW 63-53
−23.5
4
vsCOLO
COLOW 86-67
−2.5
7
@ISU
ISUL 69-72
−10.5
10
vsBYU
BYUL 94-99
+34.5
14
vsLOU
LOUL 71-82
−9.5
17
@KSU
KSUL 74-90
+4.5
21
vsASU
ASUW 73-68
−16.5
24
vsARIZ
ARIZL 80-87
+11.5
28
@UCF
UCFW 87-86
+13.5
over 16under 12avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Houston
29 games played
Straight up
24-5
83% wins
Against the spread
15-14
52% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-17
41% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LEH | W 75-57 | -36.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs TOW | W 65-48 | -26.5 | L −9.5 | 130.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 12 | vs OAK | W 78-45 | -30.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 16 | vs AUB | W 73-72 | -7.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 20 | vs RID | W 91-45 | -40.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs SYR | W 78-74 | -14.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TENN | L 73-76 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | vs ND | W 66-56 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 6 | vs FSU | W 82-67 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs JKST | W 80-38 | -40.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 13 | vs NOLA | W 99-57 | -32.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs ARK | W 94-85 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs MTSU | W 69-60 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 3 | @CIN | W 67-60 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 6 | vsTTU | W 69-65 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 10 | @BAY | W 77-55 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | vsWVU | W 77-48 | -13.5 | W +15.5 | 127.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 18 | vsASU | W 103-73 | -18.5 | W +11.5 | 142.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 24 | @TTU | L 86-90 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 28 | @TCU | W 79-70 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | vsCIN | W 76-54 | -13.5 | W +8.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 4 | vsUCF | W 79-55 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 7 | @BYU | W 77-66 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 10 | @ UTAH | W 66-52 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | U 118 |
| Feb 14 | vsKSU | W 78-64 | -22.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 16 | @ISU | L 67-70 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 137 |
| Feb 21 | vsARIZ | L 66-73 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 23 | @KU | L 56-69 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 28 | vsCOLO | W 102-62 | -20.5 | W +19.5 | 139.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−18.5
8
vsTOW
TOWW 65-48
−9.5
12
vsOAK
OAKW 78-45
+2.5
16
vsAUB
AUBW 73-72
−6.5
20
vsRID
RIDW 91-45
+5.5
24
vsSYR
SYRW 78-74
−10.5
25
vsTENN
TENNL 73-76
−5.5
26
vsND
NDW 66-56
−1.5
6
vsFSU
FSUW 82-67
+2.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTW 80-38
+1.5
13
vsNOLA
NOLAW 99-57
+9.5
20
vsARK
ARKW 94-85
+3.5
29
vsMTSU
MTSUW 69-60
−16.5
3
@CIN
CINW 67-60
+2.5
6
vsTTU
TTUW 69-65
−3.5
10
@BAY
BAYW 77-55
+19.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 77-48
+15.5
18
vsASU
ASUW 103-73
+11.5
24
@TTU
TTUL 86-90
−5.5
28
@TCU
TCUW 79-70
+0.5
31
vsCIN
CINW 76-54
+8.5
4
vsUCF
UCFW 79-55
+8.5
7
@BYU
BYUW 77-66
+9.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHW 66-52
−2.5
14
vsKSU
KSUW 78-64
−8.5
16
@ISU
ISUL 67-70
−0.5
21
vsARIZ
ARIZL 66-73
−13.5
23
@KU
KUL 56-69
−15.5
28
vsCOLO
COLOW 102-62
+19.5
covered 15didn’t cover 14avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−4.5
8
vsTOW
TOWW 65-48
−17.5
12
vsOAK
OAKW 78-45
−15.5
16
vsAUB
AUBW 73-72
+4.5
20
vsRID
RIDW 91-45
+1.5
24
vsSYR
SYRW 78-74
+11.5
25
vsTENN
TENNL 73-76
+12.5
26
vsND
NDW 66-56
−10.5
6
vsFSU
FSUW 82-67
+0.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTW 80-38
−19.5
13
vsNOLA
NOLAW 99-57
+17.5
20
vsARK
ARKW 94-85
+32.5
29
vsMTSU
MTSUW 69-60
−9.5
3
@CIN
CINW 67-60
−8.5
6
vsTTU
TTUW 69-65
−8.5
10
@BAY
BAYW 77-55
−10.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 77-48
−2.5
18
vsASU
ASUW 103-73
+33.5
24
@TTU
TTUL 86-90
+34.5
28
@TCU
TCUW 79-70
+9.5
31
vsCIN
CINW 76-54
−5.5
4
vsUCF
UCFW 79-55
−12.5
7
@BYU
BYUW 77-66
−8.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHW 66-52
−24.5
14
vsKSU
KSUW 78-64
−2.5
16
@ISU
ISUL 67-70
+2.5
21
vsARIZ
ARIZL 66-73
−3.5
23
@KU
KUL 56-69
−13.5
28
vsCOLO
COLOW 102-62
+24.5
over 12under 17avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Baylor
14-14 overall · 5-11 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UCF87–86
- Lvs Arizona80–87
- Wvs Arizona St73–68
- L@ Kansas St74–90
- Lvs Louisville71–82
4 days since their last game.
Houston
24-5 overall · 12-4 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Colorado102–62
- L@ Kansas56–69
- Lvs Arizona66–73
- L@ Iowa State67–70
- Wvs Kansas St78–64
4 days since their last game.