Foster Pavilion · at Baylor · Conference game
Closing line
BAY -7.5✓ BAY covered by 11.5
BAY -7.5✓ BAY covered by 11.5Closing total155.5Under by 2.5
 COLO | This season | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| 13-9 | Record | 11-9 |
| 10-12 | ATS | 8-12 |
| 11-11 | O/U | 12-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: COLO 78–85 BAY · ✓ BAY (72%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLO | 21 | 46 | 67 |
| BAY | 45 | 41 | 86 |
1st half: COLO 21, BAY 45 (BAY by 24). The model had BAY by 3.9 and a total of 76.4 (actual 66).
Team stats
| COLO | BAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-55 40% | Field goals | 28-53 53% |
| 7-17 41% | 3-pointers | 10-24 42% |
| 16-23 70% | Free throws | 20-25 80% |
| 26 8 off | Rebounds | 32 6 off |
| 11 | Assists | 17 |
| 6 | Steals | 4 |
| 0 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| COLO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrington Hargress G | 34 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 5-7 | 1-1 |
| Isaiah Johnson G | 33 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3-13 | 1-4 |
| Josiah Sanders G | 27 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jalin Holland G | 20 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Tacko Ifaola C | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sebastian Rancik F | 21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Bangot Dak F | 19 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-2 |
| Alon Michaeli F | 17 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Ian Inman G | 11 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Andrew Crawford F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Felix Kossaras G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nick Randall, Jon Mani, Elijah Malone, Leonardo Van Elswyk
| BAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tounde Yessoufou G | 38 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 10-16 | 4-7 |
| Obi Agbim G | 36 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 6-12 | 3-9 |
| Cameron Carr G | 35 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 6-12 | 3-6 |
| Isaac Williams IV G | 27 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Caden Powell C | 23 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Michael Rataj G | 26 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| James Nnaji C | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Drew Perry G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Will Kuykendall G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Andre Iguodala II, Juslin Bodo Bodo, James Goodis, Mayo Soyoye, Maikcol Perez, JJ White, Dan Skillings Jr.
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBAY -6.5
1 → BAY
CloseBAY -7.5
1 pt toward BAY
Total
Open160.5
▼ 5
Close155.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
COLO +285 · BAY -360
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BAY -6.5 · closed BAY -7.5 · moved 1 toward BAYmodel BAY -7
model BAY -7
Opened 160.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 5 downmodel 163
model 163
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | BAY -7.5 | BAY -6.8 | COLO +0.7 | L BAY covered |
| Total | 155.5 | 163.2 | Over 7.7 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | COLO 78.2 · BAY 85 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | BAY -3.9 | BAY -24.0 |
| 1H total | 76.4 | 66 |
| 1H projected score | COLO 36.2 · BAY 40.1 | COLO 21 · BAY 45 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLO | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| BAY | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
COLO 1–0 BAYCOLO leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · COLO 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | BAY 74 @ COLO 76 | COLO +5.5 | COLO W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Colorado
22 games played
Straight up
13-9
59% wins
Against the spread
10-12
45% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-11
50% overs · avg +6.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MTST | W 84-78 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 8 | vs EWU | W 102-97 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 14 | vs PROV | W 97-88 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 17 | vs ALST | W 94-66 | -22.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs UCD | W 95-79 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 27 | vs SF | W 79-69 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs WASH | W 81-68 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 1 | vs CBU | W 78-70 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | @ CSU | L 86-91 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTSA | W 88-64 | -22.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | vs PRST | W 84-73 | -16.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs STAN | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 28 | vs UNCO | L 81-86 | -15.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 3 | @ ASU | W 95-89 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 7 | vs UTAH | W 85-73 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 10 | vs TTU | L 71-73 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 14 | @ CIN | L 68-77 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | @ WVU | L 61-72 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 20 | vs KU | L 69-75 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | vs UCF | L 86-95 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 29 | @ ISU | L 67-97 | +17.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 1 | vs TCU | W 87-61 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
−5.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
−11.5
14
vsPROV
PROVW 97-88
+7.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 94-66
+5.5
21
vsUCD
UCDW 95-79
+1.5
27
vsSF
SFW 79-69
+11.5
28
vsWASH
WASHW 81-68
+15.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 78-70
−5.5
6
@CSU
CSUL 86-91
−3.5
13
vsUTSA
UTSAW 88-64
+1.5
17
vsPRST
PRSTW 84-73
−5.5
20
vsSTAN
STANL 68-77
−11.5
28
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-86
−20.5
3
@ASU
ASUW 95-89
+7.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 85-73
+2.5
10
vsTTU
TTUL 71-73
+3.5
14
@CIN
CINL 68-77
−0.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 61-72
−4.5
20
vsKU
KUL 69-75
−1.5
24
vsUCF
UCFL 86-95
−12.5
29
@ISU
ISUL 67-97
−12.5
1
vsTCU
TCUW 87-61
+27.5
covered 10didn’t cover 12avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
+13.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
+46.5
14
vsPROV
PROVW 97-88
+21.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 94-66
+3.5
21
vsUCD
UCDW 95-79
+21.5
27
vsSF
SFW 79-69
−2.5
28
vsWASH
WASHW 81-68
−2.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 78-70
−2.5
6
@CSU
CSUL 86-91
+27.5
13
vsUTSA
UTSAW 88-64
−2.5
17
vsPRST
PRSTW 84-73
+6.5
20
vsSTAN
STANL 68-77
−9.5
28
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-86
+8.5
3
@ASU
ASUW 95-89
+27.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 85-73
−4.5
10
vsTTU
TTUL 71-73
−17.5
14
@CIN
CINL 68-77
−0.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 61-72
−8.5
20
vsKU
KUL 69-75
−11.5
24
vsUCF
UCFL 86-95
+21.5
29
@ISU
ISUL 67-97
+11.5
1
vsTCU
TCUW 87-61
−5.5
over 11under 11avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Baylor
20 games played
Straight up
11-9
55% wins
Against the spread
8-12
40% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-8
60% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs RGV | W 96-81 | -24.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 9 | vsWASH | W 78-69 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs TAR | W 94-81 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 24 | vs CREI | W 81-74 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 25 | vs SJU | L 81-96 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs SDSU | W 91-81 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 2 | vs SAC | W 110-88 | -29.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 6 | @ MEM | L 71-78 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs NORF | W 97-67 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 19 | vs ALCN | W 113-56 | -35.5 | W +21.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 21 | vs SOU | W 111-67 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 169.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 3 | @TCU | L 63-69 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 7 | vsISU | L 60-70 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vs HOU | L 55-77 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | @ OKST | W 94-79 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 16 | @KU | L 62-80 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 20 | vsTTU | L 73-92 | +1.5 | L −17.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vsTCU | L 90-97 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 28 | @CIN | L 57-67 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | @WVU | W 63-53 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsRGV
RGVW 96-81
−9.5
9
vsWASH
WASHW 78-69
+2.5
14
vsTAR
TARW 94-81
−10.5
24
vsCREI
CREIW 81-74
+3.5
25
vsSJU
SJUL 81-96
−9.5
26
vsSDSU
SDSUW 91-81
+7.5
2
vsSAC
SACW 110-88
−7.5
6
@MEM
MEML 71-78
−10.5
10
vsNORF
NORFW 97-67
+3.5
19
vsALCN
ALCNW 113-56
+21.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 111-67
+17.5
3
@TCU
TCUL 63-69
−3.5
7
vsISU
ISUL 60-70
−6.5
10
vsHOU
HOUL 55-77
−19.5
13
@OKST
OKSTW 94-79
+13.5
16
@KU
KUL 62-80
−10.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 73-92
−17.5
24
vsTCU
TCUL 90-97
−11.5
28
@CIN
CINL 57-67
−6.5
31
@WVU
WVUW 63-53
+12.5
covered 8didn’t cover 12avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsRGV
RGVW 96-81
+22.5
9
vsWASH
WASHW 78-69
−9.5
14
vsTAR
TARW 94-81
+25.5
24
vsCREI
CREIW 81-74
+0.5
25
vsSJU
SJUL 81-96
+17.5
26
vsSDSU
SDSUW 91-81
+23.5
2
vsSAC
SACW 110-88
+39.5
6
@MEM
MEML 71-78
−9.5
10
vsNORF
NORFW 97-67
+15.5
19
vsALCN
ALCNW 113-56
+8.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 111-67
+8.5
3
@TCU
TCUL 63-69
−22.5
7
vsISU
ISUL 60-70
−25.5
10
vsHOU
HOUL 55-77
−10.5
13
@OKST
OKSTW 94-79
+7.5
16
@KU
KUL 62-80
−14.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 73-92
+10.5
24
vsTCU
TCUL 90-97
+39.5
28
@CIN
CINL 57-67
−21.5
31
@WVU
WVUW 63-53
−23.5
over 12under 8avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Colorado
13-9 overall · 3-6 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs TCU87–61
- L@ Iowa State67–97
- Lvs UCF86–95
- Lvs Kansas69–75
- L@ West Virginia61–72
3 days since their last game.
Baylor
11-9 overall · 2-7 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ West Virginia63–53
- L@ Cincinnati57–67
- Lvs TCU90–97
- Lvs Texas Tech73–92
- L@ Kansas62–80
4 days since their last game.