Petersen Events Center · at Pitt · Conference game
Closing line
FSU -1.5✓ PITT covered by 0.5
FSU -1.5✓ PITT covered by 0.5Closing total144.5Over by 4.5
| FSU | This season | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| 15-14 | Record | 11-18 |
| 17-12 | ATS | 13-16 |
| 13-16 | O/U | 17-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FSU 74–74 PITT · ✗ PITT (51%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FSU | 46 | 29 | 75 |
| PITT | 30 | 44 | 74 |
1st half: FSU 46, PITT 30 (FSU by 16). The model had FSU by 0.0 and a total of 69.5 (actual 76).
Team stats
| FSU | PITT | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-58 48% | Field goals | 26-63 41% |
| 11-27 41% | 3-pointers | 9-27 33% |
| 8-13 62% | Free throws | 13-17 76% |
| 35 10 off | Rebounds | 37 14 off |
| 15 | Assists | 19 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| FSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert McCray V G | 35 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 4-16 | 1-5 |
| Lajae Jones G | 33 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 6-11 | 3-7 |
| Chauncey Wiggins F | 31 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 7-10 | 4-7 |
| Thomas Bassong F | 30 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Alex Steen F | 19 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Martin Somerville G | 27 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Cam Miles G | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Kobe MaGee G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| AJ Swinton F | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Alier Maluk F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jalen Crawford, Max Garcia-Plata, Shah Muhammad, Xavier Osceola, Jasen Lopez
| PITT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Dunning Jr. G | 40 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 10-18 | 5-9 |
| Omari Witherspoon G | 38 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Cameron Corhen F | 35 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6-11 | 0-0 |
| Damarco Minor G | 35 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 3-10 | 2-8 |
| Roman Siulepa F | 18 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nojus Indrusaitis G | 32 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 4-10 | 2-7 |
| Macari Moore G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dishon Jackson, Amdy Ndiaye, Jajuan Nelson, Henry Lau, Kieran Mullen, Benjamin Mayhew, Papa Amadou Kante, Brandin Cummings
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketFSU -1.5
ModelPITT -0.2
Model edgePITT +1.7
W PITT covered
Total
Market144.5
Model148.6
Model edgeOver 4.1
W Over
Projected score
FSU 74.2 · PITT 74.4
FSU 75 · PITT 74
Win probability
PITT 51%
1st half
Spread
FSU -0.0
FSU -16.0
Total
69.5
76 points
Projected score
FSU 34.8 · PITT 34.7
FSU 46 · PITT 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFSU -1.5
no move
CloseFSU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▼ 3
Close144.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
FSU -125 · PITT +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FSU -1.5 · unchangedmodel PITT -0
model PITT -0
Opened 147.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 3 downmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FSU | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| PITT | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
FSU 2–3 PITTPITT leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · FSU 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | PITT 70 @ FSU 82 | FSU +2.5 | FSU W |
| Mar 5, 2023-24 | FSU 73 @ PITT 88 | PITT -7.5 | PITT W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | PITT 83 @ FSU 75 | FSU +4.5 | PITT W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | FSU 71 @ PITT 64 | PITT -7.5 | FSU W |
| Feb 9, 2021-22 | PITT 56 @ FSU 51 | FSU -10 | PITT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Florida St
29 games played
Straight up
15-14
52% wins
Against the spread
17-12
59% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-16
45% overs · avg −4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs ALCN | W 108-76 | -27.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | vs ALST | W 101-64 | -24.5 | W +12.5 | 166.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ FLA | L 76-78 | +17.5 | W +15.5 | 180.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs UTM | W 87-73 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs GASO | W 98-72 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 175.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs CSUB | W 89-59 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs TA&M | L 59-95 | -1.5 | L −37.5 | 174.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 2 | vs UGA | L 73-107 | -1.5 | L −35.5 | 176.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | vs HOU | L 67-82 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs MASS | L 95-103 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 165.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 16 | @ DAY | L 69-97 | +6.5 | L −21.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 19 | vs MVSU | W 96-49 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 22 | vs JAX | W 87-63 | -23.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 30 | @ UNC | L 66-79 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | vs DUKE | L 87-91 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vs NCSU | L 69-113 | +4.5 | L −39.5 | 160.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 13 | @ SYR | L 86-94 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 17 | vs WAKE | L 68-69 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 20 | @ MIA | W 65-63 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | @ SMU | L 80-83 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 28 | vs CAL | W 63-61 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | vs STAN | W 88-80 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 7 | @ ND | W 82-79 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 10 | vs UVA | L 58-61 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 14 | @ VT | W 92-69 | +4.5 | W +27.5 | 156.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 17 | vs BC | W 80-72 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 21 | @ CLEM | W 70-65 | +8.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 24 | vsMIA | L 73-83 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 28 | @ GT | W 80-71 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsALCN
ALCNW 108-76
+4.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 101-64
+12.5
11
@FLA
FLAL 76-78
+15.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 87-73
−5.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 98-72
+7.5
25
vsCSUB
CSUBW 89-59
+3.5
28
vsTA&M
TA&ML 59-95
−37.5
2
vsUGA
UGAL 73-107
−35.5
6
vsHOU
HOUL 67-82
−2.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 95-103
−20.5
16
@DAY
DAYL 69-97
−21.5
19
vsMVSU
MVSUW 96-49
+6.5
22
vsJAX
JAXW 87-63
+0.5
30
@UNC
UNCL 66-79
−0.5
3
vsDUKE
DUKEL 87-91
+12.5
10
vsNCSU
NCSUL 69-113
−39.5
13
@SYR
SYRL 86-94
−3.5
17
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
+0.5
20
@MIA
MIAW 65-63
+12.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 80-83
+8.5
28
vsCAL
CALW 63-61
−1.5
31
vsSTAN
STANW 88-80
+4.5
7
@ND
NDW 82-79
+4.5
10
vsUVA
UVAL 58-61
+5.5
14
@VT
VTW 92-69
+27.5
17
vsBC
BCW 80-72
−3.5
21
@CLEM
CLEMW 70-65
+13.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 73-83
−7.5
28
@GT
GTW 80-71
+3.5
covered 17didn’t cover 12avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsALCN
ALCNW 108-76
+27.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 101-64
−1.5
11
@FLA
FLAL 76-78
−26.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 87-73
−5.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 98-72
−5.5
25
vsCSUB
CSUBW 89-59
−11.5
28
vsTA&M
TA&ML 59-95
−20.5
2
vsUGA
UGAL 73-107
+3.5
6
vsHOU
HOUL 67-82
+0.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 95-103
+32.5
16
@DAY
DAYL 69-97
+3.5
19
vsMVSU
MVSUW 96-49
−19.5
22
vsJAX
JAXW 87-63
−9.5
30
@UNC
UNCL 66-79
−21.5
3
vsDUKE
DUKEL 87-91
+14.5
10
vsNCSU
NCSUL 69-113
+21.5
13
@SYR
SYRL 86-94
+19.5
17
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
−31.5
20
@MIA
MIAW 65-63
−35.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 80-83
−0.5
28
vsCAL
CALW 63-61
−33.5
31
vsSTAN
STANW 88-80
+15.5
7
@ND
NDW 82-79
+6.5
10
vsUVA
UVAL 58-61
−36.5
14
@VT
VTW 92-69
+4.5
17
vsBC
BCW 80-72
+3.5
21
@CLEM
CLEMW 70-65
−10.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 73-83
+3.5
28
@GT
GTW 80-71
−7.5
over 13under 16avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pitt
29 games played
Straight up
11-18
38% wins
Against the spread
13-16
45% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-12
59% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs YSU | W 74-59 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs LONG | W 78-60 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 10 | vs EMU | W 78-66 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 13 | @ WVU | L 49-71 | +5.5 | L −16.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | vs BUCK | W 84-50 | -16.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | vs UCF | L 67-77 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 23 | vs QUIN | L 75-83 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 28 | vs OSU | W 67-66 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 2 | vsTA&M | L 73-81 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 7 | vs HOF | L 73-80 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ VILL | L 61-79 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 17 | vs BING | W 103-63 | -24.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs PSU | W 80-46 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @MIA | L 69-76 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 3 | vsCLEM | L 68-73 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 10 | vsSYR | L 72-83 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 14 | @GT | W 89-66 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 17 | vs LOU | L 59-100 | +7.5 | L −33.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 21 | @BC | L 62-65 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | vsNCSU | L 72-81 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | vsWAKE | W 80-76 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | @CLEM | L 52-63 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 3 | @UVA | L 47-67 | +12.5 | L −7.5 | 142.5 | U 114 |
| Feb 7 | vsSMU | L 67-86 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 10 | vsDUKE | L 54-70 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 14 | @UNC | L 65-79 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 21 | vsND | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 25 | @STAN | L 67-75 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 28 | @CAL | W 72-56 | +6.5 | W +22.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
+0.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
−3.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−16.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
+17.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−11.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
−20.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
+6.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
−4.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
−15.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
−7.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+15.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
+35.5
30
@MIA
MIAL 69-76
+2.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEML 68-73
−1.5
10
vsSYR
SYRL 72-83
−12.5
14
@GT
GTW 89-66
+21.5
17
vsLOU
LOUL 59-100
−33.5
21
@BC
BCL 62-65
−5.5
24
vsNCSU
NCSUL 72-81
−2.5
27
vsWAKE
WAKEW 80-76
+2.5
31
@CLEM
CLEML 52-63
−0.5
3
@UVA
UVAL 47-67
−7.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 67-86
−14.5
10
vsDUKE
DUKEL 54-70
+1.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 65-79
−2.5
21
vsND
NDW 73-68
+1.5
25
@STAN
STANL 67-75
+0.5
28
@CAL
CALW 72-56
+22.5
covered 13didn’t cover 16avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
−12.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
−7.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
+2.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−14.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
−7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−5.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
+17.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
−15.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
+1.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
+18.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
+1.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+31.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
−20.5
30
@MIA
MIAL 69-76
+0.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEML 68-73
+5.5
10
vsSYR
SYRL 72-83
+12.5
14
@GT
GTW 89-66
+9.5
17
vsLOU
LOUL 59-100
+6.5
21
@BC
BCL 62-65
−10.5
24
vsNCSU
NCSUL 72-81
+8.5
27
vsWAKE
WAKEW 80-76
+5.5
31
@CLEM
CLEML 52-63
−20.5
3
@UVA
UVAL 47-67
−28.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 67-86
+5.5
10
vsDUKE
DUKEL 54-70
−12.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 65-79
+1.5
21
vsND
NDW 73-68
+0.5
25
@STAN
STANL 67-75
+3.5
28
@CAL
CALW 72-56
−15.5
over 17under 12avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Florida St
15-14 overall · 8-8 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Georgia Tech80–71
- Lvs Miami73–83
- W@ Clemson70–65
- Wvs Boston College80–72
- W@ Virginia Tech92–69
4 days since their last game.
Pitt
11-18 overall · 4-12 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ California72–56
- L@ Stanford67–75
- Wvs Notre Dame73–68
- L@ North Carolina65–79
- Lvs Duke54–70
4 days since their last game.