Detrick Gymnasium · at C Connecticut · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
CCSU -3.5✓ WAG covered by 13.5
CCSU -3.5✓ WAG covered by 13.5Closing total139.5Under by 9.5
 WAG | This season | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| 10-16 | Record | 16-11 |
| 15-11 | ATS | 14-13 |
| 15-11 | O/U | 15-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WAG 69–73 CCSU · ✗ CCSU (65%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAG | 31 | 39 | 70 |
| CCSU | 35 | 25 | 60 |
1st half: WAG 31, CCSU 35 (CCSU by 4). The model had CCSU by 2.6 and a total of 66.2 (actual 66).
Team stats
| WAG | CCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-58 45% | Field goals | 22-58 38% |
| 7-20 35% | 3-pointers | 6-17 35% |
| 11-12 92% | Free throws | 10-15 67% |
| 33 8 off | Rebounds | 34 10 off |
| 9 | Assists | 8 |
| 3 | Steals | 1 |
| 3 | Blocks | 7 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| WAG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Jones G | 37 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 5-10 | 2-2 |
| John Awoke G | 36 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 5-10 | 4-7 |
| Bryan Akanmu F | 28 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-1 |
| Bin Basil F | 27 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 8-15 | 0-1 |
| Zavier Fitch F | 26 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eddie Placer G | 24 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Michael Cooper G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Makhai Anderson G | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Travis Gray G | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Sam Smith, Elijah Brown, Huascar Cuevas, Jaden Baker
| CCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darin Smith Jr. G | 37 | 29 | 13 | 1 | 8-23 | 3-6 |
| Max Frazier F | 36 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| James Jones G | 34 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Melo Sanchez G | 32 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Jay Rodgers G | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elijah Parker G | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Daniel James F | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Roddy Jones G | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Ashton Reynolds G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jayden Mott F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rashawn Tibby, Corsley Edwards Jr., Adam Fox, Ja'Kobe Williams, Nico Ashley, Gabe Spinelli
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCCSU -3.5
ModelCCSU -4.5
Model edgeCCSU +1.0
L WAG covered
Total
Market139.5
Model141.5
Model edgeOver 2.0
L Under
Projected score
WAG 68.5 · CCSU 73
WAG 70 · CCSU 60
Win probability
CCSU 65%
1st half
Spread
CCSU -2.6
CCSU -4.0
Total
66.2
66 points
Projected score
WAG 31.8 · CCSU 34.4
WAG 31 · CCSU 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCCSU -4.5
1 → WAG
CloseCCSU -3.5
1 pt toward WAG
Total
Open140.5
▼ 1
Close139.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
WAG +154 · CCSU -185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CCSU -4.5 · closed CCSU -3.5 · moved 1 toward WAGmodel CCSU -4.5
model CCSU -4.5
Opened 140.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 1 downmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAG | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
| CCSU | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
WAG 5–6 CCSUCCSU leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · CCSU has won the last 3 meetings · WAG 5-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2025-26 | WAG 67 @ CCSU 84 | CCSU -5.5 | CCSU W |
| Jan 29, 2025-26 | CCSU 62 @ WAG 55 | WAG +2.5 | CCSU W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | CCSU 55 @ WAG 48 | WAG +6.5 | CCSU W |
| Jan 10, 2024-25 | WAG 62 @ CCSU 57 | CCSU -10.5 | WAG W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | WAG 66 @ CCSU 56 | CCSU -6 | WAG W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wagner
26 games played
Straight up
10-16
38% wins
Against the spread
15-11
58% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-11
58% overs · avg +6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ VCU | L 74-103 | +25.5 | L −3.5 | 133.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 7 | @ HALL | L 61-68 | +21.5 | W +14.5 | 134.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 11 | @ FOR | L 61-63 | +12.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 16 | @ UMBC | L 70-71 | +6.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 22 | @ GTWN | L 75-92 | +25.5 | W +8.5 | 140.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 26 | @ MAN | W 103-101 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 204 |
| Dec 2 | @ MD | L 63-89 | +22.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 17 | vs UMES | W 78-64 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 131.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 2 | @ CHST | W 79-72 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 4 | vs STO | L 60-69 | -7.5 | L −16.5 | 139.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 8 | vs SFPA | L 69-71 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 10 | vs MERC | L 69-70 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 132.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 17 | @ NHVN | L 74-80 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 129.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 19 | @ FDU | L 61-68 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 23 | @ LEM | L 67-69 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 29 | vsCCSU | L 55-62 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 136.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 31 | vsFDU | W 75-72 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 133.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 5 | vsLEM | W 79-78 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 7 | @CCSU | L 67-84 | +5.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 12 | vs LIU | L 57-67 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 14 | @STO | W 68-57 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 128.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 16 | @LIU | L 65-83 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 19 | @MERC | W 83-80 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 133.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 21 | @SFPA | W 65-56 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 26 | vsNHVN | W 65-62 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 131.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 28 | vsCHST | W 80-61 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 134.5 | O 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@VCU
VCUL 74-103
−3.5
7
@HALL
HALLL 61-68
+14.5
11
@FOR
FORL 61-63
+10.5
16
@UMBC
UMBCL 70-71
+5.5
22
@GTWN
GTWNL 75-92
+8.5
26
@MAN
MANW 103-101
+4.5
2
@MD
MDL 63-89
−3.5
17
vsUMES
UMESW 78-64
+9.5
2
@CHST
CHSTW 79-72
+5.5
4
vsSTO
STOL 60-69
−16.5
8
vsSFPA
SFPAL 69-71
−9.5
10
vsMERC
MERCL 69-70
−2.5
17
@NHVN
NHVNL 74-80
−4.5
19
@FDU
FDUL 61-68
−4.5
23
@LEM
LEML 67-69
+5.5
29
vsCCSU
CCSUL 55-62
−4.5
31
vsFDU
FDUW 75-72
+1.5
5
vsLEM
LEMW 79-78
+2.5
7
@CCSU
CCSUL 67-84
−11.5
12
vsLIU
LIUL 57-67
−3.5
14
@STO
STOW 68-57
+14.5
16
@LIU
LIUL 65-83
−7.5
19
@MERC
MERCW 83-80
+6.5
21
@SFPA
SFPAW 65-56
+7.5
26
vsNHVN
NHVNW 65-62
+0.5
28
vsCHST
CHSTW 80-61
+14.5
covered 15didn’t cover 11avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@VCU
VCUL 74-103
+43.5
7
@HALL
HALLL 61-68
−5.5
11
@FOR
FORL 61-63
−15.5
16
@UMBC
UMBCL 70-71
+0.5
22
@GTWN
GTWNL 75-92
+26.5
26
@MAN
MANW 103-101
+59.5
2
@MD
MDL 63-89
+8.5
17
vsUMES
UMESW 78-64
+10.5
2
@CHST
CHSTW 79-72
+4.5
4
vsSTO
STOL 60-69
−10.5
8
vsSFPA
SFPAL 69-71
−4.5
10
vsMERC
MERCL 69-70
+6.5
17
@NHVN
NHVNL 74-80
+24.5
19
@FDU
FDUL 61-68
−8.5
23
@LEM
LEML 67-69
−7.5
29
vsCCSU
CCSUL 55-62
−19.5
31
vsFDU
FDUW 75-72
+13.5
5
vsLEM
LEMW 79-78
+18.5
7
@CCSU
CCSUL 67-84
+14.5
12
vsLIU
LIUL 57-67
−11.5
14
@STO
STOW 68-57
−3.5
16
@LIU
LIUL 65-83
+9.5
19
@MERC
MERCW 83-80
+29.5
21
@SFPA
SFPAW 65-56
−30.5
26
vsNHVN
NHVNW 65-62
−4.5
28
vsCHST
CHSTW 80-61
+6.5
over 15under 11avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
C Connecticut
27 games played
Straight up
16-11
59% wins
Against the spread
14-13
52% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-12
56% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ QUIN | L 49-71 | +9.5 | L −12.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 11 | @ BC | W 60-59 | +17.5 | W +18.5 | 136.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 16 | @ MASS | L 77-84 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 21 | @ RUTG | W 67-54 | +15.5 | W +28.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs SHU | W 108-106 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 214 |
| Dec 3 | @HALL | L 61-77 | +18.5 | W +2.5 | 128.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 7 | @ NE | L 56-73 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 13 | @ BING | W 84-67 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 133.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 18 | vs FAIR | L 70-84 | -6.5 | L −20.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 2 | @LIU | L 78-84 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 4 | vsNHVN | W 72-61 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Jan 8 | vsSTO | W 76-69 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 10 | @LEM | W 69-59 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 17 | @SFPA | W 98-90 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 19 | @MERC | L 61-79 | +1.5 | L −16.5 | 132.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 23 | vsFDU | L 66-76 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 26 | @STO | L 59-61 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | @WAG | W 62-55 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 31 | vsLIU | L 59-80 | +2.5 | L −18.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 5 | vsCHST | W 78-67 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 7 | vsWAG | W 84-67 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 12 | @NHVN | W 81-76 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 128.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | @FDU | W 63-57 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 133.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 19 | vsLEM | W 78-77 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 21 | @CHST | L 51-70 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 138.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 26 | vsMERC | W 80-78 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 28 | vsSFPA | W 69-64 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−12.5
11
@BC
BCW 60-59
+18.5
16
@MASS
MASSL 77-84
+5.5
21
@RUTG
RUTGW 67-54
+28.5
24
vsSHU
SHUW 108-106
−1.5
3
@HALL
HALLL 61-77
+2.5
7
@NE
NEL 56-73
−15.5
13
@BING
BINGW 84-67
+9.5
18
vsFAIR
FAIRL 70-84
−20.5
2
@LIU
LIUL 78-84
+0.5
4
vsNHVN
NHVNW 72-61
+3.5
8
vsSTO
STOW 76-69
−0.5
10
@LEM
LEMW 69-59
+11.5
17
@SFPA
SFPAW 98-90
+1.5
19
@MERC
MERCL 61-79
−16.5
23
vsFDU
FDUL 66-76
−17.5
26
@STO
STOL 59-61
−3.5
29
@WAG
WAGW 62-55
+4.5
31
vsLIU
LIUL 59-80
−18.5
5
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-67
+2.5
7
vsWAG
WAGW 84-67
+11.5
12
@NHVN
NHVNW 81-76
+1.5
14
@FDU
FDUW 63-57
+7.5
19
vsLEM
LEMW 78-77
−7.5
21
@CHST
CHSTL 51-70
−22.5
26
vsMERC
MERCW 80-78
−1.5
28
vsSFPA
SFPAW 69-64
−3.5
covered 14didn’t cover 13avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−30.5
11
@BC
BCW 60-59
−17.5
16
@MASS
MASSL 77-84
+16.5
21
@RUTG
RUTGW 67-54
−16.5
24
vsSHU
SHUW 108-106
+70.5
3
@HALL
HALLL 61-77
+9.5
7
@NE
NEL 56-73
−9.5
13
@BING
BINGW 84-67
+17.5
18
vsFAIR
FAIRL 70-84
+10.5
2
@LIU
LIUL 78-84
+15.5
4
vsNHVN
NHVNW 72-61
+2.5
8
vsSTO
STOW 76-69
+10.5
10
@LEM
LEMW 69-59
−18.5
17
@SFPA
SFPAW 98-90
+43.5
19
@MERC
MERCL 61-79
+7.5
23
vsFDU
FDUL 66-76
+1.5
26
@STO
STOL 59-61
−15.5
29
@WAG
WAGW 62-55
−19.5
31
vsLIU
LIUL 59-80
−3.5
5
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-67
+6.5
7
vsWAG
WAGW 84-67
+14.5
12
@NHVN
NHVNW 81-76
+28.5
14
@FDU
FDUW 63-57
−13.5
19
vsLEM
LEMW 78-77
−10.5
21
@CHST
CHSTL 51-70
−17.5
26
vsMERC
MERCW 80-78
+16.5
28
vsSFPA
SFPAW 69-64
−19.5
over 15under 12avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wagner
10-16 overall · 8-10 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Chicago St80–61
- Wvs New Haven65–62
- W@ Saint Francis Red Wolves65–56
- W@ Mercyhurst83–80
- L@ Long Island65–83
4 days since their last game.
C Connecticut
16-11 overall · 12-6 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves69–64
- Wvs Mercyhurst80–78
- L@ Chicago St51–70
- Wvs Le Moyne78–77
- W@ FDU63–57
4 days since their last game.