Spiro Sports Center · at Wagner · Conference game
Closing line
WAG -7.5✓ SFPA covered by 9.5
WAG -7.5✓ SFPA covered by 9.5Closing total144.5Under by 4.5
 SFPA | This season | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| 1-12 | Record | 3-7 |
| 5-8 | ATS | 7-3 |
| 7-6 | O/U | 7-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SFPA 69–79 WAG · ✗ WAG (80%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFPA | 39 | 32 | 71 |
| WAG | 37 | 32 | 69 |
1st half: SFPA 39, WAG 37 (SFPA by 2). The model had WAG by 5.7 and a total of 69.3 (actual 76).
Team stats
| SFPA | WAG | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-53 45% | Field goals | 26-59 44% |
| 7-23 30% | 3-pointers | 5-21 24% |
| 16-19 84% | Free throws | 12-19 63% |
| 30 9 off | Rebounds | 38 15 off |
| 15 | Assists | 15 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| SFPA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Wicks G | 33 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 3-15 | 0-6 |
| Chris Moncrief G | 30 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 5-11 | 1-2 |
| Ahmad Harrison G | 25 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 5-8 | 3-6 |
| Gestin Liberis F | 22 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Victor Payne Jr. G | 21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ralph Martino Jr. G | 25 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Paris Papadatos G | 17 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Brandon Russell G | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Cameron Tweedy F | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brandon Rabish, Kofi Asare, Kam Wylie, Melvin Weaver III, Trey Weiand, Carson Rhodes, KJ Swain Jr., Ryen Gresko, Zion Russell
| WAG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Placer G | 32 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3-13 | 2-8 |
| Jaden Baker G | 25 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Bin Basil F | 23 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Zavier Fitch F | 19 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Makhai Anderson G | 17 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| John Awoke G | 24 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5-9 | 2-5 |
| Bryan Akanmu F | 24 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Nick Jones G | 21 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2-9 | 0-3 |
| Travis Gray G | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Michael Cooper G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Huascar Cuevas, Elijah Brown, Sam Smith
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWAG -7.5
ModelWAG -9.8
Model edgeWAG +2.3
L SFPA covered
Total
Market144.5
Model147.9
Model edgeOver 3.4
L Under
Projected score
SFPA 69.1 · WAG 78.9
SFPA 71 · WAG 69
Win probability
WAG 80%
1st half
Spread
WAG -5.7
SFPA -2.0
Total
69.3
76 points
Projected score
SFPA 31.8 · WAG 37.5
SFPA 39 · WAG 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWAG -8.5
1 → SFPA
CloseWAG -7.5
1 pt toward SFPA
Total
Open145.5
▼ 1
Close144.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
SFPA +285 · WAG -360
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WAG -8.5 · closed WAG -7.5 · moved 1 toward SFPAmodel WAG -10
model WAG -10
Opened 145.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 1 downmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFPA | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| WAG | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
SFPA 2–8 WAGWAG leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · SFPA 4-5-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024-25 | WAG 55 @ SFPA 58 | SFPA -2.5 | SFPA W |
| Jan 26, 2024-25 | WAG 68 @ SFPA 66 | SFPA -2.5 | WAG W |
| Jan 20, 2024-25 | SFPA 68 @ WAG 70 | WAG -3.5 | SFPA W |
| Feb 15, 2023-24 | WAG 65 @ SFPA 63 | SFPA +3.5 | SFPA W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | SFPA 56 @ WAG 71 | WAG -3.5 | WAG W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Francis Red Wolves
13 games played
Straight up
1-12
8% wins
Against the spread
5-8
38% covers · avg −4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg +2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ OU | L 66-102 | +31.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 6 | @ TCU | L 63-104 | +27.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 11 | vs MSM | L 66-74 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 18 | @ LEH | L 62-79 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs BEL | L 57-94 | +21.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TROY | L 64-74 | +21.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 1 | @ XAV | L 74-96 | +27.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 7 | @ RAD | L 56-89 | +13.5 | L −19.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 14 | @ TEM | L 67-95 | +20.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 17 | @ FLA | L 61-102 | +44.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 20 | vs RMU | L 70-79 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 2 | vs LEM | L 58-84 | +5.5 | L −20.5 | 151.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 4 | vs FDU | W 85-82 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@OU
OUL 66-102
−4.5
6
@TCU
TCUL 63-104
−13.5
11
vsMSM
MSML 66-74
−1.5
18
@LEH
LEHL 62-79
−6.5
24
vsBEL
BELL 57-94
−15.5
26
vsTROY
TROYL 64-74
+11.5
1
@XAV
XAVL 74-96
+5.5
7
@RAD
RADL 56-89
−19.5
14
@TEM
TEML 67-95
−7.5
17
@FLA
FLAL 61-102
+3.5
20
vsRMU
RMUL 70-79
+4.5
2
vsLEM
LEML 58-84
−20.5
4
vsFDU
FDUW 85-82
+5.5
covered 5didn’t cover 8avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@OU
OUL 66-102
+18.5
6
@TCU
TCUL 63-104
+13.5
11
vsMSM
MSML 66-74
−9.5
18
@LEH
LEHL 62-79
−10.5
24
vsBEL
BELL 57-94
−6.5
26
vsTROY
TROYL 64-74
−13.5
1
@XAV
XAVL 74-96
+17.5
7
@RAD
RADL 56-89
−9.5
14
@TEM
TEML 67-95
+11.5
17
@FLA
FLAL 61-102
+6.5
20
vsRMU
RMUL 70-79
+3.5
2
vsLEM
LEML 58-84
−9.5
4
vsFDU
FDUW 85-82
+23.5
over 7under 6avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wagner
10 games played
Straight up
3-7
30% wins
Against the spread
7-3
70% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-3
70% overs · avg +12.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ VCU | L 74-103 | +25.5 | L −3.5 | 133.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 7 | @ HALL | L 61-68 | +21.5 | W +14.5 | 134.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 11 | @ FOR | L 61-63 | +12.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 16 | @ UMBC | L 70-71 | +6.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 22 | @ GTWN | L 75-92 | +25.5 | W +8.5 | 140.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 26 | @ MAN | W 103-101 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 204 |
| Dec 2 | @ MD | L 63-89 | +22.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 17 | vs UMES | W 78-64 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 131.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 2 | @ CHST | W 79-72 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 4 | vs STO | L 60-69 | -7.5 | L −16.5 | 139.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@VCU
VCUL 74-103
−3.5
7
@HALL
HALLL 61-68
+14.5
11
@FOR
FORL 61-63
+10.5
16
@UMBC
UMBCL 70-71
+5.5
22
@GTWN
GTWNL 75-92
+8.5
26
@MAN
MANW 103-101
+4.5
2
@MD
MDL 63-89
−3.5
17
vsUMES
UMESW 78-64
+9.5
2
@CHST
CHSTW 79-72
+5.5
4
vsSTO
STOL 60-69
−16.5
covered 7didn’t cover 3avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@VCU
VCUL 74-103
+43.5
7
@HALL
HALLL 61-68
−5.5
11
@FOR
FORL 61-63
−15.5
16
@UMBC
UMBCL 70-71
+0.5
22
@GTWN
GTWNL 75-92
+26.5
26
@MAN
MANW 103-101
+59.5
2
@MD
MDL 63-89
+8.5
17
vsUMES
UMESW 78-64
+10.5
2
@CHST
CHSTW 79-72
+4.5
4
vsSTO
STOL 60-69
−10.5
over 7under 3avg +12.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
1-12 overall · 1-1 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs FDU85–82
- Lvs Le Moyne58–84
- Lvs Robert Morris70–79
- L@ Florida61–102
- L@ Temple67–95
4 days since their last game.
Wagner
3-7 overall · 1-1 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Stonehill60–69
- W@ Chicago St79–72
- Wvs MD Eastern78–64
- L@ Maryland63–89
- W@ Manhattan103–101
4 days since their last game.