Detrick Gymnasium · at C Connecticut · Conference game
Closing line
CCSU -3.5✓ MERC covered by 1.5
Closing total141.5Over by 16.5
| This season | CCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-15 | Record | 14-11 |
| 17-9 | ATS | 14-11 |
| 12-14 | O/U | 14-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MERC 68–70 CCSU · ✓ CCSU (57%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MERC | 30 | 48 | 78 |
| CCSU | 34 | 46 | 80 |
1st half: MERC 30, CCSU 34 (CCSU by 4). The model had CCSU by 1.0 and a total of 64.4 (actual 64).
Team stats
| MERC | CCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-62 50% | Field goals | 28-51 55% |
| 4-17 24% | 3-pointers | 4-10 40% |
| 12-14 86% | Free throws | 20-28 71% |
| 28 7 off | Rebounds | 30 6 off |
| 10 | Assists | 12 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| MERC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Lemelman G | 35 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 5-14 | 0-5 |
| Bernie Blunt III G | 33 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 4-6 | 3-4 |
| Qadir Martin F | 27 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 7-12 | 0-0 |
| Mykolas Ivanauskas F | 17 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| Christian Gamble G | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DeShaun Jackson Jr. PG | 23 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Johnson F | 18 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Sean Lang G | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kaden Fuhrmann G | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| James Thomas F | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Vladimir Pavlovic, Brady Conner, Emilis Butkus, Chris Leman, Or Faran
| CCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Jones G | 34 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Max Frazier F | 34 | 17 | 13 | 1 | 8-9 | 0-0 |
| Darin Smith Jr. G | 34 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 6-13 | 0-1 |
| Jay Rodgers G | 32 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 6-10 | 1-2 |
| Melo Sanchez G | 32 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 5-8 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daniel James F | 12 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Parker G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Mott F | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Roddy Jones G | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Adam Fox, Ja'Kobe Williams, Corsley Edwards Jr., Nico Ashley, Gabe Spinelli, Ashton Reynolds, Rashawn Tibby
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCCSU -2.5
1 → CCSU
CloseCCSU -3.5
1 pt toward CCSU
Total
Open140.5
▲ 1
Close141.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MERC +154 · CCSU -185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CCSU -2.5 · closed CCSU -3.5 · moved 1 toward CCSUmodel CCSU -2
model CCSU -2
Opened 140.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 1 upmodel 137.5
model 137.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CCSU -3.5 | CCSU -2.0 | MERC +1.5 | W MERC covered |
| Total | 141.5 | 137.6 | Under 3.9 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | MERC 67.8 · CCSU 69.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CCSU -1.0 | CCSU -4.0 |
| 1H total | 64.4 | 64 |
| 1H projected score | MERC 31.7 · CCSU 32.7 | MERC 30 · CCSU 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | |
| 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MERC 1–2 CCSUCCSU leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · MERC 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025-26 | CCSU 61 @ MERC 79 | MERC -1.5 | MERC W |
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | MERC 63 @ CCSU 73 | CCSU -12.5 | MERC W |
| Jan 5, 2024-25 | CCSU 62 @ MERC 50 | MERC +8.5 | CCSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mercyhurst
27 games played
Straight up
12-15
44% wins
Against the spread
17-9
65% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-14
46% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 47-70 | +26.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 6 | @ | W 73-65 | +21.5 | W +29.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | @ | L 55-58 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 86-72 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 20 | @ | L 71-76 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 23 | @ | L 60-69 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 30 | @ | L 38-70 | +21.5 | L −10.5 | 127.5 | U 108 |
| Dec 5 | @ | L 71-79 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 47-80 | +11.5 | L −21.5 | 132.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 17 | @ | L 62-76 | +24.5 | W +10.5 | 131.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 82-61 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 132.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 2 | vs | L 67-74 | -5.5 | L −12.5 | 133.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 4 | vs | W 74-60 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 8 | @ | L 58-60 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 132.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 57-62 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 128.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 19 | vs | W 79-61 | -1.5 | W +16.5 | 132.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 23 | @ | W 61-57 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 122.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 25 | vs | W 61-59 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 131.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | vs | W 70-51 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 122.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 31 | @ | L 74-78 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 129.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 5 | vs | W 98-89 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 187 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 52-55 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 131.5 | U 107 |
| Feb 12 | @ | L 57-58 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 14 | @ | W 94-79 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 19 | vs | L 80-83 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 91-83 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | O 174 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
NU
L 47-70
+3.5
6
@
LUC
W 73-65
+29.5
12
@
CAN
L 55-58
−4.5
15
vs
MORG
W 86-72
+7.5
20
@
M-OH
L 71-76
+10.5
23
@
MRSH
L 60-69
+2.5
30
@
WVU
L 38-70
−10.5
13
@
DAV
L 47-80
−21.5
17
@
SYR
L 62-76
+10.5
20
vs
BING
W 82-61
+13.5
2
vs
FDU
L 67-74
−12.5
4
vs
LEM
W 74-60
+11.5
8
@
LIU
L 58-60
+6.5
10
@
WAG
W 70-69
+2.5
17
vs
STO
L 57-62
−9.5
19
vs
CCSU
W 79-61
+16.5
23
@
NHVN
W 61-57
+2.5
25
vs
CHST
W 61-59
−7.5
29
vs
NHVN
W 70-51
+13.5
31
@
CHST
L 74-78
−6.5
5
vs
SFPA
W 98-89
+2.5
7
@
FDU
L 52-55
−0.5
12
@
LEM
L 57-58
+1.5
14
@
SFPA
W 94-79
+12.5
19
vs
WAG
L 80-83
−6.5
21
vs
LIU
W 91-83
+11.5
covered 17didn’t cover 9avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
NU
L 47-70
−23.5
6
@
LUC
W 73-65
−6.5
12
@
CAN
L 55-58
−22.5
15
vs
MORG
W 86-72
+11.5
20
@
M-OH
L 71-76
+7.5
23
@
MRSH
L 60-69
−18.5
30
@
WVU
L 38-70
−19.5
13
@
DAV
L 47-80
−5.5
17
@
SYR
L 62-76
+6.5
20
vs
BING
W 82-61
+10.5
2
vs
FDU
L 67-74
+7.5
4
vs
LEM
W 74-60
−7.5
8
@
LIU
L 58-60
−21.5
10
@
WAG
W 70-69
+6.5
17
vs
STO
L 57-62
−9.5
19
vs
CCSU
W 79-61
+7.5
23
@
NHVN
W 61-57
−4.5
25
vs
CHST
W 61-59
−11.5
29
vs
NHVN
W 70-51
−1.5
31
@
CHST
L 74-78
+22.5
5
vs
SFPA
W 98-89
+49.5
7
@
FDU
L 52-55
−24.5
12
@
LEM
L 57-58
−23.5
14
@
SFPA
W 94-79
+34.5
19
vs
WAG
L 80-83
+29.5
21
vs
LIU
W 91-83
+33.5
over 12under 14avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
C Connecticut
25 games played
Straight up
14-11
56% wins
Against the spread
14-11
56% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-11
56% overs · avg +3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ | L 49-71 | +9.5 | L −12.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 11 | @ | W 60-59 | +17.5 | W +18.5 | 136.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 16 | @ | L 77-84 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 21 | @ | W 67-54 | +15.5 | W +28.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 108-106 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 214 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 61-77 | +18.5 | W +2.5 | 128.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 7 | @ | L 56-73 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 13 | @ | W 84-67 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 133.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 18 | vs | L 70-84 | -6.5 | L −20.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 2 | @ | L 78-84 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 4 | vs | W 72-61 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Jan 8 | vs | W 76-69 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 69-59 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 98-90 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 19 | @ | L 61-79 | +1.5 | L −16.5 | 132.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 23 | vs | L 66-76 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 26 | @ | L 59-61 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | @ | W 62-55 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 59-80 | +2.5 | L −18.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 5 | vs | W 78-67 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 84-67 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 12 | @ | W 81-76 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 128.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | @ | W 63-57 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 133.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 19 | vs | W 78-77 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 21 | @ | L 51-70 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 138.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
QUIN
L 49-71
−12.5
11
@
BC
W 60-59
+18.5
16
@
MASS
L 77-84
+5.5
21
@
RUTG
W 67-54
+28.5
24
vs
SHU
W 108-106
−1.5
3
@
HALL
L 61-77
+2.5
7
@
NE
L 56-73
−15.5
13
@
BING
W 84-67
+9.5
18
vs
FAIR
L 70-84
−20.5
2
@
LIU
L 78-84
+0.5
4
vs
NHVN
W 72-61
+3.5
8
vs
STO
W 76-69
−0.5
10
@
LEM
W 69-59
+11.5
17
@
SFPA
W 98-90
+1.5
19
@
MERC
L 61-79
−16.5
23
vs
FDU
L 66-76
−17.5
26
@
STO
L 59-61
−3.5
29
@
WAG
W 62-55
+4.5
31
vs
LIU
L 59-80
−18.5
5
vs
CHST
W 78-67
+2.5
7
vs
WAG
W 84-67
+11.5
12
@
NHVN
W 81-76
+1.5
14
@
FDU
W 63-57
+7.5
19
vs
LEM
W 78-77
−7.5
21
@
CHST
L 51-70
−22.5
covered 14didn’t cover 11avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@
QUIN
L 49-71
−30.5
11
@
BC
W 60-59
−17.5
16
@
MASS
L 77-84
+16.5
21
@
RUTG
W 67-54
−16.5
24
vs
SHU
W 108-106
+70.5
3
@
HALL
L 61-77
+9.5
7
@
NE
L 56-73
−9.5
13
@
BING
W 84-67
+17.5
18
vs
FAIR
L 70-84
+10.5
2
@
LIU
L 78-84
+15.5
4
vs
NHVN
W 72-61
+2.5
8
vs
STO
W 76-69
+10.5
10
@
LEM
W 69-59
−18.5
17
@
SFPA
W 98-90
+43.5
19
@
MERC
L 61-79
+7.5
23
vs
FDU
L 66-76
+1.5
26
@
STO
L 59-61
−15.5
29
@
WAG
W 62-55
−19.5
31
vs
LIU
L 59-80
−3.5
5
vs
CHST
W 78-67
+6.5
7
vs
WAG
W 84-67
+14.5
12
@
NHVN
W 81-76
+28.5
14
@
FDU
W 63-57
−13.5
19
vs
LEM
W 78-77
−10.5
21
@
CHST
L 51-70
−17.5
over 14under 11avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mercyhurst
12-15 overall · 9-7 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Long Island91–83
- Lvs Wagner80–83
- W@ Saint Francis Red Wolves94–79
- L@ Le Moyne57–58
- L@ FDU52–55
5 days since their last game.
C Connecticut
14-11 overall · 10-6 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Chicago St51–70
- Wvs Le Moyne78–77
- W@ FDU63–57
- W@ New Haven81–76
- Wvs Wagner84–67
5 days since their last game.