Mercyhurst Athletic Center · at Mercyhurst · Conference game
Closing line
LIU -3.5✓ MERC covered by 11.5
LIU -3.5✓ MERC covered by 11.5Closing total140.5Over by 33.5
| LIU | This season | MERC |
|---|---|---|
| 19-9 | Record | 11-15 |
| 13-15 | ATS | 16-9 |
| 11-17 | O/U | 11-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LIU 70–68 MERC · ✗ LIU (57%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIU | 45 | 38 | 83 |
| MERC | 45 | 46 | 91 |
1st half: LIU 45, MERC 45 (tied). The model had LIU by 1.4 and a total of 64.3 (actual 90).
Team stats
| LIU | MERC | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-54 57% | Field goals | 34-63 54% |
| 5-16 31% | 3-pointers | 6-18 33% |
| 16-20 80% | Free throws | 17-21 81% |
| 27 7 off | Rebounds | 29 11 off |
| 14 | Assists | 19 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 21 | Fouls | 17 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 54 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| LIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Davis G | 40 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 5-10 | 0-3 |
| Jomo Goings G | 38 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 5-11 | 2-5 |
| Jamal Fuller G | 37 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 7-9 | 3-5 |
| Greg Gordon G | 33 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 9-12 | 0-0 |
| Mason Porter-Brown F | 24 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Max Ndlovu-Fraser G | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Johnson F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tre'shawn Sheppard G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gavin Pendergast, Eddie Munyak, Shadrak Lasu, Xinyi Li, Isaiah Miranda, Faheim Meran, A.J. Neal Jr.
| MERC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qadir Martin F | 34 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 10-16 | 0-0 |
| Bernie Blunt III G | 31 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 5-15 | 1-6 |
| Jake Lemelman G | 26 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 6-14 | 3-6 |
| Christian Gamble G | 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Mykolas Ivanauskas F | 11 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DeShaun Jackson Jr. PG | 30 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 7-8 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Fuhrmann G | 15 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Sean Lang G | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| James Thomas F | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Johnson F | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Brady Conner, Chris Leman, Or Faran, Vladimir Pavlovic, Emilis Butkus
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLIU -3.5
ModelLIU -2.1
Model edgeMERC +1.4
W MERC covered
Total
Market140.5
Model137.3
Model edgeUnder 3.2
L Over
Projected score
LIU 69.7 · MERC 67.6
LIU 83 · MERC 91
Win probability
LIU 57%
1st half
Spread
LIU -1.4
tied
Total
64.3
90 points
Projected score
LIU 32.9 · MERC 31.5
LIU 45 · MERC 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIU -3.5
no move
CloseLIU -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open134.5
▲ 6
Close140.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
LIU -175 · MERC +145
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIU -3.5 · unchangedmodel LIU -2
model LIU -2
Opened 134.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 6 upmodel 137.5
model 137.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIU | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| MERC | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LIU 2–1 MERCLIU leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · LIU 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2025-26 | MERC 58 @ LIU 60 | LIU -8.5 | MERC W |
| Jan 26, 2024-25 | LIU 80 @ MERC 85 | MERC +2.5 | MERC W |
| Jan 20, 2024-25 | MERC 63 @ LIU 72 | LIU -7.5 | LIU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Long Island
28 games played
Straight up
19-9
68% wins
Against the spread
13-15
46% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-17
39% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ND | L 67-89 | +15.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 6 | @ IUIN | W 94-90 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 185.5 | U 184 |
| Nov 11 | @ AF | W 76-72 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs JMU | W 88-79 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 20 | @ FOR | L 53-69 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 22 | @ ILL | L 58-98 | +34.5 | L −5.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | @ MOST | W 75-61 | +4.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 2 | vs WIN | L 92-94 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 6 | @ LEH | W 87-82 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 13 | vs LAS | W 70-60 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 16 | @ MSST | L 83-87 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | @ FIU | L 79-86 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 161.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 29 | @ UGA | L 74-89 | +30.5 | W +15.5 | 179.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 2 | vs CCSU | W 84-78 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 4 | @ CHST | W 74-55 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 8 | vsMERC | W 60-58 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 10 | vs SFPA | W 67-63 | -15.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 17 | @ FDU | W 66-59 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 19 | @ LEM | L 77-83 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 23 | @ STO | W 66-63 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 29 | vsLEM | W 83-61 | -8.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 31 | @CCSU | W 80-59 | -2.5 | W +18.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 5 | vs NHVN | W 60-55 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 7 | vsSTO | W 61-54 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 132.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 12 | @ WAG | W 67-57 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 135.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 14 | @NHVN | L 52-55 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 129.5 | U 107 |
| Feb 16 | vsWAG | W 83-65 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 19 | @SFPA | W 91-89 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 180 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ND
NDL 67-89
−6.5
6
@IUIN
IUINW 94-90
+8.5
11
@AF
AFW 76-72
−1.5
15
vsJMU
JMUW 88-79
+5.5
20
@FOR
FORL 53-69
−11.5
22
@ILL
ILLL 58-98
−5.5
24
@MOST
MOSTW 75-61
+18.5
2
vsWIN
WINL 92-94
+3.5
6
@LEH
LEHW 87-82
+3.5
13
vsLAS
LASW 70-60
+7.5
16
@MSST
MSSTL 83-87
+12.5
20
@FIU
FIUL 79-86
−0.5
29
@UGA
UGAL 74-89
+15.5
2
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-78
−0.5
4
@CHST
CHSTW 74-55
+11.5
8
vsMERC
MERCW 60-58
−6.5
10
vsSFPA
SFPAW 67-63
−11.5
17
@FDU
FDUW 66-59
−0.5
19
@LEM
LEML 77-83
−7.5
23
@STO
STOW 66-63
−2.5
29
vsLEM
LEMW 83-61
+13.5
31
@CCSU
CCSUW 80-59
+18.5
5
vsNHVN
NHVNW 60-55
−4.5
7
vsSTO
STOW 61-54
−3.5
12
@WAG
WAGW 67-57
+3.5
14
@NHVN
NHVNL 52-55
−9.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 83-65
+7.5
19
@SFPA
SFPAW 91-89
−7.5
covered 13didn’t cover 15avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ND
NDL 67-89
+20.5
6
@IUIN
IUINW 94-90
−1.5
11
@AF
AFW 76-72
+10.5
15
vsJMU
JMUW 88-79
+19.5
20
@FOR
FORL 53-69
−23.5
22
@ILL
ILLL 58-98
−4.5
24
@MOST
MOSTW 75-61
−9.5
2
vsWIN
WINL 92-94
+32.5
6
@LEH
LEHW 87-82
+26.5
13
vsLAS
LASW 70-60
−13.5
16
@MSST
MSSTL 83-87
+17.5
20
@FIU
FIUL 79-86
+3.5
29
@UGA
UGAL 74-89
−16.5
2
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-78
+15.5
4
@CHST
CHSTW 74-55
−22.5
8
vsMERC
MERCW 60-58
−21.5
10
vsSFPA
SFPAW 67-63
−18.5
17
@FDU
FDUW 66-59
−18.5
19
@LEM
LEML 77-83
+9.5
23
@STO
STOW 66-63
−8.5
29
vsLEM
LEMW 83-61
−3.5
31
@CCSU
CCSUW 80-59
−3.5
5
vsNHVN
NHVNW 60-55
−20.5
7
vsSTO
STOW 61-54
−17.5
12
@WAG
WAGW 67-57
−11.5
14
@NHVN
NHVNL 52-55
−22.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 83-65
+9.5
19
@SFPA
SFPAW 91-89
+31.5
over 11under 17avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mercyhurst
26 games played
Straight up
11-15
42% wins
Against the spread
16-9
64% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-14
44% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NU | L 47-70 | +26.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 6 | @ LUC | W 73-65 | +21.5 | W +29.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | @ CAN | L 55-58 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 15 | vs MORG | W 86-72 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 20 | @ M-OH | L 71-76 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 23 | @ MRSH | L 60-69 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 30 | @ WVU | L 38-70 | +21.5 | L −10.5 | 127.5 | U 108 |
| Dec 5 | @ LAF | L 71-79 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ DAV | L 47-80 | +11.5 | L −21.5 | 132.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 17 | @ SYR | L 62-76 | +24.5 | W +10.5 | 131.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs BING | W 82-61 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 132.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 2 | vsFDU | L 67-74 | -5.5 | L −12.5 | 133.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 4 | vsLEM | W 74-60 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 8 | @LIU | L 58-60 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 10 | @WAG | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 132.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 17 | vsSTO | L 57-62 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 128.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 19 | vsCCSU | W 79-61 | -1.5 | W +16.5 | 132.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 23 | @NHVN | W 61-57 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 122.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 25 | vsCHST | W 61-59 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 131.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | vsNHVN | W 70-51 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 122.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 31 | @CHST | L 74-78 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 129.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 5 | vsSFPA | W 98-89 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 187 |
| Feb 7 | @FDU | L 52-55 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 131.5 | U 107 |
| Feb 12 | @LEM | L 57-58 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 14 | @SFPA | W 94-79 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 19 | vsWAG | L 80-83 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NU
NUL 47-70
+3.5
6
@LUC
LUCW 73-65
+29.5
12
@CAN
CANL 55-58
−4.5
15
vsMORG
MORGW 86-72
+7.5
20
@M-OH
M-OHL 71-76
+10.5
23
@MRSH
MRSHL 60-69
+2.5
30
@WVU
WVUL 38-70
−10.5
13
@DAV
DAVL 47-80
−21.5
17
@SYR
SYRL 62-76
+10.5
20
vsBING
BINGW 82-61
+13.5
2
vsFDU
FDUL 67-74
−12.5
4
vsLEM
LEMW 74-60
+11.5
8
@LIU
LIUL 58-60
+6.5
10
@WAG
WAGW 70-69
+2.5
17
vsSTO
STOL 57-62
−9.5
19
vsCCSU
CCSUW 79-61
+16.5
23
@NHVN
NHVNW 61-57
+2.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 61-59
−7.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 70-51
+13.5
31
@CHST
CHSTL 74-78
−6.5
5
vsSFPA
SFPAW 98-89
+2.5
7
@FDU
FDUL 52-55
−0.5
12
@LEM
LEML 57-58
+1.5
14
@SFPA
SFPAW 94-79
+12.5
19
vsWAG
WAGL 80-83
−6.5
covered 16didn’t cover 9avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NU
NUL 47-70
−23.5
6
@LUC
LUCW 73-65
−6.5
12
@CAN
CANL 55-58
−22.5
15
vsMORG
MORGW 86-72
+11.5
20
@M-OH
M-OHL 71-76
+7.5
23
@MRSH
MRSHL 60-69
−18.5
30
@WVU
WVUL 38-70
−19.5
13
@DAV
DAVL 47-80
−5.5
17
@SYR
SYRL 62-76
+6.5
20
vsBING
BINGW 82-61
+10.5
2
vsFDU
FDUL 67-74
+7.5
4
vsLEM
LEMW 74-60
−7.5
8
@LIU
LIUL 58-60
−21.5
10
@WAG
WAGW 70-69
+6.5
17
vsSTO
STOL 57-62
−9.5
19
vsCCSU
CCSUW 79-61
+7.5
23
@NHVN
NHVNW 61-57
−4.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 61-59
−11.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 70-51
−1.5
31
@CHST
CHSTL 74-78
+22.5
5
vsSFPA
SFPAW 98-89
+49.5
7
@FDU
FDUL 52-55
−24.5
12
@LEM
LEML 57-58
−23.5
14
@SFPA
SFPAW 94-79
+34.5
19
vsWAG
WAGL 80-83
+29.5
over 11under 14avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Long Island
19-9 overall · 13-2 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Saint Francis Red Wolves91–89
- Wvs Wagner83–65
- L@ New Haven52–55
- W@ Wagner67–57
- Wvs Stonehill61–54
2 days since their last game.
Mercyhurst
11-15 overall · 8-7 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Wagner80–83
- W@ Saint Francis Red Wolves94–79
- L@ Le Moyne57–58
- L@ FDU52–55
- Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves98–89
2 days since their last game.