John M. Belk Arena · at Davidson
Closing line
DAV -11.5✓ DAV covered by 21.5
DAV -11.5✓ DAV covered by 21.5Closing total132.5Under by 5.5
 MERC | This season | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| 2-6 | Record | 6-2 |
| 5-2 | ATS | 4-4 |
| 2-5 | O/U | 5-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MERC 61–74 DAV · ✓ DAV (88%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MERC | 15 | 32 | 47 |
| DAV | 36 | 44 | 80 |
1st half: MERC 15, DAV 36 (DAV by 21). The model had DAV by 7.8 and a total of 63.3 (actual 51).
Team stats
| MERC | DAV | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-45 40% | Field goals | 31-51 61% |
| 4-13 31% | 3-pointers | 7-14 50% |
| 7-16 44% | Free throws | 11-17 65% |
| 17 3 off | Rebounds | 39 10 off |
| 10 | Assists | 17 |
| 3 | Steals | 7 |
| 5 | Blocks | 0 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| MERC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernie Blunt III G | 33 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 6-13 | 3-5 |
| Qadir Martin F | 29 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Jake Lemelman G | 27 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Christian Gamble G | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Mykolas Ivanauskas F | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DeShaun Jackson Jr. PG | 22 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Johnson F | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Sean Lang G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| James Thomas F | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Fuhrmann G | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Or Faran G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Chris Leman F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Vladimir Pavlovic G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brady Conner G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Emilis Butkus
| DAV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Friedrichsen G | 30 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Josh Scovens F | 28 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 6-11 | 1-1 |
| Sam Brown G | 23 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Devin Brown G | 20 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Ian Platteeuw C | 15 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nick Coval G | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Joe Hurlburt F | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Roberts Blums G | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Hunter Adam G | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| JaQualon Roberts F | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| RJ Greer G | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Manie Joses F | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Phillip Kavu G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| John Nowland F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brock Matheny G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sean Logan
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDAV -13.5
2 → MERC
CloseDAV -11.5
2 pts toward MERC
Total
Open134.5
▼ 2
Close132.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
MERC +650 · DAV -1000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DAV -13.5 · closed DAV -11.5 · moved 2 toward MERCmodel DAV -13
model DAV -13
Opened 134.5 · closed 132.5 · moved 2 downmodel 135
model 135
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | DAV -11.5 | DAV -13.2 | DAV +1.7 | W DAV covered |
| Total | 132.5 | 135.0 | Over 2.5 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | MERC 60.9 · DAV 74.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | DAV -7.8 | DAV -21.0 |
| 1H total | 63.3 | 51 |
| 1H projected score | MERC 27.7 · DAV 35.6 | MERC 15 · DAV 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MERClast 8 | 2-6 25% | 5-2 71% | 2-5 29% |
| DAVlast 8 | 6-2 75% | 4-4 50% | 5-3 63% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mercyhurst
8 games played
Straight up
2-6
25% wins
Against the spread
5-2
71% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −10.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NU | L 47-70 | +26.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 6 | @ LUC | W 73-65 | +21.5 | W +29.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | @ CAN | L 55-58 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 15 | vs MORG | W 86-72 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 20 | @ M-OH | L 71-76 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 23 | @ MRSH | L 60-69 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 30 | @ WVU | L 38-70 | +21.5 | L −10.5 | 127.5 | U 108 |
| Dec 5 | @ LAF | L 71-79 | — | — | — | — |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NU
NUL 47-70
+3.5
6
@LUC
LUCW 73-65
+29.5
12
@CAN
CANL 55-58
−4.5
15
vsMORG
MORGW 86-72
+7.5
20
@M-OH
M-OHL 71-76
+10.5
23
@MRSH
MRSHL 60-69
+2.5
30
@WVU
WVUL 38-70
−10.5
covered 5didn’t cover 2avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NU
NUL 47-70
−23.5
6
@LUC
LUCW 73-65
−6.5
12
@CAN
CANL 55-58
−22.5
15
vsMORG
MORGW 86-72
+11.5
20
@M-OH
M-OHL 71-76
+7.5
23
@MRSH
MRSHL 60-69
−18.5
30
@WVU
WVUL 38-70
−19.5
over 2under 5avg −10.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Davidson
8 games played
Straight up
6-2
75% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-3
63% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs WSU | W 85-69 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 11 | @ CLT | W 62-55 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 15 | vs BGSU | W 91-87 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 21 | vs BC | W 59-49 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 23 | vs USU | L 60-94 | +9.5 | L −24.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 28 | vs NCAT | W 90-74 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 4 | vs CIT | W 79-63 | -18.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 7 | vs SMC | L 61-70 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsWSU
WSUW 85-69
+11.5
11
@CLT
CLTW 62-55
+8.5
15
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-87
−0.5
21
vsBC
BCW 59-49
+11.5
23
vsUSU
USUL 60-94
−24.5
28
vsNCAT
NCATW 90-74
+2.5
4
vsCIT
CITW 79-63
−2.5
7
vsSMC
SMCL 61-70
−0.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsWSU
WSUW 85-69
+0.5
11
@CLT
CLTW 62-55
−26.5
15
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-87
+33.5
21
vsBC
BCW 59-49
−32.5
23
vsUSU
USUL 60-94
+6.5
28
vsNCAT
NCATW 90-74
+18.5
4
vsCIT
CITW 79-63
+4.5
7
vsSMC
SMCL 61-70
−6.5
over 5under 3avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mercyhurst
2-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Lafayette71–79
- L@ West Virginia38–70
- L@ Marshall60–69
- L@ Miami OH71–76
- Wvs Morgan St86–72
A week or more of rest.
Davidson
6-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Saint Mary's61–70
- Wvs The Citadel79–63
- Wvs NC A&T90–74
- Lvs Utah State60–94
- Wvs Boston College59–49
6 days since their last game.