Spiro Sports Center · at Wagner · Conference game
Closing line
CCSU -2.5✓ CCSU covered by 4.5
CCSU -2.5✓ CCSU covered by 4.5Closing total136.5Under by 19.5
| CCSU | This season | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| 8-9 | Record | 3-12 |
| 9-8 | ATS | 8-7 |
| 11-6 | O/U | 9-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CCSU 72–71 WAG · ✓ CCSU (53%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCSU | 32 | 30 | 62 |
| WAG | 26 | 29 | 55 |
1st half: CCSU 32, WAG 26 (CCSU by 6). The model had CCSU by 0.6 and a total of 67.1 (actual 58).
Team stats
| CCSU | WAG | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-49 45% | Field goals | 17-54 31% |
| 6-21 29% | 3-pointers | 6-27 22% |
| 12-16 75% | Free throws | 15-22 68% |
| 32 5 off | Rebounds | 35 12 off |
| 12 | Assists | 9 |
| 4 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| CCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melo Sanchez G | 29 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Darin Smith Jr. G | 29 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Jay Rodgers G | 29 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Max Frazier F | 27 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 7-8 | 0-0 |
| Daniel James F | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elijah Parker G | 21 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Ashton Reynolds G | 18 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Nico Ashley F | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Roddy Jones G | 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-7 |
Did not play: Jayden Mott, Rashawn Tibby, Corsley Edwards Jr., James Jones, Adam Fox, Ja'Kobe Williams, Gabe Spinelli
| WAG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Baker G | 37 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2-8 | 2-5 |
| John Awoke G | 33 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Nick Jones G | 30 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-5 |
| Travis Gray G | 27 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-7 |
| Bin Basil F | 23 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2-11 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eddie Placer G | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-6 |
| Bryan Akanmu F | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Michael Cooper G | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Brown G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Huascar Cuevas, Sam Smith, Makhai Anderson, Zavier Fitch
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCCSU -1.5
1 → CCSU
CloseCCSU -2.5
1 pt toward CCSU
Total
Open143.5
▼ 7
Close136.5
Down 7 since the open
Moneyline
CCSU -148 · WAG +124
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CCSU -1.5 · closed CCSU -2.5 · moved 1 toward CCSUmodel CCSU -1
model CCSU -1
Opened 143.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 7 downmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CCSU -2.5 | CCSU -0.8 | WAG +1.7 | L CCSU covered |
| Total | 136.5 | 143.3 | Over 6.8 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | CCSU 72.1 · WAG 71.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CCSU -0.6 | CCSU -6.0 |
| 1H total | 67.1 | 58 |
| 1H projected score | CCSU 33.9 · WAG 33.2 | CCSU 32 · WAG 26 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCSU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% |
| WAG | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
CCSU 4–5 WAGWAG leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · CCSU 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | CCSU 55 @ WAG 48 | WAG +6.5 | CCSU W |
| Jan 10, 2024-25 | WAG 62 @ CCSU 57 | CCSU -10.5 | WAG W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | WAG 66 @ CCSU 56 | CCSU -6 | WAG W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | CCSU 73 @ WAG 72 | WAG -0.5 | CCSU W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | WAG 68 @ CCSU 69 | CCSU -6.5 | WAG W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
C Connecticut
17 games played
Straight up
8-9
47% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-6
65% overs · avg +5.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ QUIN | L 49-71 | +9.5 | L −12.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 11 | @ BC | W 60-59 | +17.5 | W +18.5 | 136.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 16 | @ MASS | L 77-84 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 21 | @ RUTG | W 67-54 | +15.5 | W +28.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs SHU | W 108-106 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 214 |
| Dec 3 | @ HALL | L 61-77 | +18.5 | W +2.5 | 128.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 7 | @ NE | L 56-73 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 13 | @ BING | W 84-67 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 133.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 18 | vs FAIR | L 70-84 | -6.5 | L −20.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 2 | @ LIU | L 78-84 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 4 | vs NHVN | W 72-61 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Jan 8 | vs STO | W 76-69 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 10 | @ LEM | W 69-59 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 17 | @ SFPA | W 98-90 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 19 | @ MERC | L 61-79 | +1.5 | L −16.5 | 132.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 23 | vs FDU | L 66-76 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 26 | @STO | L 59-61 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−12.5
11
@BC
BCW 60-59
+18.5
16
@MASS
MASSL 77-84
+5.5
21
@RUTG
RUTGW 67-54
+28.5
24
vsSHU
SHUW 108-106
−1.5
3
@HALL
HALLL 61-77
+2.5
7
@NE
NEL 56-73
−15.5
13
@BING
BINGW 84-67
+9.5
18
vsFAIR
FAIRL 70-84
−20.5
2
@LIU
LIUL 78-84
+0.5
4
vsNHVN
NHVNW 72-61
+3.5
8
vsSTO
STOW 76-69
−0.5
10
@LEM
LEMW 69-59
+11.5
17
@SFPA
SFPAW 98-90
+1.5
19
@MERC
MERCL 61-79
−16.5
23
vsFDU
FDUL 66-76
−17.5
26
@STO
STOL 59-61
−3.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−30.5
11
@BC
BCW 60-59
−17.5
16
@MASS
MASSL 77-84
+16.5
21
@RUTG
RUTGW 67-54
−16.5
24
vsSHU
SHUW 108-106
+70.5
3
@HALL
HALLL 61-77
+9.5
7
@NE
NEL 56-73
−9.5
13
@BING
BINGW 84-67
+17.5
18
vsFAIR
FAIRL 70-84
+10.5
2
@LIU
LIUL 78-84
+15.5
4
vsNHVN
NHVNW 72-61
+2.5
8
vsSTO
STOW 76-69
+10.5
10
@LEM
LEMW 69-59
−18.5
17
@SFPA
SFPAW 98-90
+43.5
19
@MERC
MERCL 61-79
+7.5
23
vsFDU
FDUL 66-76
+1.5
26
@STO
STOL 59-61
−15.5
over 11under 6avg +5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wagner
15 games played
Straight up
3-12
20% wins
Against the spread
8-7
53% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +8.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ VCU | L 74-103 | +25.5 | L −3.5 | 133.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 7 | @HALL | L 61-68 | +21.5 | W +14.5 | 134.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 11 | @ FOR | L 61-63 | +12.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 16 | @ UMBC | L 70-71 | +6.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 22 | @ GTWN | L 75-92 | +25.5 | W +8.5 | 140.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 26 | @ MAN | W 103-101 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 204 |
| Dec 2 | @ MD | L 63-89 | +22.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 17 | vs UMES | W 78-64 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 131.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 2 | @ CHST | W 79-72 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 4 | vsSTO | L 60-69 | -7.5 | L −16.5 | 139.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 8 | vsSFPA | L 69-71 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 10 | vsMERC | L 69-70 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 132.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 17 | @NHVN | L 74-80 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 129.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 19 | @FDU | L 61-68 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 23 | @LEM | L 67-69 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@VCU
VCUL 74-103
−3.5
7
@HALL
HALLL 61-68
+14.5
11
@FOR
FORL 61-63
+10.5
16
@UMBC
UMBCL 70-71
+5.5
22
@GTWN
GTWNL 75-92
+8.5
26
@MAN
MANW 103-101
+4.5
2
@MD
MDL 63-89
−3.5
17
vsUMES
UMESW 78-64
+9.5
2
@CHST
CHSTW 79-72
+5.5
4
vsSTO
STOL 60-69
−16.5
8
vsSFPA
SFPAL 69-71
−9.5
10
vsMERC
MERCL 69-70
−2.5
17
@NHVN
NHVNL 74-80
−4.5
19
@FDU
FDUL 61-68
−4.5
23
@LEM
LEML 67-69
+5.5
covered 8didn’t cover 7avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@VCU
VCUL 74-103
+43.5
7
@HALL
HALLL 61-68
−5.5
11
@FOR
FORL 61-63
−15.5
16
@UMBC
UMBCL 70-71
+0.5
22
@GTWN
GTWNL 75-92
+26.5
26
@MAN
MANW 103-101
+59.5
2
@MD
MDL 63-89
+8.5
17
vsUMES
UMESW 78-64
+10.5
2
@CHST
CHSTW 79-72
+4.5
4
vsSTO
STOL 60-69
−10.5
8
vsSFPA
SFPAL 69-71
−4.5
10
vsMERC
MERCL 69-70
+6.5
17
@NHVN
NHVNL 74-80
+24.5
19
@FDU
FDUL 61-68
−8.5
23
@LEM
LEML 67-69
−7.5
over 9under 6avg +8.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
C Connecticut
8-9 overall · 4-4 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Stonehill59–61
- Lvs FDU66–76
- L@ Mercyhurst61–79
- W@ Saint Francis Red Wolves98–90
- W@ Le Moyne69–59
3 days since their last game.
Wagner
3-12 overall · 1-6 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Le Moyne67–69
- L@ FDU61–68
- L@ New Haven74–80
- Lvs Mercyhurst69–70
- Lvs Saint Francis Red Wolves69–71
6 days since their last game.