Freedom Hall (TN) · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
UPST -10.5✓ GWEB covered by 11.5
UPST -10.5✓ GWEB covered by 11.5Closing total143.5Under by 14.5
 GWEB | This season | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| 1-27 | Record | 10-18 |
| 15-13 | ATS | 13-15 |
| 15-13 | O/U | 14-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GWEB 70–81 UPST · ✗ UPST (82%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GWEB | 29 | 36 | 65 |
| UPST | 30 | 34 | 64 |
1st half: GWEB 29, UPST 30 (UPST by 1). The model had UPST by 6.1 and a total of 70.6 (actual 59).
Team stats
| GWEB | UPST | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-53 42% | Field goals | 23-52 44% |
| 5-16 31% | 3-pointers | 9-26 35% |
| 16-20 80% | Free throws | 9-14 64% |
| 32 12 off | Rebounds | 30 10 off |
| 7 | Assists | 16 |
| 11 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| GWEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Hudson G | 38 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 6-13 | 0-3 |
| Jamias Ferere G | 34 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 7-12 | 0-1 |
| Ace Talbert G | 33 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Jacob Hogarth F | 28 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Colin Hawkins G | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Spence Sims G | 29 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3-9 | 3-6 |
| Riek Riek F | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| NaVuan Peterson F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bo Barber G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Paul Lindberg, Julius Clark, Ashton King, Curtis Williams III, Ahmadou Ndiaye, Isaiah Hicks, Cameron Gales, DJ Jefferson
| UPST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karmani Gregory G | 35 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 3-10 | 3-7 |
| Mason Bendinger G | 30 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Carmelo Adkins G | 30 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-9 | 3-7 |
| Isaiah Skinner G | 28 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 6-10 | 2-5 |
| Breylin Garcia F | 20 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Learic Davis F | 21 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Tyler Smith G | 16 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jafeth Martinez F | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Coen Collier C | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: CJ Rich, Kanye Jones, Nic Book, TJ Lewis, Chico Johnson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUPST -10.5
ModelUPST -10.4
Model edgeGWEB +0.1
W GWEB covered
Total
Market143.5
Model151.0
Model edgeOver 7.5
L Under
Projected score
GWEB 70.3 · UPST 80.7
GWEB 65 · UPST 64
Win probability
UPST 82%
1st half
Spread
UPST -6.1
UPST -1.0
Total
70.6
59 points
Projected score
GWEB 32.3 · UPST 38.3
GWEB 29 · UPST 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUPST -10.5
no move
CloseUPST -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open148.5
▼ 5
Close143.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
GWEB +455 · UPST -625
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UPST -10.5 · unchangedmodel UPST -10.5 matches the line
model UPST -10.5 = line ✓
Opened 148.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 5 downmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GWEB | 1-9 10% | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% |
| UPST | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 12 since 2021-22
GWEB 7–5 UPSTGWEB leads · 12 games since 2021-22 · GWEB 7-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2025-26 | GWEB 61 @ UPST 71 | UPST -11.5 | GWEB W |
| Jan 23, 2025-26 | UPST 65 @ GWEB 67 | GWEB +9.5 | GWEB W |
| Mar 5, 2024-25 | UPST 63 vs GWEB 83 | GWEB -6.5 | GWEB W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | GWEB 96 @ UPST 87 | UPST +4.5 | GWEB W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | UPST 68 @ GWEB 97 | GWEB -7.5 | GWEB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Gardner-Webb
28 games played
Straight up
1-27
4% wins
Against the spread
15-13
54% covers · avg −3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-13
54% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MINN | L 60-87 | +28.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 7 | @ CLEM | L 59-97 | +29.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 15 | @ ELON | L 84-95 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | @ DEP | L 62-93 | +21.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 22 | @ RICH | L 67-102 | +19.5 | L −15.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 26 | vs NAVY | L 51-84 | +10.5 | L −22.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 28 | vs SELA | L 68-76 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 29 | @ UNCW | L 62-88 | +18.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 3 | @ QUC | L 74-107 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 6 | vs GASO | L 84-88 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 15 | vs WOF | L 57-83 | +10.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 21 | @ TENN | L 52-94 | +42.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 31 | vs CHSO | L 79-89 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 163.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 3 | @ WIN | L 77-88 | +23.5 | W +12.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 7 | @ HPU | L 49-104 | +26.5 | L −28.5 | 162.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 14 | vs RAD | L 80-89 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 17 | vs PRES | L 55-92 | +8.5 | L −28.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 21 | @ LONG | L 56-91 | +16.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 23 | vsUPST | W 67-65 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 29 | @ UNCA | L 50-69 | +17.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 4 | vsLONG | L 66-86 | +12.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 7 | @PRES | L 62-68 | +17.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 12 | vsWIN | L 85-103 | +20.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 14 | vsHPU | L 87-112 | +25.5 | W +0.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Feb 17 | @CHSO | L 66-75 | +16.5 | W +7.5 | 161.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 19 | @RAD | L 70-82 | +18.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 26 | vsUNCA | L 71-77 | +12.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 28 | @UPST | L 61-71 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MINN
MINNL 60-87
+1.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 59-97
−8.5
15
@ELON
ELONL 84-95
+2.5
18
@DEP
DEPL 62-93
−9.5
22
@RICH
RICHL 67-102
−15.5
26
vsNAVY
NAVYL 51-84
−22.5
28
vsSELA
SELAL 68-76
−1.5
29
@UNCW
UNCWL 62-88
−7.5
3
@QUC
QUCL 74-107
−18.5
6
vsGASO
GASOL 84-88
+6.5
15
vsWOF
WOFL 57-83
−15.5
21
@TENN
TENNL 52-94
+0.5
31
vsCHSO
CHSOL 79-89
+2.5
3
@WIN
WINL 77-88
+12.5
7
@HPU
HPUL 49-104
−28.5
14
vsRAD
RADL 80-89
+4.5
17
vsPRES
PRESL 55-92
−28.5
21
@LONG
LONGL 56-91
−18.5
23
vsUPST
UPSTW 67-65
+11.5
29
@UNCA
UNCAL 50-69
−1.5
4
vsLONG
LONGL 66-86
−7.5
7
@PRES
PRESL 62-68
+11.5
12
vsWIN
WINL 85-103
+2.5
14
vsHPU
HPUL 87-112
+0.5
17
@CHSO
CHSOL 66-75
+7.5
19
@RAD
RADL 70-82
+6.5
26
vsUNCA
UNCAL 71-77
+6.5
28
@UPST
UPSTL 61-71
+1.5
covered 15didn’t cover 13avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MINN
MINNL 60-87
−1.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 59-97
+10.5
15
@ELON
ELONL 84-95
+24.5
18
@DEP
DEPL 62-93
−0.5
22
@RICH
RICHL 67-102
+14.5
26
vsNAVY
NAVYL 51-84
−18.5
28
vsSELA
SELAL 68-76
+2.5
29
@UNCW
UNCWL 62-88
+2.5
3
@QUC
QUCL 74-107
+19.5
6
vsGASO
GASOL 84-88
+9.5
15
vsWOF
WOFL 57-83
−15.5
21
@TENN
TENNL 52-94
−6.5
31
vsCHSO
CHSOL 79-89
+4.5
3
@WIN
WINL 77-88
+0.5
7
@HPU
HPUL 49-104
−9.5
14
vsRAD
RADL 80-89
+3.5
17
vsPRES
PRESL 55-92
+1.5
21
@LONG
LONGL 56-91
−8.5
23
vsUPST
UPSTW 67-65
−21.5
29
@UNCA
UNCAL 50-69
−30.5
4
vsLONG
LONGL 66-86
+4.5
7
@PRES
PRESL 62-68
−15.5
12
vsWIN
WINL 85-103
+31.5
14
vsHPU
HPUL 87-112
+37.5
17
@CHSO
CHSOL 66-75
−20.5
19
@RAD
RADL 70-82
−10.5
26
vsUNCA
UNCAL 71-77
+2.5
28
@UPST
UPSTL 61-71
−14.5
over 15under 13avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
SC Upstate
28 games played
Straight up
10-18
36% wins
Against the spread
13-15
46% covers · avg +0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-14
50% overs · avg −3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CBU | L 75-87 | +14.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 5 | @ FRES | W 67-66 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 15 | @UNCW | L 60-73 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 19 | vs TNTC | L 84-88 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 21 | @ WGA | L 64-72 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 25 | vs NCCU | W 82-67 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 29 | @ NEB | L 63-72 | +25.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 3 | vs CCU | W 85-78 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | vs WCU | W 78-67 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNC | L 62-80 | +29.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 16 | @ SCST | W 78-72 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 20 | @ YSU | L 65-74 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 31 | vsRAD | L 69-76 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 158.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | @PRES | L 77-86 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | vsWIN | L 50-71 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 14 | @CHSO | W 86-81 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @HPU | L 69-89 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 21 | vsUNCA | L 69-83 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 23 | @GWEB | L 65-67 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 29 | vsLONG | W 65-60 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 4 | @UNCA | L 67-76 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 7 | vsCHSO | W 100-94 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 194 |
| Feb 12 | vsHPU | L 70-95 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 14 | @LONG | L 75-82 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 19 | @WIN | L 64-68 | +13.5 | W +9.5 | 158.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 21 | vsPRES | W 76-74 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 26 | @RAD | L 59-71 | +7.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 28 | vsGWEB | W 71-61 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CBU
CBUL 75-87
+2.5
5
@FRES
FRESW 67-66
+10.5
15
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-73
+1.5
19
vsTNTC
TNTCL 84-88
−6.5
21
@WGA
WGAL 64-72
−5.5
25
vsNCCU
NCCUW 82-67
+7.5
29
@NEB
NEBL 63-72
+16.5
3
vsCCU
CCUW 85-78
+4.5
6
vsWCU
WCUW 78-67
+8.5
13
@UNC
UNCL 62-80
+11.5
16
@SCST
SCSTW 78-72
−4.5
20
@YSU
YSUL 65-74
−2.5
31
vsRAD
RADL 69-76
−8.5
3
@PRES
PRESL 77-86
−7.5
10
vsWIN
WINL 50-71
−15.5
14
@CHSO
CHSOW 86-81
+11.5
17
@HPU
HPUL 69-89
−3.5
21
vsUNCA
UNCAL 69-83
−15.5
23
@GWEB
GWEBL 65-67
−11.5
29
vsLONG
LONGW 65-60
+6.5
4
@UNCA
UNCAL 67-76
−2.5
7
vsCHSO
CHSOW 100-94
+7.5
12
vsHPU
HPUL 70-95
−10.5
14
@LONG
LONGL 75-82
−0.5
19
@WIN
WINL 64-68
+9.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 76-74
+3.5
26
@RAD
RADL 59-71
−4.5
28
vsGWEB
GWEBW 71-61
−1.5
covered 13didn’t cover 15avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CBU
CBUL 75-87
+9.5
5
@FRES
FRESW 67-66
−31.5
15
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-73
−22.5
19
vsTNTC
TNTCL 84-88
+21.5
21
@WGA
WGAL 64-72
−17.5
25
vsNCCU
NCCUW 82-67
+0.5
29
@NEB
NEBL 63-72
−22.5
3
vsCCU
CCUW 85-78
+18.5
6
vsWCU
WCUW 78-67
−4.5
13
@UNC
UNCL 62-80
−9.5
16
@SCST
SCSTW 78-72
+2.5
20
@YSU
YSUL 65-74
−2.5
31
vsRAD
RADL 69-76
−13.5
3
@PRES
PRESL 77-86
+25.5
10
vsWIN
WINL 50-71
−36.5
14
@CHSO
CHSOW 86-81
+11.5
17
@HPU
HPUL 69-89
+5.5
21
vsUNCA
UNCAL 69-83
+6.5
23
@GWEB
GWEBL 65-67
−21.5
29
vsLONG
LONGW 65-60
−22.5
4
@UNCA
UNCAL 67-76
+3.5
7
vsCHSO
CHSOW 100-94
+43.5
12
vsHPU
HPUL 70-95
+10.5
14
@LONG
LONGL 75-82
+9.5
19
@WIN
WINL 64-68
−26.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 76-74
+8.5
26
@RAD
RADL 59-71
−22.5
28
vsGWEB
GWEBW 71-61
−14.5
over 14under 14avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Gardner-Webb
1-27 overall · 1-15 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ SC Upstate61–71
- Lvs UNC Asheville71–77
- L@ Radford70–82
- L@ Charleston So66–75
- Lvs High Point87–112
4 days since their last game.
SC Upstate
10-18 overall · 5-11 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Gardner-Webb71–61
- L@ Radford59–71
- Wvs Presbyterian76–74
- L@ Winthrop64–68
- L@ Longwood75–82
4 days since their last game.