NCAAB

Saturday, March 14, 2026

Day in numbers21 finalFavorites 7-14 ATS8 upsetsO/U 5-16Model Favorite 14-7Open
Games2121 final · 0 to play
Lines moved121+ pt since the open · 21 with a line
Totals moved191+ pt since the open
Favorites ATS7-1433% covered
Upsets8outright
Over / Under5-1624% over
Model Favorite14-767% won
GameSpread, open → closeMovedTotalMoved
PV vs SOUSOU -3.5 → SOU -3.5no move158.5 → 145.5▼ 13
NCCU vs HOWHOW -14.5 → HOW -11.53 → NCCU146.5 → 142.5▼ 4
PUR vs UCLAPUR -7.5 → PUR -7.5no move149.5 → 143.5▼ 6
TOL vs AKRAKR -7.5 → AKR -7.5no move163.5 → 157.5▼ 6
UVA vs DUKEDUKE -8.5 → DUKE -6.52 → UVA135.5 → 140.5▲ 5
COR vs YALEYALE -3.5 → YALE -5.52 → YALE165.5 → 163.5▼ 2
PENN vs HARVHARV -2.5 → HARV -3.51 → HARV135.5 → 139.5▲ 4
HOU vs ARIZARIZ -3.5 → ARIZ -1.52 → HOU136.5 → 138.5▲ 2
HAW vs UCIUCI -2.5 → UCI -1.51 → HAW137.5 → 141.5▲ 4
DAY vs SLUSLU -4.5 → SLU -4.5no move149.5 → 145.5▼ 4
Top 10 of 20; the Line move and Total move filters show the rest. Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.
Line movedCoveredCover rate
1+ pts5579-5698-549%
2+ pts2172-2236-249%
3+ pts880-90849%
5+ pts139-14948%
Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.
Sort by

Sort

Sort by
No games match these filters
Loosen a filter, or start over.
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Cornell
13-12 · #179
76
Yale
21-5 · #126
88
Spread
YALE -5.5
✓ YALE W ATS
Total
163.5 ▼2
▲ Over 164
Projected
81–87
✓ YALE won
Model: YALE by 0.8 ✓ Model: Over 4.6 ✓
Game card ›
FinalConference · Conference tournament
Vermont
20-11 · #186
59
UMBC
21-8 · #264
74
Spread
UMBC -1.5
✓ UMBC W ATS
Total
134.5 ▼3
▼ Under 133
Projected
69–72
✓ UMBC won
Model: UMBC by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 7.1 ✗
Game card ›
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Wisconsin
24-9 · #41 AP #23
65
Michigan
30-2 · #8 AP #3
68
Spread
MICH -12.5
✓ WIS W ATS
Total
161.5
▼ Under 133
Projected
77–88
✓ MICH won
Model: WIS by 1.6 ✓ Model: Over 3.7 ✗
Game card ›
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Vanderbilt
25-7 · #22 AP #22
91
Florida
26-6 · #1 AP #4
74
Spread
FLA -7.5
✓ VAN W ATS
Total
161.5 ▲1
▲ Over 165
Projected
78–86
✗ FLA lost
Model: FLA by 0.8 ✗ Model: Over 1.9 ✓
Game card ›
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
NC Central
10-17 · #357
63
Howard
18-10 · #197
70
Spread
HOW -11.5
✓ NCCU W ATS
Total
142.5 ▼4
▼ Under 133
Projected
68–79
✓ HOW won
Model: NCCU by 1.3 ✓ Model: Over 4.6 ✗
Game card ›
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Dayton
22-10 · #91
70
Saint Louis
27-4 · #69
69
Spread
SLU -4.5
✓ DAY W ATS
Total
145.5 ▼4
▼ Under 139
Projected
74–78
✗ SLU lost
Model: DAY by 0.1 ✓ Model: Over 6.8 ✗
Game card ›
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Penn
15-11 · #137
62
Harvard
16-11 · #136
60
Spread
HARV -3.5
✓ PENN W ATS
Total
139.5 ▲4
▼ Under 122
Projected
69–70
✗ HARV lost
Model: PENN by 2.0 ✓ Model: Under 0.8 ✓
Game card ›
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Charlotte
16-16 · #141
64
South Florida
22-8 · #84
86
Spread
USF -15.5
✓ USF W ATS
Total
153.5
▼ Under 150
Projected
73–85
✓ USF won
Model: CLT by 3.1 ✗ Model: Over 4.6 ✗
Game card ›
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Ole Miss
15-19 · #46
90
Arkansas
24-8 · #18 AP #17
93
Spread
ARK -8.5
✓ MISS W ATS
Total
159.5 ▲1
▲ Over 183
Projected
77–85
✓ ARK won
Model: MISS by 0.1 ✓ Model: Over 2.4 ✓
Game card ›
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Purdue
25-8 · #23 AP #18
73
UCLA
23-10 · #26
66
Spread
PUR -7.5
✓ UCLA W ATS
Total
143.5 ▼6
▼ Under 139
Projected
78–71
✓ PUR won
Model: UCLA by 0.4 ✓ Model: Over 5.3 ✗
Game card ›
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Saint Joseph's
20-10 · #114
64
VCU
25-7 · #61
77
Spread
VCU -6.5
✓ VCU W ATS
Total
145.5 ▼3
▼ Under 141
Projected
72–79
✓ VCU won
Model: VCU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 4.9 ✗
Game card ›
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Tulsa
24-6 · #108
68
Wichita St
20-10 · #77
81
Spread
TLSA -1.5
✓ WICH W ATS
Total
152.5 ▲2
▼ Under 149
Projected
79–77
✗ TLSA lost
Model: WICH by 0.2 ✓ Model: Over 3.3 ✗
Game card ›
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
San Diego St
21-10 · #75
62
Utah State
26-6 · #58
73
Spread
USU -2.5
✓ USU W ATS
Total
145.5 ▼3
▼ Under 135
Projected
74–77
✓ USU won
Model: USU by 0.3 ✓ Model: Over 5.8 ✗
Game card ›
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Houston
28-5 · #2 AP #5
74
Arizona
31-2 · #5 AP #2
79
Spread
ARIZ -1.5
✓ ARIZ W ATS
Total
138.5 ▲2
▲ Over 153
Projected
70–72
✓ ARIZ won
Model: ARIZ by 0.3 ✓ Model: Over 3.8 ✓
Game card ›
FinalConference · Conference tournament
UConn
29-4 · #6 AP #6
52
St John's
27-6 · #9 AP #13
72
Spread
CONN -2.5
✓ SJU W ATS
Total
139.5 ▼1
▼ Under 124
Projected
72–74
✓ SJU won
Model: SJU by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 6.0 ✗
Game card ›
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Prairie View
13-17 · #343
72
Southern
14-16 · #309
66
Spread
SOU -3.5
✓ PV W ATS
Total
145.5 ▼13
▼ Under 138
Projected
78–80
✗ SOU lost
Model: PV by 0.6 ✓ Model: Over 12.4 ✗
Game card ›
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Toledo
17-14 · #157
76
Akron
26-5 · #118
79
Spread
AKR -7.5
✓ TOL W ATS
Total
157.5 ▼6
▼ Under 155
Projected
78–85
✓ AKR won
Model: Over 5.3 ✗
Game card ›
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Kennesaw St
17-13 · #148
71
Louisiana Tech
17-13 · #244
60
Spread
KENN -1.5
✓ KENN W ATS
Total
142.5 ▲1
▼ Under 131
Projected
74–73
✓ KENN won
Model: LT by 0.1 ✗ Model: Over 4.9 ✗
Game card ›
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Virginia
29-4 · #20 AP #10
70
Duke
31-2 · #3 AP #1
74
Spread
DUKE -6.5
✓ UVA W ATS
Total
140.5 ▲5
▲ Over 144
Projected
66–77
✓ DUKE won
Model: DUKE by 3.7 ✗ Model: Over 2.2 ✓
Game card ›
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Hawai'i
21-8 · #140
71
UC Irvine
21-10 · #149
64
Spread
UCI -1.5
✓ HAW W ATS
Total
141.5 ▲4
▼ Under 135
Projected
71–71
✗ UCI lost
Model: HAW by 1.4 ✓ Model: Over 1.0 ✗
Game card ›
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
CA Baptist
24-8 · #203
63
Utah Valley
22-7 · #150
61
Spread
UVU -2.5
✓ CBU W ATS
Total
139.5 ▲1
▼ Under 124
Projected
70–74
✗ UVU lost
Model: UVU by 0.6 ✗ Model: Over 4.4 ✗
Game card ›
StatusMatchupSpreadTotalModel lineSpread edgeModel totalTotal edgeWin probModel
Final
Cornell
13-12 · #179
76
Yale
21-5 · #126
88
 YALE -5.5 163.5 YALE -6.3 YALE +0.8 168.1 Over 4.6 71% YALE W W ›
Final
Vermont
20-11 · #186
59
UMBC
21-8 · #264
74
 UMBC -1.5 134.5 UMBC -3.0 UMBC +1.5 141.6 Over 7.1 60% UMBC W L ›
Final
Wisconsin
24-9 · #41
65
Michigan
30-2 · #8
68
 MICH -12.5 161.5 MICH -10.9 WIS +1.6 165.2 Over 3.7 83% MICH W L ›
Final
Vanderbilt
25-7 · #22
91
Florida
26-6 · #1
74
 FLA -7.5 161.5 FLA -8.3 FLA +0.8 163.4 Over 1.9 77% FLA L W ›
Final
NC Central
10-17 · #357
63
Howard
18-10 · #197
70
 HOW -11.5 142.5 HOW -10.2 NCCU +1.3 147.1 Over 4.6 81% HOW W L ›
Final
Dayton
22-10 · #91
70
Saint Louis
27-4 · #69
69
 SLU -4.5 145.5 SLU -4.4 DAY +0.1 152.3 Over 6.8 65% SLU W L ›
Final
Penn
15-11 · #137
62
Harvard
16-11 · #136
60
 HARV -3.5 139.5 HARV -1.5 PENN +2.0 138.7 Under 0.8 55% HARV W W ›
Final
Charlotte
16-16 · #141
64
South Florida
22-8 · #84
86
 USF -15.5 153.5 USF -12.4 CLT +3.1 158.1 Over 4.6 86% USF L L ›
Final
Ole Miss
15-19 · #46
90
Arkansas
24-8 · #18
93
 ARK -8.5 159.5 ARK -8.4 MISS +0.1 161.9 Over 2.4 77% ARK W W ›
Final
Purdue
25-8 · #23
73
UCLA
23-10 · #26
66
 PUR -7.5 143.5 PUR -7.1 UCLA +0.4 148.8 Over 5.3 73% PUR W L ›
Final
Saint Joseph's
20-10 · #114
64
VCU
25-7 · #61
77
 VCU -6.5 145.5 VCU -7.0 VCU +0.5 150.4 Over 4.9 73% VCU W L ›
Final
Tulsa
24-6 · #108
68
Wichita St
20-10 · #77
81
 TLSA -1.5 152.5 TLSA -1.3 WICH +0.2 155.8 Over 3.3 54% TLSA W L ›
Final
San Diego St
21-10 · #75
62
Utah State
26-6 · #58
73
 USU -2.5 145.5 USU -2.8 USU +0.3 151.3 Over 5.8 59% USU W L ›
Final
Houston
28-5 · #2
74
Arizona
31-2 · #5
79
 ARIZ -1.5 138.5 ARIZ -1.8 ARIZ +0.3 142.3 Over 3.8 56% ARIZ W W ›
Final
UConn
29-4 · #6
52
St John's
27-6 · #9
72
 CONN -2.5 139.5 SJU -2.0 SJU +4.5 145.5 Over 6.0 57% SJU W L ›
Final
Prairie View
13-17 · #343
72
Southern
14-16 · #309
66
 SOU -3.5 145.5 SOU -2.9 PV +0.6 157.9 Over 12.4 60% SOU W L ›
Final
Toledo
17-14 · #157
76
Akron
26-5 · #118
79
 AKR -7.5 157.5 AKR -7.5 — 162.8 Over 5.3 75% AKR L ›
Final
Kennesaw St
17-13 · #148
71
Louisiana Tech
17-13 · #244
60
 KENN -1.5 142.5 KENN -1.4 LT +0.1 147.4 Over 4.9 55% KENN L L ›
Final
Virginia
29-4 · #20
70
Duke
31-2 · #3
74
 DUKE -6.5 140.5 DUKE -10.2 DUKE +3.7 142.7 Over 2.2 81% DUKE L W ›
Final
Hawai'i
21-8 · #140
71
UC Irvine
21-10 · #149
64
 UCI -1.5 141.5 UCI -0.1 HAW +1.4 142.5 Over 1.0 50% UCI W L ›
Final
CA Baptist
24-8 · #203
63
Utah Valley
22-7 · #150
61
 UVU -2.5 139.5 UVU -3.1 UVU +0.6 143.9 Over 4.4 61% UVU L L ›
The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record