Bridgestone Arena · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
ARK -8.5✓ MISS covered by 5.5
ARK -8.5✓ MISS covered by 5.5Closing total159.5Over by 23.5
 MISS | This season | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| 15-19 | Record | 24-8 |
| 14-20 | ATS | 21-11 |
| 19-15 | O/U | 18-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MISS 77–85 ARK · ✓ ARK (77%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | 36 | 43 | 11 | 90 |
| ARK | 37 | 42 | 14 | 93 |
1st half: MISS 36, ARK 37 (ARK by 1). The model had ARK by 4.9 and a total of 75.6 (actual 73).
Team stats
| MISS | ARK | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-70 50% | Field goals | 32-69 46% |
| 9-29 31% | 3-pointers | 6-19 32% |
| 11-14 79% | Free throws | 23-31 74% |
| 31 9 off | Rebounds | 44 16 off |
| 9 | Assists | 15 |
| 8 | Steals | 9 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 22 | Fouls | 10 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 23 |
Players
| MISS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Perry G | 37 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 3-9 | 3-9 |
| James Scott F | 33 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Malik Dia F | 31 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 8-17 | 0-3 |
| Patton Pinkins G | 29 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Ilias Kamardine G | 29 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 5-12 | 1-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eduardo Klafke G | 21 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| AJ Storr G | 20 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 10-18 | 2-6 |
| Kezza Giffa G | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Corey Chest F | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Augusto Cassia F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Hobert Grayson IV, Zach Day, Max Smith, Niko Bundalo, Tylis Jordan, Koren Johnson
| ARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meleek Thomas G | 45 | 29 | 5 | 5 | 9-15 | 4-7 |
| Billy Richmond III G | 41 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Trevon Brazile F | 40 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 7-12 | 0-2 |
| Darius Acuff Jr. G | 40 | 24 | 5 | 7 | 7-21 | 2-7 |
| Nick Pringle F | 19 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Malique Ewin F | 29 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| DJ Wagner G | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Karter Knox, Elmir Dzafic, Karim Rtail, Paulo Semedo, Ayden Kelley, Jaden Karuletwa, Amere Brown, Isaiah Sealy
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARK -8.5
no move
CloseARK -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open158.5
▲ 1
Close159.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MISS +330 · ARK -425
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARK -8.5 · unchangedmodel ARK -8.5 matches the line
model ARK -8.5 = line ✓
Opened 158.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 1 upmodel 162
model 162
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ARK -8.5 | ARK -8.4 | MISS +0.1 | W MISS covered |
| Total | 159.5 | 161.9 | Over 2.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MISS 76.7 · ARK 85.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ARK -4.9 | ARK -1.0 |
| 1H total | 75.6 | 73 |
| 1H projected score | MISS 35.4 · ARK 40.2 | MISS 36 · ARK 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| ARK | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
MISS 3–3 ARKSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · MISS 2-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025-26 | ARK 94 @ MISS 87 | MISS +3.5 | ARK W |
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | ARK 80 vs MISS 83 | MISS -4.5 | ARK W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | MISS 73 @ ARK 66 | ARK -3.5 | MISS W |
| Jan 24, 2023-24 | ARK 51 @ MISS 77 | MISS -8.5 | MISS W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | MISS 57 @ ARK 69 | ARK -9.5 | ARK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ole Miss
34 games played
Straight up
15-19
44% wins
Against the spread
14-20
41% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-15
56% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SELA | W 88-58 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs ULM | W 86-65 | -37.5 | L −16.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs MEM | W 83-77 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs CSUB | W 82-60 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 18 | vs APSU | W 72-65 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs IOWA | L 69-74 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs UTAH | L 74-75 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs MIA | L 66-75 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | @ SJU | L 58-63 | +13.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs USM | W 71-67 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs AAMU | W 80-66 | -20.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 21 | vs NCSU | L 62-76 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 29 | vs ALCN | W 79-43 | -28.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 3 | @ OU | L 70-86 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 7 | vsARK | L 87-94 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | vs MIZ | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 14 | @ UGA | W 97-95 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 17 | @ MSST | W 68-67 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 20 | vs AUB | L 66-78 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ UK | L 63-72 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | @ VAN | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 3 | @ TENN | L 66-84 | +12.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 7 | @ TEX | L 68-79 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 11 | vs ALA | L 74-93 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 14 | vsMSST | L 78-90 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 18 | @ TA&M | L 77-80 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 21 | vs FLA | L 75-94 | +13.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 25 | vs LSU | L 99-106 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | O 205 |
| Feb 28 | @AUB | W 85-79 | +10.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Mar 3 | vsVAN | L 86-89 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 175 |
| Mar 7 | vs SC | L 61-64 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 125 |
| Mar 11 | vsTEX | W 76-66 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 147.5 | U 142 |
| Mar 12 | vsUGA | W 76-72 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Mar 13 | vsALA | W 80-79 | +12.5 | W +13.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+8.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
−16.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
−3.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
−1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−13.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
−0.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
−11.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−10.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
+8.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−8.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
−6.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−6.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
+7.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
−9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
−3.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+5.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+12.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
+4.5
20
vsAUB
AUBL 66-78
−8.5
24
@UK
UKL 63-72
+2.5
31
@VAN
VANL 68-71
+7.5
3
@TENN
TENNL 66-84
−5.5
7
@TEX
TEXL 68-79
−1.5
11
vsALA
ALAL 74-93
−12.5
14
vsMSST
MSSTL 78-90
−15.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 77-80
+6.5
21
vsFLA
FLAL 75-94
−5.5
25
vsLSU
LSUL 99-106
−9.5
28
@AUB
AUBW 85-79
+16.5
3
vsVAN
VANL 86-89
+4.5
7
vsSC
SCL 61-64
−10.5
11
vsTEX
TEXW 76-66
+15.5
12
vsUGA
UGAW 76-72
+9.5
13
vsALA
ALAW 80-79
+13.5
covered 14didn’t cover 20avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+2.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
+1.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
+7.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
+1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−8.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
+2.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
+4.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−4.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
−30.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−0.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
+10.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−10.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
−26.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
+9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
+27.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+1.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+33.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
−12.5
20
vsAUB
AUBL 66-78
−7.5
24
@UK
UKL 63-72
−10.5
31
@VAN
VANL 68-71
−10.5
3
@TENN
TENNL 66-84
+10.5
7
@TEX
TEXL 68-79
+1.5
11
vsALA
ALAL 74-93
+2.5
14
vsMSST
MSSTL 78-90
+21.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 77-80
−0.5
21
vsFLA
FLAL 75-94
+16.5
25
vsLSU
LSUL 99-106
+57.5
28
@AUB
AUBW 85-79
+10.5
3
vsVAN
VANL 86-89
+19.5
7
vsSC
SCL 61-64
−22.5
11
vsTEX
TEXW 76-66
−5.5
12
vsUGA
UGAW 76-72
−8.5
13
vsALA
ALAW 80-79
−7.5
over 19under 15avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arkansas
32 games played
Straight up
24-8
75% wins
Against the spread
21-11
66% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-14
56% overs · avg +6.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SOU | W 109-77 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 8 | @ MSU | L 66-69 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | vs CARK | W 93-56 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAM | W 79-75 | -24.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs WIN | W 84-83 | -23.5 | L −22.5 | 168.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs JKST | W 115-61 | -29.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 27 | vs DUKE | L 71-80 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs LOU | W 89-80 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs FRES | W 82-58 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs TTU | W 93-86 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs QUC | W 108-80 | -23.5 | W +4.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | vs HOU | L 85-94 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs JMU | W 103-74 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 3 | vsTENN | W 86-75 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 7 | @MISS | W 94-87 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | @AUB | L 73-95 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | vsSC | W 108-74 | -12.5 | W +21.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | @UGA | L 76-90 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 181.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 20 | vsVAN | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 173.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 24 | vsLSU | W 85-81 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 27 | @OU | W 83-79 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 167.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 31 | vsUK | L 77-85 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 7 | @MSST | W 88-68 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 163.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 10 | @LSU | W 91-62 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 14 | vsAUB | W 88-75 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 18 | @ALA | L 115-117 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 181.5 | O 232 |
| Feb 21 | vsMIZ | W 94-86 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 25 | vsTA&M | W 99-84 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 170.5 | O 183 |
| Feb 28 | @FLA | L 77-111 | +9.5 | L −24.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Mar 4 | vsTEX | W 105-85 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 163.5 | O 190 |
| Mar 7 | @MIZ | W 88-84 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Mar 13 | vsOU | W 82-79 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 166.5 | U 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+5.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−0.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
+1.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−20.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−22.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+24.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
+3.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+10.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
+4.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+9.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+4.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
−3.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+5.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+12.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+3.5
10
@AUB
AUBL 73-95
−19.5
14
vsSC
SCW 108-74
+21.5
17
@UGA
UGAL 76-90
−11.5
20
vsVAN
VANW 93-68
+23.5
24
vsLSU
LSUW 85-81
−6.5
27
@OU
OUW 83-79
+0.5
31
vsUK
UKL 77-85
−14.5
7
@MSST
MSSTW 88-68
+14.5
10
@LSU
LSUW 91-62
+24.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 88-75
+5.5
18
@ALA
ALAL 115-117
+1.5
21
vsMIZ
MIZW 94-86
−1.5
25
vsTA&M
TA&MW 99-84
+7.5
28
@FLA
FLAL 77-111
−24.5
4
vsTEX
TEXW 105-85
+13.5
7
@MIZ
MIZW 88-84
+6.5
13
vsOU
OUW 82-79
−3.5
covered 21didn’t cover 11avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+35.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−20.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
−9.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−4.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−1.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+16.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
−8.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+2.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
−21.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+23.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+18.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
+32.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+17.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+2.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+27.5
10
@AUB
AUBL 73-95
−1.5
14
vsSC
SCW 108-74
+26.5
17
@UGA
UGAL 76-90
−15.5
20
vsVAN
VANW 93-68
−12.5
24
vsLSU
LSUW 85-81
+2.5
27
@OU
OUW 83-79
−5.5
31
vsUK
UKL 77-85
+2.5
7
@MSST
MSSTW 88-68
−7.5
10
@LSU
LSUW 91-62
−6.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 88-75
−2.5
18
@ALA
ALAL 115-117
+50.5
21
vsMIZ
MIZW 94-86
+20.5
25
vsTA&M
TA&MW 99-84
+12.5
28
@FLA
FLAL 77-111
+18.5
4
vsTEX
TEXW 105-85
+26.5
7
@MIZ
MIZW 88-84
+8.5
13
vsOU
OUW 82-79
−5.5
over 18under 14avg +6.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ole Miss
15-19 overall · 7-14 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Alabama80–79
- Wvs Georgia76–72
- Wvs Texas76–66
- Lvs South Carolina61–64
- Lvs Vanderbilt86–89
1 day since their last game.
Arkansas
24-8 overall · 14-5 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Oklahoma82–79
- W@ Missouri88–84
- Wvs Texas105–85
- L@ Florida77–111
- Wvs Texas A&M99–84
1 day since their last game.