Neville Arena · at Auburn · Conference game
Closing line
AUB -10.5✓ MISS covered by 16.5
AUB -10.5✓ MISS covered by 16.5Closing total153.5Over by 10.5
 MISS | This season | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| 11-17 | Record | 15-13 |
| 9-19 | ATS | 12-16 |
| 17-11 | O/U | 16-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MISS 73–83 AUB · ✗ AUB (83%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | 38 | 47 | 85 |
| AUB | 37 | 42 | 79 |
1st half: MISS 38, AUB 37 (MISS by 1). The model had AUB by 6.3 and a total of 73.0 (actual 75).
Team stats
| MISS | AUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-58 53% | Field goals | 26-51 51% |
| 10-25 40% | 3-pointers | 8-24 33% |
| 13-17 76% | Free throws | 19-27 70% |
| 27 8 off | Rebounds | 32 11 off |
| 17 | Assists | 8 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| MISS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patton Pinkins G | 38 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 8-10 | 4-5 |
| Eduardo Klafke G | 31 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Ilias Kamardine G | 29 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3-11 | 1-4 |
| Malik Dia F | 20 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| James Scott F | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| AJ Storr G | 32 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 9-15 | 2-6 |
| Koren Johnson G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Zach Day G | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Travis Perry G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Corey Chest F | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Hobert Grayson IV, Max Smith, Niko Bundalo, Kezza Giffa, Augusto Cassia, Tylis Jordan
| AUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahaad Pettiford G | 33 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 10-16 | 2-6 |
| Keyshawn Hall F | 33 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 5-12 | 2-6 |
| Elyjah Freeman G | 32 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Kevin Overton G | 32 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-6 |
| Filip Jovic C | 23 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sebastian Williams-Adams F | 23 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| KeShawn Murphy F | 17 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Blake Muschalek G | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Drake Cardwell, Bradley Pearson, Jeremiah Bowman, Emeka Opurum, Abdul Bashir, Kaden Magwood, Joah Shay, Simon Walker, Reed Trapp, CJ Williams
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAUB -10.5
no move
CloseAUB -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open153.5
no move
Close153.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MISS +470 · AUB -650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AUB -10.5 · unchangedmodel AUB -11
model AUB -11
Opened 153.5 · unchangedmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | AUB -10.5 | AUB -10.8 | AUB +0.3 | L MISS covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 156.1 | Over 2.6 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MISS 72.7 · AUB 83.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | AUB -6.3 | MISS -1.0 |
| 1H total | 73.0 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | MISS 33.3 · AUB 39.6 | MISS 38 · AUB 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | 0-10 0% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| AUB | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
MISS 0–10 AUBAUB leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · AUB has won the last 10 meetings · MISS 3-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025-26 | AUB 78 @ MISS 66 | MISS +3.5 | AUB W |
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | MISS 57 vs AUB 62 | AUB -12.5 | MISS W |
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | MISS 76 @ AUB 106 | AUB -12.5 | AUB W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | AUB 92 @ MISS 82 | MISS +4.5 | AUB W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | AUB 91 @ MISS 77 | MISS +3.5 | AUB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ole Miss
28 games played
Straight up
11-17
39% wins
Against the spread
9-19
32% covers · avg −3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-11
61% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SELA | W 88-58 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs ULM | W 86-65 | -37.5 | L −16.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs MEM | W 83-77 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs CSUB | W 82-60 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 18 | vs APSU | W 72-65 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs IOWA | L 69-74 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs UTAH | L 74-75 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs MIA | L 66-75 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | @ SJU | L 58-63 | +13.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs USM | W 71-67 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs AAMU | W 80-66 | -20.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 21 | vs NCSU | L 62-76 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 29 | vs ALCN | W 79-43 | -28.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 3 | @ OU | L 70-86 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 7 | vs ARK | L 87-94 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | vs MIZ | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 14 | @ UGA | W 97-95 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 17 | @ MSST | W 68-67 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 20 | vsAUB | L 66-78 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ UK | L 63-72 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | @ VAN | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 3 | @ TENN | L 66-84 | +12.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 7 | @ TEX | L 68-79 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 11 | vs ALA | L 74-93 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 14 | vsMSST | L 78-90 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 18 | @ TA&M | L 77-80 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 21 | vs FLA | L 75-94 | +13.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 25 | vs LSU | L 99-106 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | O 205 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+8.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
−16.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
−3.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
−1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−13.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
−0.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
−11.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−10.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
+8.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−8.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
−6.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−6.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
+7.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
−9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
−3.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+5.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+12.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
+4.5
20
vsAUB
AUBL 66-78
−8.5
24
@UK
UKL 63-72
+2.5
31
@VAN
VANL 68-71
+7.5
3
@TENN
TENNL 66-84
−5.5
7
@TEX
TEXL 68-79
−1.5
11
vsALA
ALAL 74-93
−12.5
14
vsMSST
MSSTL 78-90
−15.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 77-80
+6.5
21
vsFLA
FLAL 75-94
−5.5
25
vsLSU
LSUL 99-106
−9.5
covered 9didn’t cover 19avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+2.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
+1.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
+7.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
+1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−8.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
+2.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
+4.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−4.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
−30.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−0.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
+10.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−10.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
−26.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
+9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
+27.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+1.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+33.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
−12.5
20
vsAUB
AUBL 66-78
−7.5
24
@UK
UKL 63-72
−10.5
31
@VAN
VANL 68-71
−10.5
3
@TENN
TENNL 66-84
+10.5
7
@TEX
TEXL 68-79
+1.5
11
vsALA
ALAL 74-93
+2.5
14
vsMSST
MSSTL 78-90
+21.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 77-80
−0.5
21
vsFLA
FLAL 75-94
+16.5
25
vsLSU
LSUL 99-106
+57.5
over 17under 11avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Auburn
28 games played
Straight up
15-13
54% wins
Against the spread
12-16
43% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-12
57% overs · avg +4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BCU | W 95-90 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 6 | vs MRMK | W 95-57 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | vs WOF | W 93-62 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 16 | vs HOU | L 72-73 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 19 | vs JKST | W 112-66 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORE | W 84-73 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs MICH | L 72-102 | +4.5 | L −25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vsSJU | W 85-74 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 3 | vsNCSU | W 83-73 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ ARIZ | L 68-97 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTC | W 92-78 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs PUR | L 60-88 | +7.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs QUC | W 106-65 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 3 | @UGA | L 100-104 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 173.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 6 | vsTA&M | L 88-90 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 168.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vsARK | W 95-73 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | @MIZ | L 74-84 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 17 | vs SC | W 71-67 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @MISS | W 78-66 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @FLA | W 76-67 | +11.5 | W +20.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 28 | vsTEX | W 88-82 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | @TENN | L 69-77 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 7 | vsALA | L 92-96 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 175.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 10 | vsVAN | L 76-84 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 161.5 | U 160 |
| Feb 14 | @ARK | L 75-88 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 18 | @MSST | L 85-91 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 21 | vsUK | W 75-74 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 24 | @OU | L 79-91 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
−19.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+14.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+3.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+6.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+15.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+6.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
−25.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
+15.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
+4.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
−17.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
−5.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−20.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
+15.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+2.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
−8.5
10
vsARK
ARKW 95-73
+19.5
14
@MIZ
MIZL 74-84
−11.5
17
vsSC
SCW 71-67
−9.5
20
@MISS
MISSW 78-66
+8.5
24
@FLA
FLAW 76-67
+20.5
28
vsTEX
TEXW 88-82
−0.5
31
@TENN
TENNL 69-77
−2.5
7
vsALA
ALAL 92-96
−6.5
10
vsVAN
VANL 76-84
−11.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-88
−5.5
18
@MSST
MSSTL 85-91
−11.5
21
vsUK
UKW 75-74
−2.5
24
@OU
OUL 79-91
−15.5
covered 12didn’t cover 16avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
+31.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+3.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+2.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+4.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+21.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+1.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
+10.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
−7.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
−6.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
+2.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
+19.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−4.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
−0.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+30.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
+9.5
10
vsARK
ARKW 95-73
−1.5
14
@MIZ
MIZL 74-84
+4.5
17
vsSC
SCW 71-67
−14.5
20
@MISS
MISSW 78-66
−7.5
24
@FLA
FLAW 76-67
−16.5
28
vsTEX
TEXW 88-82
+15.5
31
@TENN
TENNL 69-77
−1.5
7
vsALA
ALAL 92-96
+12.5
10
vsVAN
VANL 76-84
−1.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-88
−2.5
18
@MSST
MSSTL 85-91
+20.5
21
vsUK
UKW 75-74
−4.5
24
@OU
OUL 79-91
+12.5
over 16under 12avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ole Miss
11-17 overall · 3-12 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs LSU99–106
- Lvs Florida75–94
- L@ Texas A&M77–80
- Lvs Mississippi St78–90
- Lvs Alabama74–93
3 days since their last game.
Auburn
15-13 overall · 6-9 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Oklahoma79–91
- Wvs Kentucky75–74
- L@ Mississippi St85–91
- L@ Arkansas75–88
- Lvs Vanderbilt76–84
4 days since their last game.