The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss · at Ole Miss · Conference game
Closing line
FLA -13.5✓ FLA covered by 5.5
FLA -13.5✓ FLA covered by 5.5Closing total152.5Over by 16.5
| FLA | This season | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| 20-6 | Record | 11-15 |
| 13-13 | ATS | 9-17 |
| 10-16 | O/U | 15-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FLA 83–68 MISS · ✓ FLA (90%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 43 | 51 | 94 |
| MISS | 32 | 43 | 75 |
1st half: FLA 43, MISS 32 (FLA by 11). The model had FLA by 9.0 and a total of 70.4 (actual 75).
Team stats
| FLA | MISS | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-56 57% | Field goals | 25-61 41% |
| 11-22 50% | 3-pointers | 2-16 13% |
| 19-22 86% | Free throws | 23-26 88% |
| 39 8 off | Rebounds | 24 8 off |
| 26 | Assists | 12 |
| 7 | Steals | 10 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 22 | Fouls | 16 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| FLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Haugh F | 31 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 6-13 | 2-6 |
| Xaivian Lee G | 31 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Alex Condon F | 30 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 9-13 | 1-2 |
| Rueben Chinyelu C | 24 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Boogie Fland G | 22 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Urban Klavzar G | 22 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 5-7 | 4-5 |
| Micah Handlogten C | 16 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Brown G | 13 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| CJ Ingram G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Alex Lloyd G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Viktor Mikic C | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Alex Kovatchev G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cooper Josefsberg, AJ Brown, Olivier Rioux
| MISS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patton Pinkins G | 36 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-3 |
| Ilias Kamardine G | 32 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| Malik Dia F | 29 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 9-16 | 1-3 |
| Travis Perry G | 23 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| James Scott F | 13 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| AJ Storr G | 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-10 | 0-2 |
| Corey Chest F | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Augusto Cassia F | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Zach Day G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Niko Bundalo F | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Max Smith G | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Eduardo Klafke G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Koren Johnson G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tylis Jordan, Hobert Grayson IV, Kezza Giffa
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFLA -12.5
1 → FLA
CloseFLA -13.5
1 pt toward FLA
Total
Open146.5
▲ 6
Close152.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
FLA -1100 · MISS +700
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FLA -12.5 · closed FLA -13.5 · moved 1 toward FLAmodel FLA -15
model FLA -15
Opened 146.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 6 upmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | FLA -13.5 | FLA -14.8 | FLA +1.3 | W FLA covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 150.4 | Under 2.1 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | FLA 82.6 · MISS 67.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | FLA -9.0 | FLA -11.0 |
| 1H total | 70.4 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | FLA 39.7 · MISS 30.7 | FLA 43 · MISS 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| MISS | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
FLA 3–2 MISSFLA leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · FLA 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | MISS 71 @ FLA 90 | FLA -12.5 | FLA W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | FLA 85 @ MISS 103 | MISS +2.5 | MISS W |
| Feb 15, 2022-23 | MISS 64 @ FLA 79 | FLA -9.5 | FLA W |
| Feb 5, 2021-22 | MISS 57 @ FLA 62 | FLA -11 | MISS W |
| Jan 24, 2021-22 | FLA 54 @ MISS 70 | MISS +4 | MISS W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Florida
26 games played
Straight up
20-6
77% wins
Against the spread
13-13
50% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-16
38% overs · avg −4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ARIZ | L 87-93 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 6 | vs UNF | W 104-64 | -43.5 | L −3.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs FSU | W 78-76 | -17.5 | L −15.5 | 180.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | vs MIA | W 82-68 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 171.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 21 | vs MRMK | W 80-45 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 27 | vs TCU | L 80-84 | -11.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs PROV | W 90-78 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Dec 2 | @ DUKE | L 66-67 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 9 | vs CONN | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs GW | W 80-70 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 17 | vs SFPA | W 102-61 | -44.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs COLG | W 90-60 | -27.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | vs DART | W 94-72 | -35.5 | L −13.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 3 | @ MIZ | L 74-76 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 6 | vs UGA | W 92-77 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs TENN | W 91-67 | -4.5 | W +19.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 13 | @ OU | W 96-79 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 17 | @ VAN | W 98-94 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 164.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 20 | vs LSU | W 79-61 | -15.5 | W +2.5 | 158.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | vs AUB | L 67-76 | -11.5 | L −20.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 28 | @ SC | W 95-48 | -13.5 | W +33.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 1 | vs ALA | W 100-77 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 176.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 7 | @ TA&M | W 86-67 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 167.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 11 | @UGA | W 86-66 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 14 | vs UK | W 92-83 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 17 | vsSC | W 76-62 | -23.5 | L −9.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
−9.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−3.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−15.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
+3.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−1.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
−15.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−0.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
+8.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+0.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−4.5
17
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-61
−3.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 90-60
+2.5
29
vsDART
DARTW 94-72
−13.5
3
@MIZ
MIZL 74-76
−9.5
6
vsUGA
UGAW 92-77
+5.5
10
vsTENN
TENNW 91-67
+19.5
13
@OU
OUW 96-79
+9.5
17
@VAN
VANW 98-94
+2.5
20
vsLSU
LSUW 79-61
+2.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 67-76
−20.5
28
@SC
SCW 95-48
+33.5
1
vsALA
ALAW 100-77
+13.5
7
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-67
+13.5
11
@UGA
UGAW 86-66
+11.5
14
vsUK
UKW 92-83
−3.5
17
vsSC
SCW 76-62
−9.5
covered 13didn’t cover 13avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
+15.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−1.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−26.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
−21.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−33.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
+8.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−1.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
−24.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+4.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−12.5
17
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-61
+6.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 90-60
−6.5
29
vsDART
DARTW 94-72
+5.5
3
@MIZ
MIZL 74-76
−4.5
6
vsUGA
UGAW 92-77
−3.5
10
vsTENN
TENNW 91-67
+6.5
13
@OU
OUW 96-79
+17.5
17
@VAN
VANW 98-94
+27.5
20
vsLSU
LSUW 79-61
−18.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 67-76
−16.5
28
@SC
SCW 95-48
−8.5
1
vsALA
ALAW 100-77
+0.5
7
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-67
−14.5
11
@UGA
UGAW 86-66
−12.5
14
vsUK
UKW 92-83
+20.5
17
vsSC
SCW 76-62
−18.5
over 10under 16avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ole Miss
26 games played
Straight up
11-15
42% wins
Against the spread
9-17
35% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-11
58% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SELA | W 88-58 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs ULM | W 86-65 | -37.5 | L −16.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs MEM | W 83-77 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs CSUB | W 82-60 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 18 | vs APSU | W 72-65 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs IOWA | L 69-74 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs UTAH | L 74-75 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 2 | vsMIA | L 66-75 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | @ SJU | L 58-63 | +13.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs USM | W 71-67 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs AAMU | W 80-66 | -20.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 21 | vs NCSU | L 62-76 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 29 | vs ALCN | W 79-43 | -28.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 3 | @OU | L 70-86 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 7 | vs ARK | L 87-94 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | vsMIZ | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 14 | @UGA | W 97-95 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 17 | @ MSST | W 68-67 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 20 | vsAUB | L 66-78 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @UK | L 63-72 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | @VAN | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 3 | @TENN | L 66-84 | +12.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 7 | @ TEX | L 68-79 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 11 | vsALA | L 74-93 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 14 | vsMSST | L 78-90 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 18 | @TA&M | L 77-80 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+8.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
−16.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
−3.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
−1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−13.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
−0.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
−11.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−10.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
+8.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−8.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
−6.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−6.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
+7.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
−9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
−3.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+5.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+12.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
+4.5
20
vsAUB
AUBL 66-78
−8.5
24
@UK
UKL 63-72
+2.5
31
@VAN
VANL 68-71
+7.5
3
@TENN
TENNL 66-84
−5.5
7
@TEX
TEXL 68-79
−1.5
11
vsALA
ALAL 74-93
−12.5
14
vsMSST
MSSTL 78-90
−15.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 77-80
+6.5
covered 9didn’t cover 17avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+2.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
+1.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
+7.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
+1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−8.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
+2.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
+4.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−4.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
−30.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−0.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
+10.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−10.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
−26.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
+9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
+27.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+1.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+33.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
−12.5
20
vsAUB
AUBL 66-78
−7.5
24
@UK
UKL 63-72
−10.5
31
@VAN
VANL 68-71
−10.5
3
@TENN
TENNL 66-84
+10.5
7
@TEX
TEXL 68-79
+1.5
11
vsALA
ALAL 74-93
+2.5
14
vsMSST
MSSTL 78-90
+21.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 77-80
−0.5
over 15under 11avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Florida
20-6 overall · 11-2 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs South Carolina76–62
- Wvs Kentucky92–83
- W@ Georgia86–66
- W@ Texas A&M86–67
- Wvs Alabama100–77
4 days since their last game.
Ole Miss
11-15 overall · 3-10 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Texas A&M77–80
- Lvs Mississippi St78–90
- Lvs Alabama74–93
- L@ Texas68–79
- L@ Tennessee66–84
3 days since their last game.