Stephen C. O'Connell Center · at Florida · Conference game
Closing line
FLA -9.5✓ FLA covered by 13.5
FLA -9.5✓ FLA covered by 13.5Closing total176.5Over by 0.5
 ALA | This season | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| 14-6 | Record | 15-6 |
| 9-11 | ATS | 10-11 |
| 10-10 | O/U | 8-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ALA 84–90 FLA · ✓ FLA (72%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALA | 36 | 41 | 77 |
| FLA | 46 | 54 | 100 |
1st half: ALA 36, FLA 46 (FLA by 10). The model had FLA by 3.8 and a total of 81.3 (actual 82).
Team stats
| ALA | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-62 44% | Field goals | 40-78 51% |
| 14-34 41% | 3-pointers | 3-13 23% |
| 9-13 69% | Free throws | 17-26 65% |
| 33 9 off | Rebounds | 44 15 off |
| 16 | Assists | 24 |
| 1 | Steals | 13 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 21 | Fouls | 16 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 72 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 26 |
Players
| ALA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labaron Philon Jr. G | 30 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 5-13 | 4-7 |
| Latrell Wrightsell Jr. G | 28 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 3-7 |
| Aden Holloway G | 27 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 7-12 | 3-7 |
| Aiden Sherrell F | 27 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Charles Bediako C | 24 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Amari Allen G | 21 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Houston Mallette G | 20 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| London Jemison F | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Noah Williamson C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jalil Bethea G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Taylor Bol Bowen F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jack Fagan, Preston Murphy Jr., Klark James, Jacob Martin, Collins Onyejiaka, Keitenn Bristow, Davion Hannah
| FLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Haugh F | 35 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 9-16 | 2-6 |
| Boogie Fland G | 34 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 6-12 | 0-1 |
| Alex Condon F | 33 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 11-15 | 0-1 |
| Rueben Chinyelu C | 29 | 14 | 17 | 3 | 4-12 | 0-0 |
| Xaivian Lee G | 17 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-11 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Urban Klavzar G | 27 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Isaiah Brown G | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Micah Handlogten C | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Alex Kovatchev G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Olivier Rioux C | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| CJ Ingram G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Alex Lloyd G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Viktor Mikic C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cooper Josefsberg, AJ Brown
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFLA -7.5
2 → FLA
CloseFLA -9.5
2 pts toward FLA
Total
Open172.5
▲ 4
Close176.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
ALA +350 · FLA -455
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FLA -7.5 · closed FLA -9.5 · moved 2 toward FLAmodel FLA -6.5
model FLA -6.5
Opened 172.5 · closed 176.5 · moved 4 upmodel 174
model 174
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | FLA -9.5 | FLA -6.7 | ALA +2.8 | L FLA covered |
| Total | 176.5 | 173.9 | Under 2.6 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | ALA 83.6 · FLA 90.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | FLA -3.8 | FLA -10.0 |
| 1H total | 81.3 | 82 |
| 1H projected score | ALA 38.7 · FLA 42.6 | ALA 36 · FLA 46 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALA | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| FLA | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
ALA 3–4 FLAFLA leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · FLA has won the last 4 meetings · ALA 2-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2024-25 | ALA 82 vs FLA 104 | FLA -3.5 | FLA W |
| Mar 5, 2024-25 | FLA 99 @ ALA 94 | ALA -3.5 | FLA W |
| Mar 15, 2023-24 | FLA 102 vs ALA 88 | ALA -4.5 | FLA W |
| Mar 5, 2023-24 | ALA 87 @ FLA 105 | FLA -2.5 | FLA W |
| Feb 21, 2023-24 | FLA 93 @ ALA 98 | ALA -10.5 | FLA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Alabama
20 games played
Straight up
14-6
70% wins
Against the spread
9-11
45% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UND | W 91-62 | -36.5 | L −7.5 | 170.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 8 | @ SJU | W 103-96 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 13 | vs PUR | L 80-87 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 19 | vs ILL | W 90-86 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 180.5 | U 176 |
| Nov 24 | vs GONZ | L 85-95 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 178.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNLV | W 115-76 | -13.5 | W +25.5 | 181.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 26 | vs MD | W 105-72 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 3 | vs CLEM | W 90-84 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 7 | vs UTSA | W 97-55 | -33.5 | W +8.5 | 171.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 13 | vs ARIZ | L 75-96 | +2.5 | L −18.5 | 178.5 | U 171 |
| Dec 17 | vs USF | W 104-93 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 178.5 | O 197 |
| Dec 21 | vs KENN | W 92-81 | -20.5 | L −9.5 | 182.5 | U 173 |
| Dec 29 | vs YALE | W 102-78 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 171.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | vs UK | W 89-74 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 173.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 7 | @ VAN | L 90-96 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 176.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 10 | vs TEX | L 88-92 | -11.5 | L −15.5 | 177.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 13 | @ MSST | W 97-82 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 171.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 17 | @ OU | W 83-81 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 177.5 | U 164 |
| Jan 24 | vs TENN | L 73-79 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 167.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 27 | vs MIZ | W 90-64 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 167.5 | U 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−7.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+11.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−10.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
+6.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
−5.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+25.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+18.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
−2.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
+8.5
13
vsARIZ
ARIZL 75-96
−18.5
17
vsUSF
USFW 104-93
−3.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 92-81
−9.5
29
vsYALE
YALEW 102-78
+8.5
3
vsUK
UKW 89-74
+9.5
7
@VAN
VANL 90-96
−2.5
10
vsTEX
TEXL 88-92
−15.5
13
@MSST
MSSTW 97-82
+10.5
17
@OU
OUW 83-81
−3.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 73-79
−10.5
27
vsMIZ
MIZW 90-64
+15.5
covered 9didn’t cover 11avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−17.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+26.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−5.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
−4.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
+1.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+9.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+10.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
+8.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
−19.5
13
vsARIZ
ARIZL 75-96
−7.5
17
vsUSF
USFW 104-93
+18.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 92-81
−9.5
29
vsYALE
YALEW 102-78
+8.5
3
vsUK
UKW 89-74
−10.5
7
@VAN
VANL 90-96
+9.5
10
vsTEX
TEXL 88-92
+2.5
13
@MSST
MSSTW 97-82
+7.5
17
@OU
OUW 83-81
−13.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 73-79
−15.5
27
vsMIZ
MIZW 90-64
−13.5
over 10under 10avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Florida
21 games played
Straight up
15-6
71% wins
Against the spread
10-11
48% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-13
38% overs · avg −4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsARIZ | L 87-93 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 6 | vs UNF | W 104-64 | -43.5 | L −3.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs FSU | W 78-76 | -17.5 | L −15.5 | 180.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | vs MIA | W 82-68 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 171.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 21 | vs MRMK | W 80-45 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 27 | vs TCU | L 80-84 | -11.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs PROV | W 90-78 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Dec 2 | @ DUKE | L 66-67 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 9 | vs CONN | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs GW | W 80-70 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 17 | vs SFPA | W 102-61 | -44.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs COLG | W 90-60 | -27.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | vs DART | W 94-72 | -35.5 | L −13.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 3 | @MIZ | L 74-76 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 6 | vs UGA | W 92-77 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Jan 10 | vsTENN | W 91-67 | -4.5 | W +19.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 13 | @OU | W 96-79 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 17 | @VAN | W 98-94 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 164.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 20 | vs LSU | W 79-61 | -15.5 | W +2.5 | 158.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | vs AUB | L 67-76 | -11.5 | L −20.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 28 | @ SC | W 95-48 | -13.5 | W +33.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
−9.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−3.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−15.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
+3.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−1.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
−15.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−0.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
+8.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+0.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−4.5
17
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-61
−3.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 90-60
+2.5
29
vsDART
DARTW 94-72
−13.5
3
@MIZ
MIZL 74-76
−9.5
6
vsUGA
UGAW 92-77
+5.5
10
vsTENN
TENNW 91-67
+19.5
13
@OU
OUW 96-79
+9.5
17
@VAN
VANW 98-94
+2.5
20
vsLSU
LSUW 79-61
+2.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 67-76
−20.5
28
@SC
SCW 95-48
+33.5
covered 10didn’t cover 11avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
+15.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−1.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−26.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
−21.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−33.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
+8.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−1.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
−24.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+4.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−12.5
17
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-61
+6.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 90-60
−6.5
29
vsDART
DARTW 94-72
+5.5
3
@MIZ
MIZL 74-76
−4.5
6
vsUGA
UGAW 92-77
−3.5
10
vsTENN
TENNW 91-67
+6.5
13
@OU
OUW 96-79
+17.5
17
@VAN
VANW 98-94
+27.5
20
vsLSU
LSUW 79-61
−18.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 67-76
−16.5
28
@SC
SCW 95-48
−8.5
over 8under 13avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Alabama
14-6 overall · 4-3 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Missouri90–64
- Lvs Tennessee73–79
- W@ Oklahoma83–81
- W@ Mississippi St97–82
- Lvs Texas88–92
5 days since their last game.
Florida
15-6 overall · 6-2 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ South Carolina95–48
- Lvs Auburn67–76
- Wvs LSU79–61
- W@ Vanderbilt98–94
- W@ Oklahoma96–79
4 days since their last game.