Lloyd Noble Center · at Oklahoma · Conference game
Closing line
ALA -5.5✓ OU covered by 3.5
ALA -5.5✓ OU covered by 3.5Closing total177.5Under by 13.5
| ALA | This season | OU |
|---|---|---|
| 12-5 | Record | 11-6 |
| 8-9 | ATS | 5-12 |
| 10-7 | O/U | 7-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ALA 92–83 OU · ✓ ALA (76%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALA | 33 | 50 | 83 |
| OU | 44 | 37 | 81 |
1st half: ALA 33, OU 44 (OU by 11). The model had ALA by 5.0 and a total of 81.9 (actual 77).
Team stats
| ALA | OU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-66 44% | Field goals | 28-72 39% |
| 10-33 30% | 3-pointers | 6-24 25% |
| 15-26 58% | Free throws | 19-22 86% |
| 43 14 off | Rebounds | 45 17 off |
| 12 | Assists | 13 |
| 7 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 7 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| ALA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amari Allen G | 35 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Labaron Philon Jr. G | 33 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 8-19 | 3-7 |
| Aiden Sherrell F | 31 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 8-12 | 2-5 |
| Aden Holloway G | 28 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| London Jemison F | 15 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-8 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Houston Mallette G | 31 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4-8 | 3-7 |
| Taylor Bol Bowen F | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jalil Bethea G | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Noah Williamson C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Davion Hannah, Jack Fagan, Klark James, Jacob Martin, Collins Onyejiaka, Keitenn Bristow, Latrell Wrightsell Jr., Preston Murphy Jr.
| OU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xzayvier Brown G | 38 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 6-17 | 1-4 |
| Tae Davis F | 36 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 5-10 | 1-2 |
| Nijel Pack G | 28 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 5-18 | 2-10 |
| Derrion Reid F | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 6-11 | 0-2 |
| Mohamed Wague F | 20 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jadon Jones G | 31 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Kirill Elatontsev C | 19 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Dayton Forsythe, Finley Keeffe, Jake Hansen, Jeff Nwankwo, Andreas Holst, Reid Lovelace, Kuol Atak, Kai Rogers, Alec Blair
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketALA -5.5
ModelALA -8.2
Model edgeALA +2.7
L OU covered
Total
Market177.5
Model175.0
Model edgeUnder 2.5
W Under
Projected score
ALA 91.6 · OU 83.4
ALA 83 · OU 81
Win probability
ALA 76%
1st half
Spread
ALA -5.0
OU -11.0
Total
81.9
77 points
Projected score
ALA 43.5 · OU 38.5
ALA 33 · OU 44
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenALA -5.5
no move
CloseALA -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open171.5
▲ 6
Close177.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
ALA -258 · OU +210
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ALA -5.5 · unchangedmodel ALA -8
model ALA -8
Opened 171.5 · closed 177.5 · moved 6 upmodel 175
model 175
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALA | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| OU | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ALA 1–1 OUSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · ALA 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | OU 79 @ ALA 107 | ALA -13.5 | ALA W |
| Jan 28, 2022-23 | ALA 69 @ OU 93 | OU +5.5 | OU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Alabama
17 games played
Straight up
12-5
71% wins
Against the spread
8-9
47% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-7
59% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UND | W 91-62 | -36.5 | L −7.5 | 170.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 8 | @ SJU | W 103-96 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 13 | vs PUR | L 80-87 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 19 | vs ILL | W 90-86 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 180.5 | U 176 |
| Nov 24 | vs GONZ | L 85-95 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 178.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNLV | W 115-76 | -13.5 | W +25.5 | 181.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 26 | vs MD | W 105-72 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 3 | vs CLEM | W 90-84 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 7 | vs UTSA | W 97-55 | -33.5 | W +8.5 | 171.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 13 | vs ARIZ | L 75-96 | +2.5 | L −18.5 | 178.5 | U 171 |
| Dec 17 | vs USF | W 104-93 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 178.5 | O 197 |
| Dec 21 | vs KENN | W 92-81 | -20.5 | L −9.5 | 182.5 | U 173 |
| Dec 29 | vs YALE | W 102-78 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 171.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | vs UK | W 89-74 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 173.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 7 | @ VAN | L 90-96 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 176.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 10 | vs TEX | L 88-92 | -11.5 | L −15.5 | 177.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 13 | @ MSST | W 97-82 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 171.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−7.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+11.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−10.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
+6.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
−5.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+25.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+18.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
−2.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
+8.5
13
vsARIZ
ARIZL 75-96
−18.5
17
vsUSF
USFW 104-93
−3.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 92-81
−9.5
29
vsYALE
YALEW 102-78
+8.5
3
vsUK
UKW 89-74
+9.5
7
@VAN
VANL 90-96
−2.5
10
vsTEX
TEXL 88-92
−15.5
13
@MSST
MSSTW 97-82
+10.5
covered 8didn’t cover 9avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−17.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+26.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−5.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
−4.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
+1.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+9.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+10.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
+8.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
−19.5
13
vsARIZ
ARIZL 75-96
−7.5
17
vsUSF
USFW 104-93
+18.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 92-81
−9.5
29
vsYALE
YALEW 102-78
+8.5
3
vsUK
UKW 89-74
−10.5
7
@VAN
VANL 90-96
+9.5
10
vsTEX
TEXL 88-92
+2.5
13
@MSST
MSSTW 97-82
+7.5
over 10under 7avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oklahoma
17 games played
Straight up
11-6
65% wins
Against the spread
5-12
29% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-10
41% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SFPA | W 102-66 | -31.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | @GONZ | L 68-83 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs UAPB | W 95-69 | -36.5 | L −10.5 | 168.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 15 | vs NEB | L 99-105 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 20 | vs ORU | W 95-71 | -24.5 | L −0.5 | 166.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 23 | vs ALCN | W 72-53 | -31.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | vs MARQ | W 75-74 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 162.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | @ WAKE | W 86-68 | +4.5 | W +22.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vs ASU | L 70-86 | -5.5 | L −21.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 13 | vs OKST | W 85-76 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 169.5 | U 161 |
| Dec 16 | vs KC | W 89-67 | -30.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 22 | vs STET | W 107-54 | -31.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 29 | vs MVSU | W 93-69 | -44.5 | L −20.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | vs MISS | W 86-70 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 7 | @MSST | L 53-72 | +1.5 | L −17.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @ TA&M | L 76-83 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 13 | vs FLA | L 79-96 | +7.5 | L −9.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-66
+4.5
8
@GONZ
GONZL 68-83
−4.5
11
vsUAPB
UAPBW 95-69
−10.5
15
vsNEB
NEBL 99-105
−4.5
20
vsORU
ORUW 95-71
−0.5
23
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-53
−12.5
28
vsMARQ
MARQW 75-74
−0.5
2
@WAKE
WAKEW 86-68
+22.5
6
vsASU
ASUL 70-86
−21.5
13
vsOKST
OKSTW 85-76
+6.5
16
vsKC
KCW 89-67
−8.5
22
vsSTET
STETW 107-54
+21.5
29
vsMVSU
MVSUW 93-69
−20.5
3
vsMISS
MISSW 86-70
+9.5
7
@MSST
MSSTL 53-72
−17.5
10
@TA&M
TA&ML 76-83
−2.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 79-96
−9.5
covered 5didn’t cover 12avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-66
+18.5
8
@GONZ
GONZL 68-83
−15.5
11
vsUAPB
UAPBW 95-69
−4.5
15
vsNEB
NEBL 99-105
+40.5
20
vsORU
ORUW 95-71
−0.5
23
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-53
−35.5
28
vsMARQ
MARQW 75-74
−13.5
2
@WAKE
WAKEW 86-68
−5.5
6
vsASU
ASUL 70-86
−1.5
13
vsOKST
OKSTW 85-76
−8.5
16
vsKC
KCW 89-67
+2.5
22
vsSTET
STETW 107-54
+12.5
29
vsMVSU
MVSUW 93-69
+8.5
3
vsMISS
MISSW 86-70
+9.5
7
@MSST
MSSTL 53-72
−33.5
10
@TA&M
TA&ML 76-83
−6.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 79-96
+17.5
over 7under 10avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Alabama
12-5 overall · 2-2 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Mississippi St97–82
- Lvs Texas88–92
- L@ Vanderbilt90–96
- Wvs Kentucky89–74
- Wvs Yale102–78
4 days since their last game.
Oklahoma
11-6 overall · 1-3 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Florida79–96
- L@ Texas A&M76–83
- L@ Mississippi St53–72
- Wvs Ole Miss86–70
- Wvs Miss Valley St93–69
4 days since their last game.