Coleman Coliseum · at Alabama · Conference game
Closing line
ALA -10.5✓ ALA covered by 15.5
ALA -10.5✓ ALA covered by 15.5Closing total167.5Under by 13.5
 MIZ | This season | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| 14-6 | Record | 13-6 |
| 8-12 | ATS | 8-11 |
| 8-12 | O/U | 10-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MIZ 80–91 ALA · ✓ ALA (84%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ | 29 | 35 | 64 |
| ALA | 42 | 48 | 90 |
1st half: MIZ 29, ALA 42 (ALA by 13). The model had ALA by 6.6 and a total of 79.8 (actual 71).
Team stats
| MIZ | ALA | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-66 39% | Field goals | 26-62 42% |
| 4-21 19% | 3-pointers | 15-39 38% |
| 8-23 35% | Free throws | 23-26 88% |
| 44 15 off | Rebounds | 39 8 off |
| 10 | Assists | 19 |
| 3 | Steals | 10 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 1 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| MIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Mitchell Jr. G | 30 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 5-11 | 0-2 |
| Jayden Stone G | 28 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 3-10 | 2-4 |
| Jacob Crews G | 25 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| T.O. Barrett F | 25 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 5-10 | 2-3 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. C | 24 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trent Pierce G | 17 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Anthony Robinson II G | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Sebastian Mack G | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Trent Burns C | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Nicholas Randall F | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Annor Boateng G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Luke Northweather F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aaron Rowe, Jevon Porter
| ALA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labaron Philon Jr. G | 30 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 5-12 | 3-7 |
| Latrell Wrightsell Jr. G | 29 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 7-11 | 7-10 |
| Aden Holloway G | 24 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Aiden Sherrell F | 22 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Charles Bediako C | 18 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Houston Mallette G | 25 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| London Jemison F | 20 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Taylor Bol Bowen F | 19 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Noah Williamson C | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jalil Bethea G | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Preston Murphy Jr. G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Martin C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Amari Allen, Davion Hannah, Keitenn Bristow, Collins Onyejiaka, Klark James, Jack Fagan
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenALA -11.5
1 → MIZ
CloseALA -10.5
1 pt toward MIZ
Total
Open165.5
▲ 2
Close167.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
MIZ +470 · ALA -650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ALA -11.5 · closed ALA -10.5 · moved 1 toward MIZmodel ALA -11.5
model ALA -11.5
Opened 165.5 · closed 167.5 · moved 2 upmodel 170.5
model 170.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ALA -10.5 | ALA -11.3 | ALA +0.8 | W ALA covered |
| Total | 167.5 | 170.6 | Over 3.1 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | MIZ 79.7 · ALA 90.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ALA -6.6 | ALA -13.0 |
| 1H total | 79.8 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | MIZ 36.6 · ALA 43.2 | MIZ 29 · ALA 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| ALA | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
MIZ 2–4 ALAALA leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · MIZ 3-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024-25 | ALA 98 @ MIZ 110 | MIZ -1.5 | MIZ W |
| Jan 16, 2023-24 | MIZ 75 @ ALA 93 | ALA -15 | ALA W |
| Mar 11, 2022-23 | MIZ 61 vs ALA 72 | ALA -9.5 | ALA W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | ALA 85 @ MIZ 64 | MIZ +5.5 | ALA W |
| Jan 22, 2021-22 | MIZ 76 @ ALA 86 | ALA -18 | MIZ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Missouri
20 games played
Straight up
14-6
70% wins
Against the spread
8-12
40% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-12
40% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ HOW | W 88-67 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 7 | vs SEMO | W 89-84 | -25.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 9 | vs VMI | W 106-68 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vs MINN | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 17 | vs PV | W 91-73 | -35.5 | L −17.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 20 | vs SDAK | W 102-68 | -24.5 | W +9.5 | 171.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs SCST | W 98-66 | -34.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLE | W 86-59 | -31.5 | L −4.5 | 170.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | @ ND | L 71-76 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs KU | L 60-80 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 11 | vs ALST | W 85-77 | -26.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 14 | vs BCU | W 82-60 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs ILL | L 48-91 | +8.5 | L −34.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | vs FLA | W 76-74 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 7 | @ UK | W 73-68 | +12.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | @ MISS | L 69-76 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 14 | vs AUB | W 84-74 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 17 | @ LSU | L 70-78 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 20 | vs UGA | L 72-74 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 163.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 24 | vs OU | W 88-87 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
+0.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
−20.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+14.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
+15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−17.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
+9.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
−2.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−4.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
−6.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−14.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
−18.5
14
vsBCU
BCUW 82-60
+1.5
22
vsILL
ILLL 48-91
−34.5
3
vsFLA
FLAW 76-74
+9.5
7
@UK
UKW 73-68
+17.5
10
@MISS
MISSL 69-76
−5.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 84-74
+11.5
17
@LSU
LSUL 70-78
−6.5
20
vsUGA
UGAL 72-74
−3.5
24
vsOU
OUW 88-87
−3.5
covered 8didn’t cover 12avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
−3.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
+15.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+12.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
−15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−2.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
−1.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
+3.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−25.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
+0.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−10.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
+6.5
14
vsBCU
BCUW 82-60
−4.5
22
vsILL
ILLL 48-91
−14.5
3
vsFLA
FLAW 76-74
−4.5
7
@UK
UKW 73-68
−9.5
10
@MISS
MISSL 69-76
+1.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 84-74
+4.5
17
@LSU
LSUL 70-78
−0.5
20
vsUGA
UGAL 72-74
−17.5
24
vsOU
OUW 88-87
+23.5
over 8under 12avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Alabama
19 games played
Straight up
13-6
68% wins
Against the spread
8-11
42% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg −0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UND | W 91-62 | -36.5 | L −7.5 | 170.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 8 | @ SJU | W 103-96 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 13 | vs PUR | L 80-87 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 19 | vsILL | W 90-86 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 180.5 | U 176 |
| Nov 24 | vs GONZ | L 85-95 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 178.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNLV | W 115-76 | -13.5 | W +25.5 | 181.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 26 | vs MD | W 105-72 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 3 | vs CLEM | W 90-84 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 7 | vs UTSA | W 97-55 | -33.5 | W +8.5 | 171.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 13 | vs ARIZ | L 75-96 | +2.5 | L −18.5 | 178.5 | U 171 |
| Dec 17 | vs USF | W 104-93 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 178.5 | O 197 |
| Dec 21 | vs KENN | W 92-81 | -20.5 | L −9.5 | 182.5 | U 173 |
| Dec 29 | vs YALE | W 102-78 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 171.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | vsUK | W 89-74 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 173.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 7 | @ VAN | L 90-96 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 176.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 10 | vs TEX | L 88-92 | -11.5 | L −15.5 | 177.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 13 | @ MSST | W 97-82 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 171.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 17 | @OU | W 83-81 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 177.5 | U 164 |
| Jan 24 | vs TENN | L 73-79 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 167.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−7.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+11.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−10.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
+6.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
−5.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+25.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+18.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
−2.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
+8.5
13
vsARIZ
ARIZL 75-96
−18.5
17
vsUSF
USFW 104-93
−3.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 92-81
−9.5
29
vsYALE
YALEW 102-78
+8.5
3
vsUK
UKW 89-74
+9.5
7
@VAN
VANL 90-96
−2.5
10
vsTEX
TEXL 88-92
−15.5
13
@MSST
MSSTW 97-82
+10.5
17
@OU
OUW 83-81
−3.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 73-79
−10.5
covered 8didn’t cover 11avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−17.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+26.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−5.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
−4.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
+1.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+9.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+10.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
+8.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
−19.5
13
vsARIZ
ARIZL 75-96
−7.5
17
vsUSF
USFW 104-93
+18.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 92-81
−9.5
29
vsYALE
YALEW 102-78
+8.5
3
vsUK
UKW 89-74
−10.5
7
@VAN
VANL 90-96
+9.5
10
vsTEX
TEXL 88-92
+2.5
13
@MSST
MSSTW 97-82
+7.5
17
@OU
OUW 83-81
−13.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 73-79
−15.5
over 10under 9avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Missouri
14-6 overall · 4-3 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Oklahoma88–87
- Lvs Georgia72–74
- L@ LSU70–78
- Wvs Auburn84–74
- L@ Ole Miss69–76
3 days since their last game.
Alabama
13-6 overall · 3-3 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Tennessee73–79
- W@ Oklahoma83–81
- W@ Mississippi St97–82
- Lvs Texas88–92
- L@ Vanderbilt90–96
3 days since their last game.