Moody Center · at Texas · Conference game
Closing line
TEX -9.5✓ TEX covered by 1.5
TEX -9.5✓ TEX covered by 1.5Closing total145.5Over by 1.5
 MISS | This season | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| 11-11 | Record | 13-9 |
| 8-14 | ATS | 13-9 |
| 12-10 | O/U | 13-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MISS 71–80 TEX · ✓ TEX (77%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | 25 | 43 | 68 |
| TEX | 37 | 42 | 79 |
1st half: MISS 25, TEX 37 (TEX by 12). The model had TEX by 5.0 and a total of 70.5 (actual 62).
Team stats
| MISS | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-58 41% | Field goals | 27-51 53% |
| 7-24 29% | 3-pointers | 5-16 31% |
| 13-17 76% | Free throws | 20-23 87% |
| 27 9 off | Rebounds | 35 9 off |
| 11 | Assists | 12 |
| 9 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| MISS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patton Pinkins G | 35 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Eduardo Klafke G | 29 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 7-10 | 2-5 |
| Kezza Giffa G | 28 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Ilias Kamardine G | 26 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-12 | 2-5 |
| Augusto Cassia F | 19 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Malik Dia F | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| AJ Storr G | 14 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-2 |
| Koren Johnson G | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Travis Perry G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| James Scott F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Corey Chest F | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Zach Day G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Hobert Grayson IV, Max Smith, Niko Bundalo, Tylis Jordan
| TEX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailyn Swain G | 37 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Tramon Mark G | 35 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 8-14 | 1-4 |
| Matas Vokietaitis C | 35 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 9-10 | 0-0 |
| Camden Heide F | 25 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Jordan Pope G | 21 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Simeon Wilcher G | 23 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Chendall Weaver G | 20 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Nic Codie F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Lewis Obiorah, Declan Duru Jr., Anthon McDermott, Brandon Taylor, Lassina Traore, John Clark, Cole Bott
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTEX -9.5
no move
CloseTEX -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▼ 2
Close145.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
MISS +425 · TEX -575
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TEX -9.5 · unchangedmodel TEX -8.5
model TEX -8.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 2 downmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TEX -9.5 | TEX -8.5 | MISS +1.0 | L TEX covered |
| Total | 145.5 | 150.7 | Over 5.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MISS 71.1 · TEX 79.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TEX -5.0 | TEX -12.0 |
| 1H total | 70.5 | 62 |
| 1H projected score | MISS 32.8 · TEX 37.7 | MISS 25 · TEX 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| TEX | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MISS 1–0 TEXMISS leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · MISS 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | TEX 69 @ MISS 72 | MISS -6.5 | TEX W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ole Miss
22 games played
Straight up
11-11
50% wins
Against the spread
8-14
36% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-10
55% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SELA | W 88-58 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs ULM | W 86-65 | -37.5 | L −16.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs MEM | W 83-77 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs CSUB | W 82-60 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 18 | vs APSU | W 72-65 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs IOWA | L 69-74 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs UTAH | L 74-75 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs MIA | L 66-75 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | @ SJU | L 58-63 | +13.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs USM | W 71-67 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs AAMU | W 80-66 | -20.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 21 | vs NCSU | L 62-76 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 29 | vs ALCN | W 79-43 | -28.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 3 | @ OU | L 70-86 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 7 | vs ARK | L 87-94 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | vs MIZ | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 14 | @ UGA | W 97-95 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 17 | @ MSST | W 68-67 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 20 | vs AUB | L 66-78 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ UK | L 63-72 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | @ VAN | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 3 | @ TENN | L 66-84 | +12.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+8.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
−16.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
−3.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
−1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−13.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
−0.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
−11.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−10.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
+8.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−8.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
−6.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−6.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
+7.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
−9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
−3.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+5.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+12.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
+4.5
20
vsAUB
AUBL 66-78
−8.5
24
@UK
UKL 63-72
+2.5
31
@VAN
VANL 68-71
+7.5
3
@TENN
TENNL 66-84
−5.5
covered 8didn’t cover 14avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+2.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
+1.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
+7.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
+1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−8.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
+2.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
+4.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−4.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
−30.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−0.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
+10.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−10.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
−26.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
+9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
+27.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+1.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+33.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
−12.5
20
vsAUB
AUBL 66-78
−7.5
24
@UK
UKL 63-72
−10.5
31
@VAN
VANL 68-71
−10.5
3
@TENN
TENNL 66-84
+10.5
over 12under 10avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas
22 games played
Straight up
13-9
59% wins
Against the spread
13-9
59% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-9
59% overs · avg +2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs DUKE | L 60-75 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs LAF | W 97-60 | -25.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs FDU | W 93-58 | -31.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs KC | W 71-55 | -31.5 | L −15.5 | 159.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 18 | vs RID | W 99-65 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs ASU | L 86-87 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 26 | vsNCSU | W 102-97 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVA | L 69-88 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 8 | vs SOU | W 95-69 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 12 | @ CONN | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | vs LEM | W 95-53 | -29.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 22 | vs UMES | W 94-71 | -33.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vsMSST | L 98-101 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 199 |
| Jan 6 | @TENN | L 71-85 | +12.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @ ALA | W 92-88 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 177.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 14 | vsVAN | W 80-64 | +3.5 | W +19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs TA&M | L 70-74 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 166.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 21 | @UK | L 80-85 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vsUGA | W 87-67 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 28 | @AUB | L 82-88 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | @OU | W 79-69 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 3 | vs SC | W 84-75 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−4.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+11.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
+3.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−15.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+3.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
−7.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+6.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
−22.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+3.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
+3.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
+12.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
−10.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
−12.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
−1.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+15.5
14
vsVAN
VANW 80-64
+19.5
17
vsTA&M
TA&ML 70-74
−8.5
21
@UK
UKL 80-85
+2.5
24
vsUGA
UGAW 87-67
+16.5
28
@AUB
AUBL 82-88
+0.5
31
@OU
OUW 79-69
+8.5
3
vsSC
SCW 84-75
−4.5
covered 13didn’t cover 9avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−18.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+3.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
−7.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−33.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+20.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
+19.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+37.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
+2.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+5.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
−11.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
−4.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
+26.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
+41.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
+2.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+2.5
14
vsVAN
VANW 80-64
−19.5
17
vsTA&M
TA&ML 70-74
−22.5
21
@UK
UKL 80-85
+12.5
24
vsUGA
UGAW 87-67
−14.5
28
@AUB
AUBL 82-88
+15.5
31
@OU
OUW 79-69
−7.5
3
vsSC
SCW 84-75
+9.5
over 13under 9avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ole Miss
11-11 overall · 3-6 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Tennessee66–84
- L@ Vanderbilt68–71
- L@ Kentucky63–72
- Lvs Auburn66–78
- W@ Mississippi St68–67
4 days since their last game.
Texas
13-9 overall · 5-5 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs South Carolina84–75
- W@ Oklahoma79–69
- L@ Auburn82–88
- Wvs Georgia87–67
- L@ Kentucky80–85
4 days since their last game.