Rupp Arena · at Kentucky · Conference game
Closing line
UK -7.5✓ TEX covered by 2.5
UK -7.5✓ TEX covered by 2.5Closing total152.5Over by 12.5
 TEX | This season | UK |
|---|---|---|
| 10-7 | Record | 12-6 |
| 9-8 | ATS | 8-10 |
| 10-7 | O/U | 8-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TEX 76–82 UK · ✓ UK (70%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 40 | 40 | 80 |
| UK | 40 | 45 | 85 |
1st half: TEX 40, UK 40 (tied). The model had UK by 3.4 and a total of 74.4 (actual 80).
Team stats
| TEX | UK | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-64 47% | Field goals | 25-58 43% |
| 2-18 11% | 3-pointers | 5-18 28% |
| 18-20 90% | Free throws | 30-35 86% |
| 34 13 off | Rebounds | 36 13 off |
| 9 | Assists | 12 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 7 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 23 | Fouls | 19 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| TEX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailyn Swain G | 36 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 10-16 | 2-6 |
| Jordan Pope G | 32 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2-9 | 0-6 |
| Matas Vokietaitis C | 31 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 5-14 | 0-0 |
| Simeon Wilcher G | 26 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Tramon Mark G | 26 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6-11 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chendall Weaver G | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 6-9 | 0-2 |
| Lassina Traore F | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Camden Heide F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: John Clark, Lewis Obiorah, Declan Duru Jr., Anthon McDermott, Brandon Taylor, Nic Codie, Cole Bott
| UK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otega Oweh G | 36 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 8-20 | 0-4 |
| Denzel Aberdeen G | 32 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-5 |
| Malachi Moreno C | 26 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Andrija Jelavic F | 18 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Kam Williams G | 16 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Collin Chandler G | 32 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 5-9 | 2-4 |
| Mo Dioubate F | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Garrison F | 14 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Jasper Johnson G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Trent Noah F | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zach Tow, Reece Potter, Jaland Lowe, Walker Horn, Jayden Quaintance, Braydon Hawthorne
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUK -6.5
1 → UK
CloseUK -7.5
1 pt toward UK
Total
Open156.5
▼ 4
Close152.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
TEX +270 · UK -340
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UK -6.5 · closed UK -7.5 · moved 1 toward UKmodel UK -6
model UK -6
Opened 156.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 4 downmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UK -7.5 | UK -6.0 | TEX +1.5 | W TEX covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 158.8 | Over 6.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | TEX 76.4 · UK 82.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UK -3.4 | PK |
| 1H total | 74.4 | 80 |
| 1H projected score | TEX 35.5 · UK 38.9 | TEX 40 · UK 40 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| UK | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TEX 1–0 UKTEX leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · TEX 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | UK 78 @ TEX 82 | TEX -4.5 | UK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas
17 games played
Straight up
10-7
59% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-7
59% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs DUKE | L 60-75 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs LAF | W 97-60 | -25.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs FDU | W 93-58 | -31.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs KC | W 71-55 | -31.5 | L −15.5 | 159.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 18 | vs RID | W 99-65 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs ASU | L 86-87 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 26 | vs NCSU | W 102-97 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVA | L 69-88 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 8 | vs SOU | W 95-69 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 12 | @ CONN | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | vs LEM | W 95-53 | -29.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 22 | vs UMES | W 94-71 | -33.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vs MSST | L 98-101 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 199 |
| Jan 6 | @ TENN | L 71-85 | +12.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @ ALA | W 92-88 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 177.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 14 | vs VAN | W 80-64 | +3.5 | W +19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs TA&M | L 70-74 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 166.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−4.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+11.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
+3.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−15.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+3.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
−7.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+6.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
−22.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+3.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
+3.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
+12.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
−10.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
−12.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
−1.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+15.5
14
vsVAN
VANW 80-64
+19.5
17
vsTA&M
TA&ML 70-74
−8.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−18.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+3.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
−7.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−33.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+20.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
+19.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+37.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
+2.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+5.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
−11.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
−4.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
+26.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
+41.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
+2.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+2.5
14
vsVAN
VANW 80-64
−19.5
17
vsTA&M
TA&ML 70-74
−22.5
over 10under 7avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kentucky
18 games played
Straight up
12-6
67% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-10
44% overs · avg −3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs NICH | W 77-51 | -31.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 7 | vs VAL | W 107-59 | -32.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 11 | @ LOU | L 88-96 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 173.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 14 | vs EIU | W 99-53 | -35.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 18 | vs MSU | L 66-83 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs L-MD | W 88-46 | -35.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 26 | vs TNTC | W 104-54 | -37.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 2 | vs UNC | L 64-67 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 163.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 5 | vs GONZ | L 59-94 | +5.5 | L −29.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 9 | vs NCCU | W 103-67 | -42.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 13 | vs IU | W 72-60 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 20 | vs SJU | W 78-66 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 23 | vs BELL | W 99-85 | -34.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 3 | @ALA | L 74-89 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 173.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 7 | vs MIZ | L 68-73 | -12.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vsMSST | W 92-68 | -10.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 14 | @ LSU | W 75-74 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | @TENN | W 80-78 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsNICH
NICHW 77-51
−5.5
7
vsVAL
VALW 107-59
+15.5
11
@LOU
LOUL 88-96
−2.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 99-53
+10.5
18
vsMSU
MSUL 66-83
−20.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 88-46
+6.5
26
vsTNTC
TNTCW 104-54
+12.5
2
vsUNC
UNCL 64-67
−10.5
5
vsGONZ
GONZL 59-94
−29.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 103-67
−6.5
13
vsIU
IUW 72-60
+8.5
20
vsSJU
SJUW 78-66
+10.5
23
vsBELL
BELLW 99-85
−20.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 74-89
−9.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZL 68-73
−17.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 92-68
+13.5
14
@LSU
LSUW 75-74
−2.5
17
@TENN
TENNW 80-78
+8.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsNICH
NICHW 77-51
−29.5
7
vsVAL
VALW 107-59
+8.5
11
@LOU
LOUL 88-96
+10.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 99-53
+4.5
18
vsMSU
MSUL 66-83
−3.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 88-46
−25.5
26
vsTNTC
TNTCW 104-54
+0.5
2
vsUNC
UNCL 64-67
−32.5
5
vsGONZ
GONZL 59-94
−6.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 103-67
+21.5
13
vsIU
IUW 72-60
−24.5
20
vsSJU
SJUW 78-66
−10.5
23
vsBELL
BELLW 99-85
+31.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 74-89
−10.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZL 68-73
−9.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 92-68
+7.5
14
@LSU
LSUW 75-74
−2.5
17
@TENN
TENNW 80-78
+12.5
over 8under 10avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas
10-7 overall · 2-3 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Texas A&M70–74
- Wvs Vanderbilt80–64
- W@ Alabama92–88
- L@ Tennessee71–85
- Lvs Mississippi St98–101
4 days since their last game.
Kentucky
12-6 overall · 3-2 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Tennessee80–78
- W@ LSU75–74
- Wvs Mississippi St92–68
- Lvs Missouri68–73
- L@ Alabama74–89
4 days since their last game.