The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss · at Ole Miss · Conference game
Closing line
MISS -2.5✓ LSU covered by 9.5
MISS -2.5✓ LSU covered by 9.5Closing total147.5Over by 57.5
 LSU | This season | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| 14-13 | Record | 11-16 |
| 16-11 | ATS | 9-18 |
| 12-15 | O/U | 16-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LSU 75–75 MISS · ✓ LSU (52%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | 2OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | 41 | 41 | 8 | 16 | 106 |
| MISS | 42 | 40 | 8 | 9 | 99 |
1st half: LSU 41, MISS 42 (MISS by 1). The model had LSU by 0.6 and a total of 70.3 (actual 83).
Team stats
| LSU | MISS | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-70 50% | Field goals | 36-78 46% |
| 11-21 52% | 3-pointers | 5-16 31% |
| 25-29 86% | Free throws | 22-29 76% |
| 40 10 off | Rebounds | 39 14 off |
| 24 | Assists | 21 |
| 3 | Steals | 8 |
| 6 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 22 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| LSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Mackinnon G | 48 | 34 | 4 | 3 | 11-24 | 4-6 |
| Jalen Reece G | 47 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 4-12 | 3-6 |
| Pablo Tamba F | 43 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Robert Miller III F | 31 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Marquel Sutton F | 15 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rashad King G | 30 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Mike Nwoko F | 21 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| PJ Carter G | 15 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Mazi Mosley, Jalen Reed, Jaden Bobbett, Matt Gilhool, Ron Zipper, Dedan Thomas Jr., Marcus Vaughn
| MISS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilias Kamardine G | 48 | 26 | 5 | 10 | 9-18 | 1-3 |
| Malik Dia F | 36 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 8-18 | 1-3 |
| Patton Pinkins G | 35 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-4 |
| Eduardo Klafke G | 34 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 5-6 | 2-2 |
| Corey Chest F | 26 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| AJ Storr G | 39 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 9-24 | 1-3 |
| James Scott F | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Augusto Cassia F | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Travis Perry G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Koren Johnson G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tylis Jordan, Kezza Giffa, Niko Bundalo, Max Smith, Zach Day, Hobert Grayson IV
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMISS -1.5
1 → MISS
CloseMISS -2.5
1 pt toward MISS
Total
Open146.5
▲ 1
Close147.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
LSU +120 · MISS -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MISS -1.5 · closed MISS -2.5 · moved 1 toward MISSmodel LSU -0.5
model LSU -0.5
Opened 146.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 upmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MISS -2.5 | LSU -0.7 | LSU +3.2 | W LSU covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 150.2 | Over 2.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | LSU 75.4 · MISS 74.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LSU -0.6 | MISS -1.0 |
| 1H total | 70.3 | 83 |
| 1H projected score | LSU 35.4 · MISS 34.9 | LSU 41 · MISS 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| MISS | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LSU 1–4 MISSMISS leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · MISS has won the last 2 meetings · LSU 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | MISS 72 @ LSU 70 | LSU +5.5 | LSU W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | LSU 65 @ MISS 77 | MISS -9.5 | MISS W |
| Jan 17, 2023-24 | MISS 80 @ LSU 89 | LSU -2.5 | LSU W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | LSU 69 @ MISS 82 | MISS -4.5 | MISS W |
| Feb 1, 2021-22 | MISS 76 @ LSU 72 | LSU -12.5 | MISS W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
LSU
27 games played
Straight up
14-13
52% wins
Against the spread
16-11
59% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-15
44% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs TAR | W 96-60 | -15.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 10 | vs NOLA | W 93-58 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 13 | vs FIU | W 98-81 | -21.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | vs ALCN | W 107-81 | -32.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 21 | vs OMA | W 99-73 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 28 | vs DRKE | W 71-62 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs DEP | W 96-63 | -5.5 | W +27.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | @ BC | W 78-69 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs TTU | L 58-82 | +5.5 | L −18.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs SMU | W 89-77 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 19 | vs SELA | W 78-65 | -24.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 22 | vs PV | W 104-90 | -29.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 29 | vs USM | W 90-62 | -21.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 3 | @ TA&M | L 72-75 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 6 | vs SC | L 68-78 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 10 | @ VAN | L 73-84 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 14 | vs UK | L 74-75 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | vs MIZ | W 78-70 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 20 | @ FLA | L 61-79 | +15.5 | L −2.5 | 158.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | @ ARK | L 81-85 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 28 | vs MSST | L 66-80 | -7.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 31 | @SC | W 92-87 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 7 | vs UGA | L 71-83 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 10 | vsARK | L 62-91 | +4.5 | L −24.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 14 | @ TENN | L 63-73 | +14.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 17 | @ TEX | L 85-88 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 21 | vs ALA | L 83-90 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 172.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsTAR
TARW 96-60
+20.5
10
vsNOLA
NOLAW 93-58
+15.5
13
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
−4.5
18
vsALCN
ALCNW 107-81
−6.5
21
vsOMA
OMAW 99-73
+5.5
28
vsDRKE
DRKEW 71-62
−2.5
29
vsDEP
DEPW 96-63
+27.5
3
@BC
BCW 78-69
+1.5
7
vsTTU
TTUL 58-82
−18.5
13
vsSMU
SMUW 89-77
+10.5
19
vsSELA
SELAW 78-65
−11.5
22
vsPV
PVW 104-90
−15.5
29
vsUSM
USMW 90-62
+6.5
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 72-75
+2.5
6
vsSC
SCL 68-78
−17.5
10
@VAN
VANL 73-84
+2.5
14
vsUK
UKL 74-75
+2.5
17
vsMIZ
MIZW 78-70
+6.5
20
@FLA
FLAL 61-79
−2.5
24
@ARK
ARKL 81-85
+6.5
28
vsMSST
MSSTL 66-80
−21.5
31
@SC
SCW 92-87
+2.5
7
vsUGA
UGAL 71-83
−10.5
10
vsARK
ARKL 62-91
−24.5
14
@TENN
TENNL 63-73
+4.5
17
@TEX
TEXL 85-88
+7.5
21
vsALA
ALAL 83-90
+0.5
covered 16didn’t cover 11avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsTAR
TARW 96-60
+7.5
10
vsNOLA
NOLAW 93-58
−11.5
13
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
+20.5
18
vsALCN
ALCNW 107-81
+32.5
21
vsOMA
OMAW 99-73
+8.5
28
vsDRKE
DRKEW 71-62
−18.5
29
vsDEP
DEPW 96-63
+6.5
3
@BC
BCW 78-69
−2.5
7
vsTTU
TTUL 58-82
−14.5
13
vsSMU
SMUW 89-77
+7.5
19
vsSELA
SELAW 78-65
−1.5
22
vsPV
PVW 104-90
+32.5
29
vsUSM
USMW 90-62
−2.5
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 72-75
−21.5
6
vsSC
SCL 68-78
+0.5
10
@VAN
VANL 73-84
−2.5
14
vsUK
UKL 74-75
−2.5
17
vsMIZ
MIZW 78-70
−0.5
20
@FLA
FLAL 61-79
−18.5
24
@ARK
ARKL 81-85
+2.5
28
vsMSST
MSSTL 66-80
−8.5
31
@SC
SCW 92-87
+31.5
7
vsUGA
UGAL 71-83
−7.5
10
vsARK
ARKL 62-91
−6.5
14
@TENN
TENNL 63-73
−7.5
17
@TEX
TEXL 85-88
+22.5
21
vsALA
ALAL 83-90
+0.5
over 12under 15avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ole Miss
27 games played
Straight up
11-16
41% wins
Against the spread
9-18
33% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-11
59% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsSELA | W 88-58 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs ULM | W 86-65 | -37.5 | L −16.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs MEM | W 83-77 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs CSUB | W 82-60 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 18 | vs APSU | W 72-65 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs IOWA | L 69-74 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs UTAH | L 74-75 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs MIA | L 66-75 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | @ SJU | L 58-63 | +13.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vsUSM | W 71-67 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs AAMU | W 80-66 | -20.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 21 | vs NCSU | L 62-76 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 29 | vsALCN | W 79-43 | -28.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 3 | @ OU | L 70-86 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 7 | vsARK | L 87-94 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | vsMIZ | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 14 | @UGA | W 97-95 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 17 | @MSST | W 68-67 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 20 | vs AUB | L 66-78 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @UK | L 63-72 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | @VAN | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 3 | @TENN | L 66-84 | +12.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 7 | @TEX | L 68-79 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 11 | vsALA | L 74-93 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 14 | vsMSST | L 78-90 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 18 | @TA&M | L 77-80 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 21 | vsFLA | L 75-94 | +13.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+8.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
−16.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
−3.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
−1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−13.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
−0.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
−11.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−10.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
+8.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−8.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
−6.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−6.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
+7.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
−9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
−3.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+5.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+12.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
+4.5
20
vsAUB
AUBL 66-78
−8.5
24
@UK
UKL 63-72
+2.5
31
@VAN
VANL 68-71
+7.5
3
@TENN
TENNL 66-84
−5.5
7
@TEX
TEXL 68-79
−1.5
11
vsALA
ALAL 74-93
−12.5
14
vsMSST
MSSTL 78-90
−15.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 77-80
+6.5
21
vsFLA
FLAL 75-94
−5.5
covered 9didn’t cover 18avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+2.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
+1.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
+7.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
+1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−8.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
+2.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
+4.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−4.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
−30.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−0.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
+10.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−10.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
−26.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
+9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
+27.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+1.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+33.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
−12.5
20
vsAUB
AUBL 66-78
−7.5
24
@UK
UKL 63-72
−10.5
31
@VAN
VANL 68-71
−10.5
3
@TENN
TENNL 66-84
+10.5
7
@TEX
TEXL 68-79
+1.5
11
vsALA
ALAL 74-93
+2.5
14
vsMSST
MSSTL 78-90
+21.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 77-80
−0.5
21
vsFLA
FLAL 75-94
+16.5
over 16under 11avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
LSU
14-13 overall · 2-12 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Alabama83–90
- L@ Texas85–88
- L@ Tennessee63–73
- Lvs Arkansas62–91
- Lvs Georgia71–83
4 days since their last game.
Ole Miss
11-16 overall · 3-11 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Florida75–94
- L@ Texas A&M77–80
- Lvs Mississippi St78–90
- Lvs Alabama74–93
- L@ Texas68–79
4 days since their last game.