Bud Walton Arena · at Arkansas · Conference game
Closing line
ARK -9.5✓ MIZ covered by 1.5
ARK -9.5✓ MIZ covered by 1.5Closing total159.5Over by 20.5
 MIZ | This season | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| 18-8 | Record | 19-7 |
| 11-15 | ATS | 18-8 |
| 12-14 | O/U | 13-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MIZ 77–86 ARK · ✓ ARK (80%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ | 41 | 45 | 86 |
| ARK | 47 | 47 | 94 |
1st half: MIZ 41, ARK 47 (ARK by 6). The model had ARK by 5.6 and a total of 76.2 (actual 88).
Team stats
| MIZ | ARK | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-56 55% | Field goals | 32-61 52% |
| 7-21 33% | 3-pointers | 8-18 44% |
| 17-23 74% | Free throws | 22-25 88% |
| 26 7 off | Rebounds | 31 11 off |
| 18 | Assists | 20 |
| 2 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| MIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Mitchell Jr. G | 39 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 8-12 | 1-1 |
| Jayden Stone G | 37 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Trent Pierce G | 32 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 9-15 | 3-7 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. C | 28 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| T.O. Barrett F | 19 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Robinson II G | 25 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Trent Burns C | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Jacob Crews G | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Annor Boateng, Nicholas Randall, Luke Northweather, Aaron Rowe, Sebastian Mack, Jevon Porter
| ARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meleek Thomas G | 37 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 5-9 | 2-3 |
| Darius Acuff Jr. G | 35 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 4-11 | 1-3 |
| Billy Richmond III G | 35 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 9-14 | 2-3 |
| Trevon Brazile F | 32 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 3-9 | 2-7 |
| Nick Pringle F | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Malique Ewin F | 31 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 6-11 | 0-0 |
| DJ Wagner G | 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Paulo Semedo, Karim Rtail, Ayden Kelley, Jaden Karuletwa, Elmir Dzafic, Amere Brown, Isaiah Sealy, Karter Knox
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARK -10.5
1 → MIZ
CloseARK -9.5
1 pt toward MIZ
Total
Open161.5
▼ 2
Close159.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
MIZ +360 · ARK -470
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARK -10.5 · closed ARK -9.5 · moved 1 toward MIZmodel ARK -9.5 matches the line
model ARK -9.5 = line ✓
Opened 161.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 2 downmodel 163
model 163
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ARK -9.5 | ARK -9.6 | ARK +0.1 | L MIZ covered |
| Total | 159.5 | 163.0 | Over 3.5 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MIZ 76.7 · ARK 86.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ARK -5.6 | ARK -6.0 |
| 1H total | 76.2 | 88 |
| 1H projected score | MIZ 35.3 · ARK 40.9 | MIZ 41 · ARK 47 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| ARK | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
MIZ 2–6 ARKARK leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · MIZ 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | MIZ 85 @ ARK 92 | ARK -1.5 | ARK W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | ARK 65 @ MIZ 83 | MIZ -5.5 | MIZ W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | MIZ 73 @ ARK 88 | ARK -5.5 | ARK W |
| Jan 31, 2023-24 | ARK 91 @ MIZ 84 | MIZ -5.5 | ARK W |
| Jan 18, 2022-23 | ARK 76 @ MIZ 79 | MIZ -2.5 | MIZ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Missouri
26 games played
Straight up
18-8
69% wins
Against the spread
11-15
42% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-14
46% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ HOW | W 88-67 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 7 | vs SEMO | W 89-84 | -25.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 9 | vs VMI | W 106-68 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vs MINN | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 17 | vs PV | W 91-73 | -35.5 | L −17.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 20 | vs SDAK | W 102-68 | -24.5 | W +9.5 | 171.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs SCST | W 98-66 | -34.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLE | W 86-59 | -31.5 | L −4.5 | 170.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | @ ND | L 71-76 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs KU | L 60-80 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 11 | vs ALST | W 85-77 | -26.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 14 | vs BCU | W 82-60 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs ILL | L 48-91 | +8.5 | L −34.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | vs FLA | W 76-74 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 7 | @ UK | W 73-68 | +12.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | @ MISS | L 69-76 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 14 | vs AUB | W 84-74 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 17 | @ LSU | L 70-78 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 20 | vs UGA | L 72-74 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 163.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 24 | vs OU | W 88-87 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 27 | @ ALA | L 64-90 | +10.5 | L −15.5 | 167.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 31 | vs MSST | W 84-79 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 7 | @ SC | W 78-59 | -3.5 | W +15.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 11 | @ TA&M | W 86-85 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 14 | vs TEX | L 68-85 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 18 | vs VAN | W 81-80 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
+0.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
−20.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+14.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
+15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−17.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
+9.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
−2.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−4.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
−6.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−14.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
−18.5
14
vsBCU
BCUW 82-60
+1.5
22
vsILL
ILLL 48-91
−34.5
3
vsFLA
FLAW 76-74
+9.5
7
@UK
UKW 73-68
+17.5
10
@MISS
MISSL 69-76
−5.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 84-74
+11.5
17
@LSU
LSUL 70-78
−6.5
20
vsUGA
UGAL 72-74
−3.5
24
vsOU
OUW 88-87
−3.5
27
@ALA
ALAL 64-90
−15.5
31
vsMSST
MSSTW 84-79
−1.5
7
@SC
SCW 78-59
+15.5
11
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-85
+8.5
14
vsTEX
TEXL 68-85
−19.5
18
vsVAN
VANW 81-80
+4.5
covered 11didn’t cover 15avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
−3.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
+15.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+12.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
−15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−2.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
−1.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
+3.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−25.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
+0.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−10.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
+6.5
14
vsBCU
BCUW 82-60
−4.5
22
vsILL
ILLL 48-91
−14.5
3
vsFLA
FLAW 76-74
−4.5
7
@UK
UKW 73-68
−9.5
10
@MISS
MISSL 69-76
+1.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 84-74
+4.5
17
@LSU
LSUL 70-78
−0.5
20
vsUGA
UGAL 72-74
−17.5
24
vsOU
OUW 88-87
+23.5
27
@ALA
ALAL 64-90
−13.5
31
vsMSST
MSSTW 84-79
+16.5
7
@SC
SCW 78-59
−10.5
11
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-85
+10.5
14
vsTEX
TEXL 68-85
+2.5
18
vsVAN
VANW 81-80
+6.5
over 12under 14avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arkansas
26 games played
Straight up
19-7
73% wins
Against the spread
18-8
69% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-13
50% overs · avg +5.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SOU | W 109-77 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 8 | @ MSU | L 66-69 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | vs CARK | W 93-56 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAM | W 79-75 | -24.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs WIN | W 84-83 | -23.5 | L −22.5 | 168.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs JKST | W 115-61 | -29.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 27 | vs DUKE | L 71-80 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs LOU | W 89-80 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs FRES | W 82-58 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs TTU | W 93-86 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs QUC | W 108-80 | -23.5 | W +4.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | vs HOU | L 85-94 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs JMU | W 103-74 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 3 | vs TENN | W 86-75 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 7 | @MISS | W 94-87 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | @AUB | L 73-95 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | vsSC | W 108-74 | -12.5 | W +21.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | @UGA | L 76-90 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 181.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 20 | vsVAN | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 173.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 24 | vsLSU | W 85-81 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 27 | @OU | W 83-79 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 167.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 31 | vsUK | L 77-85 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 7 | @MSST | W 88-68 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 163.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 10 | @LSU | W 91-62 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 14 | vsAUB | W 88-75 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 18 | @ALA | L 115-117 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 181.5 | O 232 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+5.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−0.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
+1.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−20.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−22.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+24.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
+3.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+10.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
+4.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+9.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+4.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
−3.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+5.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+12.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+3.5
10
@AUB
AUBL 73-95
−19.5
14
vsSC
SCW 108-74
+21.5
17
@UGA
UGAL 76-90
−11.5
20
vsVAN
VANW 93-68
+23.5
24
vsLSU
LSUW 85-81
−6.5
27
@OU
OUW 83-79
+0.5
31
vsUK
UKL 77-85
−14.5
7
@MSST
MSSTW 88-68
+14.5
10
@LSU
LSUW 91-62
+24.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 88-75
+5.5
18
@ALA
ALAL 115-117
+1.5
covered 18didn’t cover 8avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+35.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−20.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
−9.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−4.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−1.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+16.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
−8.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+2.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
−21.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+23.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+18.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
+32.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+17.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+2.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+27.5
10
@AUB
AUBL 73-95
−1.5
14
vsSC
SCW 108-74
+26.5
17
@UGA
UGAL 76-90
−15.5
20
vsVAN
VANW 93-68
−12.5
24
vsLSU
LSUW 85-81
+2.5
27
@OU
OUW 83-79
−5.5
31
vsUK
UKL 77-85
+2.5
7
@MSST
MSSTW 88-68
−7.5
10
@LSU
LSUW 91-62
−6.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 88-75
−2.5
18
@ALA
ALAL 115-117
+50.5
over 13under 13avg +5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Missouri
18-8 overall · 8-5 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Vanderbilt81–80
- Lvs Texas68–85
- W@ Texas A&M86–85
- W@ South Carolina78–59
- Wvs Mississippi St84–79
3 days since their last game.
Arkansas
19-7 overall · 9-4 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Alabama115–117
- Wvs Auburn88–75
- W@ LSU91–62
- W@ Mississippi St88–68
- Lvs Kentucky77–85
3 days since their last game.