Bud Walton Arena · at Arkansas · Conference game
Closing line
ARK -6.5✓ UK covered by 14.5
ARK -6.5✓ UK covered by 14.5Closing total159.5Over by 2.5
 UK | This season | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| 14-7 | Record | 16-5 |
| 8-13 | ATS | 14-7 |
| 9-12 | O/U | 11-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UK 80–84 ARK · ✗ ARK (62%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UK | 42 | 43 | 85 |
| ARK | 35 | 42 | 77 |
1st half: UK 42, ARK 35 (UK by 7). The model had ARK by 1.9 and a total of 76.6 (actual 77).
Team stats
| UK | ARK | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-56 54% | Field goals | 29-59 49% |
| 6-13 46% | 3-pointers | 3-14 21% |
| 19-30 63% | Free throws | 16-26 62% |
| 35 10 off | Rebounds | 26 9 off |
| 11 | Assists | 10 |
| 2 | Steals | 2 |
| 6 | Blocks | 3 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 22 | Fouls | 24 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| UK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otega Oweh G | 38 | 24 | 8 | 3 | 9-12 | 0-1 |
| Denzel Aberdeen G | 38 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 4-9 | 2-3 |
| Malachi Moreno C | 27 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Collin Chandler G | 23 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 5-9 | 2-4 |
| Andrija Jelavic F | 13 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mo Dioubate F | 26 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Trent Noah F | 19 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Brandon Garrison F | 13 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Jasper Johnson G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Walker Horn, Zach Tow, Reece Potter, Jayden Quaintance, Braydon Hawthorne, Kam Williams, Jaland Lowe
| ARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr. G | 39 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 8-20 | 1-4 |
| Trevon Brazile F | 38 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 5-10 | 2-6 |
| Meleek Thomas G | 26 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Karter Knox G | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Nick Pringle F | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Billy Richmond III G | 28 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 6-8 | 0-1 |
| Malique Ewin F | 25 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| DJ Wagner G | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Ayden Kelley, Paulo Semedo, Karim Rtail, Elmir Dzafic, Jaden Karuletwa, Amere Brown, Isaiah Sealy
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARK -6.5
no move
CloseARK -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open162.5
▼ 3
Close159.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
UK +240 · ARK -298
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARK -6.5 · unchangedmodel ARK -3.5
model ARK -3.5
Opened 162.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 3 downmodel 164
model 164
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ARK -6.5 | ARK -3.5 | UK +3.0 | W UK covered |
| Total | 159.5 | 163.8 | Over 4.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | UK 80.1 · ARK 83.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ARK -1.9 | UK -7.0 |
| 1H total | 76.6 | 77 |
| 1H projected score | UK 37.3 · ARK 39.3 | UK 42 · ARK 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UK | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| ARK | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
UK 3–3 ARKSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · UK 2-3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | ARK 89 @ UK 79 | UK -8.5 | ARK W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | ARK 102 @ UK 111 | UK -12.5 | ARK W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | UK 63 @ ARK 57 | ARK +5.5 | UK W |
| Mar 4, 2022-23 | UK 88 @ ARK 79 | ARK -4.5 | UK W |
| Feb 7, 2022-23 | ARK 88 @ UK 73 | UK -5.5 | ARK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Kentucky
21 games played
Straight up
14-7
67% wins
Against the spread
8-13
38% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-12
43% overs · avg −3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs NICH | W 77-51 | -31.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 7 | vs VAL | W 107-59 | -32.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 11 | @ LOU | L 88-96 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 173.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 14 | vs EIU | W 99-53 | -35.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 18 | vs MSU | L 66-83 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs L-MD | W 88-46 | -35.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 26 | vs TNTC | W 104-54 | -37.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 2 | vs UNC | L 64-67 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 163.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 5 | vs GONZ | L 59-94 | +5.5 | L −29.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 9 | vs NCCU | W 103-67 | -42.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 13 | vs IU | W 72-60 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 20 | vs SJU | W 78-66 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 23 | vs BELL | W 99-85 | -34.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 3 | @ ALA | L 74-89 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 173.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 7 | vs MIZ | L 68-73 | -12.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vs MSST | W 92-68 | -10.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 14 | @ LSU | W 75-74 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | @ TENN | W 80-78 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 21 | vs TEX | W 85-80 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vs MISS | W 72-63 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 27 | @ VAN | L 55-80 | +5.5 | L −19.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsNICH
NICHW 77-51
−5.5
7
vsVAL
VALW 107-59
+15.5
11
@LOU
LOUL 88-96
−2.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 99-53
+10.5
18
vsMSU
MSUL 66-83
−20.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 88-46
+6.5
26
vsTNTC
TNTCW 104-54
+12.5
2
vsUNC
UNCL 64-67
−10.5
5
vsGONZ
GONZL 59-94
−29.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 103-67
−6.5
13
vsIU
IUW 72-60
+8.5
20
vsSJU
SJUW 78-66
+10.5
23
vsBELL
BELLW 99-85
−20.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 74-89
−9.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZL 68-73
−17.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 92-68
+13.5
14
@LSU
LSUW 75-74
−2.5
17
@TENN
TENNW 80-78
+8.5
21
vsTEX
TEXW 85-80
−2.5
24
vsMISS
MISSW 72-63
−2.5
27
@VAN
VANL 55-80
−19.5
covered 8didn’t cover 13avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsNICH
NICHW 77-51
−29.5
7
vsVAL
VALW 107-59
+8.5
11
@LOU
LOUL 88-96
+10.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 99-53
+4.5
18
vsMSU
MSUL 66-83
−3.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 88-46
−25.5
26
vsTNTC
TNTCW 104-54
+0.5
2
vsUNC
UNCL 64-67
−32.5
5
vsGONZ
GONZL 59-94
−6.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 103-67
+21.5
13
vsIU
IUW 72-60
−24.5
20
vsSJU
SJUW 78-66
−10.5
23
vsBELL
BELLW 99-85
+31.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 74-89
−10.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZL 68-73
−9.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 92-68
+7.5
14
@LSU
LSUW 75-74
−2.5
17
@TENN
TENNW 80-78
+12.5
21
vsTEX
TEXW 85-80
+12.5
24
vsMISS
MISSW 72-63
−10.5
27
@VAN
VANL 55-80
−20.5
over 9under 12avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arkansas
21 games played
Straight up
16-5
76% wins
Against the spread
14-7
67% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-10
52% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SOU | W 109-77 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 8 | @MSU | L 66-69 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | vs CARK | W 93-56 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAM | W 79-75 | -24.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs WIN | W 84-83 | -23.5 | L −22.5 | 168.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs JKST | W 115-61 | -29.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 27 | vs DUKE | L 71-80 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | vsLOU | W 89-80 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs FRES | W 82-58 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs TTU | W 93-86 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs QUC | W 108-80 | -23.5 | W +4.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | vs HOU | L 85-94 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs JMU | W 103-74 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 3 | vsTENN | W 86-75 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 7 | @MISS | W 94-87 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | @ AUB | L 73-95 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | vs SC | W 108-74 | -12.5 | W +21.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | @ UGA | L 76-90 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 181.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 20 | vsVAN | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 173.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 24 | vsLSU | W 85-81 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 27 | @ OU | W 83-79 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 167.5 | U 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+5.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−0.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
+1.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−20.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−22.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+24.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
+3.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+10.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
+4.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+9.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+4.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
−3.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+5.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+12.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+3.5
10
@AUB
AUBL 73-95
−19.5
14
vsSC
SCW 108-74
+21.5
17
@UGA
UGAL 76-90
−11.5
20
vsVAN
VANW 93-68
+23.5
24
vsLSU
LSUW 85-81
−6.5
27
@OU
OUW 83-79
+0.5
covered 14didn’t cover 7avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+35.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−20.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
−9.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−4.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−1.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+16.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
−8.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+2.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
−21.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+23.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+18.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
+32.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+17.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+2.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+27.5
10
@AUB
AUBL 73-95
−1.5
14
vsSC
SCW 108-74
+26.5
17
@UGA
UGAL 76-90
−15.5
20
vsVAN
VANW 93-68
−12.5
24
vsLSU
LSUW 85-81
+2.5
27
@OU
OUW 83-79
−5.5
over 11under 10avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Kentucky
14-7 overall · 5-3 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Vanderbilt55–80
- Wvs Ole Miss72–63
- Wvs Texas85–80
- W@ Tennessee80–78
- W@ LSU75–74
4 days since their last game.
Arkansas
16-5 overall · 6-2 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Oklahoma83–79
- Wvs LSU85–81
- Wvs Vanderbilt93–68
- L@ Georgia76–90
- Wvs South Carolina108–74
4 days since their last game.