Stephen C. O'Connell Center · at Florida · Conference game
Closing line
FLA -9.5✓ FLA covered by 24.5
FLA -9.5✓ FLA covered by 24.5Closing total169.5Over by 18.5
 ARK | This season | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| 21-7 | Record | 22-6 |
| 19-9 | ATS | 15-13 |
| 15-13 | O/U | 11-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ARK 79–89 FLA · ✓ FLA (80%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARK | 34 | 43 | 77 |
| FLA | 53 | 58 | 111 |
1st half: ARK 34, FLA 53 (FLA by 19). The model had FLA by 5.6 and a total of 78.4 (actual 87).
Team stats
| ARK | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-75 40% | Field goals | 39-69 57% |
| 4-13 31% | 3-pointers | 8-19 42% |
| 13-24 54% | Free throws | 25-32 78% |
| 31 14 off | Rebounds | 51 16 off |
| 10 | Assists | 17 |
| 7 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 25 | Fouls | 20 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 56 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| ARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Richmond III G | 39 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 9-17 | 0-2 |
| Darius Acuff Jr. G | 34 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 6-19 | 1-3 |
| Meleek Thomas G | 30 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 5-13 | 0-2 |
| Trevon Brazile F | 25 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Nick Pringle F | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DJ Wagner G | 28 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-8 | 3-4 |
| Malique Ewin F | 26 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 4-12 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Sealy F | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Amere Brown, Jaden Karuletwa, Ayden Kelley, Karter Knox, Paulo Semedo, Karim Rtail, Elmir Dzafic
| FLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Condon F | 31 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 7-14 | 0-1 |
| Thomas Haugh F | 29 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 7-12 | 1-3 |
| Xaivian Lee G | 29 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 6-10 | 0-3 |
| Rueben Chinyelu C | 24 | 12 | 16 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Boogie Fland G | 21 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Urban Klavzar G | 26 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 4-10 | 4-7 |
| Micah Handlogten C | 16 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Brown G | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 4-5 | 2-2 |
| Alex Kovatchev G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| CJ Ingram G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Alex Lloyd G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Viktor Mikic C | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Olivier Rioux C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: AJ Brown, Cooper Josefsberg
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFLA -9.5
no move
CloseFLA -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open166.5
▲ 3
Close169.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
ARK +350 · FLA -455
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FLA -9.5 · unchangedmodel FLA -9.5 matches the line
model FLA -9.5 = line ✓
Opened 166.5 · closed 169.5 · moved 3 upmodel 168
model 168
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | FLA -9.5 | FLA -9.6 | FLA +0.1 | W FLA covered |
| Total | 169.5 | 167.9 | Under 1.6 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | ARK 79.1 · FLA 88.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | FLA -5.6 | FLA -19.0 |
| 1H total | 78.4 | 87 |
| 1H projected score | ARK 36.4 · FLA 42 | ARK 34 · FLA 53 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARK | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| FLA | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ARK 2–2 FLASeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · FLA has won the last 2 meetings · ARK 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | FLA 71 @ ARK 63 | ARK +3.5 | FLA W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | ARK 68 @ FLA 90 | FLA -7.5 | FLA W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | FLA 65 @ ARK 84 | ARK -8.5 | ARK W |
| Feb 22, 2021-22 | ARK 82 @ FLA 74 | FLA +1 | ARK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Arkansas
28 games played
Straight up
21-7
75% wins
Against the spread
19-9
68% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-13
54% overs · avg +6.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SOU | W 109-77 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 8 | @ MSU | L 66-69 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | vs CARK | W 93-56 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAM | W 79-75 | -24.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs WIN | W 84-83 | -23.5 | L −22.5 | 168.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs JKST | W 115-61 | -29.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 27 | vs DUKE | L 71-80 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs LOU | W 89-80 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs FRES | W 82-58 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs TTU | W 93-86 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs QUC | W 108-80 | -23.5 | W +4.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | vs HOU | L 85-94 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs JMU | W 103-74 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 3 | vs TENN | W 86-75 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 7 | @ MISS | W 94-87 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | @ AUB | L 73-95 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | vs SC | W 108-74 | -12.5 | W +21.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | @ UGA | L 76-90 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 181.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 20 | vs VAN | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 173.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 24 | vs LSU | W 85-81 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 27 | @ OU | W 83-79 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 167.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 31 | vs UK | L 77-85 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 7 | @ MSST | W 88-68 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 163.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 10 | @LSU | W 91-62 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 14 | vsAUB | W 88-75 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 18 | @ ALA | L 115-117 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 181.5 | O 232 |
| Feb 21 | vs MIZ | W 94-86 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 25 | vs TA&M | W 99-84 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 170.5 | O 183 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+5.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−0.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
+1.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−20.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−22.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+24.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
+3.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+10.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
+4.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+9.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+4.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
−3.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+5.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+12.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+3.5
10
@AUB
AUBL 73-95
−19.5
14
vsSC
SCW 108-74
+21.5
17
@UGA
UGAL 76-90
−11.5
20
vsVAN
VANW 93-68
+23.5
24
vsLSU
LSUW 85-81
−6.5
27
@OU
OUW 83-79
+0.5
31
vsUK
UKL 77-85
−14.5
7
@MSST
MSSTW 88-68
+14.5
10
@LSU
LSUW 91-62
+24.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 88-75
+5.5
18
@ALA
ALAL 115-117
+1.5
21
vsMIZ
MIZW 94-86
−1.5
25
vsTA&M
TA&MW 99-84
+7.5
covered 19didn’t cover 9avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+35.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−20.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
−9.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−4.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−1.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+16.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
−8.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+2.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
−21.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+23.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+18.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
+32.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+17.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+2.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+27.5
10
@AUB
AUBL 73-95
−1.5
14
vsSC
SCW 108-74
+26.5
17
@UGA
UGAL 76-90
−15.5
20
vsVAN
VANW 93-68
−12.5
24
vsLSU
LSUW 85-81
+2.5
27
@OU
OUW 83-79
−5.5
31
vsUK
UKL 77-85
+2.5
7
@MSST
MSSTW 88-68
−7.5
10
@LSU
LSUW 91-62
−6.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 88-75
−2.5
18
@ALA
ALAL 115-117
+50.5
21
vsMIZ
MIZW 94-86
+20.5
25
vsTA&M
TA&MW 99-84
+12.5
over 15under 13avg +6.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Florida
28 games played
Straight up
22-6
79% wins
Against the spread
15-13
54% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-17
39% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ARIZ | L 87-93 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 6 | vs UNF | W 104-64 | -43.5 | L −3.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs FSU | W 78-76 | -17.5 | L −15.5 | 180.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | vs MIA | W 82-68 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 171.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 21 | vs MRMK | W 80-45 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 27 | vs TCU | L 80-84 | -11.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs PROV | W 90-78 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Dec 2 | @DUKE | L 66-67 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 9 | vs CONN | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs GW | W 80-70 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 17 | vs SFPA | W 102-61 | -44.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs COLG | W 90-60 | -27.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | vs DART | W 94-72 | -35.5 | L −13.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 3 | @MIZ | L 74-76 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 6 | vsUGA | W 92-77 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Jan 10 | vsTENN | W 91-67 | -4.5 | W +19.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 13 | @OU | W 96-79 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 17 | @VAN | W 98-94 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 164.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 20 | vsLSU | W 79-61 | -15.5 | W +2.5 | 158.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | vsAUB | L 67-76 | -11.5 | L −20.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 28 | @SC | W 95-48 | -13.5 | W +33.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 1 | vsALA | W 100-77 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 176.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 7 | @TA&M | W 86-67 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 167.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 11 | @UGA | W 86-66 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 14 | vsUK | W 92-83 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 17 | vsSC | W 76-62 | -23.5 | L −9.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 21 | @MISS | W 94-75 | -13.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 25 | @ TEX | W 84-71 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
−9.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−3.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−15.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
+3.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−1.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
−15.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−0.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
+8.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+0.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−4.5
17
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-61
−3.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 90-60
+2.5
29
vsDART
DARTW 94-72
−13.5
3
@MIZ
MIZL 74-76
−9.5
6
vsUGA
UGAW 92-77
+5.5
10
vsTENN
TENNW 91-67
+19.5
13
@OU
OUW 96-79
+9.5
17
@VAN
VANW 98-94
+2.5
20
vsLSU
LSUW 79-61
+2.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 67-76
−20.5
28
@SC
SCW 95-48
+33.5
1
vsALA
ALAW 100-77
+13.5
7
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-67
+13.5
11
@UGA
UGAW 86-66
+11.5
14
vsUK
UKW 92-83
−3.5
17
vsSC
SCW 76-62
−9.5
21
@MISS
MISSW 94-75
+5.5
25
@TEX
TEXW 84-71
+6.5
covered 15didn’t cover 13avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
+15.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−1.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−26.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
−21.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−33.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
+8.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−1.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
−24.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+4.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−12.5
17
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-61
+6.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 90-60
−6.5
29
vsDART
DARTW 94-72
+5.5
3
@MIZ
MIZL 74-76
−4.5
6
vsUGA
UGAW 92-77
−3.5
10
vsTENN
TENNW 91-67
+6.5
13
@OU
OUW 96-79
+17.5
17
@VAN
VANW 98-94
+27.5
20
vsLSU
LSUW 79-61
−18.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 67-76
−16.5
28
@SC
SCW 95-48
−8.5
1
vsALA
ALAW 100-77
+0.5
7
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-67
−14.5
11
@UGA
UGAW 86-66
−12.5
14
vsUK
UKW 92-83
+20.5
17
vsSC
SCW 76-62
−18.5
21
@MISS
MISSW 94-75
+16.5
25
@TEX
TEXW 84-71
−2.5
over 11under 17avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Arkansas
21-7 overall · 11-4 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Texas A&M99–84
- Wvs Missouri94–86
- L@ Alabama115–117
- Wvs Auburn88–75
- W@ LSU91–62
3 days since their last game.
Florida
22-6 overall · 13-2 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Texas84–71
- W@ Ole Miss94–75
- Wvs South Carolina76–62
- Wvs Kentucky92–83
- W@ Georgia86–66
3 days since their last game.