Moody Center · at Texas · Conference game
Closing line
FLA -6.5✓ FLA covered by 6.5
FLA -6.5✓ FLA covered by 6.5Closing total157.5Under by 2.5
| FLA | This season | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| 21-6 | Record | 16-10 |
| 14-13 | ATS | 15-11 |
| 11-16 | O/U | 17-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FLA 84–76 TEX · ✓ FLA (76%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 36 | 48 | 84 |
| TEX | 39 | 32 | 71 |
1st half: FLA 36, TEX 39 (TEX by 3). The model had FLA by 4.9 and a total of 75.1 (actual 75).
Team stats
| FLA | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-54 59% | Field goals | 25-58 43% |
| 8-18 44% | 3-pointers | 5-13 38% |
| 12-15 80% | Free throws | 16-21 76% |
| 29 7 off | Rebounds | 30 14 off |
| 15 | Assists | 2 |
| 8 | Steals | 6 |
| 11 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| FLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Condon F | 34 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 10-12 | 1-1 |
| Boogie Fland G | 31 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 7-10 | 2-3 |
| Xaivian Lee G | 30 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Thomas Haugh F | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-4 |
| Rueben Chinyelu C | 24 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Brown G | 21 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Urban Klavzar G | 20 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Micah Handlogten C | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cooper Josefsberg, AJ Brown, Alex Kovatchev, Olivier Rioux, CJ Ingram, Alex Lloyd, Viktor Mikic
| TEX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailyn Swain G | 39 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 7-18 | 0-2 |
| Matas Vokietaitis C | 34 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Tramon Mark G | 27 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 6-9 | 3-5 |
| Jordan Pope G | 26 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 4-11 | 2-4 |
| Camden Heide F | 21 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chendall Weaver G | 19 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Nic Codie F | 19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Simeon Wilcher G | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: John Clark, Brandon Taylor, Anthon McDermott, Cole Bott, Lassina Traore, Declan Duru Jr., Lewis Obiorah
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFLA -7.5
1 → TEX
CloseFLA -6.5
1 pt toward TEX
Total
Open157.5
no move
Close157.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
FLA -325 · TEX +260
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FLA -7.5 · closed FLA -6.5 · moved 1 toward TEXmodel FLA -8
model FLA -8
Opened 157.5 · unchangedmodel 160.5
model 160.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | FLA -6.5 | FLA -8.1 | FLA +1.6 | W FLA covered |
| Total | 157.5 | 160.6 | Over 3.1 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | FLA 84.4 · TEX 76.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | FLA -4.9 | TEX -3.0 |
| 1H total | 75.1 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | FLA 40 · TEX 35.1 | FLA 36 · TEX 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| TEX | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
FLA 1–0 TEXFLA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · FLA 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | TEX 60 @ FLA 84 | FLA -10.5 | FLA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Florida
27 games played
Straight up
21-6
78% wins
Against the spread
14-13
52% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-16
41% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ARIZ | L 87-93 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 6 | vs UNF | W 104-64 | -43.5 | L −3.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs FSU | W 78-76 | -17.5 | L −15.5 | 180.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | vs MIA | W 82-68 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 171.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 21 | vs MRMK | W 80-45 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 27 | vs TCU | L 80-84 | -11.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs PROV | W 90-78 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Dec 2 | @ DUKE | L 66-67 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 9 | vs CONN | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs GW | W 80-70 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 17 | vs SFPA | W 102-61 | -44.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs COLG | W 90-60 | -27.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | vs DART | W 94-72 | -35.5 | L −13.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 3 | @ MIZ | L 74-76 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 6 | vs UGA | W 92-77 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs TENN | W 91-67 | -4.5 | W +19.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 13 | @ OU | W 96-79 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 17 | @ VAN | W 98-94 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 164.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 20 | vs LSU | W 79-61 | -15.5 | W +2.5 | 158.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | vs AUB | L 67-76 | -11.5 | L −20.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 28 | @ SC | W 95-48 | -13.5 | W +33.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 1 | vs ALA | W 100-77 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 176.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 7 | @ TA&M | W 86-67 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 167.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 11 | @UGA | W 86-66 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 14 | vs UK | W 92-83 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 17 | vsSC | W 76-62 | -23.5 | L −9.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 21 | @ MISS | W 94-75 | -13.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
−9.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−3.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−15.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
+3.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−1.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
−15.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−0.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
+8.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+0.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−4.5
17
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-61
−3.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 90-60
+2.5
29
vsDART
DARTW 94-72
−13.5
3
@MIZ
MIZL 74-76
−9.5
6
vsUGA
UGAW 92-77
+5.5
10
vsTENN
TENNW 91-67
+19.5
13
@OU
OUW 96-79
+9.5
17
@VAN
VANW 98-94
+2.5
20
vsLSU
LSUW 79-61
+2.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 67-76
−20.5
28
@SC
SCW 95-48
+33.5
1
vsALA
ALAW 100-77
+13.5
7
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-67
+13.5
11
@UGA
UGAW 86-66
+11.5
14
vsUK
UKW 92-83
−3.5
17
vsSC
SCW 76-62
−9.5
21
@MISS
MISSW 94-75
+5.5
covered 14didn’t cover 13avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
+15.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−1.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−26.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
−21.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−33.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
+8.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−1.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
−24.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+4.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−12.5
17
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-61
+6.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 90-60
−6.5
29
vsDART
DARTW 94-72
+5.5
3
@MIZ
MIZL 74-76
−4.5
6
vsUGA
UGAW 92-77
−3.5
10
vsTENN
TENNW 91-67
+6.5
13
@OU
OUW 96-79
+17.5
17
@VAN
VANW 98-94
+27.5
20
vsLSU
LSUW 79-61
−18.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 67-76
−16.5
28
@SC
SCW 95-48
−8.5
1
vsALA
ALAW 100-77
+0.5
7
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-67
−14.5
11
@UGA
UGAW 86-66
−12.5
14
vsUK
UKW 92-83
+20.5
17
vsSC
SCW 76-62
−18.5
21
@MISS
MISSW 94-75
+16.5
over 11under 16avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas
26 games played
Straight up
16-10
62% wins
Against the spread
15-11
58% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-9
65% overs · avg +3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vsDUKE | L 60-75 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs LAF | W 97-60 | -25.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs FDU | W 93-58 | -31.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs KC | W 71-55 | -31.5 | L −15.5 | 159.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 18 | vs RID | W 99-65 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs ASU | L 86-87 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 26 | vs NCSU | W 102-97 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVA | L 69-88 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 8 | vs SOU | W 95-69 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 12 | @CONN | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | vs LEM | W 95-53 | -29.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 22 | vs UMES | W 94-71 | -33.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vs MSST | L 98-101 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 199 |
| Jan 6 | @TENN | L 71-85 | +12.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @ALA | W 92-88 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 177.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 14 | vsVAN | W 80-64 | +3.5 | W +19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsTA&M | L 70-74 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 166.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 21 | @UK | L 80-85 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vsUGA | W 87-67 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 28 | @AUB | L 82-88 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | @OU | W 79-69 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 3 | vsSC | W 84-75 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 7 | vsMISS | W 79-68 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 14 | @MIZ | W 85-68 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 17 | vsLSU | W 88-85 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 21 | @UGA | L 80-91 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 162.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−4.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+11.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
+3.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−15.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+3.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
−7.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+6.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
−22.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+3.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
+3.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
+12.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
−10.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
−12.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
−1.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+15.5
14
vsVAN
VANW 80-64
+19.5
17
vsTA&M
TA&ML 70-74
−8.5
21
@UK
UKL 80-85
+2.5
24
vsUGA
UGAW 87-67
+16.5
28
@AUB
AUBL 82-88
+0.5
31
@OU
OUW 79-69
+8.5
3
vsSC
SCW 84-75
−4.5
7
vsMISS
MISSW 79-68
+1.5
14
@MIZ
MIZW 85-68
+19.5
17
vsLSU
LSUW 88-85
−7.5
21
@UGA
UGAL 80-91
−8.5
covered 15didn’t cover 11avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−18.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+3.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
−7.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−33.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+20.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
+19.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+37.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
+2.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+5.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
−11.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
−4.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
+26.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
+41.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
+2.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+2.5
14
vsVAN
VANW 80-64
−19.5
17
vsTA&M
TA&ML 70-74
−22.5
21
@UK
UKL 80-85
+12.5
24
vsUGA
UGAW 87-67
−14.5
28
@AUB
AUBL 82-88
+15.5
31
@OU
OUW 79-69
−7.5
3
vsSC
SCW 84-75
+9.5
7
vsMISS
MISSW 79-68
+1.5
14
@MIZ
MIZW 85-68
+2.5
17
vsLSU
LSUW 88-85
+22.5
21
@UGA
UGAL 80-91
+8.5
over 17under 9avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Florida
21-6 overall · 12-2 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Ole Miss94–75
- Wvs South Carolina76–62
- Wvs Kentucky92–83
- W@ Georgia86–66
- W@ Texas A&M86–67
4 days since their last game.
Texas
16-10 overall · 8-6 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Georgia80–91
- Wvs LSU88–85
- W@ Missouri85–68
- Wvs Ole Miss79–68
- Wvs South Carolina84–75
4 days since their last game.