Stegeman Coliseum · at Georgia · Conference game
Closing line
UGA -2.5✓ UGA covered by 8.5
UGA -2.5✓ UGA covered by 8.5Closing total162.5Over by 8.5
 TEX | This season | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| 16-9 | Record | 18-8 |
| 15-10 | ATS | 12-14 |
| 16-9 | O/U | 13-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TEX 84–86 UGA · ✓ UGA (60%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 35 | 45 | 80 |
| UGA | 45 | 46 | 91 |
1st half: TEX 35, UGA 45 (UGA by 10). The model had UGA by 1.6 and a total of 79.4 (actual 80).
Team stats
| TEX | UGA | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-49 57% | Field goals | 34-57 60% |
| 6-12 50% | 3-pointers | 11-20 55% |
| 18-24 75% | Free throws | 12-14 86% |
| 22 6 off | Rebounds | 24 8 off |
| 12 | Assists | 17 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| TEX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailyn Swain G | 38 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 6-11 | 1-2 |
| Jordan Pope G | 34 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 5-9 | 3-4 |
| Matas Vokietaitis C | 26 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 8-10 | 0-0 |
| Tramon Mark G | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Camden Heide F | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chendall Weaver G | 30 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Simeon Wilcher G | 22 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Nic Codie F | 14 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: John Clark, Brandon Taylor, Anthon McDermott, Cole Bott, Lassina Traore, Declan Duru Jr., Lewis Obiorah
| UGA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Cain G | 32 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Kanon Catchings F | 27 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Marcus Millender G | 25 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 6-9 | 3-4 |
| Somto Cyril C | 23 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Kareem Stagg F | 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jeremiah Wilkinson G | 25 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 6-12 | 3-6 |
| Jordan Ross G | 24 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Dylan James F | 11 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jake Wilkins F | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Justin Abson F | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jackson McVey, Justin Bailey, Jaden Newell, Markel Jennings, Brandon Klatsky
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUGA -2.5
ModelUGA -2.9
Model edgeUGA +0.4
W UGA covered
Total
Market162.5
Model169.9
Model edgeOver 7.4
W Over
Projected score
TEX 83.5 · UGA 86.4
TEX 80 · UGA 91
Win probability
UGA 60%
1st half
Spread
UGA -1.6
UGA -10.0
Total
79.4
80 points
Projected score
TEX 38.9 · UGA 40.5
TEX 35 · UGA 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUGA -2.5
no move
CloseUGA -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open164.5
▼ 2
Close162.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
TEX +136 · UGA -162
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UGA -2.5 · unchangedmodel UGA -3
model UGA -3
Opened 164.5 · closed 162.5 · moved 2 downmodel 170
model 170
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
| UGA | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TEX 1–1 UGASeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · TEX 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025-26 | UGA 67 @ TEX 87 | TEX -3.5 | TEX W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | UGA 83 @ TEX 67 | TEX -5.5 | UGA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas
25 games played
Straight up
16-9
64% wins
Against the spread
15-10
60% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-9
64% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs DUKE | L 60-75 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs LAF | W 97-60 | -25.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs FDU | W 93-58 | -31.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs KC | W 71-55 | -31.5 | L −15.5 | 159.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 18 | vs RID | W 99-65 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs ASU | L 86-87 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 26 | vs NCSU | W 102-97 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVA | L 69-88 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 8 | vs SOU | W 95-69 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 12 | @ CONN | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | vs LEM | W 95-53 | -29.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 22 | vs UMES | W 94-71 | -33.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vs MSST | L 98-101 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 199 |
| Jan 6 | @ TENN | L 71-85 | +12.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @ ALA | W 92-88 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 177.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 14 | vs VAN | W 80-64 | +3.5 | W +19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs TA&M | L 70-74 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 166.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 21 | @ UK | L 80-85 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vsUGA | W 87-67 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 28 | @ AUB | L 82-88 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | @ OU | W 79-69 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 3 | vs SC | W 84-75 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 7 | vs MISS | W 79-68 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 14 | @ MIZ | W 85-68 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 17 | vs LSU | W 88-85 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−4.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+11.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
+3.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−15.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+3.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
−7.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+6.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
−22.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+3.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
+3.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
+12.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
−10.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
−12.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
−1.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+15.5
14
vsVAN
VANW 80-64
+19.5
17
vsTA&M
TA&ML 70-74
−8.5
21
@UK
UKL 80-85
+2.5
24
vsUGA
UGAW 87-67
+16.5
28
@AUB
AUBL 82-88
+0.5
31
@OU
OUW 79-69
+8.5
3
vsSC
SCW 84-75
−4.5
7
vsMISS
MISSW 79-68
+1.5
14
@MIZ
MIZW 85-68
+19.5
17
vsLSU
LSUW 88-85
−7.5
covered 15didn’t cover 10avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−18.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+3.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
−7.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−33.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+20.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
+19.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+37.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
+2.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+5.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
−11.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
−4.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
+26.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
+41.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
+2.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+2.5
14
vsVAN
VANW 80-64
−19.5
17
vsTA&M
TA&ML 70-74
−22.5
21
@UK
UKL 80-85
+12.5
24
vsUGA
UGAW 87-67
−14.5
28
@AUB
AUBL 82-88
+15.5
31
@OU
OUW 79-69
−7.5
3
vsSC
SCW 84-75
+9.5
7
vsMISS
MISSW 79-68
+1.5
14
@MIZ
MIZW 85-68
+2.5
17
vsLSU
LSUW 88-85
+22.5
over 16under 9avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Georgia
26 games played
Straight up
18-8
69% wins
Against the spread
12-14
46% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-13
50% overs · avg +4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BELL | W 104-59 | -23.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 5 | vsUMES | W 94-29 | -33.5 | W +31.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 9 | vs MORE | W 120-81 | -28.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 201 |
| Nov 14 | vs GT | W 92-87 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 17 | vs FAMU | W 87-57 | -40.5 | L −10.5 | 170.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs XAV | W 78-77 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs CLEM | L 94-97 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 29 | vs TNTC | W 123-81 | -34.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | O 204 |
| Dec 2 | @ FSU | W 107-73 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 176.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 13 | vs CIN | W 84-65 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 18 | vs WCU | W 112-82 | -32.5 | L −2.5 | 167.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 22 | vs WGA | W 103-74 | -36.5 | L −7.5 | 173.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 29 | vs LIU | W 89-74 | -30.5 | L −15.5 | 179.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 3 | vsAUB | W 104-100 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 173.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 6 | @ FLA | L 77-92 | +9.5 | L −5.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Jan 10 | @SC | W 75-70 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | vsMISS | L 95-97 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 158.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 17 | vs ARK | W 90-76 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 181.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 20 | @MIZ | W 74-72 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 163.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 24 | @TEX | L 67-87 | +3.5 | L −16.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 28 | vsTENN | L 85-86 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 31 | vsTA&M | L 77-92 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 173.5 | U 169 |
| Feb 7 | @LSU | W 83-71 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 11 | vsFLA | L 66-86 | +8.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 14 | @OU | L 78-94 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 164.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 17 | @UK | W 86-78 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBELL
BELLW 104-59
+21.5
5
vsUMES
UMESW 94-29
+31.5
9
vsMORE
MOREW 120-81
+10.5
14
vsGT
GTW 92-87
−10.5
17
vsFAMU
FAMUW 87-57
−10.5
21
vsXAV
XAVW 78-77
−9.5
23
vsCLEM
CLEML 94-97
−1.5
29
vsTNTC
TNTCW 123-81
+7.5
2
@FSU
FSUW 107-73
+35.5
13
vsCIN
CINW 84-65
+13.5
18
vsWCU
WCUW 112-82
−2.5
22
vsWGA
WGAW 103-74
−7.5
29
vsLIU
LIUW 89-74
−15.5
3
vsAUB
AUBW 104-100
−2.5
6
@FLA
FLAL 77-92
−5.5
10
@SC
SCW 75-70
+0.5
14
vsMISS
MISSL 95-97
−12.5
17
vsARK
ARKW 90-76
+11.5
20
@MIZ
MIZW 74-72
+3.5
24
@TEX
TEXL 67-87
−16.5
28
vsTENN
TENNL 85-86
+0.5
31
vsTA&M
TA&ML 77-92
−19.5
7
@LSU
LSUW 83-71
+10.5
11
vsFLA
FLAL 66-86
−11.5
14
@OU
OUL 78-94
−14.5
17
@UK
UKW 86-78
+14.5
covered 12didn’t cover 14avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBELL
BELLW 104-59
+12.5
5
vsUMES
UMESW 94-29
−19.5
9
vsMORE
MOREW 120-81
+50.5
14
vsGT
GTW 92-87
+23.5
17
vsFAMU
FAMUW 87-57
−26.5
21
vsXAV
XAVW 78-77
−10.5
23
vsCLEM
CLEML 94-97
+38.5
29
vsTNTC
TNTCW 123-81
+43.5
2
@FSU
FSUW 107-73
+3.5
13
vsCIN
CINW 84-65
−8.5
18
vsWCU
WCUW 112-82
+26.5
22
vsWGA
WGAW 103-74
+3.5
29
vsLIU
LIUW 89-74
−16.5
3
vsAUB
AUBW 104-100
+30.5
6
@FLA
FLAL 77-92
−3.5
10
@SC
SCW 75-70
−18.5
14
vsMISS
MISSL 95-97
+33.5
17
vsARK
ARKW 90-76
−15.5
20
@MIZ
MIZW 74-72
−17.5
24
@TEX
TEXL 67-87
−14.5
28
vsTENN
TENNL 85-86
+13.5
31
vsTA&M
TA&ML 77-92
−4.5
7
@LSU
LSUW 83-71
−7.5
11
vsFLA
FLAL 66-86
−12.5
14
@OU
OUL 78-94
+7.5
17
@UK
UKW 86-78
+2.5
over 13under 13avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas
16-9 overall · 8-5 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs LSU88–85
- W@ Missouri85–68
- Wvs Ole Miss79–68
- Wvs South Carolina84–75
- W@ Oklahoma79–69
4 days since their last game.
Georgia
18-8 overall · 6-7 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Kentucky86–78
- L@ Oklahoma78–94
- Lvs Florida66–86
- W@ LSU83–71
- Lvs Texas A&M77–92
4 days since their last game.