Bridgestone Arena · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
TEX -5.5✓ MISS covered by 15.5
Closing total147.5Under by 5.5
| This season | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-19 | Record | 17-13 |
| 11-20 | ATS | 16-14 |
| 19-12 | O/U | 19-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MISS 74–80 TEX · ✗ TEX (70%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | 41 | 35 | 76 |
| TEX | 30 | 36 | 66 |
1st half: MISS 41, TEX 30 (MISS by 11). The model had TEX by 3.4 and a total of 72.0 (actual 71).
Team stats
| MISS | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-64 47% | Field goals | 19-54 35% |
| 1-10 10% | 3-pointers | 7-20 35% |
| 15-20 75% | Free throws | 21-25 84% |
| 34 8 off | Rebounds | 35 8 off |
| 9 | Assists | 12 |
| 12 | Steals | 1 |
| 6 | Blocks | 6 |
| 3 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 50 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| MISS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilias Kamardine G | 37 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 8-16 | 0-2 |
| Malik Dia F | 28 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 9-18 | 1-3 |
| Patton Pinkins G | 27 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| James Scott F | 26 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Travis Perry G | 19 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| AJ Storr G | 29 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 6-12 | 0-1 |
| Eduardo Klafke G | 18 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Corey Chest F | 13 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kezza Giffa G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Koren Johnson, Hobert Grayson IV, Zach Day, Max Smith, Niko Bundalo, Augusto Cassia, Tylis Jordan
| TEX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailyn Swain G | 38 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Jordan Pope G | 37 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 6-15 | 4-9 |
| Matas Vokietaitis C | 25 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-0 |
| Camden Heide F | 24 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Tramon Mark G | 21 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nic Codie F | 24 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Simeon Wilcher G | 23 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Chendall Weaver G | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Lewis Obiorah, Declan Duru Jr., Lassina Traore, Anthon McDermott, Brandon Taylor, John Clark, Cole Bott
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTEX -5.5
no move
CloseTEX -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open150.5
▼ 3
Close147.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
MISS +200 · TEX -245
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TEX -5.5 · unchangedmodel TEX -6
model TEX -6
Opened 150.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 3 downmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TEX -5.5 | TEX -5.9 | TEX +0.4 | L MISS covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 153.9 | Over 6.4 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | MISS 74 · TEX 79.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TEX -3.4 | MISS -11.0 |
| 1H total | 72.0 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | MISS 34.3 · TEX 37.7 | MISS 41 · TEX 30 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-9 10% | 3-7 30% | 8-2 80% | |
| 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MISS 1–1 TEXSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · MISS 0-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2025-26 | MISS 68 @ TEX 79 | TEX -9.5 | TEX W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | TEX 69 @ MISS 72 | MISS -6.5 | TEX W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ole Miss
31 games played
Straight up
12-19
39% wins
Against the spread
11-20
35% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-12
61% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 88-58 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 86-65 | -37.5 | L −16.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 83-77 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 82-60 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 72-65 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 69-74 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 74-75 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs | L 66-75 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 58-63 | +13.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 71-67 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs | W 80-66 | -20.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 21 | vs | L 62-76 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 79-43 | -28.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 70-86 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 7 | vs | L 87-94 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 14 | @ | W 97-95 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 68-67 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 20 | vs | L 66-78 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 63-72 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | @ | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 3 | @ | L 66-84 | +12.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 68-79 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 11 | vs | L 74-93 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 14 | vs | L 78-90 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 18 | @ | L 77-80 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 21 | vs | L 75-94 | +13.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 25 | vs | L 99-106 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | O 205 |
| Feb 28 | @ | W 85-79 | +10.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Mar 3 | vs | L 86-89 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 175 |
| Mar 7 | vs | L 61-64 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
SELA
W 88-58
+8.5
7
vs
ULM
W 86-65
−16.5
11
vs
MEM
W 83-77
−3.5
14
vs
CSUB
W 82-60
−1.5
18
vs
APSU
W 72-65
−13.5
25
vs
IOWA
L 69-74
−0.5
26
vs
UTAH
L 74-75
−11.5
2
vs
MIA
L 66-75
−10.5
6
@
SJU
L 58-63
+8.5
13
vs
USM
W 71-67
−8.5
17
vs
AAMU
W 80-66
−6.5
21
vs
NCSU
L 62-76
−6.5
29
vs
ALCN
W 79-43
+7.5
3
@
OU
L 70-86
−9.5
7
vs
ARK
L 87-94
−3.5
10
vs
MIZ
W 76-69
+5.5
14
@
UGA
W 97-95
+12.5
17
@
MSST
W 68-67
+4.5
20
vs
AUB
L 66-78
−8.5
24
@
UK
L 63-72
+2.5
31
@
VAN
L 68-71
+7.5
3
@
TENN
L 66-84
−5.5
7
@
TEX
L 68-79
−1.5
11
vs
ALA
L 74-93
−12.5
14
vs
MSST
L 78-90
−15.5
18
@
TA&M
L 77-80
+6.5
21
vs
FLA
L 75-94
−5.5
25
vs
LSU
L 99-106
−9.5
28
@
AUB
W 85-79
+16.5
3
vs
VAN
L 86-89
+4.5
7
vs
SC
L 61-64
−10.5
covered 11didn’t cover 20avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
SELA
W 88-58
+2.5
7
vs
ULM
W 86-65
+1.5
11
vs
MEM
W 83-77
+7.5
14
vs
CSUB
W 82-60
+1.5
18
vs
APSU
W 72-65
−8.5
25
vs
IOWA
L 69-74
+2.5
26
vs
UTAH
L 74-75
+4.5
2
vs
MIA
L 66-75
−4.5
6
@
SJU
L 58-63
−30.5
13
vs
USM
W 71-67
−0.5
17
vs
AAMU
W 80-66
+10.5
21
vs
NCSU
L 62-76
−10.5
29
vs
ALCN
W 79-43
−26.5
3
@
OU
L 70-86
+9.5
7
vs
ARK
L 87-94
+27.5
10
vs
MIZ
W 76-69
+1.5
14
@
UGA
W 97-95
+33.5
17
@
MSST
W 68-67
−12.5
20
vs
AUB
L 66-78
−7.5
24
@
UK
L 63-72
−10.5
31
@
VAN
L 68-71
−10.5
3
@
TENN
L 66-84
+10.5
7
@
TEX
L 68-79
+1.5
11
vs
ALA
L 74-93
+2.5
14
vs
MSST
L 78-90
+21.5
18
@
TA&M
L 77-80
−0.5
21
vs
FLA
L 75-94
+16.5
25
vs
LSU
L 99-106
+57.5
28
@
AUB
W 85-79
+10.5
3
vs
VAN
L 86-89
+19.5
7
vs
SC
L 61-64
−22.5
over 19under 12avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas
30 games played
Straight up
17-13
57% wins
Against the spread
16-14
53% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-11
63% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | L 60-75 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 97-60 | -25.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 93-58 | -31.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 71-55 | -31.5 | L −15.5 | 159.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 99-65 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 86-87 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 102-97 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | vs | L 69-88 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 8 | vs | W 95-69 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 12 | @ | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | vs | W 95-53 | -29.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 94-71 | -33.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 98-101 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 199 |
| Jan 6 | @ | L 71-85 | +12.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 92-88 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 177.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 80-64 | +3.5 | W +19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 70-74 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 166.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 21 | @ | L 80-85 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 87-67 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 28 | @ | L 82-88 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | @ | W 79-69 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 3 | vs | W 84-75 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 79-68 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 14 | @ | W 85-68 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 17 | vs | W 88-85 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 21 | @ | L 80-91 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 162.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 25 | vs | L 71-84 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 28 | @ | W 76-70 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 4 | @ | L 85-105 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 163.5 | O 190 |
| Mar 7 | vs | L 85-88 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
DUKE
L 60-75
−4.5
8
vs
LAF
W 97-60
+11.5
12
vs
FDU
W 93-58
+3.5
15
vs
KC
W 71-55
−15.5
18
vs
RID
W 99-65
+3.5
24
vs
ASU
L 86-87
−7.5
26
vs
NCSU
W 102-97
+6.5
3
vs
UVA
L 69-88
−22.5
8
vs
SOU
W 95-69
+3.5
12
@
CONN
L 63-71
+3.5
16
vs
LEM
W 95-53
+12.5
22
vs
UMES
W 94-71
−10.5
3
vs
MSST
L 98-101
−12.5
6
@
TENN
L 71-85
−1.5
10
@
ALA
W 92-88
+15.5
14
vs
VAN
W 80-64
+19.5
17
vs
TA&M
L 70-74
−8.5
21
@
UK
L 80-85
+2.5
24
vs
UGA
W 87-67
+16.5
28
@
AUB
L 82-88
+0.5
31
@
OU
W 79-69
+8.5
3
vs
SC
W 84-75
−4.5
7
vs
MISS
W 79-68
+1.5
14
@
MIZ
W 85-68
+19.5
17
vs
LSU
W 88-85
−7.5
21
@
UGA
L 80-91
−8.5
25
vs
FLA
L 71-84
−6.5
28
@
TA&M
W 76-70
+8.5
4
@
ARK
L 85-105
−13.5
7
vs
OU
L 85-88
−9.5
covered 16didn’t cover 14avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
DUKE
L 60-75
−18.5
8
vs
LAF
W 97-60
+3.5
12
vs
FDU
W 93-58
−7.5
15
vs
KC
W 71-55
−33.5
18
vs
RID
W 99-65
+20.5
24
vs
ASU
L 86-87
+19.5
26
vs
NCSU
W 102-97
+37.5
3
vs
UVA
L 69-88
+2.5
8
vs
SOU
W 95-69
+5.5
12
@
CONN
L 63-71
−11.5
16
vs
LEM
W 95-53
−4.5
22
vs
UMES
W 94-71
+26.5
3
vs
MSST
L 98-101
+41.5
6
@
TENN
L 71-85
+2.5
10
@
ALA
W 92-88
+2.5
14
vs
VAN
W 80-64
−19.5
17
vs
TA&M
L 70-74
−22.5
21
@
UK
L 80-85
+12.5
24
vs
UGA
W 87-67
−14.5
28
@
AUB
L 82-88
+15.5
31
@
OU
W 79-69
−7.5
3
vs
SC
W 84-75
+9.5
7
vs
MISS
W 79-68
+1.5
14
@
MIZ
W 85-68
+2.5
17
vs
LSU
W 88-85
+22.5
21
@
UGA
L 80-91
+8.5
25
vs
FLA
L 71-84
−2.5
28
@
TA&M
W 76-70
−13.5
4
@
ARK
L 85-105
+26.5
7
vs
OU
L 85-88
+18.5
over 19under 11avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ole Miss
12-19 overall · 4-14 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs South Carolina61–64
- Lvs Vanderbilt86–89
- W@ Auburn85–79
- Lvs LSU99–106
- Lvs Florida75–94
4 days since their last game.
Texas
17-13 overall · 9-9 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Oklahoma85–88
- L@ Arkansas85–105
- W@ Texas A&M76–70
- Lvs Florida71–84
- L@ Georgia80–91
4 days since their last game.