Rocket Arena · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
AKR -7.5✓ TOL covered by 4.5
AKR -7.5✓ TOL covered by 4.5Closing total157.5Under by 2.5
 TOL | This season | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| 17-14 | Record | 26-5 |
| 18-13 | ATS | 17-14 |
| 13-18 | O/U | 14-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TOL 78–85 AKR · ✓ AKR (75%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | 42 | 34 | 76 |
| AKR | 30 | 49 | 79 |
1st half: TOL 42, AKR 30 (TOL by 12). The model had AKR by 4.4 and a total of 76.0 (actual 72).
Team stats
| TOL | AKR | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-56 50% | Field goals | 33-71 46% |
| 10-24 42% | 3-pointers | 10-34 29% |
| 10-13 77% | Free throws | 3-9 33% |
| 32 6 off | Rebounds | 37 14 off |
| 19 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| TOL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson G | 39 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 3-14 | 0-4 |
| Leroy Blyden Jr. G | 38 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 8-15 | 3-7 |
| Austin Parks C | 32 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Sean Craig F | 32 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Mynor Strong G | 23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kyler Vanderjagt G | 19 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 5-6 | 2-2 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga F | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Will James Jr. G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Phoenix Glassnor, London Praytor, Toby Nwokolo, Tyler Ode, Chris Riddle
| AKR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mahaffey F | 33 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Tavari Johnson G | 31 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 7-17 | 1-6 |
| Amani Lyles F | 31 | 15 | 16 | 2 | 7-12 | 1-3 |
| Bowen Hardman G | 29 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-8 | 4-8 |
| Zach Halligan F | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Shammah Scott G | 33 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 5-15 | 2-8 |
| Eric Mahaffey G | 19 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Sharron Young G | 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tai Perkins, Josh Henderson, Ognjen Stankovic, Conner Groce, Rich Brisco, Cody Head, Chabi Barre
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAKR -7.5
no move
CloseAKR -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open163.5
▼ 6
Close157.5
Down 6 since the open
Moneyline
TOL +270 · AKR -340
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AKR -7.5 · unchangedmodel AKR -7.5 matches the line
model AKR -7.5 = line ✓
Opened 163.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 6 downmodel 163
model 163
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | AKR -7.5 | AKR -7.5 | — | TOL covered |
| Total | 157.5 | 162.8 | Over 5.3 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | TOL 77.6 · AKR 85.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | AKR -4.4 | TOL -12.0 |
| 1H total | 76.0 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | TOL 35.8 · AKR 40.2 | TOL 42 · AKR 30 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| AKR | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
TOL 4–6 AKRAKR leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · AKR has won the last 4 meetings · TOL 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2025-26 | TOL 81 @ AKR 91 | AKR -12.5 | TOL W |
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | TOL 90 vs AKR 100 | AKR -8.5 | AKR W |
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | AKR 96 @ TOL 87 | TOL +4.5 | AKR W |
| Jan 14, 2024-25 | TOL 78 @ AKR 85 | AKR -7.5 | TOL W |
| Feb 20, 2023-24 | AKR 64 @ TOL 72 | TOL -2.5 | TOL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Toledo
31 games played
Straight up
17-14
55% wins
Against the spread
18-13
58% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-18
42% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs USA | L 74-76 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | vs MRSH | L 73-85 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 11 | @ WRST | W 81-71 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 159.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 15 | vs DETM | W 90-83 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | vs YSU | W 92-75 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 24 | vs TROY | W 75-68 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs BEL | L 72-87 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ OAK | L 97-98 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 166.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 13 | @ RMU | L 70-75 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 16 | @ MSU | L 69-92 | +23.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 30 | vs WMU | W 84-79 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @ CMU | W 78-75 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 6 | @ NIU | W 75-61 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 9 | vs M-OH | L 73-87 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 166.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 13 | vs OHIO | W 101-85 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 161.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 16 | @ KENT | L 84-87 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 20 | @ MASS | L 82-84 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 24 | vs BGSU | W 73-72 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 27 | @AKR | L 81-91 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 31 | vs BALL | W 73-55 | -8.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 3 | vsKENT | L 72-75 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 7 | @ JMU | L 71-73 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 11 | @WMU | W 90-79 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 14 | @BGSU | L 70-80 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 21 | vs EMU | W 94-75 | -8.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 24 | vsNIU | W 79-69 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 28 | @OHIO | W 79-67 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 3 | @M-OH | L 72-74 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 6 | vs BUF | W 99-78 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | O 177 |
| Mar 12 | vsBGSU | W 77-76 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Mar 13 | vsMASS | W 77-67 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−4.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHL 73-85
−14.5
11
@WRST
WRSTW 81-71
+15.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 90-83
−3.5
19
vsYSU
YSUW 92-75
+15.5
24
vsTROY
TROYW 75-68
+9.5
26
vsBEL
BELL 72-87
−10.5
6
@OAK
OAKL 97-98
+3.5
13
@RMU
RMUL 70-75
−6.5
16
@MSU
MSUL 69-92
+0.5
30
vsWMU
WMUW 84-79
−5.5
3
@CMU
CMUW 78-75
−4.5
6
@NIU
NIUW 75-61
+6.5
9
vsM-OH
M-OHL 73-87
−15.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 101-85
+13.5
16
@KENT
KENTL 84-87
+2.5
20
@MASS
MASSL 82-84
+0.5
24
vsBGSU
BGSUW 73-72
+2.5
27
@AKR
AKRL 81-91
+2.5
31
vsBALL
BALLW 73-55
+9.5
3
vsKENT
KENTL 72-75
−1.5
7
@JMU
JMUL 71-73
−3.5
11
@WMU
WMUW 90-79
+4.5
14
@BGSU
BGSUL 70-80
−6.5
21
vsEMU
EMUW 94-75
+10.5
24
vsNIU
NIUW 79-69
−2.5
28
@OHIO
OHIOW 79-67
+13.5
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 72-74
+5.5
6
vsBUF
BUFW 99-78
+15.5
12
vsBGSU
BGSUW 77-76
−0.5
13
vsMASS
MASSW 77-67
+7.5
covered 18didn’t cover 13avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−0.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHL 73-85
−2.5
11
@WRST
WRSTW 81-71
−7.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 90-83
+13.5
19
vsYSU
YSUW 92-75
+6.5
24
vsTROY
TROYW 75-68
−16.5
26
vsBEL
BELL 72-87
−4.5
6
@OAK
OAKL 97-98
+28.5
13
@RMU
RMUL 70-75
−9.5
16
@MSU
MSUL 69-92
+10.5
30
vsWMU
WMUW 84-79
+2.5
3
@CMU
CMUW 78-75
−5.5
6
@NIU
NIUW 75-61
−25.5
9
vsM-OH
M-OHL 73-87
−6.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 101-85
+24.5
16
@KENT
KENTL 84-87
+2.5
20
@MASS
MASSL 82-84
+1.5
24
vsBGSU
BGSUW 73-72
−10.5
27
@AKR
AKRL 81-91
+3.5
31
vsBALL
BALLW 73-55
−18.5
3
vsKENT
KENTL 72-75
−14.5
7
@JMU
JMUL 71-73
−9.5
11
@WMU
WMUW 90-79
+14.5
14
@BGSU
BGSUL 70-80
−0.5
21
vsEMU
EMUW 94-75
+23.5
24
vsNIU
NIUW 79-69
−2.5
28
@OHIO
OHIOW 79-67
−12.5
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 72-74
−16.5
6
vsBUF
BUFW 99-78
+21.5
12
vsBGSU
BGSUW 77-76
+2.5
13
vsMASS
MASSW 77-67
−14.5
over 13under 18avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Akron
31 games played
Straight up
26-5
84% wins
Against the spread
17-14
55% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-17
45% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsJMU | W 85-71 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 8 | vs PRIN | W 104-69 | -13.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 16 | @ PUR | L 79-97 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 21 | vs IONA | W 96-75 | -11.5 | W +9.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs EVAN | W 97-59 | -11.5 | W +26.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs YALE | L 94-97 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 29 | vs MILW | W 105-81 | -12.5 | W +11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 3 | vs BUCK | W 97-77 | -23.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 6 | @ TULN | W 88-71 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs MUR | L 100-115 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 168.5 | O 215 |
| Dec 19 | vsEMU | W 93-72 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | @M-OH | L 73-76 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 177.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 6 | vsCMU | W 82-69 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 9 | @BGSU | W 77-67 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 13 | vsBALL | W 87-77 | -20.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 17 | vsWMU | W 104-89 | -21.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 20 | @BUF | W 82-63 | -8.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 23 | @OHIO | W 86-65 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 167.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 27 | vsTOL | W 91-81 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 30 | vsKENT | W 69-52 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 166.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 3 | @EMU | W 66-64 | -12.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | @TROY | L 69-79 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 13 | vsMASS | W 99-92 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 191 |
| Feb 17 | @WMU | W 90-73 | -14.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 20 | @BALL | W 78-65 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 24 | vsBUF | W 99-85 | -15.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 27 | @KENT | W 92-70 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 166.5 | U 162 |
| Mar 3 | @CMU | W 77-64 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 6 | vsNIU | W 94-55 | -23.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
| Mar 12 | vsBUF | W 73-70 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 13 | vsKENT | W 75-68 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+5.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+21.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+0.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
+9.5
23
vsEVAN
EVANW 97-59
+26.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 94-97
−4.5
29
vsMILW
MILWW 105-81
+11.5
3
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-77
−3.5
6
@TULN
TULNW 88-71
+10.5
13
vsMUR
MURL 100-115
−19.5
19
vsEMU
EMUW 93-72
+5.5
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 73-76
−7.5
6
vsCMU
CMUW 82-69
−10.5
9
@BGSU
BGSUW 77-67
+5.5
13
vsBALL
BALLW 87-77
−10.5
17
vsWMU
WMUW 104-89
−6.5
20
@BUF
BUFW 82-63
+10.5
23
@OHIO
OHIOW 86-65
+14.5
27
vsTOL
TOLW 91-81
−2.5
30
vsKENT
KENTW 69-52
+6.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 66-64
−10.5
7
@TROY
TROYL 69-79
−12.5
13
vsMASS
MASSW 99-92
−5.5
17
@WMU
WMUW 90-73
+2.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 78-65
−0.5
24
vsBUF
BUFW 99-85
−1.5
27
@KENT
KENTW 92-70
+18.5
3
@CMU
CMUW 77-64
+1.5
6
vsNIU
NIUW 94-55
+15.5
12
vsBUF
BUFW 73-70
−9.5
13
vsKENT
KENTW 75-68
+0.5
covered 17didn’t cover 14avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+2.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+16.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+12.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
−2.5
23
vsEVAN
EVANW 97-59
−0.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 94-97
+34.5
29
vsMILW
MILWW 105-81
+19.5
3
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-77
+16.5
6
@TULN
TULNW 88-71
−3.5
13
vsMUR
MURL 100-115
+46.5
19
vsEMU
EMUW 93-72
+9.5
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 73-76
−28.5
6
vsCMU
CMUW 82-69
−13.5
9
@BGSU
BGSUW 77-67
−19.5
13
vsBALL
BALLW 87-77
+11.5
17
vsWMU
WMUW 104-89
+29.5
20
@BUF
BUFW 82-63
−21.5
23
@OHIO
OHIOW 86-65
−16.5
27
vsTOL
TOLW 91-81
+3.5
30
vsKENT
KENTW 69-52
−45.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 66-64
−23.5
7
@TROY
TROYL 69-79
−9.5
13
vsMASS
MASSW 99-92
+27.5
17
@WMU
WMUW 90-73
+2.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 78-65
−4.5
24
vsBUF
BUFW 99-85
+23.5
27
@KENT
KENTW 92-70
−4.5
3
@CMU
CMUW 77-64
−17.5
6
vsNIU
NIUW 94-55
−6.5
12
vsBUF
BUFW 73-70
−15.5
13
vsKENT
KENTW 75-68
−20.5
over 14under 17avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Toledo
17-14 overall · 13-7 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UMass77–67
- Wvs Bowling Green77–76
- Wvs Buffalo99–78
- L@ Miami OH72–74
- W@ Ohio79–67
1 day since their last game.
Akron
26-5 overall · 19-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kent State75–68
- Wvs Buffalo73–70
- Wvs N Illinois94–55
- W@ C Michigan77–64
- W@ Kent State92–70
1 day since their last game.