McGuirk Arena · at C Michigan · Conference game
Closing line
AKR -11.5✓ AKR covered by 1.5
AKR -11.5✓ AKR covered by 1.5Closing total158.5Under by 17.5
| AKR | This season | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| 22-5 | Record | 8-19 |
| 14-13 | ATS | 16-11 |
| 14-13 | O/U | 12-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AKR 86–74 CMU · ✓ AKR (84%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKR | 39 | 38 | 77 |
| CMU | 33 | 31 | 64 |
1st half: AKR 39, CMU 33 (AKR by 6). The model had AKR by 7.0 and a total of 74.6 (actual 72).
Team stats
| AKR | CMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-63 48% | Field goals | 25-58 43% |
| 11-33 33% | 3-pointers | 10-23 43% |
| 6-11 55% | Free throws | 4-6 67% |
| 41 14 off | Rebounds | 25 6 off |
| 17 | Assists | 16 |
| 12 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| AKR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mahaffey F | 35 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Tavari Johnson G | 32 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 7-15 | 3-8 |
| Amani Lyles F | 31 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| Bowen Hardman G | 21 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5-10 | 5-10 |
| Zach Halligan F | 17 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Shammah Scott G | 30 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 4-10 | 0-5 |
| Sharron Young G | 25 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 4-9 | 3-6 |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali F | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tai Perkins, Josh Henderson, Ognjen Stankovic, Conner Groce, Eric Mahaffey, Rich Brisco, Cody Head, Chabi Barre
| CMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phat Phat Brooks G | 34 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 3-11 | 1-2 |
| Tamario Adley G | 31 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 7-14 | 0-3 |
| Nathan Claerbaut C | 31 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Keenan Garner F | 30 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Logan McIntire G | 27 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 5-10 | 5-10 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaxson Whitaker G | 22 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 4-9 | 4-7 |
| Nick Mullen F | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Kampen G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kayden Nation, Jorden Brooks, Kareem Aburashed, Nsikan Usen, Uchenna Amene, Will Ashford, Rodney Johnson Jr.
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAKR -11.5
no move
CloseAKR -11.5
No change since the open
Total
Open160.5
▼ 2
Close158.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
AKR -750 · CMU +525
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AKR -11.5 · unchangedmodel AKR -11.5 matches the line
model AKR -11.5 = line ✓
Opened 160.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 2 downmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | AKR -11.5 | AKR -11.5 | — | AKR covered |
| Total | 158.5 | 159.7 | Over 1.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | AKR 85.6 · CMU 74.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | AKR -7.0 | AKR -6.0 |
| 1H total | 74.6 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | AKR 40.8 · CMU 33.8 | AKR 39 · CMU 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKR | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| CMU | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
AKR 7–0 CMUAKR leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · AKR has won the last 7 meetings · AKR 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2025-26 | CMU 69 @ AKR 82 | AKR -23.5 | CMU W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | AKR 85 @ CMU 82 | CMU +3.5 | CMU W |
| Jan 7, 2024-25 | CMU 71 @ AKR 87 | AKR -8.5 | AKR W |
| Feb 6, 2023-24 | CMU 47 @ AKR 68 | AKR -13.5 | AKR W |
| Jan 17, 2022-23 | AKR 69 @ CMU 51 | CMU +9.5 | AKR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Akron
27 games played
Straight up
22-5
81% wins
Against the spread
14-13
52% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-13
52% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JMU | W 85-71 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 8 | vs PRIN | W 104-69 | -13.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 16 | @ PUR | L 79-97 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 21 | vs IONA | W 96-75 | -11.5 | W +9.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs EVAN | W 97-59 | -11.5 | W +26.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs YALE | L 94-97 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 29 | vs MILW | W 105-81 | -12.5 | W +11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 3 | vs BUCK | W 97-77 | -23.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 6 | @ TULN | W 88-71 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs MUR | L 100-115 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 168.5 | O 215 |
| Dec 19 | vs EMU | W 93-72 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | @ M-OH | L 73-76 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 177.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 6 | vsCMU | W 82-69 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 9 | @ BGSU | W 77-67 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 13 | vs BALL | W 87-77 | -20.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 17 | vs WMU | W 104-89 | -21.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 20 | @ BUF | W 82-63 | -8.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 23 | @ OHIO | W 86-65 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 167.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 27 | vs TOL | W 91-81 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 30 | vs KENT | W 69-52 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 166.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 3 | @EMU | W 66-64 | -12.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | @ TROY | L 69-79 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 13 | vs MASS | W 99-92 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 191 |
| Feb 17 | @WMU | W 90-73 | -14.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 20 | @BALL | W 78-65 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 24 | vsBUF | W 99-85 | -15.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 27 | @KENT | W 92-70 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 166.5 | U 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+5.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+21.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+0.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
+9.5
23
vsEVAN
EVANW 97-59
+26.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 94-97
−4.5
29
vsMILW
MILWW 105-81
+11.5
3
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-77
−3.5
6
@TULN
TULNW 88-71
+10.5
13
vsMUR
MURL 100-115
−19.5
19
vsEMU
EMUW 93-72
+5.5
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 73-76
−7.5
6
vsCMU
CMUW 82-69
−10.5
9
@BGSU
BGSUW 77-67
+5.5
13
vsBALL
BALLW 87-77
−10.5
17
vsWMU
WMUW 104-89
−6.5
20
@BUF
BUFW 82-63
+10.5
23
@OHIO
OHIOW 86-65
+14.5
27
vsTOL
TOLW 91-81
−2.5
30
vsKENT
KENTW 69-52
+6.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 66-64
−10.5
7
@TROY
TROYL 69-79
−12.5
13
vsMASS
MASSW 99-92
−5.5
17
@WMU
WMUW 90-73
+2.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 78-65
−0.5
24
vsBUF
BUFW 99-85
−1.5
27
@KENT
KENTW 92-70
+18.5
covered 14didn’t cover 13avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+2.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+16.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+12.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
−2.5
23
vsEVAN
EVANW 97-59
−0.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 94-97
+34.5
29
vsMILW
MILWW 105-81
+19.5
3
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-77
+16.5
6
@TULN
TULNW 88-71
−3.5
13
vsMUR
MURL 100-115
+46.5
19
vsEMU
EMUW 93-72
+9.5
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 73-76
−28.5
6
vsCMU
CMUW 82-69
−13.5
9
@BGSU
BGSUW 77-67
−19.5
13
vsBALL
BALLW 87-77
+11.5
17
vsWMU
WMUW 104-89
+29.5
20
@BUF
BUFW 82-63
−21.5
23
@OHIO
OHIOW 86-65
−16.5
27
vsTOL
TOLW 91-81
+3.5
30
vsKENT
KENTW 69-52
−45.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 66-64
−23.5
7
@TROY
TROYL 69-79
−9.5
13
vsMASS
MASSW 99-92
+27.5
17
@WMU
WMUW 90-73
+2.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 78-65
−4.5
24
vsBUF
BUFW 99-85
+23.5
27
@KENT
KENTW 92-70
−4.5
over 14under 13avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
C Michigan
27 games played
Straight up
8-19
30% wins
Against the spread
16-11
59% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-15
44% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs APP | W 82-66 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 8 | @ BRAD | L 54-85 | +9.5 | L −21.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 13 | vs USA | L 64-66 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs COPP | W 82-59 | -10.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 20 | vs NKU | L 66-90 | -4.5 | L −28.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 22 | @ MARQ | L 71-85 | +25.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 2 | @ LUC | L 72-83 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 7 | @ SLU | L 65-107 | +24.5 | L −17.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ STBK | L 55-78 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 20 | @ NIU | L 73-74 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 22 | @ WIS | L 61-88 | +26.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vsOHIO | L 64-80 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 3 | vsTOL | L 75-78 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 6 | @AKR | L 69-82 | +23.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 10 | vsKENT | W 87-85 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 13 | @M-OH | L 61-100 | +15.5 | L −23.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 20 | vsBALL | L 67-68 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 24 | @WMU | L 65-77 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 27 | vsEMU | W 100-65 | +2.5 | W +37.5 | 139.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 31 | vsBGSU | W 62-59 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 3 | @MASS | L 89-95 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 7 | @ UL | L 80-85 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 134.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 14 | vsNIU | W 88-46 | -4.5 | W +37.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 17 | @EMU | L 54-66 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 21 | vsWMU | W 83-70 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 24 | @KENT | L 81-83 | +11.5 | W +9.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 28 | @BUF | W 75-70 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAPP
APPW 82-66
+14.5
8
@BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−21.5
13
vsUSA
USAL 64-66
+3.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 82-59
+12.5
20
vsNKU
NKUL 66-90
−28.5
22
@MARQ
MARQL 71-85
+11.5
2
@LUC
LUCL 72-83
−4.5
7
@SLU
SLUL 65-107
−17.5
13
@STBK
STBKL 55-78
−15.5
20
@NIU
NIUL 73-74
+1.5
22
@WIS
WISL 61-88
−0.5
30
vsOHIO
OHIOL 64-80
−9.5
3
vsTOL
TOLL 75-78
+4.5
6
@AKR
AKRL 69-82
+10.5
10
vsKENT
KENTW 87-85
+12.5
13
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-100
−23.5
20
vsBALL
BALLL 67-68
+0.5
24
@WMU
WMUL 65-77
−6.5
27
vsEMU
EMUW 100-65
+37.5
31
vsBGSU
BGSUW 62-59
+11.5
3
@MASS
MASSL 89-95
+5.5
7
@UL
ULL 80-85
−2.5
14
vsNIU
NIUW 88-46
+37.5
17
@EMU
EMUL 54-66
−7.5
21
vsWMU
WMUW 83-70
+9.5
24
@KENT
KENTL 81-83
+9.5
28
@BUF
BUFW 75-70
+10.5
covered 16didn’t cover 11avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAPP
APPW 82-66
+5.5
8
@BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−8.5
13
vsUSA
USAL 64-66
−12.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 82-59
−1.5
20
vsNKU
NKUL 66-90
+9.5
22
@MARQ
MARQL 71-85
+3.5
2
@LUC
LUCL 72-83
+14.5
7
@SLU
SLUL 65-107
+11.5
13
@STBK
STBKL 55-78
−12.5
20
@NIU
NIUL 73-74
−2.5
22
@WIS
WISL 61-88
−3.5
30
vsOHIO
OHIOL 64-80
−7.5
3
vsTOL
TOLL 75-78
−5.5
6
@AKR
AKRL 69-82
−13.5
10
vsKENT
KENTW 87-85
+15.5
13
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-100
+2.5
20
vsBALL
BALLL 67-68
−7.5
24
@WMU
WMUL 65-77
−6.5
27
vsEMU
EMUW 100-65
+25.5
31
vsBGSU
BGSUW 62-59
−28.5
3
@MASS
MASSL 89-95
+31.5
7
@UL
ULL 80-85
+30.5
14
vsNIU
NIUW 88-46
−12.5
17
@EMU
EMUL 54-66
−20.5
21
vsWMU
WMUW 83-70
+2.5
24
@KENT
KENTL 81-83
+7.5
28
@BUF
BUFW 75-70
−6.5
over 12under 15avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Akron
22-5 overall · 15-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Kent State92–70
- Wvs Buffalo99–85
- W@ Ball State78–65
- W@ W Michigan90–73
- Wvs UMass99–92
4 days since their last game.
C Michigan
8-19 overall · 6-10 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Buffalo75–70
- L@ Kent State81–83
- Wvs W Michigan83–70
- L@ E Michigan54–66
- Wvs N Illinois88–46
3 days since their last game.