University Arena (MI) · at W Michigan · Conference game
Closing line
WMU -1.5✓ BALL covered by 4.5
WMU -1.5✓ BALL covered by 4.5Closing total138.5Over by 6.5
 BALL | This season | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-19 | Record | 9-18 |
| 12-15 | ATS | 15-12 |
| 7-20 | O/U | 16-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BALL 68–72 WMU · ✗ WMU (61%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALL | 25 | 36 | 13 | 74 |
| WMU | 22 | 39 | 10 | 71 |
1st half: BALL 25, WMU 22 (BALL by 3). The model had WMU by 1.7 and a total of 65.5 (actual 47).
Team stats
| BALL | WMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-62 47% | Field goals | 23-56 41% |
| 5-13 38% | 3-pointers | 6-19 32% |
| 11-19 58% | Free throws | 19-24 79% |
| 35 8 off | Rebounds | 35 6 off |
| 13 | Assists | 9 |
| 9 | Steals | 1 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| BALL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armoni Zeigler G | 42 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 10-19 | 2-4 |
| Mason Jones F | 42 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Davion Hill G | 38 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 7-15 | 0-1 |
| Preston Copeland F | 35 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Devon Barnes G | 18 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-8 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Juwan Maxey G | 22 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Elmore James IV G | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Kayden Fish F | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Cam Denson F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Alex Farley, Easton Foster, Kody Clancy, Jai Anthoni Bearden, Zane Doughty, Joey Hart
| WMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Williams G | 40 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 8-17 | 2-8 |
| Jayden Brewer G | 38 | 20 | 13 | 0 | 6-12 | 1-2 |
| EJ Ryans G | 30 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0-6 | 0-1 |
| Trey Lewis G | 19 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Max Burton F | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carson Vis G | 25 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Michael Sulaka F | 19 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Sharod Barnes G | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Declan Peterson C | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Griffith G | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Brady Swartz, Camden Thompson, Hudson Ward, Nicholas Errica, Junior Sileu
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWMU -3.5
2 → BALL
CloseWMU -1.5
2 pts toward BALL
Total
Open137.5
▲ 1
Close138.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
BALL +102 · WMU -122
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WMU -3.5 · closed WMU -1.5 · moved 2 toward BALLmodel WMU -3
model WMU -3
Opened 137.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 1 upmodel 140
model 140
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | WMU -1.5 | WMU -3.1 | WMU +1.6 | L BALL covered |
| Total | 138.5 | 139.8 | Over 1.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | BALL 68.4 · WMU 71.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | WMU -1.7 | BALL -3.0 |
| 1H total | 65.5 | 47 |
| 1H projected score | BALL 31.9 · WMU 33.6 | BALL 25 · WMU 22 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BALL | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 1-9 10% |
| WMU | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
BALL 4–3 WMUBALL leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · WMU has won the last 2 meetings · BALL 2-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2024-25 | WMU 74 @ BALL 71 | BALL -4.5 | WMU W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | WMU 78 @ BALL 76 | BALL -5.5 | WMU W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | BALL 77 @ WMU 67 | WMU -0.5 | BALL W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | BALL 68 @ WMU 78 | WMU +7.5 | WMU W |
| Jan 17, 2022-23 | WMU 70 @ BALL 71 | BALL -9.5 | WMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ball State
27 games played
Straight up
8-19
30% wins
Against the spread
12-15
44% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-20
26% overs · avg −7.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UL | W 75-64 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 11 | @ WIS | L 55-86 | +26.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | vs LR | L 62-68 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 22 | @ INST | L 52-70 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 28 | vs MONM | L 73-80 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 136.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 29 | @ LAF | L 37-55 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 140.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 30 | vs LEM | W 96-85 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 3 | @ EVAN | L 52-64 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 9 | vs SDST | L 64-68 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 14 | @ CAM | L 64-69 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 20 | vs M-OH | L 77-86 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @ BUF | L 72-85 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 6 | vs EMU | L 52-74 | -1.5 | L −23.5 | 137.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 10 | @ MASS | L 71-79 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 13 | @ AKR | L 77-87 | +20.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 16 | vs OHIO | W 76-71 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 20 | @ CMU | W 68-67 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 24 | vs NIU | W 58-53 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | U 111 |
| Jan 31 | @ TOL | L 55-73 | +8.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 3 | @ BGSU | L 52-77 | +11.5 | L −13.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 7 | @ ULM | W 73-68 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 11 | vsBUF | L 53-63 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 14 | vs KENT | L 68-75 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 17 | @OHIO | L 57-69 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 20 | vsAKR | L 65-78 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 24 | vsMASS | W 74-73 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 28 | @NIU | W 79-43 | +1.5 | W +37.5 | 133.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUL
ULW 75-64
+6.5
11
@WIS
WISL 55-86
−4.5
15
vsLR
LRL 62-68
−8.5
22
@INST
INSTL 52-70
−10.5
28
vsMONM
MONML 73-80
−4.5
29
@LAF
LAFL 37-55
−19.5
30
vsLEM
LEMW 96-85
+12.5
3
@EVAN
EVANL 52-64
−5.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTL 64-68
+1.5
14
@CAM
CAML 64-69
+3.5
20
vsM-OH
M-OHL 77-86
−1.5
3
@BUF
BUFL 72-85
−6.5
6
vsEMU
EMUL 52-74
−23.5
10
@MASS
MASSL 71-79
+2.5
13
@AKR
AKRL 77-87
+10.5
16
vsOHIO
OHIOW 76-71
+10.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 68-67
−0.5
24
vsNIU
NIUW 58-53
−0.5
31
@TOL
TOLL 55-73
−9.5
3
@BGSU
BGSUL 52-77
−13.5
7
@ULM
ULMW 73-68
+0.5
11
vsBUF
BUFL 53-63
−11.5
14
vsKENT
KENTL 68-75
+0.5
17
@OHIO
OHIOL 57-69
−2.5
20
vsAKR
AKRL 65-78
+0.5
24
vsMASS
MASSW 74-73
+4.5
28
@NIU
NIUW 79-43
+37.5
covered 12didn’t cover 15avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUL
ULW 75-64
−2.5
11
@WIS
WISL 55-86
−15.5
15
vsLR
LRL 62-68
−16.5
22
@INST
INSTL 52-70
−32.5
28
vsMONM
MONML 73-80
+16.5
29
@LAF
LAFL 37-55
−48.5
30
vsLEM
LEMW 96-85
+40.5
3
@EVAN
EVANL 52-64
−20.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTL 64-68
−10.5
14
@CAM
CAML 64-69
−12.5
20
vsM-OH
M-OHL 77-86
+15.5
3
@BUF
BUFL 72-85
+11.5
6
vsEMU
EMUL 52-74
−11.5
10
@MASS
MASSL 71-79
+2.5
13
@AKR
AKRL 77-87
+11.5
16
vsOHIO
OHIOW 76-71
−0.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 68-67
−7.5
24
vsNIU
NIUW 58-53
−30.5
31
@TOL
TOLL 55-73
−18.5
3
@BGSU
BGSUL 52-77
−8.5
7
@ULM
ULMW 73-68
−2.5
11
vsBUF
BUFL 53-63
−25.5
14
vsKENT
KENTL 68-75
−0.5
17
@OHIO
OHIOL 57-69
−19.5
20
vsAKR
AKRL 65-78
−4.5
24
vsMASS
MASSW 74-73
+3.5
28
@NIU
NIUW 79-43
−11.5
over 7under 20avg −7.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
W Michigan
27 games played
Straight up
9-18
33% wins
Against the spread
15-12
56% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-11
59% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CCU | W 76-71 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 9 | @CAM | L 82-91 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 12 | vs PFW | W 83-71 | +3.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ SDAK | L 78-83 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 172.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 20 | @ OSU | L 58-91 | +26.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 23 | vs MSM | W 83-60 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 29 | @ VAL | L 55-84 | +4.5 | L −24.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vs USI | W 88-74 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ SIUE | W 83-73 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 14 | @ IOWA | L 51-91 | +25.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | vsBUF | L 71-88 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 30 | @TOL | L 79-84 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 6 | @M-OH | L 76-87 | +14.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | vsEMU | W 79-62 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 13 | vsMASS | L 82-85 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @AKR | L 89-104 | +21.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 20 | vsBGSU | L 54-72 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 24 | vsCMU | W 77-65 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 27 | @NIU | L 65-85 | +1.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 3 | @OHIO | L 71-91 | +10.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 7 | @ TXST | L 61-77 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 11 | vsTOL | L 79-90 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 14 | @EMU | W 76-62 | +6.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 17 | vsAKR | L 73-90 | +14.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 21 | @CMU | L 70-83 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 24 | @BGSU | W 88-79 | +11.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 27 | vsM-OH | L 67-69 | +12.5 | W +10.5 | 161.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+2.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+0.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
+15.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−1.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−6.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
+21.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−24.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 88-74
+8.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEW 83-73
+15.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 51-91
−14.5
20
vsBUF
BUFL 71-88
−14.5
30
@TOL
TOLL 79-84
+5.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 76-87
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 79-62
+18.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 82-85
+2.5
17
@AKR
AKRL 89-104
+6.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 54-72
−11.5
24
vsCMU
CMUW 77-65
+6.5
27
@NIU
NIUL 65-85
−18.5
3
@OHIO
OHIOL 71-91
−9.5
7
@TXST
TXSTL 61-77
−9.5
11
vsTOL
TOLL 79-90
−4.5
14
@EMU
EMUW 76-62
+20.5
17
vsAKR
AKRL 73-90
−2.5
21
@CMU
CMUL 70-83
−9.5
24
@BGSU
BGSUW 88-79
+20.5
27
vsM-OH
M-OHL 67-69
+10.5
covered 15didn’t cover 12avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+0.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+20.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
−7.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−11.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−10.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
−7.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−7.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 88-74
+11.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEW 83-73
+16.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 51-91
+4.5
20
vsBUF
BUFL 71-88
+8.5
30
@TOL
TOLL 79-84
+2.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 76-87
+2.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 79-62
−4.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 82-85
+9.5
17
@AKR
AKRL 89-104
+29.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 54-72
−26.5
24
vsCMU
CMUW 77-65
−6.5
27
@NIU
NIUL 65-85
+3.5
3
@OHIO
OHIOL 71-91
+6.5
7
@TXST
TXSTL 61-77
−8.5
11
vsTOL
TOLL 79-90
+14.5
14
@EMU
EMUW 76-62
−5.5
17
vsAKR
AKRL 73-90
+2.5
21
@CMU
CMUL 70-83
+2.5
24
@BGSU
BGSUW 88-79
+17.5
27
vsM-OH
M-OHL 67-69
−25.5
over 16under 11avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ball State
8-19 overall · 5-11 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ N Illinois79–43
- Wvs UMass74–73
- Lvs Akron65–78
- L@ Ohio57–69
- Lvs Kent State68–75
3 days since their last game.
W Michigan
9-18 overall · 4-12 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Miami OH67–69
- W@ Bowling Green88–79
- L@ C Michigan70–83
- Lvs Akron73–90
- W@ E Michigan76–62
4 days since their last game.