NIU Convocation Center · at N Illinois · Conference game
Closing line
NIU -1.5✓ BALL covered by 37.5
NIU -1.5✓ BALL covered by 37.5Closing total133.5Under by 11.5
 BALL | This season | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-19 | Record | 7-18 |
| 11-15 | ATS | 13-12 |
| 7-19 | O/U | 7-18 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BALL 66–66 NIU · ✗ NIU (50%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BALL | 36 | 43 | 79 |
| NIU | 29 | 14 | 43 |
1st half: BALL 36, NIU 29 (BALL by 7). The model had BALL by 0.1 and a total of 62.2 (actual 65).
Team stats
| BALL | NIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-60 50% | Field goals | 11-43 26% |
| 11-25 44% | 3-pointers | 4-17 24% |
| 8-10 80% | Free throws | 17-23 74% |
| 39 8 off | Rebounds | 27 4 off |
| 20 | Assists | 6 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 8 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| BALL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Hill G | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 7-14 | 2-2 |
| Devon Barnes G | 26 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 4-10 | 3-7 |
| Mason Jones F | 23 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Armoni Zeigler G | 23 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Preston Copeland F | 22 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elmore James IV G | 19 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Kayden Fish F | 15 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Juwan Maxey G | 15 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Cam Denson F | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jai Anthoni Bearden F | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Kody Clancy G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Easton Foster F | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Alex Farley G | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zane Doughty, Joey Hart
| NIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj Walters G | 32 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2-9 | 1-4 |
| Makhai Valentine G | 29 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Gianni Cobb G | 28 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0-6 | 0-2 |
| Dylan Ducommun G | 23 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-8 | 2-5 |
| Gustav Winther F | 18 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daemar Kelly G | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Hassan Washington F | 20 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Carlos Coronado G | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Wharton F | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Washington G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Stewart G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Max Laskey G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jao Ituka, Lataevyon Taylor, Ladji Kante, JJ Taylor
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNIU -1.5
ModelNIU -0.1
Model edgeBALL +1.4
W BALL covered
Total
Market133.5
Model132.6
Model edgeUnder 0.9
W Under
Projected score
BALL 66.3 · NIU 66.4
BALL 79 · NIU 43
Win probability
NIU 50%
1st half
Spread
BALL -0.1
BALL -7.0
Total
62.2
65 points
Projected score
BALL 31.1 · NIU 31
BALL 36 · NIU 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNIU -1.5
no move
CloseNIU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open128.5
▲ 5
Close133.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
BALL +110 · NIU -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NIU -1.5 · unchangedmodel NIU -0
model NIU -0
Opened 128.5 · closed 133.5 · moved 5 upmodel 132.5
model 132.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BALL | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 1-9 10% |
| NIU | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
BALL 7–2 NIUBALL leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · BALL has won the last 2 meetings · BALL 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025-26 | NIU 53 @ BALL 58 | BALL -5.5 | NIU W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | NIU 83 @ BALL 89 | BALL -9.5 | NIU W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | BALL 66 @ NIU 76 | NIU +5.5 | NIU W |
| Feb 20, 2023-24 | BALL 70 @ NIU 63 | NIU -0.5 | BALL W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | NIU 71 @ BALL 81 | BALL -4 | BALL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ball State
26 games played
Straight up
7-19
27% wins
Against the spread
11-15
42% covers · avg −2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-19
27% overs · avg −7.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UL | W 75-64 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 11 | @ WIS | L 55-86 | +26.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | vs LR | L 62-68 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 22 | @ INST | L 52-70 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 28 | vs MONM | L 73-80 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 136.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 29 | @ LAF | L 37-55 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 140.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 30 | vs LEM | W 96-85 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 3 | @ EVAN | L 52-64 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 9 | vs SDST | L 64-68 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 14 | @ CAM | L 64-69 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 20 | vs M-OH | L 77-86 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @ BUF | L 72-85 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 6 | vs EMU | L 52-74 | -1.5 | L −23.5 | 137.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 10 | @ MASS | L 71-79 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 13 | @ AKR | L 77-87 | +20.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 16 | vs OHIO | W 76-71 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 20 | @ CMU | W 68-67 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 24 | vsNIU | W 58-53 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | U 111 |
| Jan 31 | @ TOL | L 55-73 | +8.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 3 | @ BGSU | L 52-77 | +11.5 | L −13.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 7 | @ ULM | W 73-68 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 11 | vsBUF | L 53-63 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 14 | vs KENT | L 68-75 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 17 | @OHIO | L 57-69 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 20 | vsAKR | L 65-78 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 24 | vsMASS | W 74-73 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUL
ULW 75-64
+6.5
11
@WIS
WISL 55-86
−4.5
15
vsLR
LRL 62-68
−8.5
22
@INST
INSTL 52-70
−10.5
28
vsMONM
MONML 73-80
−4.5
29
@LAF
LAFL 37-55
−19.5
30
vsLEM
LEMW 96-85
+12.5
3
@EVAN
EVANL 52-64
−5.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTL 64-68
+1.5
14
@CAM
CAML 64-69
+3.5
20
vsM-OH
M-OHL 77-86
−1.5
3
@BUF
BUFL 72-85
−6.5
6
vsEMU
EMUL 52-74
−23.5
10
@MASS
MASSL 71-79
+2.5
13
@AKR
AKRL 77-87
+10.5
16
vsOHIO
OHIOW 76-71
+10.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 68-67
−0.5
24
vsNIU
NIUW 58-53
−0.5
31
@TOL
TOLL 55-73
−9.5
3
@BGSU
BGSUL 52-77
−13.5
7
@ULM
ULMW 73-68
+0.5
11
vsBUF
BUFL 53-63
−11.5
14
vsKENT
KENTL 68-75
+0.5
17
@OHIO
OHIOL 57-69
−2.5
20
vsAKR
AKRL 65-78
+0.5
24
vsMASS
MASSW 74-73
+4.5
covered 11didn’t cover 15avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUL
ULW 75-64
−2.5
11
@WIS
WISL 55-86
−15.5
15
vsLR
LRL 62-68
−16.5
22
@INST
INSTL 52-70
−32.5
28
vsMONM
MONML 73-80
+16.5
29
@LAF
LAFL 37-55
−48.5
30
vsLEM
LEMW 96-85
+40.5
3
@EVAN
EVANL 52-64
−20.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTL 64-68
−10.5
14
@CAM
CAML 64-69
−12.5
20
vsM-OH
M-OHL 77-86
+15.5
3
@BUF
BUFL 72-85
+11.5
6
vsEMU
EMUL 52-74
−11.5
10
@MASS
MASSL 71-79
+2.5
13
@AKR
AKRL 77-87
+11.5
16
vsOHIO
OHIOW 76-71
−0.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 68-67
−7.5
24
vsNIU
NIUW 58-53
−30.5
31
@TOL
TOLL 55-73
−18.5
3
@BGSU
BGSUL 52-77
−8.5
7
@ULM
ULMW 73-68
−2.5
11
vsBUF
BUFL 53-63
−25.5
14
vsKENT
KENTL 68-75
−0.5
17
@OHIO
OHIOL 57-69
−19.5
20
vsAKR
AKRL 65-78
−4.5
24
vsMASS
MASSW 74-73
+3.5
over 7under 19avg −7.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Illinois
25 games played
Straight up
7-18
28% wins
Against the spread
13-12
52% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-18
28% overs · avg −5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsULM | W 102-82 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | @WIS | L 72-97 | +28.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 10 | @ GCU | L 59-88 | +22.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 18 | @ UNI | L 57-70 | +19.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | @ LUC | W 76-59 | +13.5 | W +30.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 25 | @ APSU | L 59-77 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 2 | vs LIN | L 64-99 | -3.5 | L −38.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | @ BRAD | L 55-84 | +18.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 13 | @ ELON | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 20 | vsCMU | W 74-73 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 31 | vsBUF | L 67-81 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 3 | @KENT | L 73-77 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 6 | vsTOL | L 61-75 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 13 | @EMU | L 59-77 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | vsMASS | W 70-68 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @OHIO | L 77-80 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 24 | @BALL | L 53-58 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 111 |
| Jan 27 | vs WMU | W 85-65 | -1.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 31 | @M-OH | L 61-85 | +16.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 7 | @ GAST | W 75-74 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 11 | vsBGSU | L 52-68 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 14 | @CMU | L 46-88 | +4.5 | L −37.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 17 | @BUF | W 72-70 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 21 | vsOHIO | L 66-74 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 24 | @TOL | L 69-79 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+12.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+3.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−6.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
+6.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
+30.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
−38.5
6
@BRAD
BRADL 55-84
−10.5
13
@ELON
ELONL 79-85
+5.5
20
vsCMU
CMUW 74-73
−1.5
31
vsBUF
BUFL 67-81
−7.5
3
@KENT
KENTL 73-77
+12.5
6
vsTOL
TOLL 61-75
−6.5
13
@EMU
EMUL 59-77
−10.5
17
vsMASS
MASSW 70-68
+10.5
20
@OHIO
OHIOL 77-80
+8.5
24
@BALL
BALLL 53-58
+0.5
27
vsWMU
WMUW 85-65
+18.5
31
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-85
−7.5
7
@GAST
GASTW 75-74
+5.5
11
vsBGSU
BGSUL 52-68
−8.5
14
@CMU
CMUL 46-88
−37.5
17
@BUF
BUFW 72-70
+11.5
21
vsOHIO
OHIOL 66-74
−1.5
24
@TOL
TOLL 69-79
+2.5
covered 13didn’t cover 12avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+36.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+11.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−16.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
−19.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
−13.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
+15.5
6
@BRAD
BRADL 55-84
−7.5
13
@ELON
ELONL 79-85
+7.5
20
vsCMU
CMUW 74-73
−2.5
31
vsBUF
BUFL 67-81
−4.5
3
@KENT
KENTL 73-77
−7.5
6
vsTOL
TOLL 61-75
−25.5
13
@EMU
EMUL 59-77
−5.5
17
vsMASS
MASSW 70-68
−19.5
20
@OHIO
OHIOL 77-80
+2.5
24
@BALL
BALLL 53-58
−30.5
27
vsWMU
WMUW 85-65
+3.5
31
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-85
−12.5
7
@GAST
GASTW 75-74
+5.5
11
vsBGSU
BGSUL 52-68
−24.5
14
@CMU
CMUL 46-88
−12.5
17
@BUF
BUFW 72-70
−3.5
21
vsOHIO
OHIOL 66-74
−8.5
24
@TOL
TOLL 69-79
−2.5
over 7under 18avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ball State
7-19 overall · 4-11 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UMass74–73
- Lvs Akron65–78
- L@ Ohio57–69
- Lvs Kent State68–75
- Lvs Buffalo53–63
4 days since their last game.
N Illinois
7-18 overall · 4-11 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Toledo69–79
- Lvs Ohio66–74
- W@ Buffalo72–70
- L@ C Michigan46–88
- Lvs Bowling Green52–68
4 days since their last game.