McGuirk Arena · at C Michigan · Conference game
Closing line
BALL -1.5✓ CMU covered by 0.5
BALL -1.5✓ CMU covered by 0.5Closing total142.5Under by 7.5
| BALL | This season | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| 3-13 | Record | 3-13 |
| 7-9 | ATS | 8-8 |
| 6-10 | O/U | 7-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BALL 70–71 CMU · ✗ CMU (53%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BALL | 33 | 35 | 68 |
| CMU | 20 | 47 | 67 |
1st half: BALL 33, CMU 20 (BALL by 13). The model had CMU by 0.4 and a total of 65.6 (actual 53).
Team stats
| BALL | CMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-62 42% | Field goals | 25-52 48% |
| 8-25 32% | 3-pointers | 12-19 63% |
| 8-11 73% | Free throws | 5-10 50% |
| 32 13 off | Rebounds | 34 10 off |
| 13 | Assists | 13 |
| 8 | Steals | 4 |
| 6 | Blocks | 4 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| BALL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armoni Zeigler G | 33 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 7-14 | 1-3 |
| Devon Barnes G | 31 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 5-11 | 5-9 |
| Elmore James IV G | 28 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-12 | 0-6 |
| Mason Jones F | 23 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Preston Copeland F | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Davion Hill G | 28 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 5-16 | 2-7 |
| Kayden Fish F | 19 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Cam Denson F | 17 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Juwan Maxey, Easton Foster, Kody Clancy, Alex Farley, Jai Anthoni Bearden, Zane Doughty, Joey Hart
| CMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keenan Garner F | 33 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-2 |
| Nathan Claerbaut C | 32 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Tamario Adley G | 32 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 7-10 | 4-5 |
| Logan McIntire G | 32 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 8-13 | 5-9 |
| Phat Phat Brooks G | 25 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Kampen G | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Jaxson Whitaker G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Nick Mullen F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Will Ashford G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kayden Nation F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Uchenna Amene, Nsikan Usen, Rodney Johnson Jr., Kareem Aburashed, Jorden Brooks
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBALL -1.5
no move
CloseBALL -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open141.5
▲ 1
Close142.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
BALL -115 · CMU -105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BALL -1.5 · unchangedmodel CMU -1
model CMU -1
Opened 141.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 1 upmodel 140
model 140
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | BALL -1.5 | CMU -0.9 | CMU +2.4 | W CMU covered |
| Total | 142.5 | 140.1 | Under 2.4 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | BALL 69.6 · CMU 70.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CMU -0.4 | BALL -13.0 |
| 1H total | 65.6 | 53 |
| 1H projected score | BALL 32.6 · CMU 33 | BALL 33 · CMU 20 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BALL | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| CMU | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
BALL 3–3 CMUSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · BALL 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | CMU 69 @ BALL 67 | BALL +2.5 | BALL W |
| Jan 21, 2024-25 | BALL 82 @ CMU 80 | CMU -4.5 | BALL W |
| Feb 27, 2023-24 | BALL 79 @ CMU 71 | CMU -3.5 | BALL W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | CMU 71 @ BALL 65 | BALL -6.5 | CMU W |
| Feb 7, 2022-23 | BALL 65 @ CMU 51 | CMU +9.5 | BALL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ball State
16 games played
Straight up
3-13
19% wins
Against the spread
7-9
44% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-10
38% overs · avg −4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UL | W 75-64 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 11 | @ WIS | L 55-86 | +26.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | vs LR | L 62-68 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 22 | @ INST | L 52-70 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 28 | vs MONM | L 73-80 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 136.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 29 | @ LAF | L 37-55 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 140.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 30 | vs LEM | W 96-85 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 3 | @ EVAN | L 52-64 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 9 | vs SDST | L 64-68 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 14 | @ CAM | L 64-69 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 20 | vs M-OH | L 77-86 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @ BUF | L 72-85 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 6 | vs EMU | L 52-74 | -1.5 | L −23.5 | 137.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 10 | @ MASS | L 71-79 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 13 | @ AKR | L 77-87 | +20.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 16 | vs OHIO | W 76-71 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUL
ULW 75-64
+6.5
11
@WIS
WISL 55-86
−4.5
15
vsLR
LRL 62-68
−8.5
22
@INST
INSTL 52-70
−10.5
28
vsMONM
MONML 73-80
−4.5
29
@LAF
LAFL 37-55
−19.5
30
vsLEM
LEMW 96-85
+12.5
3
@EVAN
EVANL 52-64
−5.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTL 64-68
+1.5
14
@CAM
CAML 64-69
+3.5
20
vsM-OH
M-OHL 77-86
−1.5
3
@BUF
BUFL 72-85
−6.5
6
vsEMU
EMUL 52-74
−23.5
10
@MASS
MASSL 71-79
+2.5
13
@AKR
AKRL 77-87
+10.5
16
vsOHIO
OHIOW 76-71
+10.5
covered 7didn’t cover 9avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUL
ULW 75-64
−2.5
11
@WIS
WISL 55-86
−15.5
15
vsLR
LRL 62-68
−16.5
22
@INST
INSTL 52-70
−32.5
28
vsMONM
MONML 73-80
+16.5
29
@LAF
LAFL 37-55
−48.5
30
vsLEM
LEMW 96-85
+40.5
3
@EVAN
EVANL 52-64
−20.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTL 64-68
−10.5
14
@CAM
CAML 64-69
−12.5
20
vsM-OH
M-OHL 77-86
+15.5
3
@BUF
BUFL 72-85
+11.5
6
vsEMU
EMUL 52-74
−11.5
10
@MASS
MASSL 71-79
+2.5
13
@AKR
AKRL 77-87
+11.5
16
vsOHIO
OHIOW 76-71
−0.5
over 6under 10avg −4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
C Michigan
16 games played
Straight up
3-13
19% wins
Against the spread
8-8
50% covers · avg −3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-9
44% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs APP | W 82-66 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 8 | @ BRAD | L 54-85 | +9.5 | L −21.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 13 | vs USA | L 64-66 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs COPP | W 82-59 | -10.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 20 | vs NKU | L 66-90 | -4.5 | L −28.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 22 | @ MARQ | L 71-85 | +25.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 2 | @ LUC | L 72-83 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 7 | @ SLU | L 65-107 | +24.5 | L −17.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ STBK | L 55-78 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 20 | @ NIU | L 73-74 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 22 | @WIS | L 61-88 | +26.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vsOHIO | L 64-80 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 3 | vs TOL | L 75-78 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 6 | @AKR | L 69-82 | +23.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 10 | vs KENT | W 87-85 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 13 | @M-OH | L 61-100 | +15.5 | L −23.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAPP
APPW 82-66
+14.5
8
@BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−21.5
13
vsUSA
USAL 64-66
+3.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 82-59
+12.5
20
vsNKU
NKUL 66-90
−28.5
22
@MARQ
MARQL 71-85
+11.5
2
@LUC
LUCL 72-83
−4.5
7
@SLU
SLUL 65-107
−17.5
13
@STBK
STBKL 55-78
−15.5
20
@NIU
NIUL 73-74
+1.5
22
@WIS
WISL 61-88
−0.5
30
vsOHIO
OHIOL 64-80
−9.5
3
vsTOL
TOLL 75-78
+4.5
6
@AKR
AKRL 69-82
+10.5
10
vsKENT
KENTW 87-85
+12.5
13
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-100
−23.5
covered 8didn’t cover 8avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAPP
APPW 82-66
+5.5
8
@BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−8.5
13
vsUSA
USAL 64-66
−12.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 82-59
−1.5
20
vsNKU
NKUL 66-90
+9.5
22
@MARQ
MARQL 71-85
+3.5
2
@LUC
LUCL 72-83
+14.5
7
@SLU
SLUL 65-107
+11.5
13
@STBK
STBKL 55-78
−12.5
20
@NIU
NIUL 73-74
−2.5
22
@WIS
WISL 61-88
−3.5
30
vsOHIO
OHIOL 64-80
−7.5
3
vsTOL
TOLL 75-78
−5.5
6
@AKR
AKRL 69-82
−13.5
10
vsKENT
KENTW 87-85
+15.5
13
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-100
+2.5
over 7under 9avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ball State
3-13 overall · 1-5 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Ohio76–71
- L@ Akron77–87
- L@ UMass71–79
- Lvs E Michigan52–74
- L@ Buffalo72–85
4 days since their last game.
C Michigan
3-13 overall · 1-5 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Miami OH61–100
- Wvs Kent State87–85
- L@ Akron69–82
- Lvs Toledo75–78
- Lvs Ohio64–80
A week or more of rest.