NIU Convocation Center · at N Illinois · Conference game
Closing line
OHIO -6.5✓ OHIO covered by 1.5
OHIO -6.5✓ OHIO covered by 1.5Closing total148.5Under by 8.5
| OHIO | This season | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| 12-13 | Record | 7-16 |
| 10-15 | ATS | 12-11 |
| 13-12 | O/U | 7-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OHIO 78–71 NIU · ✓ OHIO (73%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO | 37 | 37 | 74 |
| NIU | 25 | 41 | 66 |
1st half: OHIO 37, NIU 25 (OHIO by 12). The model had OHIO by 4.3 and a total of 70.1 (actual 62).
Team stats
| OHIO | NIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-54 48% | Field goals | 26-52 50% |
| 6-16 38% | 3-pointers | 8-17 47% |
| 16-24 67% | Free throws | 6-12 50% |
| 31 8 off | Rebounds | 30 7 off |
| 16 | Assists | 16 |
| 10 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 10 | Fouls | 19 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| OHIO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Paveletzke G | 38 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4-11 | 1-3 |
| Aidan Hadaway F | 38 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 6-14 | 1-3 |
| Ajay Sheldon G | 35 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 3-8 | 3-6 |
| Javan Simmons F | 33 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 9-10 | 0-0 |
| JJ Kelly G | 27 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jesse Burris G | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Ayden Evans F | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Dior Conners G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Kiir Kuany F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jordan Fisher, Zay Mosley, Carter Reese, Chase Boals, Elijah Elliott, Jalen Breath
| NIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj Walters G | 40 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 4-11 | 2-3 |
| Makhai Valentine G | 39 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 5-8 | 2-4 |
| Dylan Ducommun G | 37 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 4-10 | 4-8 |
| Gianni Cobb G | 37 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6-13 | 0-2 |
| Hassan Washington F | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gustav Winther F | 20 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Wharton F | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Daemar Kelly G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Max Laskey, Isaiah Stewart, Ladji Kante, Carlos Coronado, Isaiah Washington, Lataevyon Taylor, JJ Taylor, Jao Ituka
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOHIO -5.5
1 → OHIO
CloseOHIO -6.5
1 pt toward OHIO
Total
Open148.5
no move
Close148.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
OHIO -258 · NIU +210
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OHIO -5.5 · closed OHIO -6.5 · moved 1 toward OHIOmodel OHIO -7
model OHIO -7
Opened 148.5 · unchangedmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | OHIO -6.5 | OHIO -7.0 | OHIO +0.5 | W OHIO covered |
| Total | 148.5 | 149.8 | Over 1.3 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | OHIO 78.4 · NIU 71.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | OHIO -4.3 | OHIO -12.0 |
| 1H total | 70.1 | 62 |
| 1H projected score | OHIO 37.2 · NIU 32.9 | OHIO 37 · NIU 25 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| NIU | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
OHIO 7–1 NIUOHIO leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · OHIO has won the last 6 meetings · OHIO 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025-26 | NIU 77 @ OHIO 80 | OHIO -11.5 | NIU W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | NIU 70 @ OHIO 108 | OHIO -19.5 | OHIO W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | OHIO 80 @ NIU 59 | NIU +7 | OHIO W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | NIU 66 @ OHIO 78 | OHIO -5.5 | OHIO W |
| Feb 21, 2022-23 | NIU 68 @ OHIO 77 | OHIO -11.5 | NIU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ohio
25 games played
Straight up
12-13
48% wins
Against the spread
10-15
40% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-12
52% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ARST | L 85-89 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 6 | vs ILST | W 72-68 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 11 | @ SMC | L 60-90 | +17.5 | L −12.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 15 | @ LOU | L 81-106 | +31.5 | W +6.5 | 174.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 19 | vs BCU | L 73-76 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 24 | vs GMU | L 69-92 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 25 | vs LMU | L 58-70 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | vs ME | W 79-57 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | vs MRSH | W 88-81 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 13 | vs SBU | W 88-83 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 20 | vs BGSU | L 58-68 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @ CMU | W 80-64 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 3 | @ EMU | W 68-67 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | vs MASS | W 86-83 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs BUF | W 91-80 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 13 | @ TOL | L 85-101 | +2.5 | L −13.5 | 161.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 16 | @ BALL | L 71-76 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 20 | vsNIU | W 80-77 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 23 | vs AKR | L 65-86 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 167.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 27 | @ KENT | L 57-72 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 31 | @BUF | W 95-83 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 3 | vs WMU | W 91-71 | -10.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 7 | @ ODU | L 72-78 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 13 | @ M-OH | L 74-90 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 17 | vsBALL | W 69-57 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsARST
ARSTL 85-89
−7.5
6
vsILST
ILSTW 72-68
+2.5
11
@SMC
SMCL 60-90
−12.5
15
@LOU
LOUL 81-106
+6.5
19
vsBCU
BCUL 73-76
−9.5
24
vsGMU
GMUL 69-92
−15.5
25
vsLMU
LMUL 58-70
−8.5
3
vsME
MEW 79-57
+9.5
6
vsMRSH
MRSHW 88-81
+3.5
13
vsSBU
SBUW 88-83
+11.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 58-68
−8.5
30
@CMU
CMUW 80-64
+9.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 68-67
−1.5
6
vsMASS
MASSW 86-83
−1.5
10
vsBUF
BUFW 91-80
+6.5
13
@TOL
TOLL 85-101
−13.5
16
@BALL
BALLL 71-76
−10.5
20
vsNIU
NIUW 80-77
−8.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 65-86
−14.5
27
@KENT
KENTL 57-72
−9.5
31
@BUF
BUFW 95-83
+14.5
3
vsWMU
WMUW 91-71
+9.5
7
@ODU
ODUL 72-78
−9.5
13
@M-OH
M-OHL 74-90
−8.5
17
vsBALL
BALLW 69-57
+2.5
covered 10didn’t cover 15avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARST
ARSTL 85-89
+14.5
6
vsILST
ILSTW 72-68
−21.5
11
@SMC
SMCL 60-90
+5.5
15
@LOU
LOUL 81-106
+12.5
19
vsBCU
BCUL 73-76
−8.5
24
vsGMU
GMUL 69-92
+18.5
25
vsLMU
LMUL 58-70
−16.5
3
vsME
MEW 79-57
−2.5
6
vsMRSH
MRSHW 88-81
+11.5
13
vsSBU
SBUW 88-83
+20.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 58-68
−27.5
30
@CMU
CMUW 80-64
−7.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 68-67
−15.5
6
vsMASS
MASSW 86-83
+8.5
10
vsBUF
BUFW 91-80
+14.5
13
@TOL
TOLL 85-101
+24.5
16
@BALL
BALLL 71-76
−0.5
20
vsNIU
NIUW 80-77
+2.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 65-86
−16.5
27
@KENT
KENTL 57-72
−33.5
31
@BUF
BUFW 95-83
+21.5
3
vsWMU
WMUW 91-71
+6.5
7
@ODU
ODUL 72-78
−6.5
13
@M-OH
M-OHL 74-90
+0.5
17
vsBALL
BALLW 69-57
−19.5
over 13under 12avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Illinois
23 games played
Straight up
7-16
30% wins
Against the spread
12-11
52% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-16
30% overs · avg −5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ULM | W 102-82 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | @ WIS | L 72-97 | +28.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 10 | @ GCU | L 59-88 | +22.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 18 | @ UNI | L 57-70 | +19.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | @ LUC | W 76-59 | +13.5 | W +30.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 25 | @ APSU | L 59-77 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 2 | vs LIN | L 64-99 | -3.5 | L −38.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | @ BRAD | L 55-84 | +18.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 13 | @ ELON | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 20 | vsCMU | W 74-73 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 31 | vsBUF | L 67-81 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 3 | @KENT | L 73-77 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 6 | vsTOL | L 61-75 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 13 | @EMU | L 59-77 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | vsMASS | W 70-68 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @OHIO | L 77-80 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 24 | @BALL | L 53-58 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 111 |
| Jan 27 | vsWMU | W 85-65 | -1.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 31 | @M-OH | L 61-85 | +16.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 7 | @ GAST | W 75-74 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 11 | vsBGSU | L 52-68 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 14 | @CMU | L 46-88 | +4.5 | L −37.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 17 | @BUF | W 72-70 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+12.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+3.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−6.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
+6.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
+30.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
−38.5
6
@BRAD
BRADL 55-84
−10.5
13
@ELON
ELONL 79-85
+5.5
20
vsCMU
CMUW 74-73
−1.5
31
vsBUF
BUFL 67-81
−7.5
3
@KENT
KENTL 73-77
+12.5
6
vsTOL
TOLL 61-75
−6.5
13
@EMU
EMUL 59-77
−10.5
17
vsMASS
MASSW 70-68
+10.5
20
@OHIO
OHIOL 77-80
+8.5
24
@BALL
BALLL 53-58
+0.5
27
vsWMU
WMUW 85-65
+18.5
31
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-85
−7.5
7
@GAST
GASTW 75-74
+5.5
11
vsBGSU
BGSUL 52-68
−8.5
14
@CMU
CMUL 46-88
−37.5
17
@BUF
BUFW 72-70
+11.5
covered 12didn’t cover 11avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+36.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+11.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−16.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
−19.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
−13.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
+15.5
6
@BRAD
BRADL 55-84
−7.5
13
@ELON
ELONL 79-85
+7.5
20
vsCMU
CMUW 74-73
−2.5
31
vsBUF
BUFL 67-81
−4.5
3
@KENT
KENTL 73-77
−7.5
6
vsTOL
TOLL 61-75
−25.5
13
@EMU
EMUL 59-77
−5.5
17
vsMASS
MASSW 70-68
−19.5
20
@OHIO
OHIOL 77-80
+2.5
24
@BALL
BALLL 53-58
−30.5
27
vsWMU
WMUW 85-65
+3.5
31
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-85
−12.5
7
@GAST
GASTW 75-74
+5.5
11
vsBGSU
BGSUL 52-68
−24.5
14
@CMU
CMUL 46-88
−12.5
17
@BUF
BUFW 72-70
−3.5
over 7under 16avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ohio
12-13 overall · 8-6 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Ball State69–57
- L@ Miami OH74–90
- L@ Old Dominion72–78
- Wvs W Michigan91–71
- W@ Buffalo95–83
4 days since their last game.
N Illinois
7-16 overall · 4-9 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Buffalo72–70
- L@ C Michigan46–88
- Lvs Bowling Green52–68
- W@ Georgia St75–74
- L@ Miami OH61–85
4 days since their last game.