McGuirk Arena · at C Michigan · Conference game
Closing line
CMU -4.5✓ CMU covered by 37.5
CMU -4.5✓ CMU covered by 37.5Closing total146.5Under by 12.5
 NIU | This season | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| 6-15 | Record | 5-17 |
| 11-10 | ATS | 12-10 |
| 7-14 | O/U | 10-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NIU 71–76 CMU · ✓ CMU (67%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIU | 22 | 24 | 46 |
| CMU | 51 | 37 | 88 |
1st half: NIU 22, CMU 51 (CMU by 29). The model had CMU by 2.8 and a total of 68.3 (actual 73).
Team stats
| NIU | CMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-55 27% | Field goals | 37-59 63% |
| 4-20 20% | 3-pointers | 7-11 64% |
| 12-27 44% | Free throws | 7-10 70% |
| 32 15 off | Rebounds | 38 7 off |
| 6 | Assists | 18 |
| 5 | Steals | 9 |
| 5 | Blocks | 7 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 13 | Fouls | 22 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 52 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| NIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianni Cobb G | 33 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Makhai Valentine G | 33 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 4-9 | 3-6 |
| Taj Walters G | 22 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Dylan Ducommun G | 21 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-8 | 0-5 |
| Hassan Washington F | 10 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daemar Kelly G | 24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-7 | 0-2 |
| Gustav Winther F | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Wharton F | 17 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Carlos Coronado G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Ladji Kante F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Stewart G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Max Laskey, Jao Ituka, Isaiah Washington, Lataevyon Taylor, JJ Taylor
| CMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Claerbaut C | 28 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 7-12 | 0-0 |
| Tamario Adley G | 28 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Jaxson Whitaker G | 28 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 6-9 | 5-7 |
| Keenan Garner F | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Phat Phat Brooks G | 26 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Kampen G | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Nick Mullen F | 21 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Will Ashford G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kayden Nation F | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Jorden Brooks G | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Nsikan Usen, Kareem Aburashed, Uchenna Amene, Rodney Johnson Jr., Logan McIntire
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCMU -2.5
2 → CMU
CloseCMU -4.5
2 pts toward CMU
Total
Open144.5
▲ 2
Close146.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
NIU +170 · CMU -205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CMU -2.5 · closed CMU -4.5 · moved 2 toward CMUmodel CMU -5
model CMU -5
Opened 144.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 2 upmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CMU -4.5 | CMU -5.0 | CMU +0.5 | W CMU covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 146.0 | Under 0.5 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | NIU 70.5 · CMU 75.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CMU -2.8 | CMU -29.0 |
| 1H total | 68.3 | 73 |
| 1H projected score | NIU 32.8 · CMU 35.6 | NIU 22 · CMU 51 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIU | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| CMU | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
NIU 4–4 CMUSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · NIU has won the last 2 meetings · NIU 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025-26 | CMU 73 @ NIU 74 | NIU -2.5 | CMU W |
| Mar 7, 2024-25 | NIU 83 @ CMU 81 | CMU -14.5 | NIU W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | CMU 71 @ NIU 66 | NIU +9.5 | NIU W |
| Mar 5, 2023-24 | CMU 69 @ NIU 63 | NIU +2.5 | CMU W |
| Jan 30, 2023-24 | NIU 77 @ CMU 84 | CMU -3.5 | CMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Illinois
21 games played
Straight up
6-15
29% wins
Against the spread
11-10
52% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-14
33% overs · avg −5.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ULM | W 102-82 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | @ WIS | L 72-97 | +28.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 10 | @ GCU | L 59-88 | +22.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 18 | @ UNI | L 57-70 | +19.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | @ LUC | W 76-59 | +13.5 | W +30.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 25 | @ APSU | L 59-77 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 2 | vs LIN | L 64-99 | -3.5 | L −38.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | @ BRAD | L 55-84 | +18.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 13 | @ ELON | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 20 | vsCMU | W 74-73 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 31 | vs BUF | L 67-81 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 3 | @ KENT | L 73-77 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 6 | vs TOL | L 61-75 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 13 | @ EMU | L 59-77 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | vs MASS | W 70-68 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @ OHIO | L 77-80 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 24 | @ BALL | L 53-58 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 111 |
| Jan 27 | vs WMU | W 85-65 | -1.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 31 | @ M-OH | L 61-85 | +16.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 7 | @ GAST | W 75-74 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 11 | vs BGSU | L 52-68 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+12.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+3.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−6.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
+6.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
+30.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
−38.5
6
@BRAD
BRADL 55-84
−10.5
13
@ELON
ELONL 79-85
+5.5
20
vsCMU
CMUW 74-73
−1.5
31
vsBUF
BUFL 67-81
−7.5
3
@KENT
KENTL 73-77
+12.5
6
vsTOL
TOLL 61-75
−6.5
13
@EMU
EMUL 59-77
−10.5
17
vsMASS
MASSW 70-68
+10.5
20
@OHIO
OHIOL 77-80
+8.5
24
@BALL
BALLL 53-58
+0.5
27
vsWMU
WMUW 85-65
+18.5
31
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-85
−7.5
7
@GAST
GASTW 75-74
+5.5
11
vsBGSU
BGSUL 52-68
−8.5
covered 11didn’t cover 10avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+36.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+11.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−16.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
−19.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
−13.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
+15.5
6
@BRAD
BRADL 55-84
−7.5
13
@ELON
ELONL 79-85
+7.5
20
vsCMU
CMUW 74-73
−2.5
31
vsBUF
BUFL 67-81
−4.5
3
@KENT
KENTL 73-77
−7.5
6
vsTOL
TOLL 61-75
−25.5
13
@EMU
EMUL 59-77
−5.5
17
vsMASS
MASSW 70-68
−19.5
20
@OHIO
OHIOL 77-80
+2.5
24
@BALL
BALLL 53-58
−30.5
27
vsWMU
WMUW 85-65
+3.5
31
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-85
−12.5
7
@GAST
GASTW 75-74
+5.5
11
vsBGSU
BGSUL 52-68
−24.5
over 7under 14avg −5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
C Michigan
22 games played
Straight up
5-17
23% wins
Against the spread
12-10
55% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-12
45% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs APP | W 82-66 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 8 | @BRAD | L 54-85 | +9.5 | L −21.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 13 | vs USA | L 64-66 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs COPP | W 82-59 | -10.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 20 | vs NKU | L 66-90 | -4.5 | L −28.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 22 | @ MARQ | L 71-85 | +25.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 2 | @LUC | L 72-83 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 7 | @ SLU | L 65-107 | +24.5 | L −17.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ STBK | L 55-78 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 20 | @NIU | L 73-74 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 22 | @WIS | L 61-88 | +26.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vsOHIO | L 64-80 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 3 | vsTOL | L 75-78 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 6 | @ AKR | L 69-82 | +23.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 10 | vsKENT | W 87-85 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 13 | @M-OH | L 61-100 | +15.5 | L −23.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 20 | vsBALL | L 67-68 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 24 | @WMU | L 65-77 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 27 | vsEMU | W 100-65 | +2.5 | W +37.5 | 139.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 31 | vsBGSU | W 62-59 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 3 | @MASS | L 89-95 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 7 | @ UL | L 80-85 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 134.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAPP
APPW 82-66
+14.5
8
@BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−21.5
13
vsUSA
USAL 64-66
+3.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 82-59
+12.5
20
vsNKU
NKUL 66-90
−28.5
22
@MARQ
MARQL 71-85
+11.5
2
@LUC
LUCL 72-83
−4.5
7
@SLU
SLUL 65-107
−17.5
13
@STBK
STBKL 55-78
−15.5
20
@NIU
NIUL 73-74
+1.5
22
@WIS
WISL 61-88
−0.5
30
vsOHIO
OHIOL 64-80
−9.5
3
vsTOL
TOLL 75-78
+4.5
6
@AKR
AKRL 69-82
+10.5
10
vsKENT
KENTW 87-85
+12.5
13
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-100
−23.5
20
vsBALL
BALLL 67-68
+0.5
24
@WMU
WMUL 65-77
−6.5
27
vsEMU
EMUW 100-65
+37.5
31
vsBGSU
BGSUW 62-59
+11.5
3
@MASS
MASSL 89-95
+5.5
7
@UL
ULL 80-85
−2.5
covered 12didn’t cover 10avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAPP
APPW 82-66
+5.5
8
@BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−8.5
13
vsUSA
USAL 64-66
−12.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 82-59
−1.5
20
vsNKU
NKUL 66-90
+9.5
22
@MARQ
MARQL 71-85
+3.5
2
@LUC
LUCL 72-83
+14.5
7
@SLU
SLUL 65-107
+11.5
13
@STBK
STBKL 55-78
−12.5
20
@NIU
NIUL 73-74
−2.5
22
@WIS
WISL 61-88
−3.5
30
vsOHIO
OHIOL 64-80
−7.5
3
vsTOL
TOLL 75-78
−5.5
6
@AKR
AKRL 69-82
−13.5
10
vsKENT
KENTW 87-85
+15.5
13
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-100
+2.5
20
vsBALL
BALLL 67-68
−7.5
24
@WMU
WMUL 65-77
−6.5
27
vsEMU
EMUW 100-65
+25.5
31
vsBGSU
BGSUW 62-59
−28.5
3
@MASS
MASSL 89-95
+31.5
7
@UL
ULL 80-85
+30.5
over 10under 12avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Illinois
6-15 overall · 3-8 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Bowling Green52–68
- W@ Georgia St75–74
- L@ Miami OH61–85
- Wvs W Michigan85–65
- L@ Ball State53–58
3 days since their last game.
C Michigan
5-17 overall · 3-8 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Louisiana80–85
- L@ UMass89–95
- Wvs Bowling Green62–59
- Wvs E Michigan100–65
- L@ W Michigan65–77
A week or more of rest.