Worthen Arena · at Ball State · Conference game
Closing line
MASS -3.5✓ BALL covered by 4.5
MASS -3.5✓ BALL covered by 4.5Closing total143.5Over by 3.5
| MASS | This season | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| 14-13 | Record | 6-19 |
| 11-16 | ATS | 10-15 |
| 17-10 | O/U | 6-19 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MASS 75–71 BALL · ✗ MASS (65%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MASS | 34 | 27 | 12 | 73 |
| BALL | 21 | 40 | 13 | 74 |
1st half: MASS 34, BALL 21 (MASS by 13). The model had MASS by 2.7 and a total of 68.1 (actual 55).
Team stats
| MASS | BALL | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-69 38% | Field goals | 25-70 36% |
| 8-27 30% | 3-pointers | 6-28 21% |
| 13-16 81% | Free throws | 18-22 82% |
| 49 18 off | Rebounds | 41 16 off |
| 14 | Assists | 12 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 21 | Fouls | 14 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| MASS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Carbuccia G | 37 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 5-12 | 1-3 |
| Marcus Banks Jr. G | 35 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-18 | 2-12 |
| Leonardo Bettiol F | 27 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 6-11 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Ndjigue G | 21 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Dimitri Clerc F | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dwayne Wimbley Jr. F | 28 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Placide G | 28 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 5-9 | 3-5 |
| K'Jei Parker G | 18 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4-10 | 2-5 |
| Luka Damjanac F | 14 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Donovan Brown G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Josh Engel, Rollie Castineyra, Daniel Hankins-Sanford, Bilal Osman, CJ Outlaw
| BALL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armoni Zeigler G | 41 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 3-11 | 2-4 |
| Mason Jones F | 35 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-6 |
| Davion Hill G | 31 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 7-20 | 1-7 |
| Preston Copeland F | 22 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Devon Barnes G | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elmore James IV G | 33 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4-10 | 0-3 |
| Kayden Fish F | 23 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Juwan Maxey G | 16 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Jai Anthoni Bearden F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Cam Denson F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zane Doughty, Joey Hart, Kody Clancy, Easton Foster, Alex Farley
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMASS -5.5
2 → BALL
CloseMASS -3.5
2 pts toward BALL
Total
Open140.5
▲ 3
Close143.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
MASS -192 · BALL +160
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MASS -5.5 · closed MASS -3.5 · moved 2 toward BALLmodel MASS -4.5
model MASS -4.5
Opened 140.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 3 upmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MASS -3.5 | MASS -4.4 | MASS +0.9 | L BALL covered |
| Total | 143.5 | 145.5 | Over 2.0 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MASS 74.9 · BALL 70.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MASS -2.7 | MASS -13.0 |
| 1H total | 68.1 | 55 |
| 1H projected score | MASS 35.4 · BALL 32.7 | MASS 34 · BALL 21 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MASS | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| BALL | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 0-10 0% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MASS 1–1 BALLSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · MASS 0-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | BALL 71 @ MASS 79 | MASS -10.5 | BALL W |
| Nov 21, 2021-22 | BALL 89 vs MASS 86 | MASS -7.5 | BALL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMass
27 games played
Straight up
14-13
52% wins
Against the spread
11-16
41% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-10
63% overs · avg +4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRSH | L 72-78 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | vs UALB | W 83-62 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 13 | vs LEM | W 94-80 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 16 | vs CCSU | W 84-77 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 21 | vs COFC | L 65-69 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 161.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 22 | vs GB | L 75-79 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORST | W 73-65 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 3 | vs HARV | W 78-71 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 6 | vs UML | W 80-60 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | vs BC | W 76-74 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs FSU | W 103-95 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 165.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 20 | vs KENT | L 59-69 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 30 | @ EMU | L 74-80 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | vs BGSU | L 100-101 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 6 | @ OHIO | L 83-86 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vsBALL | W 79-71 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 13 | @ WMU | W 85-82 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @ NIU | L 68-70 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | vs TOL | W 84-82 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 164.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 23 | @ BUF | W 68-67 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 27 | @ M-OH | L 84-86 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | vsEMU | W 70-67 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 3 | vs CMU | W 95-89 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 7 | @ CCU | L 91-94 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 185 |
| Feb 13 | @ AKR | L 92-99 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 191 |
| Feb 17 | vsM-OH | L 77-86 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 21 | vsBUF | L 82-86 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRSH
MRSHL 72-78
−10.5
8
vsUALB
UALBW 83-62
+11.5
13
vsLEM
LEMW 94-80
−2.5
16
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-77
−5.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 65-69
−0.5
22
vsGB
GBL 75-79
−9.5
24
vsORST
ORSTW 73-65
+11.5
3
vsHARV
HARVW 78-71
+1.5
6
vsUML
UMLW 80-60
+8.5
10
vsBC
BCW 76-74
+3.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 103-95
+20.5
20
vsKENT
KENTL 59-69
−8.5
30
@EMU
EMUL 74-80
−8.5
3
vsBGSU
BGSUL 100-101
+0.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 83-86
+1.5
10
vsBALL
BALLW 79-71
−2.5
13
@WMU
WMUW 85-82
−2.5
17
@NIU
NIUL 68-70
−10.5
20
vsTOL
TOLW 84-82
−0.5
23
@BUF
BUFW 68-67
+2.5
27
@M-OH
M-OHL 84-86
+7.5
31
vsEMU
EMUW 70-67
−5.5
3
vsCMU
CMUW 95-89
−5.5
7
@CCU
CCUL 91-94
−5.5
13
@AKR
AKRL 92-99
+5.5
17
vsM-OH
M-OHL 77-86
−5.5
21
vsBUF
BUFL 82-86
−11.5
covered 11didn’t cover 16avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRSH
MRSHL 72-78
−2.5
8
vsUALB
UALBW 83-62
−10.5
13
vsLEM
LEMW 94-80
+20.5
16
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-77
+16.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 65-69
−27.5
22
vsGB
GBL 75-79
+7.5
24
vsORST
ORSTW 73-65
−11.5
3
vsHARV
HARVW 78-71
+5.5
6
vsUML
UMLW 80-60
−15.5
10
vsBC
BCW 76-74
+6.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 103-95
+32.5
20
vsKENT
KENTL 59-69
−35.5
30
@EMU
EMUL 74-80
+5.5
3
vsBGSU
BGSUL 100-101
+48.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 83-86
+8.5
10
vsBALL
BALLW 79-71
+2.5
13
@WMU
WMUW 85-82
+9.5
17
@NIU
NIUL 68-70
−19.5
20
vsTOL
TOLW 84-82
+1.5
23
@BUF
BUFW 68-67
−24.5
27
@M-OH
M-OHL 84-86
+5.5
31
vsEMU
EMUW 70-67
−11.5
3
vsCMU
CMUW 95-89
+31.5
7
@CCU
CCUL 91-94
+37.5
13
@AKR
AKRL 92-99
+27.5
17
vsM-OH
M-OHL 77-86
−0.5
21
vsBUF
BUFL 82-86
+16.5
over 17under 10avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ball State
25 games played
Straight up
6-19
24% wins
Against the spread
10-15
40% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-19
24% overs · avg −7.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UL | W 75-64 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 11 | @ WIS | L 55-86 | +26.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | vs LR | L 62-68 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 22 | @ INST | L 52-70 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 28 | vs MONM | L 73-80 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 136.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 29 | @ LAF | L 37-55 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 140.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 30 | vsLEM | W 96-85 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 3 | @ EVAN | L 52-64 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 9 | vs SDST | L 64-68 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 14 | @ CAM | L 64-69 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 20 | vsM-OH | L 77-86 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @BUF | L 72-85 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 6 | vsEMU | L 52-74 | -1.5 | L −23.5 | 137.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 10 | @MASS | L 71-79 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 13 | @AKR | L 77-87 | +20.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 16 | vsOHIO | W 76-71 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 20 | @CMU | W 68-67 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 24 | vsNIU | W 58-53 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | U 111 |
| Jan 31 | @TOL | L 55-73 | +8.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 3 | @BGSU | L 52-77 | +11.5 | L −13.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 7 | @ ULM | W 73-68 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 11 | vsBUF | L 53-63 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 14 | vsKENT | L 68-75 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 17 | @OHIO | L 57-69 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 20 | vsAKR | L 65-78 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUL
ULW 75-64
+6.5
11
@WIS
WISL 55-86
−4.5
15
vsLR
LRL 62-68
−8.5
22
@INST
INSTL 52-70
−10.5
28
vsMONM
MONML 73-80
−4.5
29
@LAF
LAFL 37-55
−19.5
30
vsLEM
LEMW 96-85
+12.5
3
@EVAN
EVANL 52-64
−5.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTL 64-68
+1.5
14
@CAM
CAML 64-69
+3.5
20
vsM-OH
M-OHL 77-86
−1.5
3
@BUF
BUFL 72-85
−6.5
6
vsEMU
EMUL 52-74
−23.5
10
@MASS
MASSL 71-79
+2.5
13
@AKR
AKRL 77-87
+10.5
16
vsOHIO
OHIOW 76-71
+10.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 68-67
−0.5
24
vsNIU
NIUW 58-53
−0.5
31
@TOL
TOLL 55-73
−9.5
3
@BGSU
BGSUL 52-77
−13.5
7
@ULM
ULMW 73-68
+0.5
11
vsBUF
BUFL 53-63
−11.5
14
vsKENT
KENTL 68-75
+0.5
17
@OHIO
OHIOL 57-69
−2.5
20
vsAKR
AKRL 65-78
+0.5
covered 10didn’t cover 15avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUL
ULW 75-64
−2.5
11
@WIS
WISL 55-86
−15.5
15
vsLR
LRL 62-68
−16.5
22
@INST
INSTL 52-70
−32.5
28
vsMONM
MONML 73-80
+16.5
29
@LAF
LAFL 37-55
−48.5
30
vsLEM
LEMW 96-85
+40.5
3
@EVAN
EVANL 52-64
−20.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTL 64-68
−10.5
14
@CAM
CAML 64-69
−12.5
20
vsM-OH
M-OHL 77-86
+15.5
3
@BUF
BUFL 72-85
+11.5
6
vsEMU
EMUL 52-74
−11.5
10
@MASS
MASSL 71-79
+2.5
13
@AKR
AKRL 77-87
+11.5
16
vsOHIO
OHIOW 76-71
−0.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 68-67
−7.5
24
vsNIU
NIUW 58-53
−30.5
31
@TOL
TOLL 55-73
−18.5
3
@BGSU
BGSUL 52-77
−8.5
7
@ULM
ULMW 73-68
−2.5
11
vsBUF
BUFL 53-63
−25.5
14
vsKENT
KENTL 68-75
−0.5
17
@OHIO
OHIOL 57-69
−19.5
20
vsAKR
AKRL 65-78
−4.5
over 6under 19avg −7.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMass
14-13 overall · 6-9 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Buffalo82–86
- Lvs Miami OH77–86
- L@ Akron92–99
- L@ Coastal91–94
- Wvs C Michigan95–89
3 days since their last game.
Ball State
6-19 overall · 3-11 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Akron65–78
- L@ Ohio57–69
- Lvs Kent State68–75
- Lvs Buffalo53–63
- W@ UL Monroe73–68
4 days since their last game.