Stroh Center · at Bowling Green · Conference game
Closing line
BGSU -11.5✓ WMU covered by 20.5
BGSU -11.5✓ WMU covered by 20.5Closing total149.5Over by 17.5
 WMU | This season | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-17 | Record | 13-12 |
| 13-12 | ATS | 11-14 |
| 15-10 | O/U | 8-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WMU 70–80 BGSU · ✗ BGSU (82%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WMU | 41 | 47 | 88 |
| BGSU | 38 | 41 | 79 |
1st half: WMU 41, BGSU 38 (WMU by 3). The model had BGSU by 6.0 and a total of 70.0 (actual 79).
Team stats
| WMU | BGSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-56 48% | Field goals | 25-59 42% |
| 7-16 44% | 3-pointers | 8-21 38% |
| 27-31 87% | Free throws | 21-32 66% |
| 36 6 off | Rebounds | 35 9 off |
| 8 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 3 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 27 | Fouls | 24 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| WMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Brewer G | 35 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 5-11 | 0-1 |
| Justice Williams G | 34 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 6-17 | 1-5 |
| EJ Ryans G | 30 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 6-9 | 2-3 |
| Trey Lewis G | 22 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Max Burton F | 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carson Vis G | 23 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 4-7 | 3-3 |
| Michael Sulaka F | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sharod Barnes G | 17 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Declan Peterson C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Junior Sileu F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brady Swartz, Camden Thompson, Nicholas Errica, Hudson Ward, Jalen Griffith
| BGSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javontae Campbell G | 37 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 3-11 | 0-2 |
| Sam Towns F | 36 | 22 | 9 | 1 | 6-15 | 5-10 |
| Josiah Shackelford G | 24 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4-12 | 1-6 |
| Justin Thomas G | 24 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Troy Glover II F | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Makhi Leach G | 17 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Javon Ruffin G | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Mayar Wol F | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Aiden Goins F | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Camden Karel F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Christian Dedivanaj, Jason Kimbrough, Alijah Adem, Preston Squire, Mohamed Maxamud, Jaxon Pardon, Greg Spurgin
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBGSU -11.5
ModelBGSU -10.3
Model edgeWMU +1.2
W WMU covered
Total
Market149.5
Model149.6
Model edgeOver 0.1
W Over
Projected score
WMU 69.6 · BGSU 79.9
WMU 88 · BGSU 79
Win probability
BGSU 82%
1st half
Spread
BGSU -6.0
WMU -3.0
Total
70.0
79 points
Projected score
WMU 32 · BGSU 38
WMU 41 · BGSU 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBGSU -13.5
2 → WMU
CloseBGSU -11.5
2 pts toward WMU
Total
Open149.5
no move
Close149.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
WMU +600 · BGSU -900
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BGSU -13.5 · closed BGSU -11.5 · moved 2 toward WMUmodel BGSU -10.5
model BGSU -10.5
Opened 149.5 · unchangedmodel 149.5 matches the line
model 149.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WMU | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| BGSU | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
WMU 3–5 BGSUBGSU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · WMU 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025-26 | BGSU 72 @ WMU 54 | WMU +6.5 | BGSU W |
| Mar 7, 2024-25 | WMU 64 @ BGSU 63 | BGSU -2.5 | WMU W |
| Jan 7, 2024-25 | BGSU 83 @ WMU 79 | WMU -4.5 | BGSU W |
| Mar 5, 2023-24 | BGSU 73 @ WMU 65 | WMU -1.5 | BGSU W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | WMU 79 @ BGSU 84 | BGSU -8.5 | WMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
W Michigan
25 games played
Straight up
8-17
32% wins
Against the spread
13-12
52% covers · avg +0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-10
60% overs · avg +1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CCU | W 76-71 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 9 | @ CAM | L 82-91 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 12 | vs PFW | W 83-71 | +3.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ SDAK | L 78-83 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 172.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 20 | @ OSU | L 58-91 | +26.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 23 | vs MSM | W 83-60 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 29 | @ VAL | L 55-84 | +4.5 | L −24.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vs USI | W 88-74 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ SIUE | W 83-73 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 14 | @ IOWA | L 51-91 | +25.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | vs BUF | L 71-88 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 30 | @ TOL | L 79-84 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 6 | @ M-OH | L 76-87 | +14.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | vs EMU | W 79-62 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 13 | vs MASS | L 82-85 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @ AKR | L 89-104 | +21.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 20 | vsBGSU | L 54-72 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 24 | vs CMU | W 77-65 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 27 | @ NIU | L 65-85 | +1.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 3 | @ OHIO | L 71-91 | +10.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 7 | @ TXST | L 61-77 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 11 | vsTOL | L 79-90 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 14 | @EMU | W 76-62 | +6.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 17 | vsAKR | L 73-90 | +14.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 21 | @CMU | L 70-83 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+2.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+0.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
+15.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−1.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−6.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
+21.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−24.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 88-74
+8.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEW 83-73
+15.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 51-91
−14.5
20
vsBUF
BUFL 71-88
−14.5
30
@TOL
TOLL 79-84
+5.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 76-87
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 79-62
+18.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 82-85
+2.5
17
@AKR
AKRL 89-104
+6.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 54-72
−11.5
24
vsCMU
CMUW 77-65
+6.5
27
@NIU
NIUL 65-85
−18.5
3
@OHIO
OHIOL 71-91
−9.5
7
@TXST
TXSTL 61-77
−9.5
11
vsTOL
TOLL 79-90
−4.5
14
@EMU
EMUW 76-62
+20.5
17
vsAKR
AKRL 73-90
−2.5
21
@CMU
CMUL 70-83
−9.5
covered 13didn’t cover 12avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+0.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+20.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
−7.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−11.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−10.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
−7.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−7.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 88-74
+11.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEW 83-73
+16.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 51-91
+4.5
20
vsBUF
BUFL 71-88
+8.5
30
@TOL
TOLL 79-84
+2.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 76-87
+2.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 79-62
−4.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 82-85
+9.5
17
@AKR
AKRL 89-104
+29.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 54-72
−26.5
24
vsCMU
CMUW 77-65
−6.5
27
@NIU
NIUL 65-85
+3.5
3
@OHIO
OHIOL 71-91
+6.5
7
@TXST
TXSTL 61-77
−8.5
11
vsTOL
TOLL 79-90
+14.5
14
@EMU
EMUW 76-62
−5.5
17
vsAKR
AKRL 73-90
+2.5
21
@CMU
CMUL 70-83
+2.5
over 15under 10avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bowling Green
25 games played
Straight up
13-12
52% wins
Against the spread
11-14
44% covers · avg −0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-17
32% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsTXST | W 83-48 | -5.5 | W +29.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 9 | vs LEM | W 83-60 | -11.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 15 | @ DAV | L 87-91 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 19 | vs W&M | L 74-82 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 167.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs BUCK | W 71-66 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs VMI | W 81-48 | -11.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 1 | @ KSU | W 82-66 | +12.5 | W +28.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs UVU | L 71-82 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 16 | vs CHST | W 76-55 | -21.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 20 | @OHIO | W 68-58 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | vsM-OH | L 83-93 | -6.5 | L −16.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 3 | @MASS | W 101-100 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 6 | @ KENT | L 93-96 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | O 189 |
| Jan 9 | vsAKR | L 67-77 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsEMU | W 85-79 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 20 | @WMU | W 72-54 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 24 | @TOL | L 72-73 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 27 | vsBUF | L 78-89 | -7.5 | L −18.5 | 150.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 31 | @CMU | L 59-62 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 3 | vs BALL | W 77-52 | -11.5 | W +13.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 7 | @ ARST | L 54-91 | +2.5 | L −34.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 11 | @NIU | W 68-52 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 14 | vsTOL | W 80-70 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 17 | vsKENT | L 71-78 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 20 | @M-OH | L 77-91 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTXST
TXSTW 83-48
+29.5
9
vsLEM
LEMW 83-60
+11.5
15
@DAV
DAVL 87-91
+0.5
19
vsW&M
W&ML 74-82
−16.5
24
vsBUCK
BUCKW 71-66
−5.5
26
vsVMI
VMIW 81-48
+21.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 82-66
+28.5
6
vsUVU
UVUL 71-82
−9.5
16
vsCHST
CHSTW 76-55
−0.5
20
@OHIO
OHIOW 68-58
+8.5
30
vsM-OH
M-OHL 83-93
−16.5
3
@MASS
MASSW 101-100
−0.5
6
@KENT
KENTL 93-96
+0.5
9
vsAKR
AKRL 67-77
−5.5
17
vsEMU
EMUW 85-79
−5.5
20
@WMU
WMUW 72-54
+11.5
24
@TOL
TOLL 72-73
−2.5
27
vsBUF
BUFL 78-89
−18.5
31
@CMU
CMUL 59-62
−11.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 77-52
+13.5
7
@ARST
ARSTL 54-91
−34.5
11
@NIU
NIUW 68-52
+8.5
14
vsTOL
TOLW 80-70
+6.5
17
vsKENT
KENTL 71-78
−8.5
20
@M-OH
M-OHL 77-91
−5.5
covered 11didn’t cover 14avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTXST
TXSTW 83-48
−15.5
9
vsLEM
LEMW 83-60
−11.5
15
@DAV
DAVL 87-91
+33.5
19
vsW&M
W&ML 74-82
−11.5
24
vsBUCK
BUCKW 71-66
−7.5
26
vsVMI
VMIW 81-48
−19.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 82-66
−11.5
6
vsUVU
UVUL 71-82
+8.5
16
vsCHST
CHSTW 76-55
−17.5
20
@OHIO
OHIOW 68-58
−27.5
30
vsM-OH
M-OHL 83-93
+25.5
3
@MASS
MASSW 101-100
+48.5
6
@KENT
KENTL 93-96
+33.5
9
vsAKR
AKRL 67-77
−19.5
17
vsEMU
EMUW 85-79
+22.5
20
@WMU
WMUW 72-54
−26.5
24
@TOL
TOLL 72-73
−10.5
27
vsBUF
BUFL 78-89
+16.5
31
@CMU
CMUL 59-62
−28.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 77-52
−8.5
7
@ARST
ARSTL 54-91
−9.5
11
@NIU
NIUW 68-52
−24.5
14
vsTOL
TOLW 80-70
−0.5
17
vsKENT
KENTL 71-78
−2.5
20
@M-OH
M-OHL 77-91
+13.5
over 8under 17avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
W Michigan
8-17 overall · 3-11 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ C Michigan70–83
- Lvs Akron73–90
- W@ E Michigan76–62
- Lvs Toledo79–90
- L@ Texas St61–77
3 days since their last game.
Bowling Green
13-12 overall · 7-8 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Miami OH77–91
- Lvs Kent State71–78
- Wvs Toledo80–70
- W@ N Illinois68–52
- L@ Arkansas St54–91
4 days since their last game.