Stroh Center · at Bowling Green
Closing line
UVU -1.5✓ UVU covered by 9.5
UVU -1.5✓ UVU covered by 9.5Closing total144.5Over by 8.5
| UVU | This season | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | Record | 5-2 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 5-2 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 1-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UVU 73–73 BGSU · ✗ BGSU (52%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVU | 38 | 44 | 82 |
| BGSU | 31 | 40 | 71 |
1st half: UVU 38, BGSU 31 (UVU by 7). The model had BGSU by 0.2 and a total of 68.5 (actual 69).
Team stats
| UVU | BGSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-56 57% | Field goals | 27-62 44% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 4-24 17% |
| 10-15 67% | Free throws | 13-20 65% |
| 37 9 off | Rebounds | 29 12 off |
| 21 | Assists | 10 |
| 10 | Steals | 13 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| UVU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevan Leonhardt G | 39 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Tyler Hendricks G | 35 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Jackson Holcombe G | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7-9 | 0-2 |
| Noah Taitz G | 28 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Isaac Davis F | 20 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sherman Weatherspoon IV G | 18 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Hayden Welling F | 15 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Isaac Hawkins F | 14 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Tyler Medaris, Joul Karram, AJ Riggs, Jaxson Roberts, AJ Dixon, Braden Housley, Tyler Weaver
| BGSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Towns F | 38 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3-13 | 0-5 |
| Javontae Campbell G | 37 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 9-14 | 1-2 |
| Justin Thomas G | 31 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Javon Ruffin G | 26 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-8 | 0-5 |
| Troy Glover II F | 23 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josiah Shackelford G | 22 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Mayar Wol F | 13 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-7 |
| Makhi Leach G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Camden Karel F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Aiden Goins F | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Greg Spurgin, Christian Dedivanaj, Jason Kimbrough, Alijah Adem, Preston Squire, Mohamed Maxamud, Jaxon Pardon
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUVU -1.5
ModelBGSU -0.6
Model edgeBGSU +2.1
L UVU covered
Total
Market144.5
Model146.3
Model edgeOver 1.8
W Over
Projected score
UVU 72.9 · BGSU 73.4
UVU 82 · BGSU 71
Win probability
BGSU 52%
1st half
Spread
BGSU -0.2
UVU -7.0
Total
68.5
69 points
Projected score
UVU 34.2 · BGSU 34.4
UVU 38 · BGSU 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBGSU -1.5
3 → UVU
CloseUVU -1.5
3 pts toward UVU
Total
Open145.5
▼ 1
Close144.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UVU -115 · BGSU -105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BGSU -1.5 · closed UVU -1.5 · moved 3 toward UVUmodel BGSU -0.5
model BGSU -0.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 1 downmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVUlast 6 | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% | 2-4 33% |
| BGSUlast 7 | 5-2 71% | 5-2 71% | 1-6 14% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Utah Valley
6 games played
Straight up
3-3
50% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg +7.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
BOIS
BOISL 77-101
−11.5
15
@
FRES
FRESL 74-75
−5.5
19
vs
UCI
UCIW 79-72
+4.5
25
vs
SDST
SDSTW 75-52
+21.5
26
vs
SAM
SAMW 89-45
+36.5
3
@
SDSU
SDSUL 66-77
−2.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg +7.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@BOIS
BOISL 77-101
+26.5
15
@FRES
FRESL 74-75
−7.5
19
vsUCI
UCIW 79-72
+1.5
25
vsSDST
SDSTW 75-52
−24.5
26
vsSAM
SAMW 89-45
−14.5
3
@SDSU
SDSUL 66-77
−1.5
over 2under 4avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bowling Green
7 games played
Straight up
5-2
71% wins
Against the spread
5-2
71% covers · avg +9.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-6
14% overs · avg −6.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TXST | W 83-48 | -5.5 | W +29.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 9 | vs LEM | W 83-60 | -11.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 15 | @ DAV | L 87-91 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 19 | vs W&M | L 74-82 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 167.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs BUCK | W 71-66 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs VMI | W 81-48 | -11.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 1 | @ KSU | W 82-66 | +12.5 | W +28.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTXST
TXSTW 83-48
+29.5
9
vsLEM
LEMW 83-60
+11.5
15
@DAV
DAVL 87-91
+0.5
19
vsW&M
W&ML 74-82
−16.5
24
vsBUCK
BUCKW 71-66
−5.5
26
vsVMI
VMIW 81-48
+21.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 82-66
+28.5
covered 5didn’t cover 2avg +9.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTXST
TXSTW 83-48
−15.5
9
vsLEM
LEMW 83-60
−11.5
15
@DAV
DAVL 87-91
+33.5
19
vsW&M
W&ML 74-82
−11.5
24
vsBUCK
BUCKW 71-66
−7.5
26
vsVMI
VMIW 81-48
−19.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 82-66
−11.5
over 1under 6avg −6.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Utah Valley
3-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ San Diego St66–77
- Wvs Samford89–45
- Wvs S Dakota St75–52
- Wvs UC Irvine79–72
- L@ Fresno St74–75
3 days since their last game.
Bowling Green
5-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Kansas St82–66
- Wvs VMI81–48
- Wvs Bucknell71–66
- Lvs William & Mary74–82
- L@ Davidson87–91
5 days since their last game.