M.A.C. Center · at Kent State · Conference game
Closing line
AKR -3.5✓ AKR covered by 18.5
AKR -3.5✓ AKR covered by 18.5Closing total166.5Under by 4.5
| AKR | This season | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| 21-5 | Record | 19-7 |
| 13-13 | ATS | 10-16 |
| 14-12 | O/U | 15-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AKR 87–82 KENT · ✓ AKR (66%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKR | 47 | 45 | 92 |
| KENT | 37 | 33 | 70 |
1st half: AKR 47, KENT 37 (AKR by 10). The model had AKR by 2.9 and a total of 79.2 (actual 84).
Team stats
| AKR | KENT | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-58 55% | Field goals | 26-60 43% |
| 14-28 50% | 3-pointers | 13-32 41% |
| 14-18 78% | Free throws | 5-11 45% |
| 38 10 off | Rebounds | 27 9 off |
| 20 | Assists | 17 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| AKR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavari Johnson G | 34 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 7-11 | 4-4 |
| Amani Lyles F | 28 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Evan Mahaffey F | 27 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 5-13 | 0-4 |
| Bowen Hardman G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zach Halligan F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eric Mahaffey G | 29 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 5-7 | 1-3 |
| Shammah Scott G | 26 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 7-9 | 5-5 |
| Sharron Young G | 24 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 7-9 | 4-6 |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chabi Barre F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Conner Groce G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Rich Brisco F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ognjen Stankovic F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cody Head, Tai Perkins, Josh Henderson
| KENT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delrecco Gillespie F | 33 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 3-15 | 1-2 |
| Cian Medley G | 33 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 2-9 | 2-9 |
| Morgan Safford G | 32 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 6-11 | 3-7 |
| Jahari Williamson G | 32 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Rob Whaley Jr. F | 22 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rayvon Griffith G | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 5-6 | 3-4 |
| Quinn Woidke G | 16 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Dezmon Briscoe F | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Omer Hamama G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Magnus Entenmann, Brenden Moss, Jamal Sumlin, Dre Jones, Drew Huffman, Landon Vanderwarker, Jaymen Townsend, Dylan Lakatos
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAKR -3.5
ModelAKR -4.6
Model edgeAKR +1.1
W AKR covered
Total
Market166.5
Model169.5
Model edgeOver 3.0
L Under
Projected score
AKR 87 · KENT 82.4
AKR 92 · KENT 70
Win probability
AKR 66%
1st half
Spread
AKR -2.9
AKR -10.0
Total
79.2
84 points
Projected score
AKR 41 · KENT 38.1
AKR 47 · KENT 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAKR -4.5
1 → KENT
CloseAKR -3.5
1 pt toward KENT
Total
Open165.5
▲ 1
Close166.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
AKR -180 · KENT +150
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AKR -4.5 · closed AKR -3.5 · moved 1 toward KENTmodel AKR -4.5
model AKR -4.5
Opened 165.5 · closed 166.5 · moved 1 upmodel 169.5
model 169.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKR | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| KENT | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 12 since 2021-22
AKR 8–4 KENTAKR leads · 12 games since 2021-22 · AKR has won the last 6 meetings · AKR 7-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025-26 | KENT 52 @ AKR 69 | AKR -10.5 | AKR W |
| Feb 28, 2024-25 | KENT 72 @ AKR 77 | AKR -3.5 | AKR W |
| Jan 31, 2024-25 | AKR 85 @ KENT 71 | KENT -3.5 | AKR W |
| Mar 16, 2023-24 | KENT 61 vs AKR 62 | AKR -4.5 | KENT W |
| Feb 23, 2023-24 | KENT 70 @ AKR 83 | AKR -7.5 | AKR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Akron
26 games played
Straight up
21-5
81% wins
Against the spread
13-13
50% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-12
54% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JMU | W 85-71 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 8 | vs PRIN | W 104-69 | -13.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 16 | @ PUR | L 79-97 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 21 | vs IONA | W 96-75 | -11.5 | W +9.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs EVAN | W 97-59 | -11.5 | W +26.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs YALE | L 94-97 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 29 | vs MILW | W 105-81 | -12.5 | W +11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 3 | vs BUCK | W 97-77 | -23.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 6 | @ TULN | W 88-71 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs MUR | L 100-115 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 168.5 | O 215 |
| Dec 19 | vs EMU | W 93-72 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | @ M-OH | L 73-76 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 177.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 6 | vs CMU | W 82-69 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 9 | @ BGSU | W 77-67 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 13 | vs BALL | W 87-77 | -20.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 17 | vs WMU | W 104-89 | -21.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 20 | @ BUF | W 82-63 | -8.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 23 | @ OHIO | W 86-65 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 167.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 27 | vs TOL | W 91-81 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 30 | vsKENT | W 69-52 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 166.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 3 | @EMU | W 66-64 | -12.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | @ TROY | L 69-79 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 13 | vs MASS | W 99-92 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 191 |
| Feb 17 | @WMU | W 90-73 | -14.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 20 | @BALL | W 78-65 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 24 | vsBUF | W 99-85 | -15.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 184 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+5.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+21.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+0.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
+9.5
23
vsEVAN
EVANW 97-59
+26.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 94-97
−4.5
29
vsMILW
MILWW 105-81
+11.5
3
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-77
−3.5
6
@TULN
TULNW 88-71
+10.5
13
vsMUR
MURL 100-115
−19.5
19
vsEMU
EMUW 93-72
+5.5
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 73-76
−7.5
6
vsCMU
CMUW 82-69
−10.5
9
@BGSU
BGSUW 77-67
+5.5
13
vsBALL
BALLW 87-77
−10.5
17
vsWMU
WMUW 104-89
−6.5
20
@BUF
BUFW 82-63
+10.5
23
@OHIO
OHIOW 86-65
+14.5
27
vsTOL
TOLW 91-81
−2.5
30
vsKENT
KENTW 69-52
+6.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 66-64
−10.5
7
@TROY
TROYL 69-79
−12.5
13
vsMASS
MASSW 99-92
−5.5
17
@WMU
WMUW 90-73
+2.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 78-65
−0.5
24
vsBUF
BUFW 99-85
−1.5
covered 13didn’t cover 13avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+2.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+16.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+12.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
−2.5
23
vsEVAN
EVANW 97-59
−0.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 94-97
+34.5
29
vsMILW
MILWW 105-81
+19.5
3
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-77
+16.5
6
@TULN
TULNW 88-71
−3.5
13
vsMUR
MURL 100-115
+46.5
19
vsEMU
EMUW 93-72
+9.5
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 73-76
−28.5
6
vsCMU
CMUW 82-69
−13.5
9
@BGSU
BGSUW 77-67
−19.5
13
vsBALL
BALLW 87-77
+11.5
17
vsWMU
WMUW 104-89
+29.5
20
@BUF
BUFW 82-63
−21.5
23
@OHIO
OHIOW 86-65
−16.5
27
vsTOL
TOLW 91-81
+3.5
30
vsKENT
KENTW 69-52
−45.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 66-64
−23.5
7
@TROY
TROYL 69-79
−9.5
13
vsMASS
MASSW 99-92
+27.5
17
@WMU
WMUW 90-73
+2.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 78-65
−4.5
24
vsBUF
BUFW 99-85
+23.5
over 14under 12avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kent State
26 games played
Straight up
19-7
73% wins
Against the spread
10-16
38% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-11
58% overs · avg +5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsTROY | L 97-103 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | O 200 |
| Nov 7 | vs COR | W 110-102 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 164.5 | O 212 |
| Nov 10 | vs UNCW | W 86-77 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 15 | vs CLE | W 102-95 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 16 | vs WRST | W 76-72 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 18 | vs EKU | W 93-78 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 22 | vsCLE | W 91-71 | -15.5 | W +4.5 | 172.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 3 | vs APSU | W 96-84 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 14 | @ PORT | L 78-88 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 20 | @MASS | W 69-59 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 29 | @PUR | L 60-101 | +24.5 | L −16.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 3 | vs NIU | W 77-73 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 6 | vsBGSU | W 96-93 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | O 189 |
| Jan 10 | @CMU | L 85-87 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 13 | @BUF | W 87-81 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 16 | vsTOL | W 87-84 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 20 | vsM-OH | L 101-107 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 167.5 | O 208 |
| Jan 24 | @EMU | W 76-75 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 27 | vsOHIO | W 72-57 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 30 | @AKR | L 52-69 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 166.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 3 | @TOL | W 75-72 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 161.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 7 | @ USM | L 65-66 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 11 | vsEMU | W 95-91 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 186 |
| Feb 14 | @BALL | W 75-68 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 17 | @BGSU | W 78-71 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 24 | vsCMU | W 83-81 | -11.5 | L −9.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTROY
TROYL 97-103
−9.5
7
vsCOR
CORW 110-102
+1.5
10
vsUNCW
UNCWW 86-77
+5.5
15
vsCLE
CLEW 102-95
−4.5
16
vsWRST
WRSTW 76-72
−0.5
18
vsEKU
EKUW 93-78
+4.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 91-71
+4.5
3
vsAPSU
APSUW 96-84
+3.5
14
@PORT
PORTL 78-88
−17.5
20
@MASS
MASSW 69-59
+8.5
29
@PUR
PURL 60-101
−16.5
3
vsNIU
NIUW 77-73
−12.5
6
vsBGSU
BGSUW 96-93
−0.5
10
@CMU
CMUL 85-87
−12.5
13
@BUF
BUFW 87-81
+3.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 87-84
−2.5
20
vsM-OH
M-OHL 101-107
−7.5
24
@EMU
EMUW 76-75
−3.5
27
vsOHIO
OHIOW 72-57
+9.5
30
@AKR
AKRL 52-69
−6.5
3
@TOL
TOLW 75-72
+1.5
7
@USM
USML 65-66
−5.5
11
vsEMU
EMUW 95-91
−6.5
14
@BALL
BALLW 75-68
−0.5
17
@BGSU
BGSUW 78-71
+8.5
24
vsCMU
CMUW 83-81
−9.5
covered 10didn’t cover 16avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTROY
TROYL 97-103
+57.5
7
vsCOR
CORW 110-102
+47.5
10
vsUNCW
UNCWW 86-77
+6.5
15
vsCLE
CLEW 102-95
+31.5
16
vsWRST
WRSTW 76-72
−9.5
18
vsEKU
EKUW 93-78
+9.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 91-71
−10.5
3
vsAPSU
APSUW 96-84
+26.5
14
@PORT
PORTL 78-88
+5.5
20
@MASS
MASSW 69-59
−35.5
29
@PUR
PURL 60-101
+5.5
3
vsNIU
NIUW 77-73
−7.5
6
vsBGSU
BGSUW 96-93
+33.5
10
@CMU
CMUL 85-87
+15.5
13
@BUF
BUFW 87-81
+2.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 87-84
+2.5
20
vsM-OH
M-OHL 101-107
+40.5
24
@EMU
EMUW 76-75
−3.5
27
vsOHIO
OHIOW 72-57
−33.5
30
@AKR
AKRL 52-69
−45.5
3
@TOL
TOLW 75-72
−14.5
7
@USM
USML 65-66
−19.5
11
vsEMU
EMUW 95-91
+40.5
14
@BALL
BALLW 75-68
−0.5
17
@BGSU
BGSUW 78-71
−2.5
24
vsCMU
CMUW 83-81
+7.5
over 15under 11avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Akron
21-5 overall · 14-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Buffalo99–85
- W@ Ball State78–65
- W@ W Michigan90–73
- Wvs UMass99–92
- L@ Troy69–79
3 days since their last game.
Kent State
19-7 overall · 12-3 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs C Michigan83–81
- W@ Bowling Green78–71
- W@ Ball State75–68
- Wvs E Michigan95–91
- L@ Southern Miss65–66
3 days since their last game.