Savage Arena · at Toledo · Conference game
Closing line
KENT -1.5✓ KENT covered by 1.5
KENT -1.5✓ KENT covered by 1.5Closing total161.5Under by 14.5
| KENT | This season | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| 14-6 | Record | 10-10 |
| 8-12 | ATS | 12-8 |
| 13-7 | O/U | 9-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: KENT 82–83 TOL · ✗ TOL (55%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KENT | 29 | 46 | 75 |
| TOL | 36 | 36 | 72 |
1st half: KENT 29, TOL 36 (TOL by 7). The model had TOL by 0.7 and a total of 77.4 (actual 65).
Team stats
| KENT | TOL | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-66 38% | Field goals | 27-62 44% |
| 10-29 34% | 3-pointers | 6-20 30% |
| 15-21 71% | Free throws | 12-15 80% |
| 44 19 off | Rebounds | 38 12 off |
| 14 | Assists | 15 |
| 8 | Steals | 9 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| KENT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delrecco Gillespie F | 36 | 25 | 10 | 0 | 9-18 | 2-5 |
| Cian Medley G | 35 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Morgan Safford G | 27 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Rob Whaley Jr. F | 23 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 1-8 | 0-0 |
| Jahari Williamson G | 22 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rayvon Griffith G | 23 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4-10 | 2-5 |
| Quinn Woidke G | 18 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Dezmon Briscoe F | 11 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Omer Hamama G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Magnus Entenmann F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dylan Lakatos, Jaymen Townsend, Landon Vanderwarker, Drew Huffman, Dre Jones, Brenden Moss, Jamal Sumlin
| TOL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson G | 37 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 6-17 | 0-5 |
| Leroy Blyden Jr. G | 37 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Sean Craig F | 32 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-4 |
| Mynor Strong G | 32 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 4-9 | 3-5 |
| Austin Parks C | 29 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 8-11 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylan Ouwinga F | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Kyler Vanderjagt G | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Will James Jr. G | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: London Praytor, Toby Nwokolo, Phoenix Glassnor, Tyler Ode, Chris Riddle
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketKENT -1.5
ModelTOL -1.4
Model edgeTOL +2.9
L KENT covered
Total
Market161.5
Model165.4
Model edgeOver 3.9
L Under
Projected score
KENT 82 · TOL 83.4
KENT 75 · TOL 72
Win probability
TOL 55%
1st half
Spread
TOL -0.7
TOL -7.0
Total
77.4
65 points
Projected score
KENT 38.4 · TOL 39
KENT 29 · TOL 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTOL -1.5
3 → KENT
CloseKENT -1.5
3 pts toward KENT
Total
Open163.5
▼ 2
Close161.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
KENT -118 · TOL -102
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TOL -1.5 · closed KENT -1.5 · moved 3 toward KENTmodel TOL -1.5
model TOL -1.5
Opened 163.5 · closed 161.5 · moved 2 downmodel 165.5
model 165.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KENT | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% |
| TOL | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
KENT 8–2 TOLKENT leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · KENT has won the last 4 meetings · KENT 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025-26 | TOL 84 @ KENT 87 | KENT -5.5 | TOL W |
| Feb 25, 2024-25 | TOL 65 @ KENT 105 | KENT -6.5 | KENT W |
| Jan 21, 2024-25 | KENT 83 @ TOL 64 | TOL -1.5 | KENT W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | KENT 67 vs TOL 59 | TOL -5.5 | KENT W |
| Mar 8, 2023-24 | KENT 71 @ TOL 86 | TOL -7.5 | TOL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Kent State
20 games played
Straight up
14-6
70% wins
Against the spread
8-12
40% covers · avg −2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-7
65% overs · avg +7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TROY | L 97-103 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | O 200 |
| Nov 7 | vs COR | W 110-102 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 164.5 | O 212 |
| Nov 10 | vs UNCW | W 86-77 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 15 | vs CLE | W 102-95 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 16 | vs WRST | W 76-72 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 18 | vs EKU | W 93-78 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 22 | vsCLE | W 91-71 | -15.5 | W +4.5 | 172.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 3 | vs APSU | W 96-84 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 14 | @ PORT | L 78-88 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 20 | @ MASS | W 69-59 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 29 | @ PUR | L 60-101 | +24.5 | L −16.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 3 | vs NIU | W 77-73 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 6 | vs BGSU | W 96-93 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | O 189 |
| Jan 10 | @ CMU | L 85-87 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 13 | @ BUF | W 87-81 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 16 | vsTOL | W 87-84 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 20 | vs M-OH | L 101-107 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 167.5 | O 208 |
| Jan 24 | @ EMU | W 76-75 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 27 | vs OHIO | W 72-57 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 30 | @ AKR | L 52-69 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 166.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTROY
TROYL 97-103
−9.5
7
vsCOR
CORW 110-102
+1.5
10
vsUNCW
UNCWW 86-77
+5.5
15
vsCLE
CLEW 102-95
−4.5
16
vsWRST
WRSTW 76-72
−0.5
18
vsEKU
EKUW 93-78
+4.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 91-71
+4.5
3
vsAPSU
APSUW 96-84
+3.5
14
@PORT
PORTL 78-88
−17.5
20
@MASS
MASSW 69-59
+8.5
29
@PUR
PURL 60-101
−16.5
3
vsNIU
NIUW 77-73
−12.5
6
vsBGSU
BGSUW 96-93
−0.5
10
@CMU
CMUL 85-87
−12.5
13
@BUF
BUFW 87-81
+3.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 87-84
−2.5
20
vsM-OH
M-OHL 101-107
−7.5
24
@EMU
EMUW 76-75
−3.5
27
vsOHIO
OHIOW 72-57
+9.5
30
@AKR
AKRL 52-69
−6.5
covered 8didn’t cover 12avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTROY
TROYL 97-103
+57.5
7
vsCOR
CORW 110-102
+47.5
10
vsUNCW
UNCWW 86-77
+6.5
15
vsCLE
CLEW 102-95
+31.5
16
vsWRST
WRSTW 76-72
−9.5
18
vsEKU
EKUW 93-78
+9.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 91-71
−10.5
3
vsAPSU
APSUW 96-84
+26.5
14
@PORT
PORTL 78-88
+5.5
20
@MASS
MASSW 69-59
−35.5
29
@PUR
PURL 60-101
+5.5
3
vsNIU
NIUW 77-73
−7.5
6
vsBGSU
BGSUW 96-93
+33.5
10
@CMU
CMUL 85-87
+15.5
13
@BUF
BUFW 87-81
+2.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 87-84
+2.5
20
vsM-OH
M-OHL 101-107
+40.5
24
@EMU
EMUW 76-75
−3.5
27
vsOHIO
OHIOW 72-57
−33.5
30
@AKR
AKRL 52-69
−45.5
over 13under 7avg +7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Toledo
20 games played
Straight up
10-10
50% wins
Against the spread
12-8
60% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-11
45% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs USA | L 74-76 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | vs MRSH | L 73-85 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 11 | @WRST | W 81-71 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 159.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 15 | vs DETM | W 90-83 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | vs YSU | W 92-75 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 24 | vsTROY | W 75-68 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs BEL | L 72-87 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ OAK | L 97-98 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 166.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 13 | @ RMU | L 70-75 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 16 | @ MSU | L 69-92 | +23.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 30 | vs WMU | W 84-79 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @CMU | W 78-75 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 6 | @NIU | W 75-61 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 9 | vsM-OH | L 73-87 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 166.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 13 | vsOHIO | W 101-85 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 161.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 16 | @KENT | L 84-87 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 20 | @MASS | L 82-84 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 24 | vsBGSU | W 73-72 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 27 | @AKR | L 81-91 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 31 | vs BALL | W 73-55 | -8.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−4.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHL 73-85
−14.5
11
@WRST
WRSTW 81-71
+15.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 90-83
−3.5
19
vsYSU
YSUW 92-75
+15.5
24
vsTROY
TROYW 75-68
+9.5
26
vsBEL
BELL 72-87
−10.5
6
@OAK
OAKL 97-98
+3.5
13
@RMU
RMUL 70-75
−6.5
16
@MSU
MSUL 69-92
+0.5
30
vsWMU
WMUW 84-79
−5.5
3
@CMU
CMUW 78-75
−4.5
6
@NIU
NIUW 75-61
+6.5
9
vsM-OH
M-OHL 73-87
−15.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 101-85
+13.5
16
@KENT
KENTL 84-87
+2.5
20
@MASS
MASSL 82-84
+0.5
24
vsBGSU
BGSUW 73-72
+2.5
27
@AKR
AKRL 81-91
+2.5
31
vsBALL
BALLW 73-55
+9.5
covered 12didn’t cover 8avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−0.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHL 73-85
−2.5
11
@WRST
WRSTW 81-71
−7.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 90-83
+13.5
19
vsYSU
YSUW 92-75
+6.5
24
vsTROY
TROYW 75-68
−16.5
26
vsBEL
BELL 72-87
−4.5
6
@OAK
OAKL 97-98
+28.5
13
@RMU
RMUL 70-75
−9.5
16
@MSU
MSUL 69-92
+10.5
30
vsWMU
WMUW 84-79
+2.5
3
@CMU
CMUW 78-75
−5.5
6
@NIU
NIUW 75-61
−25.5
9
vsM-OH
M-OHL 73-87
−6.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 101-85
+24.5
16
@KENT
KENTL 84-87
+2.5
20
@MASS
MASSL 82-84
+1.5
24
vsBGSU
BGSUW 73-72
−10.5
27
@AKR
AKRL 81-91
+3.5
31
vsBALL
BALLW 73-55
−18.5
over 9under 11avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Kent State
14-6 overall · 7-3 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Akron52–69
- Wvs Ohio72–57
- W@ E Michigan76–75
- Lvs Miami OH101–107
- Wvs Toledo87–84
4 days since their last game.
Toledo
10-10 overall · 6-4 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Ball State73–55
- L@ Akron81–91
- Wvs Bowling Green73–72
- L@ UMass82–84
- L@ Kent State84–87
3 days since their last game.