Prairie View A&M Panthers vs Southern Jaguars: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Mar 14, 7:30 PM ETGateway Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament

#343PVPrairie View72▲ winner

Final

#309SOUSouthern66final

Closing lineSOU -3.5✓ PV covered by 9.5

Closing total145.5Under by 7.5

Season records: Prairie View and Southern
PV	This season	SOU
13-17	Record	14-16
21-9	ATS	12-18
12-18	O/U	20-10

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: PV 78–80 SOU · ✗ SOU (60%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
PV	41	31	72
SOU	28	38	66

1st half: PV 41, SOU 28 (PV by 13). The model had SOU by 1.6 and a total of 73.8 (actual 69).

Team stats

PV		SOU
27-60 45%	Field goals	23-62 37%
9-18 50%	3-pointers	5-19 26%
9-12 75%	Free throws	15-19 79%
33 10 off	Rebounds	40 16 off
12	Assists	12
6	Steals	5
6	Blocks	6
10	Turnovers	11
14	Fouls	14
28	Points in paint	30
9	Fast-break points	10

Players

PV	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Cory Wells F	40	16	6	0	6-15	2-4
Lance Williams G	40	18	4	5	7-9	2-2
Dontae Horne G	40	15	3	5	6-20	2-5
Elijah Mitchell G	31	7	3	0	1-3	1-2
Corey Dunning F	31	2	9	0	1-3	0-0
Bench
Hassane Diallo F	9	4	5	1	2-3	0-0
Tai'Reon Joseph G	9	10	0	1	4-7	2-5

Did not play: Joey Madimba, Jannoy Thomas, Keeshawn Mason, Doug Young, Ryan Bolton Jr., Marcel Bryant, Isaiah Foster, Seryee Lewis

SOU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Cam Amboree G	26	10	3	0	4-12	2-6
Terrance Dixon Jr. F	25	7	9	0	2-6	0-0
AJ Barnes F	25	18	10	1	6-12	2-6
Fazl Oshodi G	13	0	1	0	0-2	0-1
Puoch Dobuol F	5	0	0	0	0-3	0-1
Bench
Michael Jacobs G	35	19	4	9	7-17	1-5
Brandon Hardy G	30	2	1	1	1-1	0-0
DaMariee Jones F	24	8	8	1	3-8	0-0
Joe Manning G	10	2	0	0	0-0	0-0
Malek Abdelgowad F	4	0	1	0	0-1	0-0
Ashton Magee G	3	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Lionel Bell, Femi Olaniyan, Trey Shephard, Rondae Hill, D'Mari Wiltz, Jayce Depron, Keith Lamar, Andre Nunley

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	SOU -3.5	SOU -2.9	PV +0.6	W PV covered
Total	145.5	157.9	Over 12.4	L Under
Projected score	—	PV 77.5 · SOU 80.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	SOU -1.6	PV -13.0
1H total	73.8	69
1H projected score	PV 36.1 · SOU 37.7	PV 41 · SOU 28

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
PV WWWWW	21-9	70%	4-1	16-5
SOU LWWLW	12-18	40%	1-1	5-13

Venue/role: PV neutral site, as underdog; SOU neutral site, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
PV UUUUU	12-18	40%	13-17
SOU OUOOO	20-10	67%	14-16

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PV	8-2 80%	10-0 100%	2-8 20%
SOU	7-3 70%	4-6 40%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22

PV 2–8 SOUSOU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · PV 6-4 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Feb 14, 2025-26	SOU 87 @ PV 82	PV +5.5	PV W
Jan 5, 2025-26	PV 89 @ SOU 85	SOU -7.5	PV W
Feb 15, 2024-25	PV 60 @ SOU 72	SOU -14.5	PV W
Jan 6, 2024-25	SOU 84 @ PV 80	PV +4.5	PV W
Feb 17, 2023-24	SOU 77 @ PV 71	PV +2	SOU W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Prairie View

30 games played

Straight up

13-17

43% wins

Against the spread

21-9

70% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

12-18

40% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

13-1743%

L L L L W L L L L L W W W L L L L W L L L W W L W W W W W W

6 straight wins4 of last 4 won

Against the spread

21-970%

L W W W L W L W W W W L W L L L L W W L W W W W W W W W W W

10 straight covers4 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

12-1840%

O U U U O U O O O U O U U U U O U O O O O U U O U U U U U U

6 straight unders0 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	@WICH	L 62-105	+20.5	L −22.5	156.5	O 167
Nov 12	@OKST	L 67-94	+30.5	W +3.5	168.5	U 161
Nov 17	@MIZ	L 73-91	+35.5	W +17.5	166.5	U 164
Nov 22	vsUTM	L 68-69	+10.5	W +9.5	155.5	U 137
Nov 23	vsUNF	W 85-82	-3.5	L −0.5	160.5	O 167
Nov 30	@UNT	L 69-72	+16.5	W +13.5	141.5	U 141
Dec 13	@SDAK	L 85-97	+6.5	L −5.5	168.5	O 182
Dec 22	@LSU	L 90-104	+29.5	W +15.5	161.5	O 194
Dec 29	@TA&M	L 82-111	+29.5	W +0.5	177.5	O 193
Jan 3	@GRAM	L 72-76	+7.5	W +3.5	155.5	U 148
Jan 5	@SOU	W 89-85	+7.5	W +11.5	160.5	O 174
Jan 10	vsMVSU	W 70-69	-18.5	L −17.5	152.5	U 139
Jan 12	vsUAPB	W 73-61	-3.5	W +8.5	164.5	U 134
Jan 17	@JKST	L 78-82	+1.5	L −2.5	160.5	U 160
Jan 19	@ALCN	L 75-76	-2.5	L −3.5	152.5	U 151
Jan 24	vsALST	L 80-95	+1.5	L −13.5	158.5	O 175
Jan 27	vsAAMU	L 60-80	-2.5	L −22.5	152.5	U 140
Jan 31	vsTXSO	W 85-78	+1.5	W +8.5	157.5	O 163
Feb 7	@BCU	L 76-82	+10.5	W +4.5	157.5	O 158
Feb 9	@FAMU	L 96-100	+3.5	L −0.5	149.5	O 196
Feb 14	vsSOU	L 82-87	+5.5	W +0.5	159.5	O 169
Feb 16	vsGRAM	W 68-63	+1.5	W +6.5	151.5	U 131
Feb 19	@MVSU	W 72-62	-8.5	W +1.5	153.5	U 134
Feb 21	@UAPB	L 82-84	+3.5	W +1.5	159.5	O 166
Feb 26	vsJKST	W 85-76	-3.5	W +5.5	161.5	U 161
Feb 28	vsALCN	W 72-51	-4.5	W +16.5	150.5	U 123
Mar 5	@TXSO	W 70-59	+1.5	W +12.5	154.5	U 129
Mar 10	vsALCN	W 65-56	-6.5	W +2.5	142.5	U 121
Mar 11	vsBCU	W 71-67	+5.5	W +9.5	147.5	U 138
Mar 13	vsAAMU	W 74-55	+1.5	W +20.5	140.5	U 129

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

WICH

L 62-105

−22.5

OKST

L 67-94

+3.5

MIZ

L 73-91

+17.5

UTM

L 68-69

+9.5

UNF

W 85-82

−0.5

UNT

L 69-72

+13.5

SDAK

L 85-97

−5.5

LSU

L 90-104

+15.5

TA&M

L 82-111

+0.5

GRAM

L 72-76

+3.5

SOU

W 89-85

+11.5

MVSU

W 70-69

−17.5

UAPB

W 73-61

+8.5

JKST

L 78-82

−2.5

ALCN

L 75-76

−3.5

ALST

L 80-95

−13.5

AAMU

L 60-80

−22.5

TXSO

W 85-78

+8.5

BCU

L 76-82

+4.5

FAMU

L 96-100

−0.5

SOU

L 82-87

+0.5

GRAM

W 68-63

+6.5

MVSU

W 72-62

+1.5

UAPB

L 82-84

+1.5

JKST

W 85-76

+5.5

ALCN

W 72-51

+16.5

TXSO

W 70-59

+12.5

ALCN

W 65-56

+2.5

BCU

W 71-67

+9.5

AAMU

W 74-55

+20.5

covered 21didn’t cover 9avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

WICH

L 62-105

+10.5

OKST

L 67-94

−7.5

MIZ

L 73-91

−2.5

UTM

L 68-69

−18.5

UNF

W 85-82

+6.5

UNT

L 69-72

−0.5

SDAK

L 85-97

+13.5

LSU

L 90-104

+32.5

TA&M

L 82-111

+15.5

GRAM

L 72-76

−7.5

SOU

W 89-85

+13.5

MVSU

W 70-69

−13.5

UAPB

W 73-61

−30.5

JKST

L 78-82

−0.5

ALCN

L 75-76

−1.5

ALST

L 80-95

+16.5

AAMU

L 60-80

−12.5

TXSO

W 85-78

+5.5

BCU

L 76-82

+0.5

FAMU

L 96-100

+46.5

SOU

L 82-87

+9.5

GRAM

W 68-63

−20.5

MVSU

W 72-62

−19.5

UAPB

L 82-84

+6.5

JKST

W 85-76

−0.5

ALCN

W 72-51

−27.5

TXSO

W 70-59

−25.5

ALCN

W 65-56

−21.5

BCU

W 71-67

−9.5

AAMU

W 74-55

−11.5

over 12under 18avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Southern

30 games played

Straight up

14-16

47% wins

Against the spread

12-18

40% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

20-10

67% overs · avg +5.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

14-1647%

L L L L W L L L L L W L L W W L W L W W W W L W L L W W W W

4 straight wins4 of last 4 won

Against the spread

12-1840%

L W W L L L W W L L W L L W W L L L L W L L L W L L W W L W

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

20-1067%

O O O U O O O U O U O O U U U U O O O O U O U O O O U O O O

3 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@ARK	L 77-109	+26.5	L −5.5	150.5	O 186
Nov 5	@MARQ	L 82-100	+24.5	W +6.5	155.5	O 182
Nov 18	@WASH	L 93-99	+23.5	W +17.5	157.5	O 192
Nov 21	@SJSU	L 66-80	+5.5	L −8.5	150.5	U 146
Nov 29	@NWST	W 75-73	-3.5	L −1.5	144.5	O 148
Dec 8	@TEX	L 69-95	+22.5	L −3.5	158.5	O 164
Dec 10	@TXST	L 83-86	+3.5	W +0.5	142.5	O 169
Dec 16	@CBU	L 67-75	+12.5	W +4.5	155.5	U 142
Dec 21	@BAY	L 67-111	+26.5	L −17.5	169.5	O 178
Dec 29	@ILL	L 55-90	+33.5	L −1.5	163.5	U 145
Jan 3	vsTXSO	W 84-73	-6.5	W +4.5	153.5	O 157
Jan 5	vsPV	L 85-89	-7.5	L −11.5	160.5	O 174
Jan 10	@FAMU	L 59-67	-4.5	L −12.5	153.5	U 126
Jan 12	@BCU	W 77-73	+3.5	W +7.5	151.5	U 150
Jan 17	@GRAM	W 71-53	+1.5	W +19.5	153.5	U 124
Jan 24	vsUAPB	L 74-75	-9.5	L −10.5	154.5	U 149
Jan 28	vsMVSU	W 80-69	-20.5	L −9.5	141.5	O 149
Jan 31	@ALCN	L 73-78	-7.5	L −12.5	147.5	O 151
Feb 2	@JKST	W 96-91	-5.5	L −0.5	152.5	O 187
Feb 7	vsAAMU	W 81-68	-6.5	W +6.5	143.5	O 149
Feb 9	vsALST	W 69-68	-6.5	L −5.5	149.5	U 137
Feb 14	@PV	W 87-82	-5.5	L −0.5	159.5	O 169
Feb 16	@TXSO	L 73-74	-4.5	L −5.5	151.5	U 147
Feb 21	vsGRAM	W 87-73	-5.5	W +8.5	142.5	O 160
Feb 26	vsFAMU	L 71-82	-8.5	L −19.5	147.5	O 153
Feb 28	vsBCU	L 79-82	-2.5	L −5.5	153.5	O 161
Mar 3	@ALST	W 71-64	+1.5	W +8.5	153.5	U 135
Mar 5	@AAMU	W 88-85	-1.5	W +1.5	145.5	O 173
Mar 12	vsUAPB	W 84-81	-4.5	L −1.5	151.5	O 165
Mar 13	vsFAMU	W 73-70	-1.5	W +1.5	141.5	O 143

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

ARK

L 77-109

−5.5

MARQ

L 82-100

+6.5

WASH

L 93-99

+17.5

SJSU

L 66-80

−8.5

NWST

W 75-73

−1.5

TEX

L 69-95

−3.5

TXST

L 83-86

+0.5

CBU

L 67-75

+4.5

BAY

L 67-111

−17.5

ILL

L 55-90

−1.5

TXSO

W 84-73

+4.5

L 85-89

−11.5

FAMU

L 59-67

−12.5

BCU

W 77-73

+7.5

GRAM

W 71-53

+19.5

UAPB

L 74-75

−10.5

MVSU

W 80-69

−9.5

ALCN

L 73-78

−12.5

JKST

W 96-91

−0.5

AAMU

W 81-68

+6.5

ALST

W 69-68

−5.5

W 87-82

−0.5

TXSO

L 73-74

−5.5

GRAM

W 87-73

+8.5

FAMU

L 71-82

−19.5

BCU

L 79-82

−5.5

ALST

W 71-64

+8.5

AAMU

W 88-85

+1.5

UAPB

W 84-81

−1.5

FAMU

W 73-70

+1.5

covered 12didn’t cover 18avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

ARK

L 77-109

+35.5

MARQ

L 82-100

+26.5

WASH

L 93-99

+34.5

SJSU

L 66-80

−4.5

NWST

W 75-73

+3.5

TEX

L 69-95

+5.5

TXST

L 83-86

+26.5

CBU

L 67-75

−13.5

BAY

L 67-111

+8.5

ILL

L 55-90

−18.5

TXSO

W 84-73

+3.5

L 85-89

+13.5

FAMU

L 59-67

−27.5

BCU

W 77-73

−1.5

GRAM

W 71-53

−29.5

UAPB

L 74-75

−5.5

MVSU

W 80-69

+7.5

ALCN

L 73-78

+3.5

JKST

W 96-91

+34.5

AAMU

W 81-68

+5.5

ALST

W 69-68

−12.5

W 87-82

+9.5

TXSO

L 73-74

−4.5

GRAM

W 87-73

+17.5

FAMU

L 71-82

+5.5

BCU

L 79-82

+7.5

ALST

W 71-64

−18.5

AAMU

W 88-85

+27.5

UAPB

W 84-81

+13.5

FAMU

W 73-70

+1.5

over 20under 10avg +5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Prairie View A&M Panthers vs Southern Jaguars

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Prairie View

Southern

Prairie View

Southern