Fredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center · at Grambling · Conference game
Closing line
GRAM -1.5✓ SOU covered by 19.5
Closing total153.5Under by 29.5
| This season | GRAM | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-11 | Record | 6-9 |
| 6-8 | ATS | 9-6 |
| 9-5 | O/U | 6-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SOU 74–76 GRAM · ✗ GRAM (57%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SOU | 34 | 37 | 71 |
| GRAM | 22 | 31 | 53 |
1st half: SOU 34, GRAM 22 (SOU by 12). The model had GRAM by 1.1 and a total of 70.6 (actual 56).
Team stats
| SOU | GRAM | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-56 45% | Field goals | 14-44 32% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 3-16 19% |
| 13-22 59% | Free throws | 22-32 69% |
| 32 10 off | Rebounds | 38 12 off |
| 15 | Assists | 3 |
| 16 | Steals | 7 |
| 7 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 23 |
| 21 | Fouls | 18 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 24 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| SOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jacobs G | 37 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 5-15 | 3-6 |
| Fazl Oshodi G | 29 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 5-11 | 3-9 |
| AJ Barnes F | 28 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| DaMariee Jones F | 22 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Terrance Dixon Jr. F | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brandon Hardy G | 23 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Malek Abdelgowad F | 18 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Joe Manning G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Ashton Magee G | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| D'Mari Wiltz G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Rondae Hill, Trey Shephard, Femi Olaniyan, Keith Lamar, Puoch Dobuol, Lionel Bell, Jayce Depron, Andre Nunley, Cam Amboree
| GRAM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamil Muttilib G | 30 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Rickey Ballard F | 20 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Antonio Munoz F | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-1 |
| Devyn Franklin G | 14 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Saliou Seye F | 14 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Derrius Ward G | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3-9 | 2-5 |
| Jimel Lane F | 21 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Randarius Jones C | 21 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Chancellor Perkins G | 20 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Mekhi Fitts F | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Richard Amaefule F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: P.J. Edwards, Roderick Coffee III, Nazar Mahmoud
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGRAM -2.5
1 → SOU
CloseGRAM -1.5
1 pt toward SOU
Total
Open152.5
▲ 1
Close153.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
SOU +105 · GRAM -125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GRAM -2.5 · closed GRAM -1.5 · moved 1 toward SOUmodel GRAM -2
model GRAM -2
Opened 152.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 1 upmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | GRAM -1.5 | GRAM -2.1 | GRAM +0.6 | L SOU covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 150.7 | Under 2.8 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | SOU 74.3 · GRAM 76.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | GRAM -1.1 | SOU -12.0 |
| 1H total | 70.6 | 56 |
| 1H projected score | SOU 34.7 · GRAM 35.8 | SOU 34 · GRAM 22 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | |
| 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
SOU 3–7 GRAMGRAM leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · SOU 2-8 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024-25 | GRAM 65 vs SOU 62 | SOU -5.5 | GRAM W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | SOU 71 @ GRAM 64 | GRAM +3.5 | SOU W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | GRAM 60 @ SOU 67 | SOU -10.5 | GRAM W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | GRAM 63 @ SOU 57 | SOU -3.5 | GRAM W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | SOU 62 @ GRAM 79 | GRAM -1.5 | GRAM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Southern
14 games played
Straight up
3-11
21% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-5
64% overs · avg +6.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 77-109 | +26.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 5 | @ | L 82-100 | +24.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 93-99 | +23.5 | W +17.5 | 157.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 66-80 | +5.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 29 | @ | W 75-73 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 8 | @ | L 69-95 | +22.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 10 | @ | L 83-86 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 16 | @ | L 67-75 | +12.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 21 | @ | L 67-111 | +26.5 | L −17.5 | 169.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 29 | @ | L 55-90 | +33.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 84-73 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 5 | vs | L 85-89 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 160.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 59-67 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 12 | @ | W 77-73 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
ARK
L 77-109
−5.5
5
@
MARQ
L 82-100
+6.5
18
@
WASH
L 93-99
+17.5
21
@
SJSU
L 66-80
−8.5
29
@
NWST
W 75-73
−1.5
8
@
TEX
L 69-95
−3.5
10
@
TXST
L 83-86
+0.5
16
@
CBU
L 67-75
+4.5
21
@
BAY
L 67-111
−17.5
29
@
ILL
L 55-90
−1.5
3
vs
TXSO
W 84-73
+4.5
5
vs
PV
L 85-89
−11.5
10
@
FAMU
L 59-67
−12.5
12
@
BCU
W 77-73
+7.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
ARK
L 77-109
+35.5
5
@
MARQ
L 82-100
+26.5
18
@
WASH
L 93-99
+34.5
21
@
SJSU
L 66-80
−4.5
29
@
NWST
W 75-73
+3.5
8
@
TEX
L 69-95
+5.5
10
@
TXST
L 83-86
+26.5
16
@
CBU
L 67-75
−13.5
21
@
BAY
L 67-111
+8.5
29
@
ILL
L 55-90
−18.5
3
vs
TXSO
W 84-73
+3.5
5
vs
PV
L 85-89
+13.5
10
@
FAMU
L 59-67
−27.5
12
@
BCU
W 77-73
−1.5
over 9under 5avg +6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Grambling
15 games played
Straight up
6-9
40% wins
Against the spread
9-6
60% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-9
40% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ | L 62-102 | +33.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 9 | @ | W 73-70 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 13 | vs | W 75-70 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 68-78 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 59-72 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 24 | @ | L 74-83 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 2 | @ | L 63-65 | +11.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 8 | @ | L 60-68 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 18 | vs | W 80-68 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 135.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 19 | vs | W 81-72 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 137.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 23 | @ | L 63-89 | +28.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 76-72 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 5 | vs | W 84-67 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 65-74 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 12 | @ | L 84-91 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 175 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
ISU
L 62-102
−6.5
9
@
HOW
W 73-70
+7.5
13
vs
USM
W 75-70
+2.5
18
@
USD
L 68-78
−3.5
21
@
CBU
L 59-72
+1.5
24
@
UCR
L 74-83
−5.5
2
@
TULN
L 63-65
+9.5
8
@
USM
L 60-68
+0.5
18
vs
NORF
W 80-68
+13.5
19
vs
HAMP
W 81-72
+10.5
23
@
OSU
L 63-89
+2.5
3
vs
PV
W 76-72
−3.5
5
vs
TXSO
W 84-67
+11.5
10
@
BCU
L 65-74
−5.5
12
@
FAMU
L 84-91
−8.5
covered 9didn’t cover 6avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@
ISU
L 62-102
+19.5
9
@
HOW
W 73-70
−9.5
13
vs
USM
W 75-70
−3.5
18
@
USD
L 68-78
−3.5
21
@
CBU
L 59-72
−13.5
24
@
UCR
L 74-83
+12.5
2
@
TULN
L 63-65
−20.5
8
@
USM
L 60-68
−14.5
18
vs
NORF
W 80-68
+12.5
19
vs
HAMP
W 81-72
+15.5
23
@
OSU
L 63-89
−1.5
3
vs
PV
W 76-72
−7.5
5
vs
TXSO
W 84-67
+4.5
10
@
BCU
L 65-74
−5.5
12
@
FAMU
L 84-91
+33.5
over 6under 9avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Southern
3-11 overall · 2-2 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Bethune77–73
- L@ Florida A&M59–67
- Lvs Prairie View85–89
- Wvs Texas Southern84–73
- L@ Illinois55–90
5 days since their last game.
Grambling
6-9 overall · 2-2 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Florida A&M84–91
- L@ Bethune65–74
- Wvs Texas Southern84–67
- Wvs Prairie View76–72
- L@ Ohio State63–89
5 days since their last game.