Savage Arena · at Toledo · Conference game
Closing line
TOL -8.5✓ TOL covered by 10.5
TOL -8.5✓ TOL covered by 10.5Closing total145.5Over by 23.5
 EMU | This season | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| 9-17 | Record | 11-13 |
| 19-7 | ATS | 13-11 |
| 7-19 | O/U | 10-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: EMU 72–78 TOL · ✓ TOL (70%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMU | 29 | 46 | 75 |
| TOL | 51 | 43 | 94 |
1st half: EMU 29, TOL 51 (TOL by 22). The model had TOL by 3.5 and a total of 69.8 (actual 80).
Team stats
| EMU | TOL | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-59 46% | Field goals | 37-55 67% |
| 6-19 32% | 3-pointers | 6-15 40% |
| 15-17 88% | Free throws | 14-22 64% |
| 28 8 off | Rebounds | 29 4 off |
| 17 | Assists | 19 |
| 8 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 54 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 27 |
Players
| EMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad Habhab F | 40 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 6-14 | 0-1 |
| Addison Patterson F | 28 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Gregory Lawson II G | 26 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-7 | 0-4 |
| Braelon Green G | 20 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2-6 | 2-3 |
| Godslove Nwabude F | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mehki Ellison G | 21 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 5-9 | 2-4 |
| Mak Manciel G | 17 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Aidan Rubio G | 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| John Shanu II C | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Merritt Alderink F | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Jon Sanders II G | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mbaye N'Diaye, Cooper Smith, Carlos Hart
| TOL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leroy Blyden Jr. G | 33 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 5-8 | 2-5 |
| Sonny Wilson G | 31 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 7-11 | 1-2 |
| Sean Craig F | 31 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Austin Parks C | 26 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Mynor Strong G | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylan Ouwinga F | 19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Kyler Vanderjagt G | 16 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4-5 | 2-2 |
| Will James Jr. G | 15 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| London Praytor F | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Ode G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Toby Nwokolo F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Phoenix Glassnor G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chris Riddle
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTOL -8.5
no move
CloseTOL -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open145.5
no move
Close145.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
EMU +310 · TOL -395
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TOL -8.5 · unchangedmodel TOL -6
model TOL -6
Opened 145.5 · unchangedmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TOL -8.5 | TOL -6.0 | EMU +2.5 | L TOL covered |
| Total | 145.5 | 149.2 | Over 3.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | EMU 71.6 · TOL 77.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TOL -3.5 | TOL -22.0 |
| 1H total | 69.8 | 80 |
| 1H projected score | EMU 33.2 · TOL 36.6 | EMU 29 · TOL 51 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMU | 2-8 20% | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% |
| TOL | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
EMU 1–5 TOLTOL leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · EMU 5-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | TOL 73 @ EMU 80 | EMU +3.5 | EMU W |
| Jan 7, 2024-25 | EMU 87 @ TOL 90 | TOL -9.5 | EMU W |
| Feb 6, 2023-24 | TOL 91 @ EMU 87 | EMU +12.5 | EMU W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | TOL 70 @ EMU 63 | EMU +11.5 | EMU W |
| Jan 24, 2022-23 | EMU 79 @ TOL 84 | TOL -20.5 | EMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
E Michigan
26 games played
Straight up
9-17
35% wins
Against the spread
19-7
73% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-19
27% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GAST | W 71-49 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 149.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 10 | @ PITT | L 66-78 | +15.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 14 | vs IUIN | L 83-90 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 186.5 | U 173 |
| Nov 18 | @ DETM | W 72-62 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 21 | vs OAK | W 97-91 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 24 | @ LOU | L 46-87 | +33.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 26 | @ CIN | W 64-56 | +22.5 | W +30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 28 | vs NJIT | W 73-55 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 2 | @ BTLR | L 68-84 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 10 | @ PFW | L 65-80 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 19 | @ AKR | L 72-93 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 22 | @ WRST | L 64-70 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 30 | vs MASS | W 80-74 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | vs OHIO | L 67-68 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @ BALL | W 74-52 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 137.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 10 | @ WMU | L 62-79 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 13 | vs NIU | W 77-59 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | @ BGSU | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 24 | vs KENT | L 75-76 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 27 | @ CMU | L 65-100 | -2.5 | L −37.5 | 139.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 31 | @MASS | L 67-70 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 3 | vsAKR | L 64-66 | +12.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | @ APP | L 60-65 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 131.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 11 | @KENT | L 91-95 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 186 |
| Feb 14 | vsWMU | L 62-76 | -6.5 | L −20.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 17 | vsCMU | W 66-54 | -4.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | U 120 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGAST
GASTW 71-49
+18.5
10
@PITT
PITTL 66-78
+3.5
14
vsIUIN
IUINL 83-90
−11.5
18
@DETM
DETMW 72-62
+11.5
21
vsOAK
OAKW 97-91
+7.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 46-87
−7.5
26
@CIN
CINW 64-56
+30.5
28
vsNJIT
NJITW 73-55
+3.5
2
@BTLR
BTLRL 68-84
+1.5
10
@PFW
PFWL 65-80
−11.5
19
@AKR
AKRL 72-93
−5.5
22
@WRST
WRSTL 64-70
+4.5
30
vsMASS
MASSW 80-74
+8.5
3
vsOHIO
OHIOL 67-68
+1.5
6
@BALL
BALLW 74-52
+23.5
10
@WMU
WMUL 62-79
−18.5
13
vsNIU
NIUW 77-59
+10.5
17
@BGSU
BGSUL 79-85
+5.5
24
vsKENT
KENTL 75-76
+3.5
27
@CMU
CMUL 65-100
−37.5
31
@MASS
MASSL 67-70
+5.5
3
vsAKR
AKRL 64-66
+10.5
7
@APP
APPL 60-65
+2.5
11
@KENT
KENTL 91-95
+6.5
14
vsWMU
WMUL 62-76
−20.5
17
vsCMU
CMUW 66-54
+7.5
covered 19didn’t cover 7avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGAST
GASTW 71-49
−29.5
10
@PITT
PITTL 66-78
+2.5
14
vsIUIN
IUINL 83-90
−13.5
18
@DETM
DETMW 72-62
−23.5
21
vsOAK
OAKW 97-91
+34.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 46-87
−29.5
26
@CIN
CINW 64-56
−26.5
28
vsNJIT
NJITW 73-55
−13.5
2
@BTLR
BTLRL 68-84
−1.5
10
@PFW
PFWL 65-80
−2.5
19
@AKR
AKRL 72-93
+9.5
22
@WRST
WRSTL 64-70
−8.5
30
vsMASS
MASSW 80-74
+5.5
3
vsOHIO
OHIOL 67-68
−15.5
6
@BALL
BALLW 74-52
−11.5
10
@WMU
WMUL 62-79
−4.5
13
vsNIU
NIUW 77-59
−5.5
17
@BGSU
BGSUL 79-85
+22.5
24
vsKENT
KENTL 75-76
−3.5
27
@CMU
CMUL 65-100
+25.5
31
@MASS
MASSL 67-70
−11.5
3
vsAKR
AKRL 64-66
−23.5
7
@APP
APPL 60-65
−6.5
11
@KENT
KENTL 91-95
+40.5
14
vsWMU
WMUL 62-76
−5.5
17
vsCMU
CMUW 66-54
−20.5
over 7under 19avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Toledo
24 games played
Straight up
11-13
46% wins
Against the spread
13-11
54% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-14
42% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs USA | L 74-76 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | vs MRSH | L 73-85 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 11 | @WRST | W 81-71 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 159.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 15 | vsDETM | W 90-83 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | vs YSU | W 92-75 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 24 | vs TROY | W 75-68 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs BEL | L 72-87 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 6 | @OAK | L 97-98 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 166.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 13 | @ RMU | L 70-75 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 16 | @ MSU | L 69-92 | +23.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 30 | vsWMU | W 84-79 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @CMU | W 78-75 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 6 | @NIU | W 75-61 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 9 | vs M-OH | L 73-87 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 166.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 13 | vsOHIO | W 101-85 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 161.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 16 | @KENT | L 84-87 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 20 | @MASS | L 82-84 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 24 | vsBGSU | W 73-72 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 27 | @AKR | L 81-91 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 31 | vsBALL | W 73-55 | -8.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 3 | vsKENT | L 72-75 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 7 | @ JMU | L 71-73 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 11 | @WMU | W 90-79 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 14 | @BGSU | L 70-80 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−4.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHL 73-85
−14.5
11
@WRST
WRSTW 81-71
+15.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 90-83
−3.5
19
vsYSU
YSUW 92-75
+15.5
24
vsTROY
TROYW 75-68
+9.5
26
vsBEL
BELL 72-87
−10.5
6
@OAK
OAKL 97-98
+3.5
13
@RMU
RMUL 70-75
−6.5
16
@MSU
MSUL 69-92
+0.5
30
vsWMU
WMUW 84-79
−5.5
3
@CMU
CMUW 78-75
−4.5
6
@NIU
NIUW 75-61
+6.5
9
vsM-OH
M-OHL 73-87
−15.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 101-85
+13.5
16
@KENT
KENTL 84-87
+2.5
20
@MASS
MASSL 82-84
+0.5
24
vsBGSU
BGSUW 73-72
+2.5
27
@AKR
AKRL 81-91
+2.5
31
vsBALL
BALLW 73-55
+9.5
3
vsKENT
KENTL 72-75
−1.5
7
@JMU
JMUL 71-73
−3.5
11
@WMU
WMUW 90-79
+4.5
14
@BGSU
BGSUL 70-80
−6.5
covered 13didn’t cover 11avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−0.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHL 73-85
−2.5
11
@WRST
WRSTW 81-71
−7.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 90-83
+13.5
19
vsYSU
YSUW 92-75
+6.5
24
vsTROY
TROYW 75-68
−16.5
26
vsBEL
BELL 72-87
−4.5
6
@OAK
OAKL 97-98
+28.5
13
@RMU
RMUL 70-75
−9.5
16
@MSU
MSUL 69-92
+10.5
30
vsWMU
WMUW 84-79
+2.5
3
@CMU
CMUW 78-75
−5.5
6
@NIU
NIUW 75-61
−25.5
9
vsM-OH
M-OHL 73-87
−6.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 101-85
+24.5
16
@KENT
KENTL 84-87
+2.5
20
@MASS
MASSL 82-84
+1.5
24
vsBGSU
BGSUW 73-72
−10.5
27
@AKR
AKRL 81-91
+3.5
31
vsBALL
BALLW 73-55
−18.5
3
vsKENT
KENTL 72-75
−14.5
7
@JMU
JMUL 71-73
−9.5
11
@WMU
WMUW 90-79
+14.5
14
@BGSU
BGSUL 70-80
−0.5
over 10under 14avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
E Michigan
9-17 overall · 4-10 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs C Michigan66–54
- Lvs W Michigan62–76
- L@ Kent State91–95
- L@ App State60–65
- Lvs Akron64–66
4 days since their last game.
Toledo
11-13 overall · 7-6 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Bowling Green70–80
- W@ W Michigan90–79
- L@ James Madison71–73
- Lvs Kent State72–75
- Wvs Ball State73–55
A week or more of rest.