Rocket Arena · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
TOL -1.5✓ BGSU covered by 0.5
TOL -1.5✓ BGSU covered by 0.5Closing total150.5Over by 2.5
 BGSU | This season | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| 15-13 | Record | 15-14 |
| 13-15 | ATS | 17-12 |
| 10-18 | O/U | 12-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BGSU 76–77 TOL · ✓ TOL (52%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU | 38 | 38 | 76 |
| TOL | 37 | 40 | 77 |
1st half: BGSU 38, TOL 37 (BGSU by 1). The model had TOL by 0.2 and a total of 71.4 (actual 75).
Team stats
| BGSU | TOL | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-57 53% | Field goals | 31-61 51% |
| 5-17 29% | 3-pointers | 8-16 50% |
| 11-19 58% | Free throws | 7-13 54% |
| 31 8 off | Rebounds | 34 11 off |
| 15 | Assists | 11 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| BGSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Towns F | 40 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 4-10 | 0-3 |
| Justin Thomas G | 39 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 6-10 | 2-4 |
| Troy Glover II F | 34 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Javontae Campbell G | 21 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| Javon Ruffin G | 20 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josiah Shackelford G | 23 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-4 |
| Mayar Wol F | 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Aiden Goins F | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Makhi Leach G | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Camden Karel, Christian Dedivanaj, Jason Kimbrough, Alijah Adem, Preston Squire, Mohamed Maxamud, Jaxon Pardon, Greg Spurgin
| TOL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson G | 38 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 5-16 | 0-2 |
| Sean Craig F | 34 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| Leroy Blyden Jr. G | 33 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 8-10 | 4-4 |
| Mynor Strong G | 30 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| Austin Parks C | 28 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kyler Vanderjagt G | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga F | 14 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Will James Jr. G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: London Praytor, Phoenix Glassnor, Toby Nwokolo, Tyler Ode, Chris Riddle
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTOL -1.5
no move
CloseTOL -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open153.5
▼ 3
Close150.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
BGSU +105 · TOL -125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TOL -1.5 · unchangedmodel TOL -0.5
model TOL -0.5
Opened 153.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 3 downmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TOL -1.5 | TOL -0.6 | BGSU +0.9 | W BGSU covered |
| Total | 150.5 | 152.7 | Over 2.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | BGSU 76.1 · TOL 76.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TOL -0.2 | BGSU -1.0 |
| 1H total | 71.4 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | BGSU 35.6 · TOL 35.8 | BGSU 38 · TOL 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| TOL | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
BGSU 3–7 TOLTOL leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · BGSU 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2025-26 | TOL 70 @ BGSU 80 | BGSU -3.5 | BGSU W |
| Jan 24, 2025-26 | BGSU 72 @ TOL 73 | TOL +1.5 | TOL W |
| Feb 21, 2024-25 | BGSU 69 @ TOL 68 | TOL -7.5 | BGSU W |
| Jan 24, 2024-25 | TOL 84 @ BGSU 71 | BGSU +2.5 | TOL W |
| Feb 23, 2023-24 | TOL 68 @ BGSU 76 | BGSU +4.5 | BGSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bowling Green
28 games played
Straight up
15-13
54% wins
Against the spread
13-15
46% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-18
36% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TXST | W 83-48 | -5.5 | W +29.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 9 | vs LEM | W 83-60 | -11.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 15 | @ DAV | L 87-91 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 19 | vs W&M | L 74-82 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 167.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs BUCK | W 71-66 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs VMI | W 81-48 | -11.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 1 | @ KSU | W 82-66 | +12.5 | W +28.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs UVU | L 71-82 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 16 | vs CHST | W 76-55 | -21.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 20 | @ OHIO | W 68-58 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | vs M-OH | L 83-93 | -6.5 | L −16.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 3 | @ MASS | W 101-100 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 6 | @ KENT | L 93-96 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | O 189 |
| Jan 9 | vs AKR | L 67-77 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs EMU | W 85-79 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 20 | @ WMU | W 72-54 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 24 | @TOL | L 72-73 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 27 | vs BUF | L 78-89 | -7.5 | L −18.5 | 150.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 31 | @ CMU | L 59-62 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 3 | vs BALL | W 77-52 | -11.5 | W +13.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 7 | @ ARST | L 54-91 | +2.5 | L −34.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 11 | @ NIU | W 68-52 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 14 | vsTOL | W 80-70 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 17 | vsKENT | L 71-78 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 20 | @M-OH | L 77-91 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 24 | vsWMU | L 79-88 | -11.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 28 | vsMASS | W 81-62 | -3.5 | W +15.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 6 | @EMU | W 77-69 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTXST
TXSTW 83-48
+29.5
9
vsLEM
LEMW 83-60
+11.5
15
@DAV
DAVL 87-91
+0.5
19
vsW&M
W&ML 74-82
−16.5
24
vsBUCK
BUCKW 71-66
−5.5
26
vsVMI
VMIW 81-48
+21.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 82-66
+28.5
6
vsUVU
UVUL 71-82
−9.5
16
vsCHST
CHSTW 76-55
−0.5
20
@OHIO
OHIOW 68-58
+8.5
30
vsM-OH
M-OHL 83-93
−16.5
3
@MASS
MASSW 101-100
−0.5
6
@KENT
KENTL 93-96
+0.5
9
vsAKR
AKRL 67-77
−5.5
17
vsEMU
EMUW 85-79
−5.5
20
@WMU
WMUW 72-54
+11.5
24
@TOL
TOLL 72-73
−2.5
27
vsBUF
BUFL 78-89
−18.5
31
@CMU
CMUL 59-62
−11.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 77-52
+13.5
7
@ARST
ARSTL 54-91
−34.5
11
@NIU
NIUW 68-52
+8.5
14
vsTOL
TOLW 80-70
+6.5
17
vsKENT
KENTL 71-78
−8.5
20
@M-OH
M-OHL 77-91
−5.5
24
vsWMU
WMUL 79-88
−20.5
28
vsMASS
MASSW 81-62
+15.5
6
@EMU
EMUW 77-69
+2.5
covered 13didn’t cover 15avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTXST
TXSTW 83-48
−15.5
9
vsLEM
LEMW 83-60
−11.5
15
@DAV
DAVL 87-91
+33.5
19
vsW&M
W&ML 74-82
−11.5
24
vsBUCK
BUCKW 71-66
−7.5
26
vsVMI
VMIW 81-48
−19.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 82-66
−11.5
6
vsUVU
UVUL 71-82
+8.5
16
vsCHST
CHSTW 76-55
−17.5
20
@OHIO
OHIOW 68-58
−27.5
30
vsM-OH
M-OHL 83-93
+25.5
3
@MASS
MASSW 101-100
+48.5
6
@KENT
KENTL 93-96
+33.5
9
vsAKR
AKRL 67-77
−19.5
17
vsEMU
EMUW 85-79
+22.5
20
@WMU
WMUW 72-54
−26.5
24
@TOL
TOLL 72-73
−10.5
27
vsBUF
BUFL 78-89
+16.5
31
@CMU
CMUL 59-62
−28.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 77-52
−8.5
7
@ARST
ARSTL 54-91
−9.5
11
@NIU
NIUW 68-52
−24.5
14
vsTOL
TOLW 80-70
−0.5
17
vsKENT
KENTL 71-78
−2.5
20
@M-OH
M-OHL 77-91
+13.5
24
vsWMU
WMUL 79-88
+17.5
28
vsMASS
MASSW 81-62
−7.5
6
@EMU
EMUW 77-69
+3.5
over 10under 18avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Toledo
29 games played
Straight up
15-14
52% wins
Against the spread
17-12
59% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-17
41% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs USA | L 74-76 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | vs MRSH | L 73-85 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 11 | @ WRST | W 81-71 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 159.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 15 | vs DETM | W 90-83 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | vs YSU | W 92-75 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 24 | vs TROY | W 75-68 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs BEL | L 72-87 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ OAK | L 97-98 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 166.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 13 | @ RMU | L 70-75 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 16 | @ MSU | L 69-92 | +23.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 30 | vsWMU | W 84-79 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @CMU | W 78-75 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 6 | @NIU | W 75-61 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 9 | vsM-OH | L 73-87 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 166.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 13 | vsOHIO | W 101-85 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 161.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 16 | @KENT | L 84-87 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 20 | @MASS | L 82-84 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 24 | vsBGSU | W 73-72 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 27 | @AKR | L 81-91 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 31 | vsBALL | W 73-55 | -8.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 3 | vsKENT | L 72-75 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 7 | @ JMU | L 71-73 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 11 | @WMU | W 90-79 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 14 | @BGSU | L 70-80 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 21 | vsEMU | W 94-75 | -8.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 24 | vsNIU | W 79-69 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 28 | @OHIO | W 79-67 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 3 | @M-OH | L 72-74 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 6 | vsBUF | W 99-78 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | O 177 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−4.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHL 73-85
−14.5
11
@WRST
WRSTW 81-71
+15.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 90-83
−3.5
19
vsYSU
YSUW 92-75
+15.5
24
vsTROY
TROYW 75-68
+9.5
26
vsBEL
BELL 72-87
−10.5
6
@OAK
OAKL 97-98
+3.5
13
@RMU
RMUL 70-75
−6.5
16
@MSU
MSUL 69-92
+0.5
30
vsWMU
WMUW 84-79
−5.5
3
@CMU
CMUW 78-75
−4.5
6
@NIU
NIUW 75-61
+6.5
9
vsM-OH
M-OHL 73-87
−15.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 101-85
+13.5
16
@KENT
KENTL 84-87
+2.5
20
@MASS
MASSL 82-84
+0.5
24
vsBGSU
BGSUW 73-72
+2.5
27
@AKR
AKRL 81-91
+2.5
31
vsBALL
BALLW 73-55
+9.5
3
vsKENT
KENTL 72-75
−1.5
7
@JMU
JMUL 71-73
−3.5
11
@WMU
WMUW 90-79
+4.5
14
@BGSU
BGSUL 70-80
−6.5
21
vsEMU
EMUW 94-75
+10.5
24
vsNIU
NIUW 79-69
−2.5
28
@OHIO
OHIOW 79-67
+13.5
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 72-74
+5.5
6
vsBUF
BUFW 99-78
+15.5
covered 17didn’t cover 12avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−0.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHL 73-85
−2.5
11
@WRST
WRSTW 81-71
−7.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 90-83
+13.5
19
vsYSU
YSUW 92-75
+6.5
24
vsTROY
TROYW 75-68
−16.5
26
vsBEL
BELL 72-87
−4.5
6
@OAK
OAKL 97-98
+28.5
13
@RMU
RMUL 70-75
−9.5
16
@MSU
MSUL 69-92
+10.5
30
vsWMU
WMUW 84-79
+2.5
3
@CMU
CMUW 78-75
−5.5
6
@NIU
NIUW 75-61
−25.5
9
vsM-OH
M-OHL 73-87
−6.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 101-85
+24.5
16
@KENT
KENTL 84-87
+2.5
20
@MASS
MASSL 82-84
+1.5
24
vsBGSU
BGSUW 73-72
−10.5
27
@AKR
AKRL 81-91
+3.5
31
vsBALL
BALLW 73-55
−18.5
3
vsKENT
KENTL 72-75
−14.5
7
@JMU
JMUL 71-73
−9.5
11
@WMU
WMUW 90-79
+14.5
14
@BGSU
BGSUL 70-80
−0.5
21
vsEMU
EMUW 94-75
+23.5
24
vsNIU
NIUW 79-69
−2.5
28
@OHIO
OHIOW 79-67
−12.5
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 72-74
−16.5
6
vsBUF
BUFW 99-78
+21.5
over 12under 17avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bowling Green
15-13 overall · 9-9 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ E Michigan77–69
- Wvs UMass81–62
- Lvs W Michigan79–88
- L@ Miami OH77–91
- Lvs Kent State71–78
6 days since their last game.
Toledo
15-14 overall · 11-7 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Buffalo99–78
- L@ Miami OH72–74
- W@ Ohio79–67
- Wvs N Illinois79–69
- Wvs E Michigan94–75
6 days since their last game.