Millett Hall · at Miami OH · Conference game
Closing line
M-OH -7.5✓ TOL covered by 5.5
M-OH -7.5✓ TOL covered by 5.5Closing total162.5Under by 16.5
 TOL | This season | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| 14-13 | Record | 26-0 |
| 15-12 | ATS | 18-8 |
| 11-16 | O/U | 17-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TOL 78–86 M-OH · ✓ M-OH (74%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | 35 | 37 | 72 |
| M-OH | 40 | 34 | 74 |
1st half: TOL 35, M-OH 40 (M-OH by 5). The model had M-OH by 4.3 and a total of 76.7 (actual 75).
Team stats
| TOL | M-OH | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-67 48% | Field goals | 27-54 50% |
| 6-21 29% | 3-pointers | 12-32 38% |
| 2-2 100% | Free throws | 8-14 57% |
| 35 10 off | Rebounds | 31 6 off |
| 14 | Assists | 12 |
| 13 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| TOL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson G | 37 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6-15 | 1-5 |
| Leroy Blyden Jr. G | 36 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 9-16 | 1-5 |
| Sean Craig F | 28 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Mynor Strong G | 25 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Austin Parks C | 22 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylan Ouwinga F | 23 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Will James Jr. G | 20 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Kyler Vanderjagt G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Phoenix Glassnor, London Praytor, Chris Riddle, Toby Nwokolo, Tyler Ode
| M-OH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brant Byers F | 34 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 4-8 | 3-6 |
| Peter Suder G | 34 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 7-10 | 4-7 |
| Eian Elmer G | 32 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2-10 | 2-8 |
| Luke Skaljac G | 29 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-4 |
| Antwone Woolfolk F | 22 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 6-10 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Almar Atlason F | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Justin Kirby G | 19 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Trey Perry G | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Robbins F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Evan Ipsaro, Kyle Waltz, Leshawn Stowers, Brady Ganley, Eli Yofan, Ethan Wright, Blake Anderson, Jackson Kotecki
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenM-OH -8.5
1 → TOL
CloseM-OH -7.5
1 pt toward TOL
Total
Open162.5
no move
Close162.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
TOL +320 · M-OH -410
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened M-OH -8.5 · closed M-OH -7.5 · moved 1 toward TOLmodel M-OH -7.5 matches the line
model M-OH -7.5 = line ✓
Opened 162.5 · unchangedmodel 164
model 164
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | M-OH -7.5 | M-OH -7.4 | TOL +0.1 | W TOL covered |
| Total | 162.5 | 164.2 | Over 1.7 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | TOL 78.4 · M-OH 85.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | M-OH -4.3 | M-OH -5.0 |
| 1H total | 76.7 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | TOL 36.2 · M-OH 40.5 | TOL 35 · M-OH 40 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| M-OH | 10-0 100% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
TOL 7–2 M-OHTOL leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · M-OH has won the last 2 meetings · TOL 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025-26 | M-OH 87 @ TOL 73 | TOL -1.5 | M-OH W |
| Feb 11, 2024-25 | TOL 80 @ M-OH 92 | M-OH -4.5 | M-OH W |
| Mar 5, 2023-24 | TOL 97 @ M-OH 63 | M-OH +2.5 | TOL W |
| Jan 5, 2023-24 | M-OH 64 @ TOL 68 | TOL -11.5 | M-OH W |
| Mar 9, 2022-23 | M-OH 75 vs TOL 91 | TOL -13.5 | TOL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Toledo
27 games played
Straight up
14-13
52% wins
Against the spread
15-12
56% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-16
41% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs USA | L 74-76 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | vs MRSH | L 73-85 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 11 | @ WRST | W 81-71 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 159.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 15 | vs DETM | W 90-83 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | vs YSU | W 92-75 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 24 | vs TROY | W 75-68 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs BEL | L 72-87 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ OAK | L 97-98 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 166.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 13 | @ RMU | L 70-75 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 16 | @ MSU | L 69-92 | +23.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 30 | vs WMU | W 84-79 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @ CMU | W 78-75 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 6 | @ NIU | W 75-61 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 9 | vsM-OH | L 73-87 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 166.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 13 | vs OHIO | W 101-85 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 161.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 16 | @ KENT | L 84-87 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 20 | @ MASS | L 82-84 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 24 | vs BGSU | W 73-72 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 27 | @ AKR | L 81-91 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 31 | vs BALL | W 73-55 | -8.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 3 | vsKENT | L 72-75 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 7 | @ JMU | L 71-73 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 11 | @WMU | W 90-79 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 14 | @BGSU | L 70-80 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 21 | vs EMU | W 94-75 | -8.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 24 | vsNIU | W 79-69 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 28 | @OHIO | W 79-67 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−4.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHL 73-85
−14.5
11
@WRST
WRSTW 81-71
+15.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 90-83
−3.5
19
vsYSU
YSUW 92-75
+15.5
24
vsTROY
TROYW 75-68
+9.5
26
vsBEL
BELL 72-87
−10.5
6
@OAK
OAKL 97-98
+3.5
13
@RMU
RMUL 70-75
−6.5
16
@MSU
MSUL 69-92
+0.5
30
vsWMU
WMUW 84-79
−5.5
3
@CMU
CMUW 78-75
−4.5
6
@NIU
NIUW 75-61
+6.5
9
vsM-OH
M-OHL 73-87
−15.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 101-85
+13.5
16
@KENT
KENTL 84-87
+2.5
20
@MASS
MASSL 82-84
+0.5
24
vsBGSU
BGSUW 73-72
+2.5
27
@AKR
AKRL 81-91
+2.5
31
vsBALL
BALLW 73-55
+9.5
3
vsKENT
KENTL 72-75
−1.5
7
@JMU
JMUL 71-73
−3.5
11
@WMU
WMUW 90-79
+4.5
14
@BGSU
BGSUL 70-80
−6.5
21
vsEMU
EMUW 94-75
+10.5
24
vsNIU
NIUW 79-69
−2.5
28
@OHIO
OHIOW 79-67
+13.5
covered 15didn’t cover 12avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−0.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHL 73-85
−2.5
11
@WRST
WRSTW 81-71
−7.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 90-83
+13.5
19
vsYSU
YSUW 92-75
+6.5
24
vsTROY
TROYW 75-68
−16.5
26
vsBEL
BELL 72-87
−4.5
6
@OAK
OAKL 97-98
+28.5
13
@RMU
RMUL 70-75
−9.5
16
@MSU
MSUL 69-92
+10.5
30
vsWMU
WMUW 84-79
+2.5
3
@CMU
CMUW 78-75
−5.5
6
@NIU
NIUW 75-61
−25.5
9
vsM-OH
M-OHL 73-87
−6.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 101-85
+24.5
16
@KENT
KENTL 84-87
+2.5
20
@MASS
MASSL 82-84
+1.5
24
vsBGSU
BGSUW 73-72
−10.5
27
@AKR
AKRL 81-91
+3.5
31
vsBALL
BALLW 73-55
−18.5
3
vsKENT
KENTL 72-75
−14.5
7
@JMU
JMUL 71-73
−9.5
11
@WMU
WMUW 90-79
+14.5
14
@BGSU
BGSUL 70-80
−0.5
21
vsEMU
EMUW 94-75
+23.5
24
vsNIU
NIUW 79-69
−2.5
28
@OHIO
OHIOW 79-67
−12.5
over 11under 16avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Miami OH
26 games played
Straight up
26-0
100% wins
Against the spread
18-8
69% covers · avg +4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-9
65% overs · avg +4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ODU | W 87-72 | -16.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 15 | @ AF | W 76-61 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | vs MERC | W 76-71 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs UAPB | W 111-84 | -21.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCG | W 82-71 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs ME | W 93-61 | -17.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 10 | @ UNCA | W 90-87 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | @ EKU | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 16 | @WRST | W 83-76 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | @BALL | W 86-77 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 30 | @BGSU | W 93-83 | +6.5 | W +16.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 3 | vsAKR | W 76-73 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 177.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 6 | vsWMU | W 87-76 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 9 | @TOL | W 87-73 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 13 | vsCMU | W 100-61 | -15.5 | W +23.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 17 | vs BUF | W 105-102 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | O 207 |
| Jan 20 | @KENT | W 107-101 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 167.5 | O 208 |
| Jan 27 | vsMASS | W 86-84 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | vsNIU | W 85-61 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 3 | @BUF | W 73-71 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 7 | @MRSH | W 90-74 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 162.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 13 | vsOHIO | W 90-74 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 163.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 17 | @MASS | W 86-77 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 20 | vsBGSU | W 91-77 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 24 | @EMU | W 74-64 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 27 | @WMU | W 69-67 | -12.5 | L −10.5 | 161.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
−1.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
+4.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
−10.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+5.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+0.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
−3.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
+4.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+5.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+1.5
30
@BGSU
BGSUW 93-83
+16.5
3
vsAKR
AKRW 76-73
+7.5
6
vsWMU
WMUW 87-76
−3.5
9
@TOL
TOLW 87-73
+15.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 100-61
+23.5
17
vsBUF
BUFW 105-102
−7.5
20
@KENT
KENTW 107-101
+7.5
27
vsMASS
MASSW 86-84
−7.5
31
vsNIU
NIUW 85-61
+7.5
3
@BUF
BUFW 73-71
−2.5
7
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-74
+14.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-74
+8.5
17
@MASS
MASSW 86-77
+5.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-77
+5.5
24
@EMU
EMUW 74-64
+1.5
27
@WMU
WMUW 69-67
−10.5
covered 18didn’t cover 8avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
+5.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
−6.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
+7.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+34.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+2.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
+24.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
−10.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+9.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+15.5
30
@BGSU
BGSUW 93-83
+25.5
3
vsAKR
AKRW 76-73
−28.5
6
vsWMU
WMUW 87-76
+2.5
9
@TOL
TOLW 87-73
−6.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 100-61
+2.5
17
vsBUF
BUFW 105-102
+44.5
20
@KENT
KENTW 107-101
+40.5
27
vsMASS
MASSW 86-84
+5.5
31
vsNIU
NIUW 85-61
−12.5
3
@BUF
BUFW 73-71
−21.5
7
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-74
+1.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-74
+0.5
17
@MASS
MASSW 86-77
−0.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-77
+13.5
24
@EMU
EMUW 74-64
−13.5
27
@WMU
WMUW 69-67
−25.5
over 17under 9avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Toledo
14-13 overall · 10-6 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Ohio79–67
- Wvs N Illinois79–69
- Wvs E Michigan94–75
- L@ Bowling Green70–80
- W@ W Michigan90–79
3 days since their last game.
Miami OH
26-0 overall · 16-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ W Michigan69–67
- W@ E Michigan74–64
- Wvs Bowling Green91–77
- W@ UMass86–77
- Wvs Ohio90–74
4 days since their last game.